NLEX Road Warriors vs Alaska Aces Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Nov 2019

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 90-106

23-33 23-30 19-18 25-25

Position#3

Record8-2

FormWWWWL

Points / game108.4

Allowed / game103.5

NLEX Road Warriors

Alaska Aces 🏆

Position#8

Record4-6

FormWLWWW

Points / game92.4

Allowed / game98.6

Governors Cup

Other2019

Meetings · NLEX Road Warriors v Alaska Aces

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NLEX Road Warriors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alaska Aces winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NLEX Road Warriors Philippines

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Phoenix Fuelmasters

#11

123-116

123

116

A21/09

Governors Cup

Meralco Bolts

105-99

105

H27/09

Governors Cup

Blackwater Bossing

#12

115-109

115

109

A29/09

Governors Cup

San Miguel Beermen

94-98

-4

A04/10

Governors Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

113-111 OT

113

111

H05/10

Governors Cup

Terrafirma Dyip

#10

117-111

117

111

A16/10

Governors Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

126-113

126

113

+13

H25/10

Governors Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

111-91

111

+20

A30/10

Governors Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

86-85

A10/11

Governors Cup

NorthPort

94-102

102

-8

A13/11

Governors Cup

27-29

25-26

42-29

29-32

28-25

27-21

28-22

22-31

19-25

33-21

33-35

30-28

18-20

23-22

28-29

25-27

22-29

17-30

33-27

31-17

28-20

26-24

33-33

30-34

24-26

27-27

39-27

36-33

23-27

28-22

32-16

28-26

16-39

13-12

28-20

29-14

28-25

23-18

27-38

16-21

211.9Avg total

108.4Scored

103.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	108.4	103.5	211.9	+4.9	80%
Season at home (3)	114.7	107.7	222.3	+7.0	100%
Season away (7)	105.7	101.7	207.4	+4.0	71%
Last 10 (10)	108.4	103.5	211.9	+4.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	106.8	100.4	207.2	+6.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	95.5	103.3	198.8	-7.9	33%
vs Similar (10)	94.7	91.8	186.5	+2.9	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	116.8	106.8	223.6	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Alaska Aces) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alaska Aces Philippines

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Terrafirma Dyip

#10

110-117

110

117

-7

H20/09

Governors Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

83-102

102

-19

A22/09

Governors Cup

San Miguel Beermen

83-109

109

-26

H29/09

Governors Cup

Meralco Bolts

75-101

101

-26

A04/10

Governors Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

90-95

-5

H06/10

Governors Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

78-71

H13/10

Governors Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

93-99 OT

-6

A18/10

Governors Cup

Blackwater Bossing

#12

101-91

101

+10

H26/10

Governors Cup

NorthPort

106-99

106

A03/11

Governors Cup

Phoenix Fuelmasters

#11

105-102

105

102

H13/11

Governors Cup

22-28

34-28

25-37

29-24

13-29

19-23

26-25

25-25

29-25

13-24

17-32

24-28

22-20

15-23

24-29

14-29

20-20

20-29

30-22

20-24

18-11

22-24

22-17

16-19

25-24

22-27

20-19

22-19

29-19

31-17

24-39

17-16

28-29

25-19

30-28

23-23

32-19

17-34

31-23

25-26

191.0Avg total

92.4Scored

98.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	92.4	98.6	191.0	-6.2	40%
Season at home (6)	94.5	97.5	192.0	-3.0	50%
Season away (4)	89.2	100.2	189.5	-11.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	92.4	98.6	191.0	-6.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	96.6	92.4	189.0	+4.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	86.5	98.1	184.6	-11.5	8%
vs Similar (15)	99.7	96.1	195.9	+3.6	67%
vs Weaker (2)	88.0	82.5	170.5	+5.5	50%

This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NLEX Road WarriorsAlaska Aces

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	23.7	46.3	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.2	22.8	47.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	24.6	45.7	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	26.5	49.8	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	27.4	51.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.9	23.8	45.7	-1.9	47%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.3	24.3	45.6	-3.0	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	27.2	22.4	49.6	+4.8	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	22.0	45.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.7	20.3	43.1	+2.4	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.8	24.5	48.2	-0.8	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	22.4	46.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	20.4	46.8	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	21.8	21.9	43.7	-0.2	54%	-
vs Similar (15)	25.1	22.8	47.9	+2.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	16.5	33.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	23.1	46.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	24.7	48.3	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	21.6	44.7	+1.4	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	22.3	46.5	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.6	44.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	22.5	24.8	47.3	-2.3	53%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.4	20.3	41.7	+1.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	29.4	23.4	52.8	+6.0	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	23.5	45.6	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.8	22.8	45.6	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.2	24.5	45.8	-3.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	24.8	46.6	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	24.2	47.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.9	24.9	45.8	-4.0	15%	-
vs Similar (15)	23.4	22.9	46.3	+0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	50%	-

NLEX Road WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Phoenix Fuelmasters

#11

52-55

-3

A21/09

Governors Cup

Meralco Bolts

55-46

H27/09

Governors Cup

Blackwater Bossing

#12

52-46

A29/09

Governors Cup

San Miguel Beermen

41-42

-1

A04/10

Governors Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

39-59

-20

H05/10

Governors Cup

Terrafirma Dyip

#10

54-44

+10

A16/10

Governors Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

51-53

-2

H25/10

Governors Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

51-49

A30/10

Governors Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

29-51

-22

A10/11

Governors Cup

NorthPort

51-43

A13/11

Governors Cup

96.3Avg total

47.5Scored

48.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	46.8	92.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.8	47.5	95.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.2	46.2	90.4	-2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.5	48.8	96.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	48.0	95.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	44.4	48.6	93.0	-4.2	47%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.7	44.6	87.3	-1.9	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	56.6	45.8	102.4	+10.8	80%	-

