PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

New Zealand vs Mexico Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Aug 2023
Tip-off: 08:45
Final 100-108
22-31 19-26 27-21 32-30
Position#11
Record9-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game71.6
vs
Mexico 🏆
Position#26
Record7-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game81.4
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2023
Meetings · New Zealand v Mexico
31 Aug 2023
NEW 100
MEXI108
07 Aug 2015
NEW 70
MEXI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New ZealandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZealand
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#46
W
80-65
80
65
+15
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Jordan
#37
W
100-72
100
72
+28
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
65-77
65
77
-12
no box
A10/11
World Cup
Jordan
#37
L
75-92
75
92
-17
no box
A13/11
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#46
W
110-63
110
63
+47
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
106-91
106
91
+15
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Canada
#1
L
76-107
76
107
-31
70avg 67
A12/08
DBB Supercup
China
#3
L
68-69
68
69
-1
64avg 67
H13/08
DBB Supercup
Jordan
#37
W
95-87 OT
95
87
+8
no box
H28/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
A30/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
28-6
9-24
16-16
29-10
23-24
24-17
24-21
22-18
15-13
11-22
17-24
23-27
18-14
14-23
20-28
36-16
29-17
29-14
16-16
30-20
28-30
26-30
22-11
24-28
14-39
24-18
14-22
22-16
17-15
15-19
14-19
21-18
25-19
19-20
20-28
20-15
23-17
11-18
20-33
165.5Avg total
84.9Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.271.6162.8+19.775%
Season at home (6)100.070.3170.3+29.7100%
Season away (6)82.572.8155.3+9.750%
Last 10 (10)84.980.6165.5+4.350%
Last 5 (5)83.887.4171.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.891.4168.2-14.620%
vs Similar (4)94.080.5174.5+13.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)92.275.7167.9+16.667%
This opponent (Mexico) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMexico
Date
Competition
Panama
#8
W
65-60
65
60
+5
no box
A04/09
AmeriCup
Venezuela
#3
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
H05/09
AmeriCup
Canada
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
H08/09
AmeriCup
Uruguay
#40
W
80-60
80
60
+20
no box
H12/11
World Cup
Brazil
#23
L
56-102
56
102
-46
no box
H15/11
World Cup
Colombia
#58
W
113-54
113
54
+59
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Uruguay
#40
W
82-69
82
69
+13
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
H25/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
66-96
66
96
-30
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
L
72-100
72
100
-28
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
14-15
19-14
11-15
29-19
13-16
13-27
19-18
19-17
11-13
22-24
25-28
18-12
22-14
26-22
14-12
10-29
16-21
12-16
18-36
26-17
31-7
31-16
25-14
18-26
28-12
17-18
19-13
19-19
20-29
19-20
13-23
17-32
17-21
17-23
15-20
16-30
19-29
21-18
16-23
155.0Avg total
75.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.481.4161.8-1.054%
Season at home (6)76.883.0159.8-6.250%
Season away (7)83.480.0163.4+3.457%
Last 10 (10)75.679.4155.0-3.840%
Last 5 (5)80.882.0162.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.585.4155.8-14.918%
vs Similar (13)77.271.5148.7+5.869%
vs Weaker (6)85.373.0158.3+12.367%
This opponent (New Zealand) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
New ZealandMexico
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New ZealandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#46
W
55-25
55
25
+30
A25/08
World Cup
Jordan
#37
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H29/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A10/11
World Cup
Jordan
#37
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A13/11
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#46
W
65-33
65
33
+32
H24/02
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H27/02
World Cup
Canada
#1
L
38-67
38
67
-29
A12/08
DBB Supercup
China
#3
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H13/08
DBB Supercup
Jordan
#37
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H28/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A30/08
World Cup
85.5Avg total
47.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.437.884.2+8.563%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.435.282.6+12.275%-
Last 30 away (18)45.739.685.3+6.156%-
Last 10 (10)47.438.185.5+9.380%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.488.2+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.246.884.0-9.620%-
vs Similar (4)43.542.285.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)49.134.984.0+14.276%-
This opponent (Mexico) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panama
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A04/09
AmeriCup
Venezuela
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H05/09
AmeriCup
Canada
#5
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H08/09
AmeriCup
Uruguay
#40
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H12/11
World Cup
Brazil
#23
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H15/11
World Cup
Colombia
#58
W
57-24
57
24
+33
A24/02
World Cup
Uruguay
#40
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H25/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A27/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A29/08
