Nitra Blue Wings vs Vienna Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 17:00

Projected 85-89

Projected total 173.8

Final 80-84

20-19 20-23 21-17 19-25

Position#35

Record1-3

FormLLLWL

Points / game75.2

Allowed / game88.8

Nitra Blue Wings

37%

63%

■ NITR 37%■ VIE 63%

Pythia win probability

Vienna Basket 🏆

Position#32

Record1-3

FormWLLLL

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game82.5

FIBA Europe CupRound 5· Mestska hala Nitra

European cup2026

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Nitra Blue Wings will host Vienna Basket in the FIBA Europe Cup on 4 November 2026, a matchup that the Pythia model predicts to be high-scoring with a projected total of 173.8 points, driven by both teams' average points per game of 75.2 and 78.2 respectively. Nitra, 1-3 in the competition, has averaged 75.2 points and allowed 88.8, while Vienna, also 1-3, averages 78.2 and concedes 82.5, placing them 44th and 39th in the league. At home, Nitra is 1-1, scoring 80.0 and allowing 84.0, and has won only one of its last five games, with a recent loss to Kosice Wolves 84-92, a win over Parnu 82-80 and a defeat by Levice 73-85. Vienna, on the road, is 0-2, averaging 67.0 and conceding 76.0, and has also won only one of its last five, suffering losses to KK Bosna 81-88, Keravnos 83-85 and Mega Basket 88-94. The model favours Vienna with a 63% chance of victory, projecting a 85-89 scoreline and a 44% probability that the home team covers the 2.5-point line; the over on the 162.5 line has a 75% chance, and there is a 4% chance of overtime. Vienna's recent road struggles suggest the Blue Wings may find a way to close the gap, but the projected points indicate a tight contest that could swing on a single defensive play.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nitra Blue Wings winLost

37.4%fair 2.67

Best odds2.20

Implied43.6%

Edge-6.2pp

Vienna Basket winWon

62.6%fair 1.60

Best odds1.69

Implied56.4%

Edge+6.2pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 03 Nov 08:29 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nitra Blue WingsLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormWings

Date

Competition

MBK Handlova

98-81

+17

91avg 73

A30/09

Extraliga

BKM Lucenec

87-94

-7

72avg 73

A03/10

Extraliga

Szczecin

#17

81-88

-7

67avg 73

A07/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Iskra Svit

#11

91-65

+26

93avg 73

H10/10

Extraliga

Keravnos

#22

78-88

-10

62avg 73

H14/10

FIBA Europe Cup

BC Prievidza

79-122

122

-43

66avg 73

A17/10

Extraliga

Nancy

60-99

-39

52avg 73

A20/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Levice

73-85

-12

66avg 73

H24/10

Extraliga

Parnu

#38

82-80

75avg 73

H28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Kosice Wolves

84-92

-8

66avg 73

H31/10

Extraliga

24-14

22-26

33-19

19-22

24-16

22-32

22-19

19-27

25-23

18-18

13-21

25-26

21-19

23-19

26-15

21-12

21-23

16-22

26-18

15-25

17-30

18-31

28-33

16-28

11-18

13-29

20-24

21-15

19-26

15-23

18-21

32-12

13-20

20-26

17-22

17-26

17-25

28-22

22-19

170.7Avg total

81.3Scored

89.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	75.2	88.8	164.0	-13.5	25%
Season at home (2)	80.0	84.0	164.0	-4.0	50%
Season away (2)	70.5	93.5	164.0	-23.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	89.4	170.7	-8.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	95.6	171.2	-20.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	75.2	92.0	167.2	-16.8	17%
vs Similar (13)	76.2	80.2	156.5	-4.0	38%
vs Weaker (11)	86.5	73.3	159.7	+13.2	91%

This opponent (Vienna Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vienna BasketLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBasket

