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Newcastle Falcons W vs Canberra W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 61-52
21-18 14-18 20-6 6-10
Position#3
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game53.5
vs
Position#10
Record1-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game72.5
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2023
Meetings · Newcastle Falcons W v Canberra W
11 May 2025
NEWC87
CANB60
14 Apr 2024
NEWC84
CANB52
25 Mar 2023
NEWC61
CANB52
01 May 2022
NEWC60
CANB59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle Falcons WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury W
#1
L
88-115
88
115
-27
A16/07
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#7
W
88-54
88
54
+34
A17/07
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#9
W
84-53
84
53
+31
A23/07
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#11
W
110-49
110
49
+61
A30/07
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#3
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A31/07
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#3
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H13/08
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#2
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A14/08
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#5
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H20/08
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A11/03
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H18/03
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
18-38
16-27
35-23
24-7
14-17
25-18
25-12
18-18
24-13
18-10
24-12
40-10
17-7
32-20
21-12
22-14
17-28
22-7
16-22
27-12
14-8
24-21
15-22
17-15
14-19
14-20
16-10
19-21
20-12
14-26
22-19
21-14
13-12
16-14
16-12
16-13
9-10
19-12
20-20
144.7Avg total
79.3Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)65.053.5118.5+11.5100%
Season at home (1)64.055.0119.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)66.052.0118.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.365.4144.7+13.970%
Last 5 (5)69.262.4131.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.882.8156.5-9.050%
vs Similar (6)65.265.7130.8-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)74.854.4129.2+20.485%
This opponent (Canberra W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets W
#8
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A02/07
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#11
W
101-54
101
54
+47
H10/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#4
L
54-88
54
88
-34
H17/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#6
W
97-68
97
68
+29
A23/07
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A30/07
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#10
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H05/08
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#5
L
59-107
59
107
-48
H06/08
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#9
W
104-74
104
74
+30
A13/08
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A11/03
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#6
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H18/03
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
13-17
13-12
16-15
28-11
27-16
20-6
26-21
7-24
17-14
18-25
12-25
37-11
25-24
18-18
17-15
19-27
13-16
19-17
28-30
24-13
15-15
18-17
21-21
12-29
12-29
18-28
17-21
22-27
18-12
31-10
33-25
31-28
17-15
23-20
10-23
18-15
20-14
19-12
14-18
152.9Avg total
78.2Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.072.5148.5+3.550%
Season at home (1)71.059.0130.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)81.086.0167.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)78.274.7152.9+3.560%
Last 5 (5)78.678.4157.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)65.579.6145.1-14.110%
vs Similar (2)76.072.5148.5+3.550%
vs Weaker (10)84.367.1151.4+17.280%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
Newcastle Falcons WCanberra W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle Falcons WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury W
#1
L
37-65
37
65
-28
A16/07
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#7
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A17/07
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A23/07
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#11
W
57-17
57
17
+40
A30/07
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A31/07
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#3
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H13/08
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A14/08
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H20/08
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A11/03
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H18/03
NBL1 East Women
69.8Avg total
38.3Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)35.531.266.7+4.365%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.327.862.2+6.583%-
Last 30 away (11)36.734.971.6+1.845%-
Last 10 (10)38.331.569.8+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)34.027.261.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.541.876.2-7.225%-
vs Similar (6)31.732.063.7-0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.527.665.2+9.985%-
This opponent (Canberra W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets W
#8
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A02/07
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#11
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H10/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#4
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H17/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#6
W
62-35
62
35
+27
A23/07
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A30/07
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#10
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H05/08
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#5
L
24-58
24
58
-34
H06/08
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A13/08
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#8
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A11/03
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#6
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H18/03
NBL1 East Women
75.9Avg total
39.1Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)35.935.771.6+0.245%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.336.270.5-1.945%-
Last 30 away (11)37.535.372.8+2.345%-
Last 10 (10)39.136.875.9+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.477.2-1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)27.839.467.2-11.60%-
vs Similar (2)43.036.079.0+7.0100%-
vs Weaker (10)42.632.074.6+10.680%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Newcastle Falcons W wins
0
Canberra W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23HManly W. W64-55
11/03/23ASutherland Sharks W66-52
20/08/22HManly W. W75-78
14/08/22ASutherland Sharks W61-64
13/08/22HNorths Bears W80-63
31/07/22ANorths Bears W77-71
30/07/22AInner West Bulls W110-49
23/07/22ACentral Coast W84-53
17/07/22ACanberra W88-54
16/07/22AAlbury W88-115
Canberra Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23HMaitland Mustangs W71-59
11/03/23AAlbury W81-86
13/08/22ACentral Coast W104-74
06/08/22HManly W. W59-107
05/08/22HMaitland Mustangs W78-66
30/07/22AAlbury W79-90
23/07/22AIllawarra Hawks W97-68
17/07/22HNewcastle Falcons W54-88
10/07/22HInner West Bulls W101-54
02/07/22AHills Hornets W58-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons W
NBL1 East Women 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game65.064.066.0
Allowed / game53.555.052.0
Point differential+11.5+9.0+14.0
Avg total118.5119.0118.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Canberra W
NBL1 East Women 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.071.081.0
Allowed / game72.559.086.0
Point differential+3.5+12.0-5.0
Avg total148.5130.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Albury W220100%95.060.5+34.5
2 Sydney Comets W220100%79.051.0+28.0
3 BA CoE W440100%85.560.0+25.5
4 Newcastle Falcons W220100%65.053.5+11.5
5 Manly W. W32167%71.066.0+5.0
6 Norths Bears W21150%67.558.5+9.0
7 Canberra W21150%76.072.5+3.5
8 Sutherland Sharks W21150%65.565.5+0.0
9 Hills Hornets W21150%50.059.5-9.5
10 Central Coast W31233%81.070.7+10.3
11 Penrith P. W31233%75.082.7-7.7
12 Maitland Mustangs W31233%64.772.7-8.0
13 Bankstown Bruins W31233%58.079.0-21.0
14 Illawarra Hawks W3030%68.377.3-9.0
15 Inner West Bulls W2020%46.570.0-23.5
16 Hornsby S. W2020%42.5101.5-59.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons W211420661
Canberra W181861052
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