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Nigeria W vs Australia W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 75-62
18-17 23-11 10-19 24-15
Position#10
Record1-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game59.7
Allowed / game81.0
Nigeria W 🏆
vs
Australia W
Position#3
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game60.0
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nigeria W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Australia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nigeria WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
France W
#9
W
67-65
67
65
+2
no box
H11/02
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
H13/02
World Cup Women
DR Congo W
#12
W
69-35
69
35
+34
no box
H28/07
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#9
W
83-65
83
65
+18
80avg 62
A30/07
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#3
W
59-52
59
52
+7
57avg 62
H02/08
AfroBasket Women
Rwanda W
#7
W
79-48
79
48
+31
79avg 62
A03/08
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 62
H05/08
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#17
W
72-65
72
65
+7
66avg 62
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
46-100
46
100
-54
29avg 62
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
L
61-78
61
78
-17
55avg 62
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-28
16-10
21-14
19-13
20-22
22-13
22-9
9-25
16-8
13-10
17-14
23-3
18-10
24-13
14-19
27-23
16-18
13-15
18-10
12-9
22-6
22-12
14-17
21-13
19-10
24-21
19-26
22-17
20-18
17-28
12-11
23-8
13-19
7-32
15-24
11-25
11-22
18-18
13-23
19-15
134.4Avg total
69.3Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)59.781.0140.7-21.333%
Season at home (1)46.0100.0146.0-54.00%
Season away (2)66.571.5138.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)69.365.1134.4+4.280%
Last 5 (5)68.473.0141.4-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)67.183.1150.2-16.011%
vs Similar (5)66.063.0129.0+3.080%
vs Weaker (10)76.957.8134.7+19.1100%
This opponent (Australia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Australia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canada W
#6
W
95-65
95
65
+30
no box
H01/10
World Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
105-34
105
34
+71
no box
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
91-45
91
45
+46
no box
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Japan W
#2
L
66-91
66
91
-25
no box
H28/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H30/06
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
L
60-74
60
74
-14
no box
A01/07
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
81-59
81
59
+22
no box
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Brazil W
#15
W
60-55
60
55
+5
53avg 72
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
W
85-52
85
52
+33
83avg 72
H10/02
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 72
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
24-22
20-11
24-11
30-7
26-16
22-5
27-6
19-12
22-12
29-16
21-5
21-15
11-29
19-26
15-21
31-16
21-17
19-21
20-10
11-18
21-17
11-18
17-21
22-14
17-14
24-17
18-14
19-16
14-7
16-24
11-8
24-10
30-14
21-21
10-7
12-22
23-12
16-14
24-25
142.1Avg total
80.9Scored
61.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.360.0133.3+13.3100%
Season at home (1)85.052.0137.0+33.0100%
Season away (2)67.564.0131.5+3.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.961.2142.1+19.780%
Last 5 (5)72.262.6134.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.777.3142.0-12.60%
vs Similar (1)60.074.0134.0-14.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.060.2143.2+22.891%
This opponent (Nigeria W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +5.9+5.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +5.9+5.9
Nigeria WAustralia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nigeria WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France W
#9
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H11/02
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H13/02
World Cup Women
DR Congo W
#12
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H28/07
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#9
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A30/07
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#3
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H02/08
AfroBasket Women
Rwanda W
#7
W
44-18
44
18
+26
A03/08
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H05/08
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
20-51
20
51
-31
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
67.5Avg total
34.2Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)35.434.670.0+0.846%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.733.868.5+0.950%-
Last 30 away (10)36.435.872.2+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)34.233.367.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)34.637.271.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.242.175.3-8.922%-
vs Similar (5)29.834.264.0-4.420%-
vs Weaker (10)40.228.168.3+12.180%-
This opponent (Australia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Australia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canada W
#6
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H01/10
World Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
56-23
56
23
+33
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Japan W
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H28/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/06
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/07
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Brazil W
#15
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H10/02
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
73.6Avg total
42.5Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.432.774.1+8.673%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.933.073.9+7.972%-
Last 30 away (12)42.032.374.3+9.775%-
Last 10 (10)42.531.173.6+11.480%-
Last 5 (5)38.628.867.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.739.173.9-4.429%-
vs Similar (1)32.035.067.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.930.674.5+13.391%-
This opponent (Nigeria W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nigeria Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nigeria W: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.417.0
38.3%
45.1%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.4
30.0%
30.1%19.1
🏀 Free throws21.915.2
69.7%
74.5%15.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Australia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia W: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.022.1
48.1%
45.1%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.37.2
35.5%
30.1%21.7
🏀 Free throws16.913.2
78.3%
74.5%13.2
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/9 games with a box score before 29 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nigeria W
LLWWWWWWWW
Australia W
WWWWLWLWWW
#10
League position
#3
+5.7
Net rating
+26.8
85.9
Offensive rating
107.7
80.2
Defensive rating
80.9
40.5%
Effective FG%
49.7%
38.9%
Opp. effective FG%
40.3%
25.2%
Turnover %
18.9%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
36.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.0%
3-point %
35.5%
68.4%
Assist %
59.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence85.9 · 107.7Defence80.2 · 80.9Shooting40.5% · 49.7%3-point %30.0% · 35.5%Ball care25.2% · 18.9%Off. rebounds36.6% · 36.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Nigeria W   ■ Australia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nigeria W wins
0
Australia W wins
No previous meetings.
Nigeria Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24ABelgium W61-78
09/02/24HUSA W46-100
08/02/24ASenegal W72-65
05/08/23HSenegal W84-74
03/08/23ARwanda W79-48
02/08/23HMozambique W59-52
30/07/23AEgypt W83-65
28/07/23HDR Congo W69-35
13/02/22HMali W73-69
11/02/22HFrance W67-65
Australia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24ASerbia W75-73
10/02/24HGermany W85-52
08/02/24ABrazil W60-55
02/07/23HNew Zealand W81-59
01/07/23AChina W60-74
30/06/23HSouth Korea W91-64
28/06/23HJapan W66-91
27/06/23AChinese Taipei W91-45
26/06/23HPhilippines W105-34
01/10/22HCanada W95-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nigeria W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game59.746.066.5
Allowed / game81.0100.071.5
Point differential-21.3-54.0-5.0
Avg total140.7146.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Australia W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game73.385.067.5
Allowed / game60.052.064.0
Point differential+13.3+33.0+3.5
Avg total133.3137.0131.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W330100%88.043.0+45.0
2 USA W330100%94.054.7+39.3
3 Australia W330100%73.360.0+13.3
4 Spain W43175%74.575.5-1.0
5 Belgium W32167%84.769.3+15.3
6 Canada W64267%72.060.2+11.8
7 Japan W32167%82.379.3+3.0
8 Germany W32167%66.074.0-8.0
9 China W42250%84.572.0+12.5
10 Serbia W42250%67.267.0+0.2
11 Puerto Rico W73443%63.775.9-12.1
12 Hungary W31233%69.371.7-2.3
13 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
14 Nigeria W31233%59.781.0-21.3
15 Brazil W3030%63.768.3-4.7
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W3030%56.790.0-33.3
18 New Zealand W3030%51.085.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nigeria W1823102475
Australia W1711191562
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