Date

Competition

Promitheas

#18

82-92

-10

75avg 77

A15/09

Champions League

Cluj-Napoca

#12

84-95

-11

75avg 77

H03/10

ABA League

Nancy

65-66

-1

63avg 77

A06/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Partizan

78-99

-21

70avg 77

A11/10

ABA League

Szczecin

#17

96-93

93avg 77

H13/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Zadar

#13

78-63

+15

86avg 77

H16/10

ABA League

Parnu

#38

69-86

-17

67avg 77

A22/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Mega Basket

#18

88-94

-6

79avg 77

H24/10

ABA League

Keravnos

#22

83-85

-2

81avg 77

H27/10

FIBA Europe Cup

KK Bosna

81-88

-7

68avg 77

H30/10

ABA League

19-16

16-28

30-23

17-25

19-25

22-20

15-21

28-29

13-19

16-24

16-12

20-11

19-24

19-27

22-24

18-24

23-27

24-21

23-20

26-25

22-21

18-13

21-14

17-15

21-14

16-24

17-24

15-24

26-23

27-20

16-27

19-24

22-26

25-22

20-22

16-15

17-27

28-21

21-21

15-19

166.5Avg total

80.4Scored

86.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	78.2	82.5	160.8	-4.2	25%
Season at home (2)	89.5	89.0	178.5	+0.5	50%
Season away (2)	67.0	76.0	143.0	-9.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	86.1	166.5	-5.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	83.2	163.0	-3.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	87.3	93.4	180.7	-6.1	29%
vs Similar (14)	82.4	85.9	168.3	-3.4	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	88.0	94.0	182.0	-6.0	0%

This opponent (Nitra Blue Wings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 174 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 170-174 (12%). The market's main line is 162.5.

Over/Under 157.5Actual: Over 157.5

Over 157.5

83.8%

@ 1.50+21.3pp

Under 157.5

16.2%

@ 2.50-21.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.50

Marathon Be

1.49

Under

Bet365

2.50

Over/Under 162.5 · main lineActual: Over 162.5

Over 162.5

75.0%

@ 1.85+25.0pp

Under 162.5

25.0%

@ 1.88-25.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.85

Marathon Be

1.85

1xBet

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Under

Marathon Be

1.88

1xBet

1.88

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Over/Under 167.5Actual: Under 167.5

Over 167.5

64.2%

@ 2.50+26.7pp

Under 167.5

35.8%

@ 1.52-26.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

Under

Marathon Be

1.52

Bet365

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Nitra Blue Wings total 75.5Actual: Nitra Blue Wings over 75.5

Over 75.5

80.0%

Under 75.5

20.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Nitra Blue Wings total 79.5 · main lineActual: Nitra Blue Wings over 79.5

Over 79.5

68.2%

@ 1.80+16.3pp

Under 79.5

31.8%

@ 1.93-16.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.80

1xBet

1.76

Marathon Be

1.76

Under

1xBet

1.93

Marathon Be

1.93

BetVictor

1.91

Betano

1.85

Nitra Blue Wings total 83.5Actual: Nitra Blue Wings under 83.5

Over 83.5

54.2%

Under 83.5

45.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Vienna Basket total 78.5Actual: Vienna Basket over 78.5

Over 78.5

84.0%

Under 78.5

16.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Vienna Basket total 82.5 · main lineActual: Vienna Basket over 82.5

Over 82.5

73.0%

@ 1.88+23.0pp

Under 82.5

27.0%

@ 1.85-23.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.88

1xBet

1.85

Marathon Be

1.85

Betano

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Under

1xBet

1.85

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.80

Vienna Basket total 86.5Actual: Vienna Basket under 86.5

Over 86.5

59.2%

Under 86.5

40.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Nitra Blue Wings's side (positive = Nitra Blue Wings win). Pythia's expected margin is -4.1; Nitra Blue Wings win by 1+ in 32% of simulations.

Spread Nitra Blue Wings -0.5Actual: Vienna Basket +0.5

NITR -0.5

37.4%

VIE +0.5

62.6%

Best 5 market prices

NITR

No market prices yet.

VIE

No market prices yet.

