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Newcastle Eagles vs Leicester Riders Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Projected 88-83
Projected total 171.7
Scheduled
Position#2
Record7-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game75.2
Vs
67%
33%
■ NEWC 67%■ LRI 33%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record2-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game88.3
United KingdomSLB· Vertu Motors Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Newcastle Eagles v Leicester Riders
12 Mar 2027
NEWC v LRI
upcoming
20 Nov 2026
NEWC v LRI
upcoming
24 Apr 2026
NEWC86
LRI94
19 Dec 2025
NEWC98
LRI85
25 Apr 2025
NEWC91
LRI106
03 Jan 2025
NEWC93
LRI90
06 Dec 2024
NEWC95
LRI91
19 Jan 2024
NEWC85
LRI101
20 Oct 2023
NEWC95
LRI90
06 Oct 2023
NEWC85
LRI92
10 Mar 2023
NEWC92
LRI85
16 Dec 2022
NEWC87
LRI91
01 Apr 2022
NEWC77
LRI103
16 Apr 2021
NEWC90
LRI80
12 Mar 2021
NEWC73
LRI99
13 Nov 2020
NEWC82
LRI88
20 Mar 2020
NEWC v LRI
upcoming
02 Nov 2018
NEWC68
LRI84
12 Jan 2018
NEWC89
LRI85
15 Dec 2017
NEWC77
LRI79
21 Apr 2017
NEWC83
LRI76
18 Mar 2016
NEWC64
LRI80
27 Feb 2016
NEWC77
LRI85
29 Jan 2016
NEWC73
LRI85
17 Jan 2016
NEWC94
LRI82
22 Mar 2015
NEWC96
LRI90
06 Feb 2015
NEWC104
LRI81
04 May 2014
NEWC83
LRI71
14 Mar 2014
NEWC97
LRI96
31 Jan 2014
NEWC84
LRI82
13 Jan 2013
NEWC80
LRI85
26 Oct 2012
NEWC63
LRI75
12 May 2012
NEWC71
LRI62
16 Mar 2012
NEWC87
LRI79
09 Mar 2012
NEWC99
LRI82
02 Dec 2011
NEWC71
LRI63
14 Jan 2011
NEWC111
LRI75
Sections
Game preview & prediction

The Newcastle Eagles host the Leicester Riders on 20 November 2026 in the SLB, with the Eagles the clear favourite as the model projects a 67% chance of victory and a 33% chance for Leicester, and the projected score 88-83. Newcastle have gone 7-4 in all 11 games this season, averaging 85.1 points and allowing 75.2, and sit second in the league; at home they are 3-2, 82.0 points for and 70.4 against, and have won three of their last five. Their recent results include a 89-61 win over Cheshire Phoenix away, a 65-81 loss to Bristol Flyers at home, and a 99-92 win over Caledonia Gladiators away. Leicester, by contrast, are 2-7 in nine games, scoring 85.0 and conceding 88.3, and are tenth in the standings; on the road they are 2-4, 87.5 points for and 87.8 against, and have won two of their last five. Their recent wins are 91-80 over Caledonia Gladiators and 97-76 over London Lions, with a 80-101 loss to Newcastle at home. In head-to-head history the Riders lead 6-4, but Newcastle won the last meeting 101-80 on 30 October 2026, and the model assigns a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Eagles win
67.3%fair 1.49
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Leicester Riders win
32.7%fair 3.06
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle EaglesUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
Bristol Flyers
#3
W
94-68
94
68
+26
87avg 77
H25/09
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
91-67
91
67
+24
86avg 77
H02/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
61avg 77
H16/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
79avg 77
A18/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
W
82-55
82
55
+27
82avg 77
H23/10
SLB
Liverpool
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
65avg 77
A25/10
SLB
Leicester Riders
#10
W
101-80
101
80
+21
93avg 77
A30/10
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
99-92
99
92
+7
90avg 77
A01/11
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#3
L
65-81
65
81
-16
no box
H06/11
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#7
W
89-61
89
61
+28
no box
A15/11
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
26-15
22-18
17-19
26-14
28-14
16-24
21-15
22-21
16-23
21-21
19-16
19-24
25-27
27-12
16-18
24-12
21-15
24-10
13-18
18-13
24-17
17-22
15-25
26-17
22-21
23-20
30-22
27-28
22-26
30-14
20-24
12-28
27-15
17-17
9-21
25-8
18-16
25-18
21-19
160.3Avg total
86.0Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.175.2160.3+9.964%
Season at home (5)82.070.4152.4+11.660%
Season away (6)87.779.2166.8+8.567%
Last 10 (10)86.074.3160.3+11.770%
Last 5 (5)85.678.2163.8+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.093.2173.2-13.225%
vs Similar (11)90.292.5182.6-2.336%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.669.5155.1+16.173%
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leicester RidersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiders
Date
Competition
London Lions
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
55avg 78
A10/05
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#7
L
94-108
94
108
-14
92avg 78
A27/09
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
63avg 78
A02/10
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 78
H09/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#5
L
75-85
75
85
-10
62avg 78
A11/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
94avg 78
A17/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
83avg 78
H23/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
80-101
80
101
-21
75avg 78
H30/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A06/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
A15/11
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
21-23
13-19
7-20
18-30
19-25
23-28
34-25
10-20
17-23
16-14
23-14
15-16
21-23
13-17
24-22
22-30
19-13
21-19
13-23
23-18
24-33
23-22
23-20
28-31
20-17
20-25
19-16
17-26
21-22
20-23
22-30
20-22
21-17
29-18
27-19
25-24
25-14
23-25
18-17
170.3Avg total
83.0Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.088.3173.3-3.322%
Season at home (3)80.089.3169.3-9.30%
Season away (6)87.587.8175.3-0.333%
Last 10 (10)83.087.3170.3-4.320%
Last 5 (5)91.490.6182.0+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)81.187.1168.2-5.927%
vs Similar (11)87.791.2178.9-3.536%
vs Weaker (4)87.889.5177.2-1.850%
This opponent (Newcastle Eagles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164
Over 164
67.6%
Under 164
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169
Over 169
55.8%
Under 169
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174
Over 174
43.4%
Under 174
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Newcastle Eagles total 81
Over 81
77.2%
Under 81
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle Eagles total 85
Over 85
63.4%
Under 85
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle Eagles total 89
Over 89
47.3%
Under 89
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leicester Riders total 80
Over 80
62.4%
Under 80
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leicester Riders total 84
Over 84
46.6%
Under 84
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leicester Riders total 88
Over 88
31.5%
Under 88
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Newcastle Eagles -3
NEWC -3
59.0%
LRI +3
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
NEWC
No market prices yet.
