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Newcastle Eagles vs Leicester Riders Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 12 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#2
Record7-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record2-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game88.3
United KingdomSLB· Vertu Motors Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Newcastle Eagles v Leicester Riders
12 Mar 2027
NEWC v LRI
upcoming
20 Nov 2026
NEWC v LRI
upcoming
24 Apr 2026
NEWC86
LRI94
19 Dec 2025
NEWC98
LRI85
25 Apr 2025
NEWC91
LRI106
03 Jan 2025
NEWC93
LRI90
06 Dec 2024
NEWC95
LRI91
19 Jan 2024
NEWC85
LRI101
20 Oct 2023
NEWC95
LRI90
06 Oct 2023
NEWC85
LRI92
10 Mar 2023
NEWC92
LRI85
16 Dec 2022
NEWC87
LRI91
01 Apr 2022
NEWC77
LRI103
16 Apr 2021
NEWC90
LRI80
12 Mar 2021
NEWC73
LRI99
13 Nov 2020
NEWC82
LRI88
20 Mar 2020
NEWC v LRI
upcoming
02 Nov 2018
NEWC68
LRI84
12 Jan 2018
NEWC89
LRI85
15 Dec 2017
NEWC77
LRI79
21 Apr 2017
NEWC83
LRI76
18 Mar 2016
NEWC64
LRI80
27 Feb 2016
NEWC77
LRI85
29 Jan 2016
NEWC73
LRI85
17 Jan 2016
NEWC94
LRI82
22 Mar 2015
NEWC96
LRI90
06 Feb 2015
NEWC104
LRI81
04 May 2014
NEWC83
LRI71
14 Mar 2014
NEWC97
LRI96
31 Jan 2014
NEWC84
LRI82
13 Jan 2013
NEWC80
LRI85
26 Oct 2012
NEWC63
LRI75
12 May 2012
NEWC71
LRI62
16 Mar 2012
NEWC87
LRI79
09 Mar 2012
NEWC99
LRI82
02 Dec 2011
NEWC71
LRI63
14 Jan 2011
NEWC111
LRI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Eagles win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Leicester Riders win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle EaglesUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
Bristol Flyers
#3
W
94-68
94
68
+26
87avg 76
H25/09
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
91-67
91
67
+24
86avg 76
H02/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
61avg 76
H16/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
79avg 76
A18/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
W
82-55
82
55
+27
82avg 76
H23/10
SLB
Liverpool
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
65avg 76
A25/10
SLB
Leicester Riders
#10
W
101-80
101
80
+21
93avg 76
A30/10
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
99-92
99
92
+7
90avg 76
A01/11
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#3
L
65-81
65
81
-16
no box
H06/11
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#7
W
89-61
89
61
+28
no box
A15/11
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
26-15
22-18
17-19
26-14
28-14
16-24
21-15
22-21
16-23
21-21
19-16
19-24
25-27
27-12
16-18
24-12
21-15
24-10
13-18
18-13
24-17
17-22
15-25
26-17
22-21
23-20
30-22
27-28
22-26
30-14
20-24
12-28
27-15
17-17
9-21
25-8
18-16
25-18
21-19
160.3Avg total
86.0Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.175.2160.3+9.964%
Season at home (5)82.070.4152.4+11.660%
Season away (6)87.779.2166.8+8.567%
Last 10 (10)86.074.3160.3+11.770%
Last 5 (5)85.678.2163.8+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.093.2173.2-13.225%
vs Similar (11)90.292.5182.6-2.336%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.669.5155.1+16.173%
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leicester RidersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiders
Date
Competition
London Lions
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
55avg 76
A10/05
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#7
L
94-108
94
108
-14
92avg 76
A27/09
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
63avg 76
A02/10
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 76
H09/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#5
L
75-85
75
85
-10
62avg 76
A11/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
94avg 76
A17/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
83avg 76
H23/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
80-101
80
101
-21
75avg 76
H30/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A06/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
A15/11
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
21-23
13-19
7-20
18-30
19-25
23-28
34-25
10-20
17-23
16-14
23-14
15-16
21-23
13-17
24-22
22-30
19-13
21-19
13-23
23-18
24-33
23-22
23-20
28-31
20-17
20-25
19-16
17-26
21-22
20-23
22-30
20-22
21-17
29-18
27-19
25-24
25-14
23-25
18-17
170.3Avg total
83.0Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.088.3173.3-3.322%
Season at home (3)80.089.3169.3-9.30%
Season away (6)87.587.8175.3-0.333%
Last 10 (10)83.087.3170.3-4.320%
Last 5 (5)91.490.6182.0+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)81.187.1168.2-5.927%
vs Similar (11)87.791.2178.9-3.536%
vs Weaker (4)87.889.5177.2-1.850%
This opponent (Newcastle Eagles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
Newcastle EaglesLeicester Riders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bristol Flyers
#3
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H25/09
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H02/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A18/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H23/10