Spread Nitra Blue Wings +2.5 · main lineActual: Vienna Basket -2.5

NITR +2.5

43.6%

@ 1.88-6.4pp

VIE -2.5

56.4%

@ 1.87+6.4pp

Best 5 market prices

NITR

BetVictor

1.88

Marathon Be

1.87

1xBet

1.87

Bet365

1.83

Betfair

1.83

VIE

Marathon Be

1.87

1xBet

1.87

Bet365

1.83

Betfair

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Spread Nitra Blue Wings +5.5Actual: Nitra Blue Wings +5.5

NITR +5.5

53.3%

@ 1.56-4.6pp

VIE -5.5

46.7%

@ 2.30+4.6pp

Best 5 market prices

NITR

Marathon Be

1.56

1xBet

1.56

Bet365

1.55

VIE

Bet365

2.30

Marathon Be

2.15

1xBet

2.15

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Nitra Blue WingsVienna Basket

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.8	39.6	+2.1	57%	37%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	17.8	40.2	+4.6	69%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.9	39.0	-0.7	43%	36%
Last 10 (10)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.6	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.3	23.0	43.3	-2.7	50%	67%
vs Similar (13)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	46%	31%
vs Weaker (11)	22.5	16.9	39.5	+5.6	73%	27%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	21.1	23.6	44.7	-2.5	27%	67%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.1	38%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	24.5	44.9	-4.1	14%	71%
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.2	42.3	-2.1	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.2	43.8	-0.6	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.5	25.4	45.9	-4.9	14%	71%
vs Similar (14)	21.5	22.4	43.9	-0.9	29%	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	26.0	23.0	49.0	+3.0	100%	100%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.5	30%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.5	38%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	20.5	39.4	-1.6	21%	50%
Last 10 (10)	17.9	23.7	41.6	-5.8	10%	60%
Last 5 (5)	15.6	24.0	39.6	-8.4	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.3	22.0	39.3	-4.7	17%	33%
vs Similar (13)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.2	8%	46%
vs Weaker (11)	22.0	18.7	40.7	+3.3	64%	45%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.9	43.3	-0.4	53%	83%
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.2	75%	88%
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	22.4	41.4	-3.5	29%	79%
Last 10 (10)	21.1	22.0	43.1	-0.9	60%	90%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	21.9	22.6	44.5	-0.6	50%	86%
vs Similar (14)	20.9	20.9	41.8	+0.1	57%	79%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	27.0	20.0	47.0	+7.0	100%	100%

Nitra Blue WingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MBK Handlova

46-40

A30/09

Extraliga

BKM Lucenec

46-48

-2

A03/10

Extraliga

Szczecin

#17

43-41

A07/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Iskra Svit

#11

44-38

H10/10

Extraliga

Keravnos

#22

37-45

-8

H14/10

FIBA Europe Cup

BC Prievidza

35-61

-26

A17/10

Extraliga

Nancy

27-46

-19

A20/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Levice

40-41

-1

H24/10

Extraliga

Parnu

#38

45-32

+13

H28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Kosice Wolves

34-51

-17

H31/10

Extraliga

84.0Avg total

39.7Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	39.7	39.1	78.8	+0.6	57%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	38.1	79.2	+3.1	69%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	40.4	78.4	-2.3	43%	36%
Last 10 (10)	39.7	44.3	84.0	-4.6	40%	80%
Last 5 (5)	36.2	46.2	82.4	-10.0	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.7	45.0	82.7	-7.3	33%	67%
vs Similar (13)	36.5	39.4	75.9	-2.8	38%	23%
vs Weaker (11)	44.5	35.6	80.2	+8.9	91%	45%

This opponent (Vienna Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vienna BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Promitheas

