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New Haven Chargers vs Army Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 74-67
Projected total 140.9
Final 63-55
24-19 39-36
Position#306
Record0-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game56.0
Allowed / game77.5
New Haven Chargers 🏆
USA
Vs
75%
25%
■ NEW 75%■ ARMY 25%
Pythia win probability
Army
USA
Position#245
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game62.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

The New Haven Chargers will host Army on 10 November 2026 in an NCAA contest where the Chargers are the clear favourite, the model rating them 75% to win largely because of their 0-2 record, 56.0 points per game and 77.5 allowed per game, while Army sits 1-1 with 84.0 points per game and 62.5 allowed per game; the Chargers' 1-4 record in their last five games, including a 54-81 loss to Rutgers and a 58-74 loss to Syracuse, contrasts with Army's 1-4 record and a 118-41 home win over Mount St. Marys but a 50-84 loss to Duke and a 55-65 loss to Bucknell; the teams have met once before, the last meeting being a 74-67 win for the Chargers; Pythia projects a 74-67 score, a total of 140.9, with a 1.5-point spread favouring the Chargers and a 77% chance they cover, an over line of 133.5 with a 67% probability of the over, and a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Haven Chargers winWon
74.6%fair 1.34
Best odds1.97
Implied50.0%
Edge+24.6pp
Army winLost
25.4%fair 3.94
Best odds1.91
Implied50.0%
Edge-24.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Haven ChargersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#363
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H07/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H13/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H14/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H20/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A22/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H24/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A27/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#133
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A03/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#20
L
54-81
54
81
-27
A07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
22-32
35-31
33-41
43-40
31-15
24-37
32-30
32-21
55-39
29-38
32-41
35-32
22-20
40-45
31-31
35-28
17-39
41-35
23-39
31-42
131.9Avg total
64.3Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)56.077.5133.5-21.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)56.077.5133.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)64.367.6131.9-3.340%
Last 5 (5)61.470.4131.8-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)56.376.7133.0-20.40%
vs Similar (14)63.763.3127.0+0.457%
vs Weaker (6)66.063.8129.8+2.250%
This opponent (Army) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArmyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lafayette
#317
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H07/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H11/02
NCAA
American University
#204
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A14/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A19/02
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H21/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H25/02
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Duke
#121
L
50-84
50
84
-34
A02/11
NCAA
Mount St. Marys Knights
#525
W
118-41
118
41
+77
H05/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-26
32-37
29-40
39-45
27-36
36-39
41-31
46-46
27-43
36-38
26-36
47-39
26-37
51-46
25-26
30-39
18-33
32-51
51-12
67-29
144.3Avg total
71.4Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.062.5146.5+21.550%
Season at home (1)118.041.0159.0+77.0100%
Season away (1)50.084.0134.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)71.472.9144.3-1.520%
Last 5 (5)74.669.6144.2+5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)67.078.7145.7-11.720%
vs Similar (13)75.677.0152.6-1.446%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (New Haven Chargers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 128.5Actual: Under 128.5
Over 128.5
77.2%
Under 128.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 133.5 · main lineActual: Under 133.5
Over 133.5
67.0%
@ 1.90+17.0pp
Under 133.5
33.0%
@ 1.91-17.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.70
Over/Under 138.5Actual: Under 138.5
Over 138.5
55.2%
@ 1.89+7.7pp
Under 138.5
44.8%
@ 1.71-7.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.89
Under
Marathon Be
1.71

📊 3. Team Totals

New Haven Chargers total 65.5 · main lineActual: New Haven Chargers under 65.5
Over 65.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 65.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
New Haven Chargers total 69.5Actual: New Haven Chargers under 69.5
Over 69.5
68.0%
@ 1.87+18.5pp
Under 69.5
32.0%
@ 1.83-18.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
Army total 62.5Actual: Army under 62.5
Over 62.5
65.5%
Under 62.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Army total 66.5 · main lineActual: Army under 66.5
Over 66.5
50.3%
@ 1.85-0.5pp
Under 66.5
49.7%
@ 1.91+0.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.85
Army total 70.5Actual: Army under 70.5
Over 70.5
35.1%
Under 70.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread New Haven Chargers -1.5Actual: New Haven Chargers -1.5
NEW -1.5
72.2%
@ 1.91+23.5pp
ARMY +1.5
27.8%
@ 1.82-23.5pp
Best 5 market prices
NEW
Marathon Be
1.91
1xBet
1.91
ARMY
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.80
Spread New Haven Chargers +1.5 · main lineActual: New Haven Chargers +1.5
NEW +1.5
76.7%
@ 1.86+26.6pp
ARMY -1.5
23.3%
@ 1.87-26.6pp
Best 5 market prices
NEW
Marathon Be
1.86
ARMY
Marathon Be
1.87
Spread New Haven Chargers +4.5Actual: New Haven Chargers +4.5
NEW +4.5
84.2%
ARMY -4.5
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
NEW
No market prices yet.
ARMY
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +0.7+0.7
New Haven ChargersArmy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Haven ChargersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#363
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H07/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H13/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
31-15
31
15
+16
H14/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A22/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
22-20
22
20
+2
A27/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H28/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#133
L
17-39
17
39
-22
A03/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#20
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A07/11
NCAA
62.5Avg total
29.8Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 63
Last 30 (30)31.632.363.9-0.647%50%
Last 30 at home (13)35.428.664.0+6.869%46%
Last 30 away (17)28.835.163.8-6.329%53%
Last 10 (10)29.832.762.5-2.940%30%
Last 5 (5)25.034.059.0-9.020%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)25.738.964.6-13.10%57%
vs Similar (14)30.829.260.0+1.664%36%
vs Weaker (6)31.333.564.8-2.233%50%
This opponent (Army) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArmyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lafayette
#317
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H11/02
NCAA
American University
#204
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A19/02
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H21/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H25/02
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A28/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A04/03
NCAA
Duke
#121
L
18-33
18
33
-15
A02/11
NCAA
Mount St. Marys Knights
#525
W
51-12
51
12
+39
H05/11
NCAA
61.8Avg total
29.8Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 63
Last 30 (30)32.835.067.8-2.237%57%
Last 30 at home (15)34.033.767.7+0.340%53%
Last 30 away (15)31.636.367.9-4.733%60%
Last 10 (10)29.832.061.8-2.230%30%
Last 5 (5)29.228.858.0+0.420%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)30.137.167.3-7.020%67%
vs Similar (13)33.534.968.4-1.546%46%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (New Haven Chargers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread New Haven Chargers 0 · main lineActual: New Haven Chargers 0
NEW 0
no forecast
@ 1.82
ARMY 0
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 63 · main lineActual: Under 63
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
New Haven Chargers 1st half total 32 · main lineActual: New Haven Chargers under 32
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.84
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: New Haven Chargers (regulation)
NEW
no forecast
@ 1.89
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
ARMY
no forecast
@ 1.95