LRI
No market prices yet.
Spread Newcastle Eagles 0
NEWC 0
67.3%
LRI 0
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
NEWC
No market prices yet.
LRI
No market prices yet.
Spread Newcastle Eagles +3
NEWC +3
75.3%
LRI -3
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
NEWC
No market prices yet.
LRI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
Newcastle EaglesLeicester Riders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bristol Flyers
#3
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H25/09
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H02/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A18/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H23/10
SLB
Liverpool
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A25/10
SLB
Leicester Riders
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A30/10
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A01/11
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H06/11
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#7
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A15/11
SLB
82.7Avg total
45.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.440.584.9+3.952%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.439.385.7+7.153%-
Last 30 away (14)42.241.884.0+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)45.737.082.7+8.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.882.0+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.553.088.5-17.50%-
vs Similar (11)44.041.285.2+2.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.236.483.6+10.871%-
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leicester RidersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
London Lions
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A10/05
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A27/09
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A02/10
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H09/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A17/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H23/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H30/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A15/11
SLB
85.3Avg total
41.0Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.285.4-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.446.587.8-5.18%-
Last 30 away (17)40.942.583.5-1.653%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.385.3-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.889.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.745.685.3-5.927%-
vs Similar (11)41.944.486.3-2.527%-
vs Weaker (4)44.538.883.2+5.875%-
This opponent (Newcastle Eagles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Newcastle Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Newcastle Eagles: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.3
47.7%
50.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.0
35.5%
34.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws24.118.0
74.7%
70.8%18.0
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leicester Riderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leicester Riders: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.3
52.6%
50.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.4
35.0%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.916.3
74.4%
70.8%16.3
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Newcastle Eagles
WLWWLWWLWW
Leicester Riders
WWLLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#10
+9.0
Net rating
-10.6
94.2
Offensive rating
92.7
85.2
Defensive rating
103.4
50.0%
Effective FG%
52.6%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.5%
3-point %
35.0%
56.2%
Assist %
57.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 92.7Defence85.2 · 103.4Shooting50.0% · 52.6%3-point %35.5% · 35.0%Ball care15.0% · 16.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Newcastle Eagles   ■ Leicester Riders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ACheshire Phoenix89-61
06/11/26HBristol Flyers65-81
01/11/26ACaledonia Gladiators99-92
30/10/26ALeicester Riders101-80
25/10/26ALiverpool74-77
23/10/26HSurrey 89ers82-55
18/10/26ASheffield Sharks87-81
16/10/26HManchester Basketball78-81
02/10/26HCaledonia Gladiators91-67
25/09/26HBristol Flyers94-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ACaledonia Gladiators91-80
06/11/26ALondon Lions97-76
30/10/26HNewcastle Eagles80-101
23/10/26HManchester Basketball87-89
17/10/26ASurrey 89ers102-107 OT
11/10/26ASheffield Sharks75-85
09/10/26HBristol Flyers73-78
02/10/26ALondon Lions66-71
27/09/26ACheshire Phoenix94-108
10/05/26ALondon Lions65-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Eagles
SLB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW64%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game85.182.087.7
Allowed / game75.270.479.2
Point differential+9.9+11.6+8.5
Avg total160.3152.4166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leicester Riders
SLB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW22%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %22%0%33%
Points / game85.080.087.5
Allowed / game88.389.387.8
Point differential-3.3-9.3-0.3
Avg total173.3169.3175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 London Lions109190%81.475.9+5.5
2 Newcastle Eagles117464%85.175.2+9.9
3 Bristol Flyers116555%78.378.5-0.2
4 Liverpool105550%83.982.7+1.2
5 Sheffield Sharks84450%81.881.4+0.4
6 Manchester Basketball115645%81.583.5-1.9
7 Cheshire Phoenix104640%91.594.4-2.9
8 Surrey 89ers83538%78.981.6-2.8
9 Caledonia Gladiators83538%83.492.8-9.4
10 Leicester Riders92722%85.088.3-3.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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