#18

35-44

-9

A15/09

Champions League

Cluj-Napoca

#12

41-45

-4

H03/10

ABA League

Nancy

29-43

-14

A06/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Partizan

38-51

-13

A11/10

ABA League

Szczecin

#17

47-48

-1

H13/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Zadar

#13

40-34

H16/10

ABA League

Parnu

#38

37-38

-1

A22/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Mega Basket

#18

53-43

+10

H24/10

ABA League

Keravnos

#22

47-48

-1

H27/10

FIBA Europe Cup

KK Bosna

45-48

-3

H30/10

ABA League

85.4Avg total

41.2Scored

44.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	42.5	45.5	88.0	-2.9	27%	73%
Last 30 at home (16)	45.4	44.2	89.6	+1.2	44%	88%
Last 30 away (14)	39.3	46.9	86.2	-7.6	7%	57%
Last 10 (10)	41.2	44.2	85.4	-3.0	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	44.4	42.2	86.6	+2.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	42.4	47.9	90.4	-5.5	7%	86%
vs Similar (14)	42.4	43.3	85.7	-0.9	43%	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	53.0	43.0	96.0	+10.0	100%	100%

This opponent (Nitra Blue Wings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Vienna Basket win

NITR win

42.5%

@ 2.05-2.6pp

VIE win

57.5%

@ 1.70+2.6pp

1st half Spread Nitra Blue Wings +1.5 · main lineActual: Vienna Basket -1.5

NITR +1.5

48.9%

@ 1.87-1.8pp

VIE -1.5

51.1%

@ 1.91+1.8pp

1st half Over/Under 80.5 · main lineActual: Over 80.5

Over

73.2%

@ 1.88+23.3pp

Under

26.8%

@ 1.91-23.3pp

Nitra Blue Wings 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Nitra Blue Wings over 39.5

Over

67.0%

@ 1.88+17.4pp

Under

33.0%

@ 1.93-17.4pp

Vienna Basket 1st half total 41 · main lineActual: Vienna Basket over 41

Over

69.1%

@ 1.85+19.1pp

Under

30.9%

@ 1.85-19.1pp

1st half: NITR + total 80.5

NITR & over

30.4%

@ 4.10+9.2pp

NITR & under

10.5%

@ 4.10-10.6pp

1st half: Draw + total 80.5

Draw & over

2.6%

@ 26.00-0.7pp

Draw & under

1.2%

@ 26.00-2.1pp

1st half: VIE + total 80.5

VIE & over

40.2%

@ 3.40+14.7pp

VIE & under

15.1%

@ 3.40-10.4pp

1st half Over/Under 82Push

Over

68.9%

@ 1.89+20.5pp

Under

31.1%

@ 1.77-20.5pp

1st half Spread Nitra Blue Wings +0.5Actual: Vienna Basket -0.5

NITR +0.5

44.7%

@ 1.95-3.1pp

VIE -0.5

55.3%

@ 1.80+3.1pp

1st half Spread Nitra Blue Wings +2.5Actual: Nitra Blue Wings +2.5

NITR +2.5

53.0%

@ 1.68-0.3pp

VIE -2.5

47.0%

@ 1.92+0.3pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Vienna Basket (regulation)

NITR

40.9%

@ 2.20-0.6pp

Draw

3.8%

@ 17.00-1.7pp

VIE

55.3%

@ 1.75+2.7pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.4	39.9	+1.2	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	50%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.1	57%	29%
Last 10 (10)	22.4	22.5	44.9	-0.1	50%	80%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	26.6	47.4	-5.8	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.8	23.5	42.3	-4.7	33%	50%
vs Similar (13)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	54%	46%
vs Weaker (11)	22.5	17.1	39.5	+5.4	64%	45%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-0.9	40%	60%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.6	31%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	21.5	42.8	-0.2	50%	64%
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.8	40.9	-0.7	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	21.5	20.7	42.2	+0.8	50%	71%
vs Similar (14)	19.2	21.7	40.9	-2.5	29%	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	16.0	27.0	43.0	-11.0	0%	100%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-2.0	37%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	19.3	40.1	+1.5	56%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	24.1	42.1	-6.1	14%	64%
Last 10 (10)	19.2	22.6	41.8	-3.4	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.2	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.7	23.5	42.2	-4.8	17%	50%
vs Similar (13)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.5	54%	38%
vs Weaker (11)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.1	27%	55%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.3	43.3	-1.3	47%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	22.2	43.5	-1.0	50%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	22.3	43.0	-1.6	43%	50%
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.0	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.4	35.8	-3.0	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	21.6	23.4	45.0	-1.7	50%	64%
vs Similar (14)	20.8	20.9	41.6	-0.1	50%	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	19.0	24.0	43.0	-5.0	0%	100%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	40.1	40.9	81.0	-0.8	50%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	42.2	39.5	81.8	+2.8	62%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	42.5	80.1	-4.9	36%	50%
Last 10 (10)	41.6	45.1	86.7	-3.5	30%	80%
Last 5 (5)	39.4	49.4	88.8	-10.0	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.5	47.0	84.5	-9.5	17%	67%
vs Similar (13)	39.7	40.8	80.5	-1.2	54%	62%
vs Weaker (11)	41.9	37.6	79.5	+4.3	64%	27%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	41.5	43.7	85.3	-2.2	37%	60%
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	43.7	84.8	-2.6	31%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	42.0	43.8	85.8	-1.8	43%	57%
Last 10 (10)	39.2	41.9	81.1	-2.7	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	35.4	41.0	76.4	-5.6	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	43.1	44.1	87.2	-0.9	43%	64%
vs Similar (14)	40.0	42.6	82.6	-2.6	36%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	35.0	51.0	86.0	-16.0	0%	100%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

