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Toulouse W vs Nice W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 60-47
16-13 9-7 22-7 13-20
Position#1
Record18-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game60.0
Toulouse W 🏆
France
vs
Nice W
France
Position#8
Record9-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game64.9
Allowed / game66.8
FranceLigue 2 WomenLigue 2 Women - Quarter-finals· Gymnase Compans Caffarelli
Women2024-25
Meetings · Toulouse W v Nice W
12 Apr 2025
TOUL60
NICE47
19 Oct 2024
TOUL73
NICE50
24 Feb 2024
TOUL71
NICE66
03 Apr 2016
TOUL74
NICE84
30 Nov 2013
TOUL77
NICE51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nice W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Montbrison W
#2
W
71-57
71
57
+14
70avg 65
H25/01
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
80-65
80
65
+15
76avg 65
A01/02
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
L
51-60
51
60
-9
40avg 65
H15/02
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
83-65
83
65
+18
84avg 65
A22/02
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
W
68-51
68
51
+17
62avg 65
H01/03
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
W
73-69
73
69
+4
54avg 65
A08/03
Ligue 2 Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
W
81-45
81
45
+36
75avg 65
H22/03
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
72-59
72
59
+13
71avg 65
H26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 65
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
73-68
73
68
+5
74avg 65
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
16-11
17-23
16-9
24-17
22-18
15-20
19-10
14-15
16-17
14-12
7-16
25-15
18-20
21-11
19-19
13-5
18-15
17-18
20-13
14-17
18-16
19-16
22-20
22-11
17-11
17-12
25-11
29-11
21-11
11-17
11-20
29-17
16-15
19-23
21-24
12-13
24-19
17-19
20-17
135.5Avg total
73.7Scored
61.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)69.460.0129.3+9.482%
Season at home (11)70.757.5128.2+13.391%
Season away (11)68.062.5130.5+5.573%
Last 10 (10)73.761.8135.5+11.990%
Last 5 (5)76.864.0140.8+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)73.471.4144.8+2.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)70.058.9128.8+11.183%
This opponent (Nice W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nice WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
USBD Alencon W
#7
L
57-58
57
58
-1
49avg 55
A25/01
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#1
L
65-80
65
80
-15
47avg 55
H01/02
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
82avg 55
A15/02
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
L
55-67
55
67
-12
43avg 55
H22/02
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
L
64-71 OT
64
71
-7
56avg 55
A01/03
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
L
62-66
62
66
-4
53avg 55
H08/03
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
W
66-53
66
53
+13
64avg 55
H22/03
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
L
57-75
57
75
-18
49avg 55
A26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
64-58
64
58
+6
54avg 55
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
L
49-69
49
69
-20
29avg 55
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-13
17-21
9-15
18-9
17-24
18-22
20-15
10-19
18-23
17-13
24-23
27-11
7-20
16-8
12-13
20-26
16-18
15-8
14-19
12-12
15-14
15-21
17-14
15-17
18-19
15-4
16-20
17-10
16-12
19-20
12-20
10-23
14-13
17-22
17-8
16-15
13-19
10-17
11-20
15-13
129.2Avg total
62.5Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)64.966.8131.6-1.941%
Season at home (11)65.168.1133.2-3.036%
Season away (11)64.665.5130.1-0.845%
Last 10 (10)62.566.7129.2-4.230%
Last 5 (5)59.664.2123.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)66.269.7135.9-3.531%
vs Similar (9)64.466.0130.4-1.656%
vs Weaker (4)73.554.0127.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
Toulouse WNice W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montbrison W
#2
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H25/01
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A01/02
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H15/02
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A22/02
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H01/03
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A08/03
Ligue 2 Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H22/03
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#9
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
67.8Avg total
39.0Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.231.067.2+5.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.529.066.5+8.579%-
Last 30 away (16)35.132.767.8+2.444%-
Last 10 (10)39.028.867.8+10.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.428.268.6+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)36.840.877.6-4.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)36.228.865.1+7.475%-
