Newcastle Eagles vs Bristol Flyers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 19:30

Projected 87-80

Projected total 167.0

Final 65-81

12-28 27-15 17-17 9-21

Position#2

Record6-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game86.9

Allowed / game76.1

Newcastle Eagles

74%

26%

■ NEWC 74%■ BRIS 26%

Pythia win probability

Bristol Flyers 🏆

Position#4

Record4-4

FormLWLWL

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game80.8

SLB· Vertu Motors Arena

Other2026-27

Meetings · Newcastle Eagles v Bristol Flyers

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Newcastle Eagles host Bristol Flyers on 6 November 2026 in the SLB, with the Eagles the clear favourite as the model assigns them a 74% chance of winning; the game is expected to be a comfortable 87-80 victory for Newcastle. Newcastle have gone 6-3 so far, averaging 86.9 points and allowing 76.1, and sit second in the league; at home they are 3-1, scoring 86.2 and conceding 67.8, and have won four of their last five outings, including a 99-92 win over Caledonia Gladiators, a 101-80 win over Leicester Riders and a narrow 74-77 loss to Liverpool. Bristol, meanwhile, are 4-4 overall, with 80.1 points for and 80.8 against, positioned fifth; on the road they are 2-2, scoring 80.8 and conceding 85.2, and have won two of their last five, notably a 85-72 victory over BK Liepaja. Their head-to-head record is even at 5-5, though Newcastle won the last encounter 94-68 on 25 September. Pythia projects a 166.9-point total, with a 60% chance of the home team covering the -5.0 line and a 60% chance of the over on the 162.5 total, while the overtime probability sits at 4%. The Eagles' recent 101-80 triumph over Leicester Riders suggests they will control the tempo and finish the night.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Eagles winLost

74.2%fair 1.35

Best odds1.41

Implied72.8%

Edge+1.3pp

Bristol Flyers winWon

25.8%fair 3.87

Best odds3.38

Implied27.2%

Edge-1.3pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle Eagles United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEagles

Date

Competition

London Lions

69-88

-19

58avg 77

A03/05

SLB

London Lions

76-84

-8

63avg 77

A20/09

SLB

Bristol Flyers

94-68

+26

87avg 77

H25/09

SLB

Caledonia Gladiators

91-67

+24

86avg 77

H02/10

SLB

Manchester Basketball

78-81

-3

61avg 77

H16/10

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

87-81

79avg 77

A18/10

SLB

Surrey 89ers

82-55

+27

82avg 77

H23/10

SLB

Liverpool

74-77

-3

65avg 77

A25/10

SLB

Leicester Riders

#10

101-80

101

+21

93avg 77

A30/10

SLB

Caledonia Gladiators

99-92

no box

A01/11

SLB

20-18

16-31

18-21

15-18

24-16

16-21

16-22

20-25

29-16

26-15

22-18

17-19

26-14

28-14

16-24

21-15

22-21

16-23

21-21

19-16

19-24

25-27

27-12

16-18

24-12

21-15

24-10

13-18

18-13

24-17

17-22

15-25

26-17

22-21

23-20

30-22

27-28

22-26

30-14

20-24

162.4Avg total

85.1Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	86.9	76.1	163.0	+10.8	67%
Season at home (4)	86.2	67.8	154.0	+18.5	75%
Season away (5)	87.4	82.8	170.2	+4.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	77.3	162.4	+7.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.6	77.0	165.6	+11.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	80.0	93.2	173.2	-13.2	25%
vs Similar (13)	88.9	92.1	181.0	-3.2	31%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	87.8	68.0	155.8	+19.8	83%

This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bristol Flyers United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormFlyers

Date

Competition

Cheshire Phoenix

101-92

101

91avg 73

A20/09

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

68-94

-26

61avg 73

A25/09

SLB

Tindastoll

68-85

-17

51avg 73

H30/09

ENBL

Manchester Basketball

76-58

+18

65avg 73

H02/10

SLB

Leicester Riders

#10

78-73

70avg 73

A09/10

SLB

Syntainics MBC

84-106

106

-22

68avg 73

A13/10

ENBL

Liverpool

90-89

87avg 73

H18/10

SLB

London Lions

76-82

-6

59avg 73

A24/10

SLB

BK Liepaja

#15

85-72

+13

77avg 73

A27/10

ENBL

Manchester Basketball

74-78

-4

61avg 73

H30/10

SLB

33-29

21-23

26-22

21-18

16-29

15-26

18-22

19-17

20-22

8-23

19-23

21-17

20-15

16-20

30-7

10-16

16-15

23-21

17-13

22-24

26-24

13-21

22-34

23-27

25-22

18-27

28-15

19-25

8-17

20-20

17-24

31-21

19-20

21-8

18-28

27-16

23-24

12-11

18-24

21-19

162.9Avg total

80.0Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	80.1	80.8	160.9	-0.6	50%
Season at home (4)	79.5	76.2	155.8	+3.2	50%
Season away (4)	80.8	85.2	166.0	-4.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	82.9	162.9	-2.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	85.4	167.2	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	74.9	90.9	165.8	-16.0	0%
vs Similar (17)	83.1	82.9	166.1	+0.2	47%
vs Weaker (3)	84.7	75.7	160.3	+9.0	100%

This opponent (Newcastle Eagles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 157Actual: Under 157

Over 157

72.7%

@ 1.53

Under 157

27.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.53

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 162.25 · main lineActual: Under 162.25

Over 162.25

60.0%

@ 1.80+9.7pp

Under 162.25

40.0%

@ 1.82-9.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.82

Over/Under 167Actual: Under 167

Over 167

49.1%

@ 2.25+8.0pp

Under 167

50.9%

@ 1.57-8.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.25

Under

Bet365

1.57

📊 3. Team Totals

Newcastle Eagles total 79.5Actual: Newcastle Eagles under 79.5

Over 79.5

77.5%

@ 1.40+12.2pp

Under 79.5

22.5%

@ 2.67-12.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.35

Under

Betano

2.67

1xBet

2.50

Newcastle Eagles total 83.5 · main lineActual: Newcastle Eagles under 83.5

Over 83.5

64.1%

@ 1.85+12.5pp

Under 83.5

35.9%

@ 1.91-12.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

WilliamHill

1.80

Betano

1.78

Marathon Be

1.74

Under

WilliamHill

1.91

Marathon Be

1.91

Betano

1.90

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Newcastle Eagles total 87.5Actual: Newcastle Eagles under 87.5

Over 87.5

48.6%

@ 2.47+10.8pp

Under 87.5

51.4%

@ 1.47-10.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.47

1xBet

2.27

Under

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.41

Bristol Flyers total 73.5Actual: Bristol Flyers over 73.5

Over 73.5

72.6%

@ 1.39+6.5pp

Under 73.5

27.4%

@ 2.70-6.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.39

1xBet

1.33

Under

Betano

2.70

1xBet

2.60

Bristol Flyers total 77.5 · main lineActual: Bristol Flyers over 77.5

Over 77.5

58.2%

@ 1.85+6.7pp

Under 77.5

41.8%

@ 1.98-6.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.85

WilliamHill

1.83

Bet365

1.80

Marathon Be

1.74

Betano

1.70

Under

Betano

1.98

Marathon Be

1.91

Bet365

1.86

BetVictor

1.85

1xBet

1.83

Bristol Flyers total 81.5Actual: Bristol Flyers under 81.5

Over 81.5

42.8%

@ 2.35+3.6pp

Under 81.5

57.2%

@ 1.50-3.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.35

1xBet

2.20

Under

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.44

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Newcastle Eagles -9.5Actual: Bristol Flyers +9.5