NITR win + total 162.5

🔒 Pro

VIE win + total 162.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: NITR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: VIE leads at half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 162	76.5%	1.80	Marathon Bet 1.80	1xBet 1.80	Bet365 1.80	-	-	+25.0pp	Won
Over 162.5	75.0%	1.84	WilliamHill 1.85	Marathon Bet 1.85	1xBet 1.85	BetVictor 1.85	Bet365 1.83	+25.0pp	Won
Over 163	74.5%	1.87	Marathon Bet 1.87	1xBet 1.87	Bet365 1.86	-	-	+24.9pp	Won
Over 165	70.2%	2.03	Bet365 2.10	Marathon Bet 2.00	1xBet 2.00	-	-	+24.9pp	Lost
Over 161	78.4%	1.71	Marathon Bet 1.71	1xBet 1.71	Bet365 1.71	-	-	+24.7pp	Won
Over 164	72.4%	1.95	Bet365 2.00	Marathon Bet 1.92	1xBet 1.92	-	-	+24.7pp	Push
Over 160	80.2%	1.64	Bet365 1.66	Marathon Bet 1.63	1xBet 1.63	-	-	+24.6pp	Won
Over 163.5	73.0%	1.92	Bet365 1.95	WilliamHill 1.91	Marathon Bet 1.90	1xBet 1.90	-	+24.5pp	Won
1st half: Over 79.5	76.1%	1.79	Marathon Bet 1.79	1xBet 1.79	-	-	-	+24.3pp	Won
1st half: Over 80	75.4%	1.81	Marathon Bet 1.81	1xBet 1.81	-	-	-	+24.3pp	Won
1st half: Over 81	72.3%	1.93	Marathon Bet 1.93	1xBet 1.93	-	-	-	+24.3pp	Won
Over 161.5	77.0%	1.75	Marathon Bet 1.75	1xBet 1.75	Bet365 1.74	-	-	+24.3pp	Won
Over 160.5	78.8%	1.67	Bet365 1.68	Marathon Bet 1.67	1xBet 1.67	-	-	+24.2pp	Won
Over 164.5	70.9%	1.98	Bet365 2.05	Marathon Bet 1.95	1xBet 1.95	-	-	+24.2pp	Lost
Over 159.5	80.6%	1.61	Bet365 1.62	Marathon Bet 1.60	1xBet 1.60	-	-	+24.1pp	Won
Over 159	81.9%	1.58	Bet365 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.56	-	-	-	+24.1pp	Won
Vienna Basket over 82	75.3%	1.78	1xBet 1.78	Marathon Bet 1.78	-	-	-	+23.7pp	Won
Vienna Basket over 83	72.1%	1.89	1xBet 1.89	Marathon Bet 1.89	-	-	-	+23.5pp	Won
1st half: Over 80.5	73.2%	1.84	BetVictor 1.88	Marathon Bet 1.86	1xBet 1.86	Bet365 1.83	Betfair 1.83	+23.3pp	Won
Vienna Basket over 81.5	76.1%	1.71	1xBet 1.71	-	-	-	-	+23.1pp	Won
Vienna Basket over 82.5	73.0%	1.85	BetVictor 1.88	1xBet 1.85	Marathon Bet 1.85	Betano 1.85	Bet365 1.83	+23.0pp	Won
Over 158.5	82.2%	1.54	Bet365 1.57	Marathon Bet 1.54	1xBet 1.52	-	-	+22.9pp	Won
Q2: Over 39	73.5%	1.82	Marathon Bet 1.82	1xBet 1.82	-	-	-	+22.7pp	Won
Q2: Over 38.5	74.7%	1.75	Marathon Bet 1.75	1xBet 1.75	-	-	-	+21.9pp	Won
Q2: Over 39.5	70.1%	1.90	Marathon Bet 1.90	1xBet 1.90	-	-	-	+21.4pp	Won
Over 157.5	83.8%	1.50	Bet365 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.49	-	-	-	+21.3pp	Won
2nd half: Over 80	71.1%	1.79	Marathon Bet 1.79	1xBet 1.79	-	-	-	+19.4pp	Won
1st half: Nitra Blue Wings over 39	70.5%	1.81	Marathon Bet 1.81	1xBet 1.81	-	-	-	+19.4pp	Won
1st half: Nitra Blue Wings over 38.5	71.9%	1.75	Marathon Bet 1.75	1xBet 1.75	-	-	-	+19.1pp	Won
1st half: Vienna Basket over 40.5	70.7%	1.79	Bet365 1.80	Marathon Bet 1.78	1xBet 1.78	-	-	+18.7pp	Won
Over 152.5	90.3%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+18.4pp	Won
2nd half: Vienna Basket over 40	72.0%	1.71	Marathon Bet 1.71	-	-	-	-	+18.4pp	Won
Q1: Over 40	70.8%	1.75	Marathon Bet 1.75	1xBet 1.75	-	-	-	+17.9pp	Lost
Q2: Nitra Blue Wings over 18.5	70.5%	1.74	Marathon Bet 1.74	1xBet 1.74	-	-	-	+17.3pp	Won
Nitra Blue Wings over 78.5	71.4%	1.66	1xBet 1.66	-	-	-	-	+17.0pp	Won
Q4: Vienna Basket over 19.5	70.5%	1.69	Marathon Bet 1.69	-	-	-	-	+16.3pp	Won
Q1: Over 39.5	72.2%	1.56	1xBet 1.56	-	-	-	-	+14.5pp	Lost