This opponent (Nice W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nice WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USBD Alencon W
#7
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A25/01
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H01/02
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#9
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A15/02
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H22/02
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A01/03
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H08/03
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H22/03
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
63.7Avg total
30.6Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.133.167.2+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.032.967.9+2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)33.233.466.6-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)30.633.163.7-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)30.432.262.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.135.469.4-1.344%-
vs Similar (9)32.932.465.3+0.444%-
vs Weaker (4)37.225.562.8+11.875%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.4 points a game
56%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.9
52.9%
44.5%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.56.1
33.0%
28.2%18.3
🏀 Free throws14.411.2
77.8%
70.7%11.2
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nice Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nice W: 61.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.4 points a game
56%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.817.2
45.5%
44.5%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.8
26.9%
28.2%17.4
🏀 Free throws15.59.9
63.9%
70.7%9.9
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toulouse W
WWWWWWWLWW
Nice W
LWLWLLLWLL
#1
League position
#8
+16.7
Net rating
-5.7
100.4
Offensive rating
84.1
83.7
Defensive rating
89.9
51.8%
Effective FG%
43.6%
42.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
25.3%
Turnover %
23.4%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.0%
3-point %
26.9%
69.3%
Assist %
57.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 84.1Defence83.7 · 89.9Shooting51.8% · 43.6%3-point %33.0% · 26.9%Ball care25.3% · 23.4%Off. rebounds35.7% · 25.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Toulouse W   ■ Nice W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Toulouse W wins
3
Nice W wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Nice W v Toulouse W65-80
19/10/24Toulouse W v Nice W73-50
24/02/24Toulouse W v Nice W71-66
18/11/23Nice W v Toulouse W70-65
03/04/16Toulouse W v Nice W74-84
05/12/15Nice W v Toulouse W77-35
29/03/14Nice W v Toulouse W54-65
30/11/13Toulouse W v Nice W77-51
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HTronche Meylan W73-68
29/03/25AAulnoye AS W85-79
26/03/25HCentre Federal BB W72-59
22/03/25HUSBD Alencon W81-45
08/03/25APays Voironnais W73-69
01/03/25HFeytiat W68-51
22/02/25AMondeville W83-65
15/02/25HLe Havre W51-60
01/02/25ANice W80-65
25/01/25HMontbrison W71-57
Nice Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HLe Havre W49-69
29/03/25AMondeville W64-58
26/03/25AUnion Hainaut W57-75
22/03/25HFeytiat W66-53
08/03/25HMontbrison W62-66
01/03/25APays Voironnais W64-71 OT
22/02/25HTronche Meylan W55-67
15/02/25AAulnoye AS W86-70
01/02/25HToulouse W65-80
25/01/25AUSBD Alencon W57-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toulouse W
Ligue 2 Women 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeLWWWW91%
AwayLWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %82%91%73%
Points / game69.470.768.0
Allowed / game60.057.562.5
Point differential+9.4+13.3+5.5
Avg total129.3128.2130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%55%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nice W
Ligue 2 Women 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL41%
HomeLLLWL36%
AwayLWLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%36%45%
Points / game64.965.164.6
Allowed / game66.868.165.5
Point differential-1.9-3.0-0.8
Avg total131.6133.2130.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%18%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toulouse W2218482%69.460.0+9.4
2 Montbrison W2215768%67.461.3+6.1
3 Pays Voironnais W2215768%68.364.0+4.3
4 Feytiat W2113862%70.665.2+5.4
5 Mondeville W2113862%71.366.0+5.2
6 Tronche Meylan W22121055%70.266.6+3.6
7 USBD Alencon W22111150%57.259.4-2.2
8 Nice W2291341%64.966.8-1.9
9 Aulnoye AS W2281436%71.575.3-3.7
10 Union Hainaut W2281436%62.767.1-4.4
11 Le Havre W2271532%62.266.4-4.2
12 Centre Federal BB W222209%54.171.3-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toulouse W169221360
Nice W13772047
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