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Niagara River vs Fraser Valley Bandits Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 96-77
20-17 20-22 27-17 29-21
Position#3
Record9-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game90.1
Niagara River 🏆
Canada
vs
Fraser Valley Bandits
Canada
Position#1
Record11-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game85.1
CanadaCEBL· Meridian Centre
Other2025
Meetings · Niagara River v Fraser Valley Bandits
10 Jul 2025
NIAG96
FRAS77
10 Jun 2023
NIAG78
FRAS87
25 Jul 2022
NIAG86
FRAS95
20 Aug 2021
NIAG84
FRAS82
08 Jul 2021
NIAG103
FRAS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niagara River winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fraser Valley Bandits winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Niagara RiverCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiver
Date
Competition
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
L
87-89
87
89
-2
78avg 80
H30/05
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
98-94
98
94
+4
85avg 80
H06/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
94-80
94
80
+14
88avg 80
H08/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
88-106
88
106
-18
73avg 80
H13/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
79avg 80
A15/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
93-82
93
82
+11
86avg 80
H20/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
70-102
70
102
-32
65avg 80
A22/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
66-91
66
91
-25
57avg 80
A29/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
93-82
93
82
+11
87avg 80
H04/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 80
A06/07
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
16-22
18-25
24-23
26-18
29-29
16-28
27-19
31-16
22-19
20-25
21-20
24-35
20-26
28-23
16-22
30-14
21-30
13-19
26-26
25-13
26-23
23-19
19-27
11-26
25-30
16-22
18-24
16-31
19-25
16-11
15-24
28-24
23-14
22-20
20-24
13-19
28-15
15-16
21-23
174.4Avg total
85.6Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.890.1175.9-4.464%
Season at home (7)93.089.6182.6+3.471%
Season away (7)78.690.7169.3-12.157%
Last 10 (10)85.688.8174.4-3.260%
Last 5 (5)79.886.0165.8-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)86.0103.0189.0-17.033%
vs Similar (13)90.888.8179.7+2.085%
vs Weaker (14)91.188.6179.7+2.471%
This opponent (Fraser Valley Bandits) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fraser Valley BanditsCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBandits
Date
Competition
Edmonton Stingers
#4
W
104-95
104
95
+9
99avg 90
A31/05
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#2
L
80-95
80
95
-15
64avg 90
H02/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
95-81
95
81
+14
90avg 90
H07/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
101-76
101
76
+25
84avg 90
A08/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
89avg 90
H15/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
85-92
85
92
-7
84avg 90
H21/06
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#2
L
83-100
83
100
-17
76avg 90
A22/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
97-85
97
85
+12
91avg 90
H29/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
100-97
100
97
+3
91avg 90
H02/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 90
H07/07
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
25-20
29-19
27-30
13-26
27-21
12-24
28-24
21-12
17-23
27-29
30-17
30-16
26-20
16-18
29-22
15-32
26-16
15-14
35-20
20-21
22-33
28-21
15-17
31-25
13-33
20-23
19-19
28-29
17-26
27-13
25-17
28-14
22-29
20-29
30-25
23-22
17-22
26-23
21-17
181.0Avg total
92.3Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)96.185.1181.3+11.079%
Season at home (9)94.885.2180.0+9.678%
Season away (5)98.685.0183.6+13.680%
Last 10 (10)92.388.7181.0+3.670%
Last 5 (5)90.491.6182.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)90.893.8184.5-3.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)97.285.8183.1+11.477%
This opponent (Niagara River) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +5.1+5.1
Niagara RiverFraser Valley Bandits
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Niagara RiverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H30/05
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H06/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H08/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H13/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A15/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H20/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A22/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A29/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H04/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A06/07
CEBL
91.0Avg total
46.2Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.245.392.5+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.943.092.9+6.988%-
Last 30 away (13)43.848.292.0-4.531%-
Last 10 (10)46.244.891.0+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.086.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)46.052.798.7-6.733%-
vs Similar (13)47.543.591.0+4.169%-
vs Weaker (14)47.245.492.6+1.964%-