NEWC -9.5

42.4%

@ 2.50+5.4pp

BRIS +9.5

57.6%

@ 1.50-5.4pp

Best 5 market prices

NEWC

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.47

1xBet

2.40

BRIS

Bet365

1.50

Marathon Be

1.49

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.40

Spread Newcastle Eagles -6.5 · main lineActual: Bristol Flyers +6.5

NEWC -6.5

53.5%

@ 2.00+2.7pp

BRIS +6.5

46.5%

@ 1.90-2.7pp

Best 5 market prices

NEWC

Betfair

2.00

Betano

1.95

Bet365

1.95

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.89

BRIS

Pinnacle

1.90

BetVictor

1.78

Marathon Be

1.75

Bet365

1.74

Betfair

1.73

Spread Newcastle Eagles -3.5Actual: Bristol Flyers +3.5

NEWC -3.5

64.8%

@ 1.64+7.6pp

BRIS +3.5

35.2%

@ 2.16-7.6pp

Best 5 market prices

NEWC

Bet365

1.64

Pinnacle

1.62

Betano

1.60

Marathon Be

1.57

1xBet

1.52

BRIS

Pinnacle

2.16

Betano

2.15

Bet365

2.12

1xBet

2.11

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Newcastle EaglesBristol Flyers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (29)	22.4	20.4	42.8	+2.0	59%	59%
Last 30 at home (15)	24.0	19.6	43.6	+4.4	73%	67%
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	21.2	41.9	-0.6	43%	50%
Last 10 (10)	23.5	17.9	41.4	+5.6	80%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.5	50%	25%
vs Similar (13)	22.8	21.5	44.2	+1.3	54%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.8	17.9	41.7	+5.9	73%	64%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.8	40.5	-1.2	50%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.2	40.5	+2.1	67%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	22.5	40.5	-4.5	33%	53%
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.7	42.3	-1.1	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.3	20.9	39.2	-2.6	44%	56%
vs Similar (17)	21.4	20.9	42.2	+0.5	59%	59%
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	19.7	36.7	-2.7	33%	0%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (29)	21.5	20.9	42.4	+0.6	45%	69%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	53%	60%
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	36%	79%
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.6	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	30.8	47.5	-14.0	0%	75%
vs Similar (13)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	38%	54%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	25.2	19.0	44.2	+6.2	73%	82%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.7	40.1	-1.4	40%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	21.2	39.8	-2.6	33%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.3	40.3	-0.2	47%	60%
Last 10 (10)	16.7	20.0	36.7	-3.3	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.4	34.2	-0.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.2	23.7	40.9	-6.4	11%	67%
vs Similar (17)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	47%	41%
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	15.7	39.3	+8.0	100%	67%

Newcastle EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

London Lions

36-49

-13

A03/05

SLB

London Lions

40-37

A20/09

SLB

Bristol Flyers

55-31

+24

H25/09

SLB

Caledonia Gladiators

54-28

+26

H02/10

SLB

Manchester Basketball

38-44

-6

H16/10

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

44-51

-7

A18/10

SLB

Surrey 89ers

45-27

+18

H23/10

SLB

Liverpool

42-30

+12

A25/10

SLB

Leicester Riders

#10

48-38

+10

A30/10

SLB

Caledonia Gladiators

49-54

-5

A01/11

SLB

84.0Avg total

45.1Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81
Last 30 (29)	43.9	41.3	85.2	+2.6	48%	66%
Last 30 at home (15)	46.0	39.7	85.7	+6.3	53%	73%
Last 30 away (14)	41.6	43.0	84.6	-1.4	43%	57%
Last 10 (10)	45.1	38.9	84.0	+6.2	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	45.6	40.0	85.6	+5.6	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.5	53.0	88.5	-17.5	0%	75%
vs Similar (13)	43.0	40.8	83.8	+2.2	46%	54%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	49.0	36.9	85.9	+12.1	73%	73%

This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cheshire Phoenix

54-52

A20/09

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

31-55

-24

A25/09

SLB

Tindastoll

28-45

-17

H30/09

ENBL

Manchester Basketball

36-35

H02/10

SLB

Leicester Riders

#10

39-36

A09/10

SLB

Syntainics MBC

39-45

-6

A13/10

ENBL

Liverpool

43-49

-6

H18/10

SLB

London Lions

28-37

-9

A24/10

SLB

BK Liepaja

#15

40-28

+12

A27/10

ENBL

Manchester Basketball

35-35

H30/10

SLB

79.0Avg total

37.3Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81
Last 30 (30)	39.0	41.6	80.5	-2.6	47%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	40.4	80.3	-0.5	47%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	42.7	80.8	-4.7	47%	47%
Last 10 (10)	37.3	41.7	79.0	-4.4	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	37.0	38.8	75.8	-1.8	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	35.6	44.6	80.1	-9.0	22%	67%
vs Similar (17)	40.9	40.7	81.6	+0.2	53%	35%
vs Weaker (3)	40.7	35.3	76.0	+5.3	100%	33%

This opponent (Newcastle Eagles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Bristol Flyers win