Over 147.5	94.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+14.2pp	Won
Vienna Basket over 71.5	95.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+13.7pp	Won
Vienna Basket over 69.5	96.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Nitra Blue Wings over 69.5	91.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
Over 142.5	97.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Vienna Basket over 67.5	97.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
Nitra Blue Wings over 67.5	95.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Won
Vienna Basket over 65.5	98.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Over 137.5	98.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Nitra Blue Wings over 65.5	96.7%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Nitra Blue Wings over 63.5	97.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Vienna Basket over 63.5	99.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Nitra Blue Wings over 61.5	98.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Vienna Basket over 61.5	99.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Nitra Blue Wings over 59.5	99.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Vienna Basket +17.5	94.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Vienna Basket +7.5	80.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.5%	1.02	Betano 1.03	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+4.6pp	-
Vienna Basket +22.5	97.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Nitra Blue Wings +27.5	96.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Vienna Basket +12.5	89.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Q2: Nitra Blue Wings or Vienna Basket	94.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	-
Nitra Blue Wings +22.5	91.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Nitra Blue Wings +17.5	84.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won
Nitra Blue Wings +12.5	74.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-3.8pp	Won
Under 187.5	80.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-9.0pp	Won
Under 182.5	71.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-15.0pp	Won
Over 156.5	85.3%	1.44	Marathon Bet 1.44	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Over 157	85.1%	1.46	Marathon Bet 1.46	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Over 158	83.6%	1.51	Marathon Bet 1.51	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Vienna Basket +5	75.5%	1.32	Marathon Bet 1.32	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Vienna Basket +4.5	73.6%	1.36	Marathon Bet 1.36	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Vienna Basket +4	72.8%	1.37	Marathon Bet 1.37	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Vienna Basket +3.5	70.8%	1.41	Marathon Bet 1.41	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Vienna Basket +3	70.1%	1.43	Marathon Bet 1.43	-	-	-	-	-	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Nitra Blue Wingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nitra Blue Wings: 81.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	18.7	48.7%	53.4%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	9.9	32.8%	32.5%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.2	71.0%	72.8%	14.2

