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Winnipeg Sea Bears vs Niagara River Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 94-82
21-20 26-17 25-23 22-22
Position#7
Record5-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game97.5
vs
Position#1
Record6-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game82.8
CanadaCEBL· Canada Life Centre
Other2024
Meetings · Winnipeg Sea Bears v Niagara River
06 Aug 2025
WINN86
NIAG81
27 Jun 2024
WINN94
NIAG82
29 Jun 2023
WINN93
NIAG90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Winnipeg Sea Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niagara River winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Winnipeg Sea BearsCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#8
L
86-94
86
94
-8
80avg 82
A23/05
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
W
109-106
109
106
+3
94avg 82
H25/05
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
90avg 82
H02/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#9
W
92-90
92
90
+2
87avg 82
A05/06
CEBL
Niagara River
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
81avg 82
A06/06
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#5
L
78-110
78
110
-32
71avg 82
A09/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
91-112
91
112
-21
74avg 82
A14/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
L
87-97
87
97
-10
73avg 82
H16/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
W
88-84
88
84
+4
80avg 82
H20/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#8
W
103-101
103
101
+2
91avg 82
H23/06
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
24-27
14-21
27-23
18-26
30-22
36-27
25-31
19-21
24-22
25-22
25-15
24-19
18-21
24-26
26-24
31-35
21-26
20-17
22-23
25-25
21-21
16-35
16-29
21-28
25-34
25-22
20-28
20-29
21-30
20-17
26-21
28-18
18-19
16-27
26-20
13-30
23-27
31-17
36-27
189.6Avg total
92.1Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)92.197.5189.6-5.450%
Season at home (5)96.093.6189.6+2.480%
Season away (5)88.2101.4189.6-13.220%
Last 10 (10)92.197.5189.6-5.450%
Last 5 (5)89.4100.8190.2-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)91.4100.0191.4-8.643%
vs Similar (17)89.590.9180.5-1.447%
vs Weaker (6)93.788.8182.5+4.883%
This opponent (Niagara River) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Niagara RiverCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiver
Date
Competition
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
no box
H12/08
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#9
L
67-74
67
74
-7
25avg 81
A24/05
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#9
W
103-60
103
60
+43
108avg 81
H30/05
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
78avg 81
A01/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
101-94
101
94
+7
90avg 81
H06/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
W
100-79
100
79
+21
96avg 81
A09/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#10
W
94-80
94
80
+14
91avg 81
A13/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
86-90
86
90
-4
75avg 81
A15/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
73avg 81
H19/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#10
W
97-95
97
95
+2
91avg 81
H21/06
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
12-21
15-18
24-21
24-12
12-22
9-17
22-23
22-10
28-19
28-19
25-12
27-29
20-26
23-17
17-23
35-31
26-21
17-20
23-22
25-18
19-17
32-23
24-21
24-20
24-15
29-15
17-30
15-23
30-23
18-18
23-26
23-17
25-22
14-22
19-17
29-19
17-24
32-19
19-33
170.6Avg total
88.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.782.8173.4+7.967%
Season at home (4)95.581.8177.2+13.8100%
Season away (5)86.883.6170.4+3.240%
Last 10 (10)88.781.9170.6+6.860%
Last 5 (5)91.684.4176.0+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)90.086.4176.4+3.658%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)91.183.1174.2+8.067%
This opponent (Winnipeg Sea Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
Winnipeg Sea BearsNiagara River
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Winnipeg Sea BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A23/05
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H25/05
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A05/06
CEBL
Niagara River
#1
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A06/06
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A09/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A14/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H16/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#8
L
36-57
36
57
-21
H23/06
CEBL
94.8Avg total
44.5Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.145.789.9-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.545.789.1-2.233%-
Last 30 away (15)44.845.890.6-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)44.550.394.8-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)43.052.295.2-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)46.152.698.7-6.414%-
vs Similar (17)42.744.587.2-1.835%-
vs Weaker (6)45.841.287.0+4.783%-
This opponent (Niagara River) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Niagara RiverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H12/08
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#9
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A24/05
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#9
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H30/05
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A01/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H06/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A09/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A13/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A15/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H19/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H21/06
CEBL
86.0Avg total
45.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.640.485.0+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.139.186.1+8.073%-
Last 30 away (15)42.141.783.8+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)45.740.386.0+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.239.685.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)44.142.386.4+1.858%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.939.184.0+5.861%-
This opponent (Winnipeg Sea Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Winnipeg Sea Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Winnipeg Sea Bears: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.9 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.619.9
49.0%
50.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.111.9
34.9%
35.2%35.7
🏀 Free throws20.315.8
77.8%
74.7%15.8
They take 74.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Niagara Rivertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niagara River: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.1 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.9 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.6
50.8%
50.6%43.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.0
34.0%
35.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.914.6
77.1%
74.7%14.6
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 28 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Winnipeg Sea Bears
WWLLLLWWWL
Niagara River
WWLWWWLWLL
#7
League position
#1
-6.5
Net rating
+10.2
106.5
Offensive rating
109.6
113.0
Defensive rating
99.4
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.9%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
16.2%
Turnover %
18.8%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
37.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.9%
3-point %
34.0%
57.5%
Assist %
54.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 109.6Defence113.0 · 99.4Shooting50.5% · 50.9%3-point %34.9% · 34.0%Ball care16.2% · 18.8%Off. rebounds26.8% · 37.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Winnipeg Sea Bears   ■ Niagara River
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Winnipeg Sea Bears wins
1
Niagara River wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/06/24HSaskatchewan Rattlers103-101
20/06/24HFraser Valley Bandits88-84
16/06/24HEdmonton Stingers87-97
14/06/24AFraser Valley Bandits91-112
09/06/24AGuelph Nighthawks78-110
06/06/24ANiagara River94-101
05/06/24ABrampton Honey Badgers92-90
02/06/24HOttawa Blackjacks93-80
25/05/24HScarborough Shooting Stars109-106
23/05/24ASaskatchewan Rattlers86-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/24HMontreal Alliance97-95
19/06/24HScarborough Shooting Stars81-78
15/06/24AOttawa Blackjacks86-90
13/06/24AMontreal Alliance94-80
09/06/24AEdmonton Stingers100-79
06/06/24HWinnipeg Sea Bears101-94
01/06/24AScarborough Shooting Stars87-95
30/05/24HBrampton Honey Badgers103-60
24/05/24ABrampton Honey Badgers67-74
12/08/23HScarborough Shooting Stars71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Winnipeg Sea Bears
CEBL 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game92.196.088.2
Allowed / game97.593.6101.4
Point differential-5.4+2.4-13.2
Avg total189.6189.6189.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Niagara River
CEBL 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%100%40%
Points / game90.795.586.8
Allowed / game82.881.883.6
Point differential+7.9+13.8+3.2
Avg total173.4177.2170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fraser Valley Bandits108280%93.081.6+11.4
2 Edmonton Stingers107370%89.286.3+2.9
3 Niagara River96367%90.782.8+7.9
4 Scarborough Shooting Stars116555%92.390.6+1.6
5 Guelph Nighthawks105550%89.585.8+3.7
6 Saskatchewan Rattlers105550%89.392.5-3.2
7 Winnipeg Sea Bears105550%92.197.5-5.4
8 Ottawa Blackjacks103730%86.394.1-7.8
9 Montreal Alliance113827%87.189.0-1.9
10 Brampton Honey Badgers113827%80.788.4-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Winnipeg Sea Bears2126252294
Niagara River2017232282
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