NEWC win

no forecast

@ 1.52

BRIS win

no forecast

@ 2.82

1st half Spread Newcastle Eagles -3.5 · main lineActual: Bristol Flyers +3.5

NEWC -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

BRIS +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Over/Under 81 · main lineActual: Over 81

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

Newcastle Eagles 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Newcastle Eagles under 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

Bristol Flyers 1st half total 39 · main lineActual: Bristol Flyers over 39

Over

no forecast

@ 1.84

Under

no forecast

@ 1.82

1st half: NEWC + total 81.5

NEWC & over

no forecast

@ 2.95

NEWC & under

no forecast

@ 2.85

1st half: Draw + total 81.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 31.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: BRIS + total 81.5

BRIS & over

no forecast

@ 5.25

BRIS & under

no forecast

@ 5.00

1st half Over/Under 79.75Actual: Over 79.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Under 82.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.00

Under

no forecast

@ 1.71

1st half Spread Newcastle Eagles -4.5Actual: Bristol Flyers +4.5

NEWC -4.5

no forecast

@ 2.10

BRIS +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.74

1st half Spread Newcastle Eagles -2.5Actual: Bristol Flyers +2.5

NEWC -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

BRIS +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.09

1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Over 78.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 2.30

1st half Spread Newcastle Eagles -5.5Actual: Bristol Flyers +5.5

NEWC -5.5

no forecast

@ 2.30

BRIS +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.66

1st half Spread Newcastle Eagles -1.5Actual: Bristol Flyers +1.5

NEWC -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.65

BRIS +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Bristol Flyers (regulation)

NEWC

no forecast

@ 1.57

Draw

no forecast

@ 19.00

BRIS

no forecast

@ 2.60

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (29)	21.6	20.8	42.3	+0.8	48%	62%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	40%	67%
Last 30 away (14)	22.7	20.5	43.2	+2.2	57%	57%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+3.0	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	24.2	15.6	39.8	+8.6	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	50%	75%
vs Similar (13)	20.2	23.0	43.2	-2.8	38%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.7	17.5	40.3	+5.2	64%	55%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.9	42.4	-1.3	33%	73%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	40%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	23.4	43.9	-2.9	27%	87%
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.1	40%	80%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	25.0	45.6	-4.4	20%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.2	24.1	44.3	-3.9	22%	89%
vs Similar (17)	21.2	20.8	42.1	+0.4	35%	71%
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	20.3	40.7	+0.0	67%	67%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (29)	22.8	22.5	45.3	+0.3	38%	66%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	20.5	43.6	+2.5	53%	53%
Last 30 away (14)	22.5	24.6	47.1	-2.1	21%	79%
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	50%	50%
vs Similar (13)	24.3	26.2	50.5	-1.8	23%	85%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.5	55%	55%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.5	42.2	-0.7	47%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	21.5	40.5	-2.4	33%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	21.5	43.9	+1.0	60%	80%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.6	45.8	+2.6	60%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.1	22.2	41.3	-3.1	33%	44%
vs Similar (17)	20.9	21.4	42.4	-0.5	47%	71%
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	20.0	43.7	+3.7	67%	100%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (29)	44.3	43.3	87.6	+1.1	55%	62%
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	41.5	85.1	+2.0	60%	53%
Last 30 away (14)	45.2	45.1	90.4	+0.1	50%	71%
Last 10 (10)	40.0	38.4	78.4	+1.6	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	43.0	37.0	80.0	+6.0	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	44.5	40.2	84.8	+4.2	50%	75%
vs Similar (13)	44.5	49.2	93.6	-4.7	38%	69%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	45.0	37.3	82.3	+7.7	82%	45%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (30)	41.3	43.3	84.6	-2.0	43%	70%
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	41.8	81.5	-2.1	33%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	44.9	87.8	-1.9	53%	80%
Last 10 (10)	42.7	41.2	83.9	+1.5	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	44.8	46.6	91.4	-1.8	60%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	39.3	46.3	85.7	-7.0	22%	56%
vs Similar (17)	42.2	42.2	84.4	-0.1	47%	76%
vs Weaker (3)	44.0	40.3	84.3	+3.7	100%	67%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

