PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

New Mexico State vs UMKC Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 74-71
42-33 32-38
Position#11
Record9-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game58.7
vs
Position#139
Record7-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game73.4
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMKC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#234
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A28/11
NCAA
UTEP
#221
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H04/12
NCAA
Washington State
#207
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A07/12
NCAA
Denver
#343
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A11/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#171
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A15/12
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#348
W
65-40
65
40
+25
H19/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#127
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A22/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#512
W
104-30
104
30
+74
H29/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#48
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A05/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#355
W
93-54
93
54
+39
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-23
29-45
27-23
32-33
21-30
33-33
37-28
35-39
33-31
29-38
29-15
36-25
23-21
35-31
60-12
44-18
36-37
50-34
46-24
47-30
128.7Avg total
71.7Scored
57.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.158.7130.8+13.469%
Season at home (6)79.354.7134.0+24.783%
Season away (7)65.962.1128.0+3.757%
Last 10 (10)71.757.0128.7+14.770%
Last 5 (5)81.249.4130.6+31.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)86.071.0157.0+15.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)70.957.7128.6+13.367%
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#10
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A25/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#332
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H01/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#297
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A05/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#195
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#6
L
57-98
57
98
-41
A14/12
NCAA
Toledo
#198
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H18/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#143
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A22/12
NCAA
Seattle
#174
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#300
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H05/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#177
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-32
27-30
39-27
29-40
31-37
30-42
41-32
32-50
24-43
33-55
32-20
40-37
42-35
36-40
23-33
33-23
30-19
38-44
35-33
29-43
142.5Avg total
68.0Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)69.073.4142.4-4.458%
Season at home (4)74.568.2142.8+6.2100%
Season away (8)66.276.0142.2-9.838%
Last 10 (10)68.074.5142.5-6.550%
Last 5 (5)74.471.4145.8+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)55.777.3133.0-21.70%
vs Similar (5)75.475.2150.6+0.260%
vs Weaker (5)69.069.0138.0+0.080%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -7.7-7.7
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -7.7-7.7
New Mexico StateUMKC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#234
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A28/11
NCAA
UTEP
#221
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H04/12
NCAA
Washington State
#207
L
21-30
21
30
-9
A07/12
NCAA
Denver
#343
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A11/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#171
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A15/12
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#348
W
29-15
29
15
+14
H19/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#127
W
23-21
23
21
+2
A22/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#512
W
60-12
60
12
+48
H29/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#48
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A05/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#355
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H10/01
NCAA
59.1Avg total
34.7Scored
24.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)34.125.859.9+8.479%-
Last 30 at home (6)39.223.362.5+15.8100%-
Last 30 away (8)30.427.658.0+2.862%-
Last 10 (10)34.724.459.1+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)38.821.860.6+17.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)36.037.073.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)34.724.459.1+10.292%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#10
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A25/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#332
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H01/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#297
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A05/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#195
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#6
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A14/12
NCAA
Toledo
#198
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H18/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#143
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A22/12
NCAA
Seattle
#174
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#300
W
30-19
30
19
+11
H05/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#177
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A10/01
NCAA
63.0Avg total
31.9Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)32.531.463.9+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (5)32.626.859.4+5.880%-
Last 30 away (9)32.434.066.4-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)31.931.163.0+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)32.428.060.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)26.037.763.7-11.70%-
vs Similar (5)34.630.665.2+4.080%-
vs Weaker (5)33.027.860.8+5.260%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
New Mexico State wins
0
UMKC wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/20HChicago State93-54
05/01/20ACalifornia Baptist86-71
29/12/19HNorthern New Mexico104-30
22/12/19AMississippi St.58-52
19/12/19HArkansas-Pine Bluff65-40
15/12/19ANew Mexico62-69
11/12/19ADenver72-67
07/12/19AWashington State54-63
04/12/19HUTEP59-56
28/11/19AGeorge Mason64-68
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/20AUTRGV64-76
05/01/20HUtah Valley State68-63
03/01/20HSeattle90-86 OT
22/12/19ASouth Dakota Coyotes78-75
18/12/19HToledo72-57
14/12/19AKansas57-98
11/12/19AMcNeese State73-82
05/12/19AIowa State61-79
01/12/19HWestern Illinois68-67
25/11/19ALiberty49-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%83%57%
Points / game72.179.365.9
Allowed / game58.754.762.1
Point differential+13.4+24.7+3.7
Avg total130.8134.0128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
UMKC
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %58%100%38%
Points / game69.074.566.2
Allowed / game73.468.276.0
Point differential-4.4+6.2-9.8
Avg total142.4142.8142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1413193%69.450.8+18.6
2 Louisiana Tech118373%76.563.5+13.0
3 New Mexico State139469%72.158.7+13.4
4 Sam Houston St.139469%80.372.1+8.2
5 UTEP126650%66.864.4+2.4
6 Delaware126650%72.471.8+0.7
7 Missouri State126650%67.166.8+0.3
8 Jacksonville State136746%72.268.7+3.5
9 Western Kentucky115645%73.574.4-0.9
10 Middle Tenn. St.111109%65.673.5-7.9
11 Kennesaw State131128%57.375.7-18.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St117464%74.465.5+8.9
2 South Dakota St.138562%76.466.5+9.8
3 UMKC127558%69.073.4-4.4
4 Nebraska O.148657%73.176.9-3.9
5 Oral Roberts116555%78.168.2+9.9
6 North Dakota137654%78.069.7+8.3
7 South Dakota Coyotes136746%75.275.8-0.5
8 Denver1521313%65.574.9-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico State423274
UMKC333871
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.