They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Vienna Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vienna Basket: 80.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	19.3	52.2%	53.4%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.2	8.1	34.9%	32.5%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	21.9	17.2	78.5%	72.8%	17.2

They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.4	23.1	55.8%	53.4%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.3	8.3	39.0%	32.5%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	24.3	18.3	75.3%	72.8%	18.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	21.1	60.1%	53.4%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	9.3	31.2%	32.5%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.6	70.9%	72.8%	15.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	20.5	51.8%	53.4%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	8.4	29.8%	32.5%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	19.8	13.4	67.7%	72.8%	13.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	20.0	55.1%	53.4%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	8.6	34.5%	32.5%	25.7
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.4	75.4%	72.8%	16.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	20.2	52.7%	53.4%	40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.7	7.3	32.1%	32.5%	21.8
🏀 Free throws	24.2	17.7	73.0%	72.8%	17.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	20.3	58.5%	53.4%	40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	10.3	36.3%	32.5%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	22.4	17.1	76.2%	72.8%	17.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Nitra Blue Wings

LWLLLLWLLW

Vienna Basket

LLLLWWLLLL

#35

League position

#32

-9.0

Net rating

-6.6

90.2

Offensive rating

95.1

99.2

Defensive rating

101.7

48.9%

Effective FG%

52.2%

56.7%

Opp. effective FG%

54.0%

15.1%

Turnover %

15.6%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.36

32.8%

3-point %

34.9%

61.5%

Assist %

70.1%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

20%

Profile

■ Nitra Blue Wings ■ Vienna Basket

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nitra Blue Wings wins

Vienna Basket wins

No previous meetings.

Nitra Blue Wingslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/26	H	Kosice Wolves	84-92
28/10/26	H	Parnu	82-80
24/10/26	H	Levice	73-85
20/10/26	A	Nancy	60-99
17/10/26	A	BC Prievidza	79-122
14/10/26	H	Keravnos	78-88
10/10/26	H	Iskra Svit	91-65
07/10/26	A	Szczecin	81-88
03/10/26	A	BKM Lucenec	87-94
30/09/26	A	MBK Handlova	98-81

Vienna Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/26	H	KK Bosna	81-88
27/10/26	H	Keravnos	83-85
24/10/26	H	Mega Basket	88-94
22/10/26	A	Parnu	69-86
16/10/26	H	Zadar	78-63
13/10/26	H	Szczecin	96-93
11/10/26	A	Partizan	78-99
06/10/26	A	Nancy	65-66
03/10/26	H	Cluj-Napoca	84-95
15/09/26	A	Promitheas	82-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nitra Blue Wings

FIBA Europe Cup 2026

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLW	25%
Home	LW	50%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	25%	50%	0%
Points / game	75.2	80.0	70.5
Allowed / game	88.8	84.0	93.5
Point differential	-13.5	-4.0	-23.0
Avg total	164.0	164.0	164.0
Over 162.5	50%	50%	50%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vienna Basket