This opponent (Fraser Valley Bandits) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fraser Valley BanditsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Edmonton Stingers
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A31/05
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H02/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H07/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A08/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H21/06
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#2
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A22/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H29/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H02/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/07
CEBL
91.0Avg total
44.4Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.044.992.9+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.543.391.8+5.267%-
Last 30 away (12)47.247.294.5+0.042%-
Last 10 (10)44.446.691.0-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.250.895.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)46.248.294.5-2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)48.344.392.6+3.958%-
This opponent (Niagara River) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Niagara Rivertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niagara River: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.8
48.5%
50.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.5
28.3%
34.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.918.4
80.3%
72.4%18.4
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fraser Valley Banditstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fraser Valley Bandits: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.622.3
50.0%
50.7%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.8
37.5%
34.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.114.5
72.1%
72.4%14.5
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Niagara River
WWLLWWLWWL
Fraser Valley Bandits
WWWLLWWWLW
#3
League position
#1
-4.9
Net rating
+4.0
102.4
Offensive rating
108.7
107.3
Defensive rating
104.7
46.0%
Effective FG%
52.5%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.0%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.3%
3-point %
37.5%
62.8%
Assist %
63.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 108.7Defence107.3 · 104.7Shooting46.0% · 52.5%3-point %28.3% · 37.5%Ball care15.9% · 17.0%Off. rebounds28.9% · 27.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Niagara River   ■ Fraser Valley Bandits
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Niagara River wins
5
Fraser Valley Bandits wins
DateGameScore
23/05/25Fraser Valley Bandits v Niagara River109-72
11/08/24Fraser Valley Bandits v Niagara River95-97
02/07/24Fraser Valley Bandits v Niagara River105-83
10/06/23Niagara River v Fraser Valley Bandits78-87
25/07/22Niagara River v Fraser Valley Bandits86-95
03/07/22Fraser Valley Bandits v Niagara River99-102
20/08/21Niagara River v Fraser Valley Bandits84-82
08/07/21Niagara River v Fraser Valley Bandits103-82
30/06/21Fraser Valley Bandits v Niagara River104-81
Niagara Riverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/25AMontreal Alliance77-73
04/07/25HWinnipeg Sea Bears93-82
29/06/25ABrampton Honey Badgers66-91
22/06/25AScarborough Shooting Stars70-102
20/06/25HMontreal Alliance93-82
15/06/25AOttawa Blackjacks90-89
13/06/25HEdmonton Stingers88-106
08/06/25HBrampton Honey Badgers94-80
06/06/25HScarborough Shooting Stars98-94
30/05/25HSaskatchewan Rattlers87-89
Fraser Valley Banditslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/25HBrampton Honey Badgers87-84
02/07/25HScarborough Shooting Stars100-97
29/06/25HSaskatchewan Rattlers97-85
22/06/25AGuelph Nighthawks83-100
21/06/25HWinnipeg Sea Bears85-92
15/06/25HMontreal Alliance91-82
08/06/25ASaskatchewan Rattlers101-76
07/06/25HOttawa Blackjacks95-81
02/06/25HGuelph Nighthawks80-95
31/05/25AEdmonton Stingers104-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niagara River
CEBL 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game85.893.078.6
Allowed / game90.189.690.7
Point differential-4.4+3.4-12.1
Avg total175.9182.6169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fraser Valley Bandits
CEBL 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW79%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %79%78%80%
Points / game96.194.898.6
Allowed / game85.185.285.0
Point differential+11.0+9.6+13.6
Avg total181.3180.0183.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%44%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fraser Valley Bandits1411379%96.185.1+11.0
2 Guelph Nighthawks1510567%94.488.0+6.4
3 Niagara River149564%85.890.1-4.4
4 Edmonton Stingers159660%94.190.5+3.7
5 Ottawa Blackjacks147750%90.985.1+5.7
6 Scarborough Shooting Stars147750%91.489.8+1.6
7 Montreal Alliance146843%87.087.3-0.3
8 Winnipeg Sea Bears145936%84.192.2-8.1
9 Saskatchewan Rattlers1541127%85.591.9-6.5
10 Brampton Honey Badgers1541127%81.089.7-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Niagara River2020272996
Fraser Valley Bandits1722172177
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