NEWC win + total 162.5

🔒 Pro

BRIS win + total 162.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: NEWC leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BRIS leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (NEWC:BRIS): NEWC wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Newcastle Eagles over 78.5	80.3%	1.35	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+13.2pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles over 76.5	85.3%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+13.0pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles over 80.5	74.4%	1.47	Bet365 1.54	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.41	-	-	+12.7pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles over 81.5	71.2%	1.52	Betano 1.55	1xBet 1.49	-	-	-	+12.4pp	Lost
Over 153.5	79.0%	1.38	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	-	+12.4pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles over 79.5	77.5%	1.38	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Lost
Over 158	70.6%	1.56	Bet365 1.58	Marathon Bet 1.53	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Lost
Over 154.5	77.1%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles over 72.5	92.5%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles over 73.5	91.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles over 74.5	89.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Lost
Over 156.5	73.3%	1.45	Betano 1.45	-	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Lost
Over 155.5	75.3%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Lost
Over 157.5	71.2%	1.50	Marathon Bet 1.51	Betano 1.50	Bet365 1.50	-	-	+9.4pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles -2	70.6%	1.52	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Lost
Over 152.5	80.7%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles over 71.5	93.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles -1.5	71.8%	1.47	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.44	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles over 75.5	87.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles +4.5	83.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles (regulation)	71.7%	1.40	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.39	Marathon Bet 1.39	-	-	+7.6pp	Lost
Over 147.5	88.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles +9.5	92.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles +14.5	96.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles +1.5	76.3%	1.32	Betano 1.32	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Lost
Bristol Flyers over 70.5	81.5%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Bristol Flyers over 72.5	75.8%	1.31	Bet365 1.35	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Bristol Flyers over 73.5	72.6%	1.36	Betano 1.39	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Newcastle Eagles +19.5	98.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Over 142.5	93.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Newcastle Eagles +12.5	95.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles +17.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Bristol Flyers +17.5	81.6%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Newcastle Eagles +2.5	79.4%	1.25	Betano 1.27	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Lost
Bristol Flyers +22.5	90.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.7%	1.03	WilliamHill 1.04	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	+4.6pp	-
Newcastle Eagles +7.5	89.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Lost
Bristol Flyers under 98.5	95.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Bristol Flyers under 96.5	94.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Bristol Flyers under 97.5	95.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Bristol Flyers under 94.5	91.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Bristol Flyers +20.5	87.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Newcastle Eagles win	74.2%	1.36	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.38	Betano 1.38	BetVictor 1.38	Marathon Bet 1.37	+1.3pp	Lost
Newcastle Eagles under 100.5	90.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Bristol Flyers under 92.5	88.7%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Bristol Flyers under 88.5	80.1%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Bristol Flyers +15.5	76.6%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Newcastle Eagles under 95.5	79.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Under 187.5	89.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Won
Bristol Flyers under 90.5	84.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Won
Newcastle Eagles under 98.5	87.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-1.0pp	Won
Bristol Flyers under 86.5	74.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
Bristol Flyers under 87.5	77.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-2.2pp	Won
Newcastle Eagles under 94.5	76.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-2.8pp	Won
Bristol Flyers +13.5	70.9%	1.24	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	-	-2.9pp	Won
Newcastle Eagles under 96.5	82.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-3.2pp	Won
Under 182.5	82.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-3.3pp	Won
Under 177.5	74.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-5.2pp	Won
Newcastle Eagles under 92.5	70.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-5.9pp	Won
Over 157	72.7%	1.53	Marathon Bet 1.53	-	-	-	-	-	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Newcastle Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Newcastle Eagles: 82.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game

49%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	18.0	48.0%	50.9%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	9.6	34.3%	35.0%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	23.3	17.4	74.7%	70.4%	17.4

They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 79.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game

49%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	17.1	48.7%	50.9%	34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.7	10.8	34.1%	35.0%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	16.9	12.6	74.6%	70.4%	12.6

They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	19.6	51.0%	50.9%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	7.6	29.6%	35.0%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	21.3	14.5	68.1%	70.4%	14.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	18.6	49.2%	50.9%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	10.3	37.1%	35.0%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	20.7	14.6	70.5%	70.4%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.2	52.3%	50.9%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.5	34.7%	35.0%	31.6
🏀 Free throws	23.2	17.2	74.1%	70.4%	17.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	20.2	51.8%	50.9%	40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	9.4	33.8%	35.0%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	16.9	11.9	70.1%	70.4%	11.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	22.6	57.6%	50.9%	45.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.0	32.4%	35.0%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.1	72.1%	70.4%	16.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	20.0	52.1%	50.9%	39.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	10.1	36.7%	35.0%	30.2
🏀 Free throws	20.6	14.9	72.4%	70.4%	14.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Newcastle Eagles

