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Nice W vs Rouen W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-63
18-10 16-13 12-21 23-19
Position#11
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game78.0
Nice W 🏆
France
vs
Rouen W
France
Position#9
Record2-0
FormLWW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game59.5
FranceLigue 2 WomenRound 3· Salle Serge Leyrit
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nice W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rouen W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nice WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Montbrison W
#2
L
62-66
62
66
-4
53avg 54
H08/03
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
W
66-53
66
53
+13
64avg 54
H22/03
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
L
57-75
57
75
-18
49avg 54
A26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
64-58
64
58
+6
54avg 54
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
L
49-69
49
69
-20
29avg 54
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#1
L
47-60
47
60
-13
34avg 54
A12/04
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#1
L
58-60
58
60
-2
50avg 54
H16/04
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
62avg 54
A20/09
French Cup Women
Pays Voironnais W
#2
W
77-72
77
72
+5
72avg 54
H27/09
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
63-84
63
84
-21
50avg 54
A04/10
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
15-21
17-14
15-17
18-19
15-4
16-20
17-10
16-12
19-20
12-20
10-23
14-13
17-22
17-8
16-15
13-19
10-17
11-20
15-13
13-16
7-9
7-22
20-13
17-10
20-14
10-12
11-24
17-17
21-21
16-18
19-18
19-21
28-22
13-18
17-11
17-26
18-13
17-26
11-19
128.7Avg total
61.6Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.078.0148.0-8.050%
Season at home (1)77.072.0149.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)63.084.0147.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)61.667.1128.7-5.530%
Last 5 (5)63.670.0133.6-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)64.169.7133.8-5.628%
vs Similar ◀ (8)63.566.2129.8-2.850%
vs Weaker (2)80.057.0137.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Rouen W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rouen WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Mondeville W
#4
L
61-74
61
74
-13
46avg 59
H20/09
French Cup Women
Le Havre W
#14
W
75-63
75
63
+12
74avg 59
A27/09
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#1
W
64-56
64
56
+8
58avg 59
H04/10
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
16-13
14-22
12-22
14-20
23-11
19-16
19-16
20-20
13-14
18-10
13-12
131.0Avg total
66.7Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.559.5129.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)64.056.0120.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)75.063.0138.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (3)66.764.3131.0+2.367%
Last 5 (3)66.764.3131.0+2.367%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.056.0120.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (1)75.063.0138.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Nice W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
Nice WRouen W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nice WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montbrison W
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H08/03
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H22/03
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#1
L
20-25
20
25
-5
A12/04
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#1
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H16/04
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A20/09
French Cup Women
Pays Voironnais W
#2
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H27/09
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A04/10
Ligue 2 Women
65.9Avg total
32.9Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.434.067.4-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.134.468.4-0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)32.933.666.5-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)32.933.065.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.869.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)33.135.268.3-2.139%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.032.465.4+0.650%-
vs Weaker (2)36.027.063.0+9.050%-
This opponent (Rouen W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rouen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mondeville W
#4
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H20/09
French Cup Women
Le Havre W
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A27/09
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#1
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H04/10
Ligue 2 Women
66.7Avg total
35.0Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)35.031.766.7+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (2)34.032.066.0+2.050%-
Last 30 away (1)37.031.068.0+6.0100%-
Last 10 (3)35.031.766.7+3.367%-
Last 5 (3)35.031.766.7+3.367%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.034.067.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (1)37.031.068.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Nice W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nice Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nice W: 60.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.5 points a game
56%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.616.0
46.2%
45.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.1
26.6%
29.7%18.3
🏀 Free throws14.610.5
71.9%
72.1%10.5
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rouen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rouen W: 66.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.7 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.5 points a game
56%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.319.3
43.6%
45.0%38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.35.7
32.7%
29.7%17.0
🏀 Free throws17.010.7
62.7%
72.1%10.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nice W
LWLLLLWLWL
Rouen W
WWL
#11
League position
#9
-7.4
Net rating
+4.4
82.9
Offensive rating
86.7
90.2
Defensive rating
82.4
43.7%
Effective FG%
45.1%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
40.9%
25.8%
Turnover %
27.1%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
26.6%
3-point %
32.7%
60.6%
Assist %
60.0%
30%
Form (last 10/3)
67%

Profile

Offence82.9 · 86.7Defence90.2 · 82.4Shooting43.7% · 45.1%3-point %26.6% · 32.7%Ball care25.8% · 27.1%Off. rebounds25.4% · 34.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/3)30% · 67%
■ Nice W   ■ Rouen W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nice W wins
0
Rouen W wins
No previous meetings.
Nice Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25AMondeville W63-84
27/09/25HPays Voironnais W77-72
20/09/25ATronche Meylan W73-74
16/04/25HToulouse W58-60
12/04/25AToulouse W47-60
05/04/25HLe Havre W49-69
29/03/25AMondeville W64-58
26/03/25AUnion Hainaut W57-75
22/03/25HFeytiat W66-53
08/03/25HMontbrison W62-66
Rouen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HTronche Meylan W64-56
27/09/25ALe Havre W75-63
20/09/25HMondeville W61-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nice W
Ligue 2 Women 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game70.077.063.0
Allowed / game78.072.084.0
Point differential-8.0+5.0-21.0
Avg total148.0149.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rouen W
Ligue 2 Women 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game69.564.075.0
Allowed / game59.556.063.0
Point differential+10.0+8.0+12.0
Avg total129.0120.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Montbrison W220100%63.547.0+16.5
2 Aulnoye AS W220100%67.052.5+14.5
3 Champagne W220100%70.559.5+11.0
4 Rouen W220100%69.559.5+10.0
5 Pays Voironnais W21150%80.068.5+11.5
6 Mondeville W21150%70.063.0+7.0
7 Tronche Meylan W21150%59.560.0-0.5
8 Centre Federal BB W21150%49.051.0-2.0
9 Feytiat W21150%70.574.5-4.0
10 Nice W21150%70.078.0-8.0
11 Graffenstaden W2020%58.567.0-8.5
12 Le Havre W2020%56.069.5-13.5
13 Monaco W2020%54.569.0-14.5
14 Union Hainaut W2020%57.577.0-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nice W1816122369
Rouen W1013211963
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