FIBA Europe Cup 2026

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLL	25%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	25%	50%	0%
Points / game	78.2	89.5	67.0
Allowed / game	82.5	89.0	76.0
Point differential	-4.2	+0.5	-9.0
Avg total	160.8	178.5	143.0
Over 162.5	50%	100%	0%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Esenler Erokspor	5	5	0	100%	96.2	72.0	+24.2
2	Trier	4	4	0	100%	95.5	75.5	+20.0
3	Mykonos	5	5	0	100%	84.8	74.8	+10.0
4	Basquet Girona	5	4	1	80%	91.2	73.2	+18.0
5	Nancy	5	4	1	80%	84.4	69.8	+14.6
6	Korfez Basket	5	4	1	80%	84.6	73.4	+11.2
7	Bakken Bears	5	4	1	80%	82.6	81.2	+1.4
8	Chalon/Saone	4	3	1	75%	86.8	72.2	+14.5
9	Benfica	4	3	1	75%	93.8	87.0	+6.8
10	Trepca	4	3	1	75%	83.8	77.5	+6.2
11	Szczecin	4	3	1	75%	87.2	82.2	+5.0
12	AEK Larnaca	4	3	1	75%	84.2	80.2	+4.0
13	Dziki Warszawa	4	3	1	75%	86.2	83.0	+3.2
14	Wurzburg	5	3	2	60%	85.8	75.4	+10.4
15	Kolossos Rhodes	5	3	2	60%	77.4	67.8	+9.6
16	CSM Oradea	5	3	2	60%	86.4	80.4	+6.0
17	Keravnos	5	3	2	60%	79.8	79.0	+0.8
18	Split	5	3	2	60%	81.6	81.0	+0.6
19	Sporting CP	5	3	2	60%	76.8	79.2	-2.4
20	Dinamo Bucharest	6	3	3	50%	87.5	77.7	+9.8
21	BC Prievidza	6	3	3	50%	89.8	82.7	+7.2
22	VEF Riga	4	2	2	50%	97.0	90.0	+7.0
23	Iraklis	4	2	2	50%	84.8	79.8	+5.0
24	Promitheas	4	2	2	50%	86.8	82.0	+4.8
25	Geneva Lions	4	2	2	50%	86.8	82.8	+4.0
26	BC Kalev/Cramo	4	2	2	50%	82.8	83.2	-0.5
27	Lok. Plovdiv	4	2	2	50%	85.2	86.0	-0.8
28	Oostende	4	2	2	50%	78.2	80.0	-1.8
29	Szolnoki Olaj	4	2	2	50%	80.5	85.2	-4.8
30	Zielona Gora	4	2	2	50%	77.2	85.0	-7.8
31	Denizli Basket	5	2	3	40%	83.2	83.0	+0.2
32	Levice	5	2	3	40%	73.2	79.6	-6.4
33	Tartu Ulikool	5	2	3	40%	88.8	101.4	-12.6
34	Parnu	6	2	4	33%	72.8	77.3	-4.5
35	Manchester Basketball	3	1	2	33%	77.3	92.0	-14.7
36	Gence	3	1	2	33%	64.7	79.7	-15.0
37	Opava	4	1	3	25%	82.5	82.0	+0.5
38	Vienna Basket	4	1	3	25%	78.2	82.5	-4.2
39	Valmiera Glass Via	4	1	3	25%	80.2	87.2	-7.0
40	SCM Craiova	4	1	3	25%	85.2	94.5	-9.2
41	Bashkimi	4	1	3	25%	72.8	82.8	-10.0
42	Absheron Lions	4	1	3	25%	87.2	97.5	-10.2
43	Fribourg Olympic	4	1	3	25%	73.2	85.2	-12.0
44	Nitra Blue Wings	4	1	3	25%	75.2	88.8	-13.5
45	Neftchi IK	6	1	5	17%	74.8	84.2	-9.3
46	MZT Skopje	4	0	4	0%	73.2	82.8	-9.5
47	Rilski Sportist	4	0	4	0%	73.2	92.0	-18.8
48	Batumi	5	0	5	0%	68.8	94.6	-25.8
49	Samobor	2	0	2	0%	74.0	100.5	-26.5
50	Peja	2	0	2	0%	70.5	100.5	-30.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nitra Blue Wings	20	20	21	19	80
Vienna Basket	19	23	17	25	84

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Nitra Blue Wings vs Vienna Basket Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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