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Nicholls State vs Central Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 79-68
37-30 42-38
Position#51
Record12-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#344
Record2-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game83.9
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Nicholls State v Central Arkansas
20 Feb 2021
NICH79
CENT68
18 Jan 2020
NICH79
CENT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#304
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H09/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#249
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A14/01
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#344
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A16/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
W
92-83
92
83
+9
A21/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H23/01
NCAA
Carver Bible
#477
W
105-60
105
60
+45
H24/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#239
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H28/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A06/02
NCAA
Lamar
#280
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A11/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#304
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-32
43-35
40-36
36-30
40-42
34-30
45-38
47-45
42-36
44-26
55-28
50-32
29-30
47-39
33-32
38-46
37-30
39-41
46-43
33-36
154.1Avg total
82.9Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.472.3149.7+5.167%
Season at home (7)87.472.0159.4+15.486%
Season away (11)71.072.5143.5-1.555%
Last 10 (10)82.971.2154.1+11.790%
Last 5 (5)82.872.4155.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.077.3149.3-5.30%
vs Similar (4)69.069.8138.8-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)80.372.8153.2+7.583%
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#239
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A02/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H07/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H09/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#22
L
69-95
69
95
-26
A14/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#51
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H16/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#14
L
58-93
58
93
-35
A23/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#304
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A28/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#249
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H30/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#239
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H06/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
57-97
57
97
-40
A13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-31
38-36
38-41
45-38
39-51
41-40
31-43
38-52
42-40
30-34
25-39
33-54
30-37
27-32
42-40
35-41
33-36
37-44
34-36
23-61
153.0Avg total
70.4Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)68.883.9152.8-15.112%
Season at home (5)76.481.0157.4-4.620%
Season away (12)65.785.2150.8-19.58%
Last 10 (10)70.482.6153.0-12.220%
Last 5 (5)63.884.0147.8-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)71.482.0153.4-10.719%
vs Similar (2)65.068.5133.5-3.550%
vs Weaker (2)76.568.5145.0+8.050%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -8.5-8.5
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -8.5-8.5
Nicholls StateCentral Arkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#304
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H09/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#249
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#344
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A16/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A21/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H23/01
NCAA
Carver Bible
#477
W
55-28
55
28
+27
H24/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#239
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H28/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A06/02
NCAA
Lamar
#280
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A11/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#304
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A14/02
NCAA
75.8Avg total
41.1Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.572.1+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.533.775.2+7.862%-
Last 30 away (17)34.535.269.7-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)41.134.775.8+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)40.032.672.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.336.769.0-4.333%-
vs Similar (4)32.032.064.0+0.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)39.234.773.9+4.561%-
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#239
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A02/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H07/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H09/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#22
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A14/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#51
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H16/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#14
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A23/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#304
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#249
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H30/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#239
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H06/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A13/02
NCAA
75.1Avg total
35.7Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.138.772.8-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (10)38.038.176.1-0.150%-
Last 30 away (20)32.139.071.1-6.925%-
Last 10 (10)35.739.475.1-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.670.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)34.638.973.5-4.335%-
vs Similar (2)30.538.068.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker (2)30.536.567.0-6.050%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nicholls State wins
1
Central Arkansas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/21ASE Louisiana86-84 OT
11/02/21ALamar76-71
06/02/21ASam Houston St.71-78
28/01/21HMcNeese State76-69
24/01/21HCarver Bible105-60
23/01/21HNew Orleans86-62
21/01/21AHouston Christian92-83
16/01/21ACentral Arkansas74-72
14/01/21ANorthwestern St.76-66
09/01/21HSE Louisiana87-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/21ASam Houston St.57-97
06/02/21HMcNeese State70-80
30/01/21HNorthwestern St.77-81
28/01/21ASE Louisiana57-69
23/01/21AAbilene Christian58-93
16/01/21HNicholls State72-74
14/01/21AStephen F. Austin69-95
09/01/21HSam Houston St.80-91
07/01/21HNew Orleans83-79
02/01/21AMcNeese State81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nicholls State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %67%86%55%
Points / game77.487.471.0
Allowed / game72.372.072.5
Point differential+5.1+15.4-1.5
Avg total149.7159.4143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%43%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %6%0%9%
Central Arkansas
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17512
Win %12%20%8%
Points / game68.876.465.7
Allowed / game83.981.085.2
Point differential-15.1-4.6-19.5
Avg total152.8157.4150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin1613381%82.271.9+10.3
2 UTRGV128467%75.467.1+8.3
3 Nicholls State1812667%77.472.3+5.1
4 Incarnate Word178947%69.669.8-0.2
5 McNeese State1981142%82.271.7+10.5
6 Northwestern St.2071335%70.878.8-8.1
7 SE Louisiana1961332%66.576.5-9.9
8 New Orleans1741324%71.876.8-4.9
9 Houston Christian1741324%72.181.1-9.0
10 Texas A&M-CC1941521%64.071.0-7.0
11 Lamar2041620%64.475.5-11.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eastern Kentucky2318578%83.073.6+9.4
2 Bellarmine1813572%74.363.3+11.0
3 Florida Gulf Coast159660%71.767.1+4.7
4 Lipscomb25151060%72.367.8+4.5
5 Austin Peay24141058%74.969.3+5.5
6 North Alabama1810856%74.268.4+5.8
7 Jacksonville24111346%67.669.5-1.9
8 Stetson2191243%71.670.1+1.5
9 North Florida2071335%69.774.9-5.2
10 Queens Royals31233%70.370.0+0.3
11 Central Arkansas1721512%68.883.9-15.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nicholls State374279
Central Arkansas303868
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