World Cup
77.8Avg total
38.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.775.4+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.236.372.5-0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)39.439.278.6+0.257%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.477.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.244.486.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.043.277.2-9.227%-
vs Similar (13)37.435.873.2+1.654%-
vs Weaker (6)45.231.776.8+13.583%-
This opponent (New Zealand) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 12% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.0
47.9%
-34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.5
39.6%
-28.5
🏀 Free throws9.58.5
89.5%
-8.5
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mexicotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
New Zealand wins
0
Mexico wins
DateGameScore
07/08/15New Zealand v Mexico70-66
04/08/15Mexico v New Zealand67-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/23AGreece74-83
28/08/23HJordan95-87 OT
13/08/23HChina68-69
12/08/23ACanada76-107
27/02/23HLebanon106-91
24/02/23HSaudi Arabia110-63
13/11/22AJordan75-92
10/11/22ALebanon65-77
29/08/22HJordan100-72
25/08/22ASaudi Arabia80-65
Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/08/23AEgypt72-100
27/08/23ALithuania66-96
25/08/23HMontenegro71-91
27/02/23AUruguay82-69
24/02/23AColombia113-54
15/11/22HBrazil56-102
12/11/22HUruguay80-60
08/09/22HCanada77-82
05/09/22HVenezuela74-80
04/09/22APanama65-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand
World Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game91.2100.082.5
Allowed / game71.670.372.8
Point differential+19.7+29.7+9.7
Avg total162.8170.3155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%83%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%17%0%
Mexico
World Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL54%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%50%57%
Points / game80.476.883.4
Allowed / game81.483.080.0
Point differential-1.0-6.2+3.4
Avg total161.8159.8163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%17%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %15%17%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
2 Canada1514193%99.768.9+30.8
3 Latvia1917289%85.172.7+12.3
4 Australia1513287%85.560.2+25.3
5 Spain1513287%84.867.9+16.9
6 Germany1513287%81.871.6+10.2
7 South Sudan1512380%80.770.5+10.2
8 Lithuania1512380%80.170.4+9.7
9 Dominican Republic1512380%82.372.8+9.5
10 Puerto Rico1310377%84.180.4+3.7
11 New Zealand129375%91.271.6+19.7
12 France1511473%80.666.9+13.7
13 Serbia1511473%85.776.8+8.9
14 Ivory Coast1511473%74.469.5+4.9
15 Italy1410471%86.683.2+3.4
16 Greece139469%79.075.1+3.9
17 Angola1611569%73.764.7+9.0
18 China1611569%78.973.1+5.9
19 Montenegro1913668%77.672.2+5.4
20 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
21 Argentina128467%78.772.1+6.6
22 Slovenia1510567%84.979.1+5.8
23 Finland1610662%82.181.8+0.3
24 Brazil138562%87.472.9+14.5
25 Lebanon159660%86.579.5+7.1
26 Egypt159660%74.868.0+6.8
27 Georgia159660%79.177.1+2.1
28 Senegal127558%72.566.0+6.5
29 Nigeria127558%69.564.5+5.0
30 Jordan148657%78.975.3+3.6
31 Iceland2112957%80.880.7+0.1
32 Mexico137654%80.481.4-1.0
33 Venezuela158753%76.470.5+5.9
34 Japan158753%77.877.1+0.7
35 Sweden168850%81.175.8+5.4
36 Ukraine126650%80.277.2+3.0
37 Belgium126650%72.069.4+2.6
38 Tunisia126650%64.362.5+1.8
39 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
40 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
41 Uruguay105550%71.974.2-2.3
42 Bosnia & Herzegovina126650%77.282.2-5.0
43 Hungary126650%72.679.5-6.9
44 Cape Verde157847%72.574.4-1.9
45 Philippines136746%79.778.8+0.8
46 Saudi Arabia125742%68.275.0-6.8
47 Kazakhstan125742%64.972.7-7.8
48 D.R. Congo125742%57.064.9-7.9
49 Iran156940%69.972.0-2.1
50 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
51 Turkey114736%77.575.1+2.4
52 Israel124833%78.779.0-0.3
53 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
54 Cameroon124833%64.468.2-3.8
55 Estonia124833%72.581.4-8.9
56 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
57 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
58 Colombia103730%77.091.8-14.8
59 Guinea123925%66.070.6-4.6
60 Czech Republic123925%73.280.7-7.5
61 Panama123925%68.578.7-10.2
62 Bahamas123925%77.691.9-14.3
63 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
64 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
65 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
66 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
67 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
68 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
69 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
70 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
71 Uganda1221017%61.177.8-16.7
72 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
73 Bahrain1221017%63.483.7-20.2
74 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
75 Great Britain101910%69.783.2-13.5
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands110110%71.081.5-10.5
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 India100100%61.189.5-28.4
81 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand22192732100
Mexico31262130108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.