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Nevada vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 84-59
49-31 35-28
Position#80
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game60.0
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
Valparaiso
USA
Position#173
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#25
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A15/03
NIT
Bucknell
#10
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H18/03
NIT
Stanford
#1
L
56-84
56
84
-28
A22/03
NIT
Montana
#11
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H17/03
CBI
East. Washington
#7
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H22/03
CBI
Vermont
#2
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H24/03
CBI
Morehead State
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A29/03
CBI
Morehead State
#3
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H31/03
CBI
Morehead State
#3
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
H02/04
CBI
Fordham
#336
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H22/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-30
0-0
39-29
0-0
42-29
0-0
33-38
0-0
27-42
0-0
29-42
0-0
27-37
0-0
52-38
0-0
43-45
0-0
42-25
0-0
37-35
0-0
49-37
0-0
36-38
0-0
47-48
0-0
33-27
0-0
44-41
0-0
41-34
0-0
34-41
0-0
38-28
0-0
36-32
149.1Avg total
76.8Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.060.0134.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)74.060.0134.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.872.3149.1+4.580%
Last 5 (5)81.073.6154.6+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.575.5141.0-10.050%
vs Similar (1)86.072.0158.0+14.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)80.873.2154.0+7.680%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#2
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H17/03
CIT
Miami (FL)
#14
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A14/03
NIT
Columbia
#5
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H19/03
CIT
Texas Southern
#26
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H16/03
NIT
Florida State
#12
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H17/03
NIT
St. Marys (CA)
#8
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H22/03
NIT
Brigham Young
#4
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H29/03
NIT
George Washington
#1
L
60-76
60
76
-16
H31/03
NIT
Illinois
#5
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A14/03
NIT
Grand Canyon
#239
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-41
0-0
45-44
0-0
23-24
0-0
27-42
0-0
30-29
0-0
26-29
0-0
41-35
0-0
43-38
0-0
39-29
0-0
42-40
0-0
29-31
0-0
31-13
0-0
44-30
0-0
28-40
0-0
31-32
0-0
29-44
0-0
24-41
0-0
33-41
0-0
40-40
0-0
38-34
137.2Avg total
67.5Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.074.0152.0+4.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)78.074.0152.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)67.569.7137.2-2.250%
Last 5 (5)65.469.2134.6-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)60.076.0136.0-16.00%
vs Similar (2)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
vs Weaker (2)70.556.5127.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: -2.3-2.3
NevadaValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#25
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A15/03
NIT
Bucknell
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H18/03
NIT
Stanford
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A22/03
NIT
Montana
#11
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H17/03
CBI
East. Washington
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H22/03
CBI
Vermont
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H24/03
CBI
Morehead State
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A29/03
CBI
Morehead State
#3
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H31/03
CBI
Morehead State
#3
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H02/04
CBI
Fordham
#336
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H22/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
35.3Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)35.334.569.8+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (7)37.333.670.9+3.771%-
Last 30 away (3)30.736.767.3-6.00%-
Last 10 (10)35.334.569.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.469.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.535.570.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (1)37.035.072.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)38.234.472.6+3.860%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H17/03
CIT
Miami (FL)
#14
L
23-24
23
24
-1
A14/03
NIT
Columbia
#5
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H19/03
CIT
Texas Southern
#26
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H16/03
NIT
Florida State
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H17/03
NIT
St. Marys (CA)
#8
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H22/03
NIT
Brigham Young
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H29/03
NIT
George Washington
#1
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H31/03
NIT
Illinois
#5
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A14/03
NIT
Grand Canyon
#239
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A22/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
33.3Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)33.333.266.5+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (7)35.132.467.6+2.757%-
Last 30 away (3)29.035.064.0-6.00%-
Last 10 (10)33.333.266.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.634.868.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)31.032.063.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (2)42.035.077.0+7.050%-
vs Weaker (2)34.030.064.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevada wins
0
Valparaiso wins
No previous meetings.
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/19HFordham74-60
02/04/16HMorehead State85-82 OT
31/03/16HMorehead State77-68
29/03/16AMorehead State83-86
24/03/16HVermont86-72
22/03/16HEast. Washington85-70
17/03/16HMontana79-75
22/03/12AStanford56-84
18/03/12HBucknell75-67
15/03/12AOral Roberts68-59
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/19AGrand Canyon78-74
14/03/17AIllinois57-82
31/03/16HGeorge Washington60-76
29/03/16HBrigham Young72-70
22/03/16HSt. Marys (CA)60-44
17/03/16HFlorida State81-69
16/03/16HTexas Southern84-73
19/03/14HColumbia56-58
14/03/12AMiami (FL)50-66
17/03/11HIona77-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game60.060.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total134.0134.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Valparaiso
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game78.0-78.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential+4.0-+4.0
Avg total152.0-152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State110100%81.064.0+17.0
2 Nevada110100%74.060.0+14.0
3 Wyoming110100%69.061.0+8.0
4 Boise State110100%82.076.0+6.0
5 Utah State110100%80.078.0+2.0
6 New Mexico110100%78.077.0+1.0
7 UNLV1010%68.072.0-4.0
8 Air Force2020%68.576.5-8.0
9 Grand Canyon2020%66.074.0-8.0
10 San Jose State1010%76.091.0-15.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake110100%74.058.0+16.0
2 Indiana State220100%78.067.0+11.0
3 Bradley110100%70.061.0+9.0
4 Valparaiso110100%78.074.0+4.0
5 Illinois (Chi.)21150%70.067.0+3.0
6 Evansville31233%84.391.7-7.3
7 Belmont1010%55.060.0-5.0
8 Illinois State2020%67.074.5-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada493584
Valparaiso312859
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