SLB
Liverpool
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A25/10
SLB
Leicester Riders
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A30/10
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A01/11
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H06/11
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#7
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A15/11
SLB
82.7Avg total
45.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.440.584.9+3.952%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.439.385.7+7.153%-
Last 30 away (14)42.241.884.0+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)45.737.082.7+8.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.882.0+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.553.088.5-17.50%-
vs Similar (11)44.041.285.2+2.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.236.483.6+10.871%-
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leicester RidersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
London Lions
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A10/05
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A27/09
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A02/10
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H09/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A17/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H23/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H30/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A15/11
SLB
85.3Avg total
41.0Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.285.4-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.446.587.8-5.18%-
Last 30 away (17)40.942.583.5-1.653%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.385.3-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.889.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.745.685.3-5.927%-
vs Similar (11)41.944.486.3-2.527%-
vs Weaker (4)44.538.883.2+5.875%-
This opponent (Newcastle Eagles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Newcastle Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Newcastle Eagles: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.3
47.7%
50.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.0
35.5%
34.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws24.118.0
74.7%
70.8%18.0
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leicester Riderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leicester Riders: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.3
52.6%
50.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.4
35.0%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.916.3
74.4%
70.8%16.3
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Newcastle Eagles
WLWWLWWLWW
Leicester Riders
WWLLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#10
+9.0
Net rating
-10.6
94.2
Offensive rating
92.7
85.2
Defensive rating
103.4
50.0%
Effective FG%
52.6%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.5%
3-point %
35.0%
56.2%
Assist %
57.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 92.7Defence85.2 · 103.4Shooting50.0% · 52.6%3-point %35.5% · 35.0%Ball care15.0% · 16.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Newcastle Eagles   ■ Leicester Riders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ACheshire Phoenix89-61
06/11/26HBristol Flyers65-81
01/11/26ACaledonia Gladiators99-92
30/10/26ALeicester Riders101-80
25/10/26ALiverpool74-77
23/10/26HSurrey 89ers82-55
18/10/26ASheffield Sharks87-81
16/10/26HManchester Basketball78-81
02/10/26HCaledonia Gladiators91-67
25/09/26HBristol Flyers94-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ACaledonia Gladiators91-80
06/11/26ALondon Lions97-76
30/10/26HNewcastle Eagles80-101
23/10/26HManchester Basketball87-89
17/10/26ASurrey 89ers102-107 OT
11/10/26ASheffield Sharks75-85
09/10/26HBristol Flyers73-78
02/10/26ALondon Lions66-71
27/09/26ACheshire Phoenix94-108
10/05/26ALondon Lions65-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Eagles
SLB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW64%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game85.182.087.7
Allowed / game75.270.479.2
Point differential+9.9+11.6+8.5
Avg total160.3152.4166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leicester Riders
SLB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW22%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %22%0%33%
Points / game85.080.087.5
Allowed / game88.389.387.8
Point differential-3.3-9.3-0.3
Avg total173.3169.3175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 London Lions109190%81.475.9+5.5
2 Newcastle Eagles117464%85.175.2+9.9
3 Bristol Flyers116555%78.378.5-0.2
4 Liverpool105550%83.982.7+1.2
5 Sheffield Sharks84450%81.881.4+0.4
6 Manchester Basketball115645%81.583.5-1.9
7 Cheshire Phoenix104640%91.594.4-2.9
8 Surrey 89ers83538%78.981.6-2.8
9 Caledonia Gladiators83538%83.492.8-9.4
10 Leicester Riders92722%85.088.3-3.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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