WWLWWLWWLL

Bristol Flyers

LWLWLWWLLW

League position

+6.4

Net rating

-3.9

92.1

Offensive rating

89.2

85.7

Defensive rating

93.1

49.5%

Effective FG%

49.9%

48.4%

Opp. effective FG%

51.9%

15.1%

Turnover %

15.6%

0.36

Free-throw rate

0.25

34.3%

3-point %

34.1%

56.5%

Assist %

52.0%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Newcastle Eagles ■ Bristol Flyers

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Newcastle Eagles wins

Bristol Flyers wins

Date	Game	Score
25/09/26	Newcastle Eagles v Bristol Flyers	94-68
26/04/26	Bristol Flyers v Newcastle Eagles	94-75
08/03/26	Bristol Flyers v Newcastle Eagles	76-98
16/01/26	Newcastle Eagles v Bristol Flyers	83-85 OT
31/10/25	Newcastle Eagles v Bristol Flyers	83-87
21/04/25	Newcastle Eagles v Bristol Flyers	84-55
14/03/25	Newcastle Eagles v Bristol Flyers	68-86
28/02/25	Bristol Flyers v Newcastle Eagles	67-85
26/01/25	Newcastle Eagles v Bristol Flyers	97-78
11/01/25	Bristol Flyers v Newcastle Eagles	98-94

Newcastle Eagleslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/26	A	Caledonia Gladiators	99-92
30/10/26	A	Leicester Riders	101-80
25/10/26	A	Liverpool	74-77
23/10/26	H	Surrey 89ers	82-55
18/10/26	A	Sheffield Sharks	87-81
16/10/26	H	Manchester Basketball	78-81
02/10/26	H	Caledonia Gladiators	91-67
25/09/26	H	Bristol Flyers	94-68
20/09/26	A	London Lions	76-84
03/05/26	A	London Lions	69-88

Bristol Flyerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/26	H	Manchester Basketball	74-78
27/10/26	A	BK Liepaja	85-72
24/10/26	A	London Lions	76-82
18/10/26	H	Liverpool	90-89
13/10/26	A	Syntainics MBC	84-106
09/10/26	A	Leicester Riders	78-73
02/10/26	H	Manchester Basketball	76-58
30/09/26	H	Tindastoll	68-85
25/09/26	A	Newcastle Eagles	68-94
20/09/26	A	Cheshire Phoenix	101-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Eagles

SLB 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	67%
Home	WWLW	75%
Away	LWLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	67%	75%	60%
Points / game	86.9	86.2	87.4
Allowed / game	76.1	67.8	82.8
Point differential	+10.8	+18.5	+4.6
Avg total	163.0	154.0	170.2
Over 162.25	33%	0%	60%
Win by 10+	44%	75%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bristol Flyers

SLB 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	50%
Home	LWWL	50%
Away	WLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	80.1	79.5	80.8
Allowed / game	80.8	76.2	85.2
Point differential	-0.6	+3.2	-4.5
Avg total	160.9	155.8	166.0
Over 162.25	25%	25%	25%
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	33% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	London Lions	9	8	1	89%	81.6	75.8	+5.8
2	Newcastle Eagles	9	6	3	67%	86.9	76.1	+10.8
3	Manchester Basketball	9	5	4	56%	80.3	82.1	-1.8
4	Sheffield Sharks	6	3	3	50%	83.3	81.0	+2.3
5	Bristol Flyers	8	4	4	50%	80.1	80.8	-0.6
6	Caledonia Gladiators	6	3	3	50%	82.3	88.7	-6.3
7	Cheshire Phoenix	7	3	4	43%	96.7	97.0	-0.3
8	Liverpool	8	3	5	38%	79.9	83.2	-3.4
9	Surrey 89ers	6	2	4	33%	81.0	86.7	-5.7
10	Leicester Riders	8	1	7	12%	84.2	89.4	-5.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Newcastle Eagles	12	27	17	9	65
Bristol Flyers	28	15	17	21	81

← all games of the day

Newcastle Eagles vs Bristol Flyers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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