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UMKC vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 72-57
32-20 40-37
Position#139
Record3-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game65.1
Allowed / game74.9
UMKC 🏆
USA
vs
Position#198
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game62.8
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · UMKC v Toledo
21 Nov 2022
UMKC83
TOLE71
17 Dec 2019
UMKC72
TOLE57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMKC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#13
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H16/03
CBI
Wyoming
#1
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A21/03
CBI
George Washington
#265
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A22/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#276
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A24/11
NCAA
Liberty
#10
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A25/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#332
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H01/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#297
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A05/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#195
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#6
L
57-98
57
98
-41
A14/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-35
0-0
53-47
0-0
32-38
0-0
29-34
0-0
23-30
0-0
51-38
0-0
42-26
0-0
32-42
0-0
22-32
0-0
27-30
0-0
39-27
0-0
29-40
0-0
31-37
0-0
30-42
0-0
41-32
0-0
32-50
0-0
24-43
0-0
33-55
143.0Avg total
67.7Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)65.174.9140.0-9.743%
Season at home (1)68.067.0135.0+1.0100%
Season away (6)64.776.2140.8-11.533%
Last 10 (9)67.775.3143.0-7.744%
Last 5 (5)61.677.6139.2-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)55.777.3133.0-21.70%
vs Similar ◀ (1)73.082.0155.0-9.00%
vs Weaker (4)69.270.5139.8-1.275%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Robert Morris
#5
L
51-69
51
69
-18
H17/03
CIT
Southern Miss
#7
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A20/03
NIT
George Washington
#8
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A15/03
CBI
Xavier
#9
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A20/03
NIT
Notre Dame
#117
L
62-64 OT
62
64
-2
A22/11
NCAA
Northwestern Ohio
#510
W
100-41
100
41
+59
H23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#275
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H01/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#277
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A05/12
NCAA
Marshall
#132
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H08/12
NCAA
Detroit
#314
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A14/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
16-30
0-0
35-39
0-0
19-34
0-0
40-32
0-0
29-35
0-0
40-38
0-0
27-27
0-0
37-51
0-0
27-24
0-0
28-31
0-0
49-28
0-0
51-13
0-0
36-33
0-0
29-30
0-0
37-28
0-0
43-37
0-0
33-29
0-0
49-43
0-0
33-36
0-0
47-36
137.5Avg total
71.2Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.262.8141.0+15.383%
Season at home (3)82.358.7141.0+23.7100%
Season away (3)74.067.0141.0+7.067%
Last 10 (10)71.266.3137.5+4.950%
Last 5 (5)81.462.6144.0+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.069.0120.0-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (2)72.068.0140.0+4.050%
vs Weaker (3)75.066.7141.7+8.3100%
This opponent (UMKC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -6.9-6.92nd half: +4.9+4.9
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -6.9-6.92nd half: +4.9+4.9
UMKCToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H16/03
CBI
Wyoming
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A21/03
CBI
George Washington
#265
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A22/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#276
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A24/11
NCAA
Liberty
#10
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A25/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#332
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H01/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#297
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A05/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#195
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#6
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A14/12
NCAA
65.9Avg total
32.6Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)32.633.365.9-0.844%-
Last 30 at home (2)39.031.070.0+8.0100%-
Last 30 away (7)30.734.064.7-3.329%-
Last 10 (9)32.633.365.9-0.844%-
Last 5 (5)31.434.265.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)26.037.763.7-11.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)41.032.073.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker (4)33.830.063.8+3.850%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Robert Morris
#5
L
16-30
16
30
-14
H17/03
CIT
Southern Miss
#7
L
19-34
19
34
-15
A20/03
NIT
George Washington
#8
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A15/03
CBI
Xavier
#9
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A20/03
NIT
Notre Dame
#117
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Northwestern Ohio
#510
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#275
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#277
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A05/12
NCAA
Marshall
#132
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Detroit
#314
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/12
NCAA
61.0Avg total
30.6Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)31.130.761.8+0.455%-
Last 30 at home (5)34.030.864.8+3.280%-
Last 30 away (6)28.730.759.3-2.033%-
Last 10 (10)30.630.461.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.630.868.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)16.030.046.0-14.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)30.026.556.5+3.5100%-
vs Weaker (3)35.332.367.7+3.067%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMKC wins
0
Toledo wins
No previous meetings.
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/19AKansas57-98
11/12/19AMcNeese State73-82
05/12/19AIowa State61-79
01/12/19HWestern Illinois68-67
25/11/19ALiberty49-62
24/11/19AEast Carolina74-68
22/11/19AGeorge Washington74-68
21/03/17AWyoming61-72
16/03/17HWisc. Green Bay92-82
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/19ADetroit80-72
08/12/19HMarshall82-72
05/12/19ACleveland State80-65
01/12/19HOakland65-63
23/11/19HNorthwestern Ohio100-41
22/11/19ANotre Dame62-64 OT
20/03/19AXavier64-78
15/03/17AGeorge Washington69-73
20/03/14ASouthern Miss59-66
17/03/12HRobert Morris51-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMKC
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeW100%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games716
Win %43%100%33%
Points / game65.168.064.7
Allowed / game74.967.076.2
Point differential-9.7+1.0-11.5
Avg total140.0135.0140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game78.282.374.0
Allowed / game62.858.767.0
Point differential+15.3+23.7+7.0
Avg total141.0141.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St64267%70.064.5+5.5
2 Oral Roberts53260%76.459.4+17.0
3 South Dakota Coyotes74357%75.772.7+3.0
4 Nebraska O.84450%72.275.0-2.8
5 North Dakota73443%76.770.4+6.3
6 South Dakota St.73443%69.766.9+2.9
7 UMKC73443%65.174.9-9.7
8 Denver82625%62.571.5-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron65183%79.861.5+18.3
2 Toledo65183%78.262.8+15.3
3 Bowling Green65183%74.371.3+3.0
4 Eastern Michigan65183%62.760.2+2.5
5 Ohio54180%80.665.8+14.8
6 Kent State64267%75.864.2+11.7
7 Buffalo74357%76.178.7-2.6
8 Ball State42250%80.565.5+15.0
9 Northern Illinois52340%59.660.0-0.4
10 Central Michigan83538%77.578.0-0.5
11 Miami (Ohio)62433%70.776.0-5.3
12 Western Michigan62433%59.366.0-6.7
13 UMass6060%63.579.0-15.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMKC324072
Toledo203757
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