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
🔒 2 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
New Haven Chargers (regulation)72.1%2.06
Marathon Bet
2.06		----+28.2ppWon
New Haven Chargers +176.2%1.90
Marathon Bet
1.90		----+27.4ppWon
New Haven Chargers +279.1%1.79
Marathon Bet
1.79		----+27.4ppWon
New Haven Chargers +1.576.7%1.86
Marathon Bet
1.86		----+26.6ppWon
New Haven Chargers -174.0%1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85		----+26.2ppWon
New Haven Chargers win74.6%1.87
Marathon Bet
1.97
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.80		--+24.6ppWon
New Haven Chargers -271.1%1.97
Marathon Bet
1.97		----+24.0ppWon
New Haven Chargers -1.572.2%1.91
Marathon Bet
1.91
1xBet
1.91		---+23.5ppWon
Over 13172.8%1.79
Marathon Bet
1.79		----+21.0ppLost
Over 13270.7%1.86
Marathon Bet
1.86		----+20.8ppLost
Over 131.571.3%1.84
Marathon Bet
1.84		----+20.6ppLost
Over 130.573.3%1.74
Marathon Bet
1.74		----+20.4ppLost
Overtime: no95.7%1.06
WilliamHill
1.06		----+7.4pp-
New Haven Chargers +2.579.8%1.72
Marathon Bet
1.72		-----Won
Over 12976.8%1.65
Marathon Bet
1.65		-----Lost
Over 129.575.3%1.65
Marathon Bet
1.65		-----Lost
Over 13074.8%1.69
Marathon Bet
1.69		-----Lost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
New Haven Chargers wins
0
Army wins
No previous meetings.
New Haven Chargerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ARutgers54-81
03/11/26ASyracuse58-74
28/02/26HLe Moyne66-59
27/02/26AWagner62-65
24/02/26HSt. Francis (PA)67-73
22/02/26AFairleigh Dickinson84-77
20/02/26HStonehill64-51
14/02/26HLIU Sharks55-52
13/02/26HCentral Connecticut State76-81
07/02/26HChicago State57-63
Armylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26HMount St. Marys Knights118-41
02/11/26ADuke50-84
04/03/26ABucknell55-65
28/02/26ALafayette77-83
25/02/26HBucknell73-75
21/02/26HNavy63-81
19/02/26ALoyola Maryland87-77
14/02/26AAmerican University63-75
11/02/26HBoston University68-85
07/02/26HLafayette60-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Haven Chargers
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game56.0-56.0
Allowed / game77.5-77.5
Point differential-21.5--21.5
Avg total133.5-133.5
Over 133.550%-50%
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Army
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game84.0118.050.0
Allowed / game62.541.084.0
Point differential+21.5+77.0-34.0
Avg total146.5159.0134.0
Over 133.5100%100%100%
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Le Moyne31233%76.076.0+0.0
2 Stonehill31233%67.371.3-4.0
3 Mercyhurst Lakers31233%62.770.3-7.7
4 Chicago State31233%64.081.7-17.7
5 Central Connecticut State31233%61.080.3-19.3
6 Fairleigh Dickinson31233%67.791.7-24.0
7 LIU Sharks4040%61.573.8-12.2
8 New Haven Chargers2020%56.077.5-21.5
9 Wagner3030%49.380.7-31.3
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Navy32167%69.065.7+3.3
2 Boston University32167%73.374.7-1.3
3 Army21150%84.062.5+21.5
4 Loyola Maryland31233%73.770.7+3.0
5 Lafayette31233%73.776.7-3.0
6 Lehigh31233%64.373.7-9.3
7 Colgate2020%75.083.5-8.5
8 American University2020%63.080.5-17.5
9 Bucknell2020%64.589.0-24.5
10 Holy Cross2020%62.599.0-36.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Haven Chargers243963
Army193655
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