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Niagara River vs Winnipeg Sea Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 93-82
28-24 23-14 22-20 20-24
Position#3
Record7-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game92.2
vs
Position#7
Record5-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game92.2
CanadaCEBL· Meridian Centre
Other2025
Meetings · Niagara River v Winnipeg Sea Bears
04 Jul 2025
NIAG93
WINN82
06 Jun 2024
NIAG101
WINN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niagara River winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Winnipeg Sea Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Niagara RiverCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiver
Date
Competition
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
L
72-109
72
109
-37
61avg 83
A23/05
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
88-86
88
86
+2
77avg 83
A25/05
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
L
87-89
87
89
-2
78avg 83
H30/05
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
98-94
98
94
+4
85avg 83
H06/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
94-80
94
80
+14
88avg 83
H08/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
88-106
88
106
-18
73avg 83
H13/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
79avg 83
A15/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
93-82
93
82
+11
86avg 83
H20/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
70-102
70
102
-32
65avg 83
A22/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
66-91
66
91
-25
57avg 83
A29/06
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
17-30
14-33
21-29
27-22
18-23
16-23
27-18
29-19
16-22
18-25
24-23
26-18
29-29
16-28
27-19
31-16
22-19
20-25
21-20
24-35
20-26
28-23
16-22
30-14
21-30
13-19
26-26
25-13
26-23
23-19
19-27
11-26
25-30
16-22
18-24
16-31
19-25
16-11
15-24
177.4Avg total
84.6Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.992.2178.2-6.358%
Season at home (6)93.090.8183.8+2.267%
Season away (6)78.893.7172.5-14.850%
Last 10 (10)84.692.8177.4-8.250%
Last 5 (5)81.494.0175.4-12.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)86.0103.0189.0-17.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)91.990.9182.8+1.082%
vs Weaker (16)90.988.2179.1+2.869%
This opponent (Winnipeg Sea Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Winnipeg Sea BearsCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
L
89-100
89
100
-11
76avg 75
H29/05
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
73-88
73
88
-15
58avg 75
H01/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
74-81
74
81
-7
63avg 75
A06/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
87-86
87
86
+1
70avg 75
A08/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
92-89
92
89
+3
90avg 75
H12/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
90avg 75
H15/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
92-85
92
85
+7
81avg 75
A21/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
85-98
85
98
-13
78avg 75
A22/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
93-103
93
103
-10
83avg 75
H28/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
80-104
80
104
-24
62avg 75
A01/07
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
19-22
11-34
30-21
18-19
19-25
23-21
13-23
21-22
24-23
18-15
11-21
19-22
21-26
18-22
29-16
25-21
27-16
26-24
14-28
25-24
24-19
23-16
19-25
21-20
33-22
21-28
17-15
27-19
15-28
17-29
26-22
22-34
24-24
24-20
23-25
16-29
25-25
23-24
16-26
177.4Avg total
85.6Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.292.2176.4-7.938%
Season at home (7)88.093.0181.0-5.043%
Season away (6)79.891.2171.0-11.333%
Last 10 (10)85.691.8177.4-6.240%
Last 5 (5)88.294.8183.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)88.095.7183.7-7.630%
vs Similar ◀ (5)89.891.8181.6-2.060%
vs Weaker (2)82.582.5165.0+0.050%
This opponent (Niagara River) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.4-2.4
Niagara RiverWinnipeg Sea Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Niagara RiverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A23/05
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A25/05
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H30/05
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H06/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H08/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H13/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A15/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H20/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A22/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A29/06
CEBL
92.0Avg total
45.2Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.345.692.8+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.843.393.1+6.588%-
Last 30 away (14)44.448.192.5-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)45.246.892.0-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.450.694.0-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.052.798.7-6.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)47.844.892.6+3.064%-
vs Weaker (16)47.144.891.9+2.462%-
This opponent (Winnipeg Sea Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Winnipeg Sea BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H29/05
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H01/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A06/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A08/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H12/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H15/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A21/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A22/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H28/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A01/07
CEBL
91.7Avg total
45.4Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.349.293.5-4.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.847.193.9-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)41.851.393.1-9.57%-
Last 10 (10)45.446.391.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)46.448.895.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)44.949.994.8-5.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.448.088.4-7.620%-
vs Weaker (2)47.044.091.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Niagara River) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Niagara Rivertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niagara River: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.421.0
47.3%
50.7%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.68.0
27.0%
34.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.418.3
81.7%
72.4%18.3
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Winnipeg Sea Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Winnipeg Sea Bears: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.222.2
49.1%
50.7%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.8
30.3%
34.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.415.0
73.5%
72.4%15.0
They take 74.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Niagara River
LLWWLWWLWL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
LLLWWWWLLL
#3
League position
#7
-11.5
Net rating
-6.7
99.5
Offensive rating
104.7
111.0
Defensive rating
111.4
44.6%
Effective FG%
47.7%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
14.4%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.0%
3-point %
30.3%
60.0%
Assist %
60.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 104.7Defence111.0 · 111.4Shooting44.6% · 47.7%3-point %27.0% · 30.3%Ball care16.2% · 14.4%Off. rebounds29.2% · 29.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Niagara River   ■ Winnipeg Sea Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Niagara River wins
2
Winnipeg Sea Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/25ABrampton Honey Badgers66-91
22/06/25AScarborough Shooting Stars70-102
20/06/25HMontreal Alliance93-82
15/06/25AOttawa Blackjacks90-89
13/06/25HEdmonton Stingers88-106
08/06/25HBrampton Honey Badgers94-80
06/06/25HScarborough Shooting Stars98-94
30/05/25HSaskatchewan Rattlers87-89
25/05/25ASaskatchewan Rattlers88-86
23/05/25AFraser Valley Bandits72-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/07/25AOttawa Blackjacks80-104
28/06/25HScarborough Shooting Stars93-103
22/06/25AEdmonton Stingers85-98
21/06/25AFraser Valley Bandits92-85
15/06/25HSaskatchewan Rattlers91-84
12/06/25HMontreal Alliance92-89
08/06/25AScarborough Shooting Stars87-86
06/06/25ABrampton Honey Badgers74-81
01/06/25HOttawa Blackjacks73-88
29/05/25HFraser Valley Bandits89-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niagara River
CEBL 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL58%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game85.993.078.8
Allowed / game92.290.893.7
Point differential-6.3+2.2-14.8
Avg total178.2183.8172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Winnipeg Sea Bears
CEBL 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeLLWWL43%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%43%33%
Points / game84.288.079.8
Allowed / game92.293.091.2
Point differential-7.9-5.0-11.3
Avg total176.4181.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fraser Valley Bandits1310377%96.885.2+11.6
2 Guelph Nighthawks139469%93.885.8+7.9
3 Niagara River127558%85.992.2-6.3
4 Edmonton Stingers148657%92.890.5+2.3
5 Ottawa Blackjacks126650%90.185.5+4.6
6 Scarborough Shooting Stars147750%91.489.8+1.6
7 Montreal Alliance126650%87.886.5+1.3
8 Winnipeg Sea Bears135838%84.292.2-7.9
9 Brampton Honey Badgers134931%81.489.1-7.7
10 Saskatchewan Rattlers1431121%84.992.1-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Niagara River2823222093
Winnipeg Sea Bears2414202482
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