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Niigata vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 05:10
Final 46-80
8-18 12-17 12-24 14-21
Position#14
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game75.0
Niigata
Japan
vs
Koshigaya Alphas 🏆
Japan
Position#3
Record1-0
FormW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game65.0
JapanB2.League· Niigata Higashi General Sports Center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Niigata v Koshigaya Alphas
20 Dec 2023
NIIG68
KOSH75
08 Oct 2023
NIIG46
KOSH80
07 Oct 2023
NIIG65
KOSH75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#7
L
74-88
74
88
-14
no box
H15/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#7
L
83-96
83
96
-13
no box
H16/04
B League
Yokohama
#8
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
A19/04
B League
Toyama
#22
W
89-77 OT
89
77
+12
no box
H22/04
B League
Toyama
#22
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
H23/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#17
W
98-80
98
80
+18
no box
A29/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#17
W
87-69
87
69
+18
no box
A30/04
B League
Shinshu
#10
L
62-71
62
71
-9
no box
H06/05
B League
Shinshu
#10
L
72-94
72
94
-22
no box
H07/05
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
65-75
65
75
-10
52avg 52
H07/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
18-21
18-27
21-18
20-20
17-32
27-17
19-27
16-16
25-21
20-18
19-33
12-24
22-11
22-15
19-25
28-13
21-17
21-23
24-36
19-22
24-17
29-25
26-16
18-18
23-11
22-24
24-16
12-22
12-19
22-16
16-14
14-22
21-18
21-21
16-33
25-23
10-20
9-15
21-17
163.1Avg total
80.4Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)65.075.0140.0-10.00%
Season at home (1)65.075.0140.0-10.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.482.7163.1-2.340%
Last 5 (5)76.877.8154.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)76.684.6161.2-8.022%
vs Similar (3)79.780.3160.0-0.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
75-65
75
65
+10
70avg 70
A07/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
20-10
15-9
17-21
140.0Avg total
75.0Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.065.0140.0+10.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)75.065.0140.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (1)75.065.0140.0+10.0100%
Last 5 (1)75.065.0140.0+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (1)75.065.0140.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +10.0+10.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -4.0-4.0
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +10.0+10.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -4.0-4.0
NiigataKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H15/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#7
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H16/04
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A19/04
B League
Toyama
#22
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H22/04
B League
Toyama
#22
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H23/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#17
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#17
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A30/04
B League
Shinshu
#10
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H06/05
B League
Shinshu
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H07/05
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H07/10
B2.League
76.3Avg total
37.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.040.577.5-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.042.179.1-5.125%-
Last 30 away (14)36.938.775.6-1.843%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.976.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.474.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.841.578.3-4.730%-
vs Similar (3)38.331.369.7+7.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A07/10
B2.League
78.0Avg total
43.0Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
Last 10 (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
Last 5 (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 65.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.014.0
40.0%
52.4%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.0
34.5%
33.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws12.07.0
58.3%
71.0%7.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀16%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.022.0
44.9%
52.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.04.0
23.5%
33.6%12.0
🏀 Free throws29.017.0
58.6%
71.0%17.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Niigata
LLLWWWWLLL
Koshigaya Alphas
W
#14
League position
#3
-11.0
Net rating
+11.0
89.0
Offensive rating
100.0
100.0
Defensive rating
89.0
45.3%
Effective FG%
42.4%
42.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.3%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
37.8%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.44
34.5%
3-point %
23.5%
45.8%
Assist %
80.8%
40%
Form (last 10/1)
100%

Profile

Offence89.0 · 100.0Defence100.0 · 89.0Shooting45.3% · 42.4%3-point %34.5% · 23.5%Ball care18.0% · 16.3%Off. rebounds24.4% · 37.8%Free throws0.19 · 0.44Form (last 10/1)40% · 100%
■ Niigata   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Niigata wins
1
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
07/10/23Niigata v Koshigaya Alphas65-75
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HKoshigaya Alphas65-75
07/05/23HShinshu72-94
06/05/23HShinshu62-71
30/04/23ANeoPhoenix87-69
29/04/23ANeoPhoenix98-80
23/04/23HToyama94-89
22/04/23HToyama89-77 OT
19/04/23AYokohama80-88
16/04/23HBrave Thunders83-96
15/04/23HBrave Thunders74-88
Koshigaya Alphaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23ANiigata75-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game65.065.0-
Allowed / game75.075.0-
Point differential-10.0-10.0-
Avg total140.0140.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Losses (last 1)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game65.0-65.0
Point differential+10.0-+10.0
Avg total140.0-140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba110100%95.080.0+15.0
2 Koshigaya Alphas110100%75.065.0+10.0
3 Aomori220100%80.573.5+7.0
4 Kobe220100%89.585.5+4.0
5 Shiga21150%92.588.5+4.0
6 Fukushima21150%86.083.0+3.0
7 Ehime Orange Vikings21150%76.074.0+2.0
8 Fukuoka21150%74.076.0-2.0
9 Yamagata Wyverns21150%83.086.0-3.0
10 Kumamoto21150%88.592.5-4.0
11 Shizuoka2020%85.589.5-4.0
12 Iwate2020%73.580.5-7.0
13 Niigata1010%65.075.0-10.0
14 Nara1010%80.095.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Niigata812121446
Koshigaya Alphas1817242180
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