This opponent (Alaska Aces) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alaska AcesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Terrafirma Dyip

#10

56-56

H20/09

Governors Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

32-52

-20

A22/09

Governors Cup

San Miguel Beermen

42-49

-7

H29/09

Governors Cup

Meralco Bolts

37-43

-6

A04/10

Governors Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

40-49

-9

H06/10

Governors Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

40-35

H13/10

Governors Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

47-51

-4

A18/10

Governors Cup

Blackwater Bossing

#12

60-36

+24

H26/10

Governors Cup

NorthPort

53-48

A03/11

Governors Cup

Phoenix Fuelmasters

#11

49-53

-4

H13/11

Governors Cup

92.8Avg total

45.6Scored

47.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.3	45.5	90.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	45.5	43.1	88.6	+2.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	45.0	49.0	94.0	-4.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	47.2	92.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.8	44.6	94.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	42.7	46.8	89.5	-4.2	23%	-
vs Similar (15)	48.5	45.7	94.2	+2.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	35.0	73.0	+3.0	50%	-

This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.0	28.5	55.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	26.3	29.9	56.2	-3.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	27.6	27.2	54.8	+0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.3	27.6	59.9	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	26.8	58.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	25.1	28.9	54.0	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	27.7	25.7	53.4	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	31.4	32.6	64.0	-1.2	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.9	25.2	50.1	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	24.7	25.1	49.8	-0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	25.2	25.2	50.5	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	27.1	52.0	-2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	25.2	50.6	+0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	23.2	26.5	49.7	-3.4	31%	-
vs Similar (15)	26.5	24.7	51.2	+1.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	20.0	44.0	+4.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.6	24.5	50.1	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	26.9	24.9	51.9	+2.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.4	24.2	48.6	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.6	26.3	53.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	25.6	53.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	25.3	25.3	50.6	+0.1	47%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.3	21.5	45.8	+2.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	28.8	28.4	57.2	+0.4	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	24.9	47.4	-2.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.4	25.0	47.4	-2.6	22%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.7	24.7	47.3	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	23.3	44.8	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.4	23.9	44.3	-3.5	31%	-
vs Similar (15)	23.9	25.3	49.2	-1.5	27%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	27.5	53.5	-1.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	52.6	53.0	105.6	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	53.2	54.9	108.1	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	52.0	51.4	103.4	+0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	59.9	53.9	113.8	+6.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	59.6	52.4	112.0	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	50.4	54.2	104.6	-3.8	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	52.0	47.2	99.2	+4.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	60.2	61.0	121.2	-0.8	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.4	50.0	97.4	-2.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	47.1	50.1	97.2	-3.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	47.9	49.9	97.8	-2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	50.4	96.8	-4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	45.8	91.8	+0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	43.5	50.5	94.0	-6.9	31%	-
vs Similar (15)	50.4	50.0	100.4	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	50.0	47.5	97.5	+2.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

NLEX Road Warriors wins

Alaska Aces wins

Date	Game	Score
29/05/19	Alaska Aces v NLEX Road Warriors	100-87
05/04/19	Alaska Aces v NLEX Road Warriors	88-80
13/03/19	NLEX Road Warriors v Alaska Aces	91-70
26/10/18	NLEX Road Warriors v Alaska Aces	116-110 OT
15/06/18	NLEX Road Warriors v Alaska Aces	111-120
07/03/18	Alaska Aces v NLEX Road Warriors	83-87
05/03/18	NLEX Road Warriors v Alaska Aces	105-99
11/02/18	NLEX Road Warriors v Alaska Aces	96-89
19/07/17	Alaska Aces v NLEX Road Warriors	104-112
24/05/17	NLEX Road Warriors v Alaska Aces	100-92

NLEX Road Warriorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/19	A	NorthPort	94-102
10/11/19	A	Magnolia Hotshots	86-85
30/10/19	A	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	111-91
25/10/19	H	TNT Tropang Giga	126-113
16/10/19	A	Terrafirma Dyip	117-111
05/10/19	H	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	113-111 OT
04/10/19	A	San Miguel Beermen	94-98
29/09/19	A	Blackwater Bossing	115-109
27/09/19	H	Meralco Bolts	105-99
21/09/19	A	Phoenix Fuelmasters	123-116

Alaska Aceslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/19	H	Phoenix Fuelmasters	105-102
03/11/19	A	NorthPort	106-99
26/10/19	H	Blackwater Bossing	101-91
18/10/19	A	TNT Tropang Giga	93-99 OT
13/10/19	H	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	78-71
06/10/19	H	Magnolia Hotshots	90-95
04/10/19	A	Meralco Bolts	75-101
29/09/19	H	San Miguel Beermen	83-109
22/09/19	A	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	83-102
20/09/19	H	Terrafirma Dyip	110-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NLEX Road Warriors

Governors Cup 2019

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	80%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LWWWL	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	3	7
Win %	80%	100%	71%
Points / game	108.4	114.7	105.7
Allowed / game	103.5	107.7	101.7
Point differential	+4.9	+7.0	+4.0
Avg total	211.9	222.3	207.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	10%	33%	0%

Alaska Aces

Governors Cup 2019

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	40%
Home	LLWWW	50%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	40%	50%	25%
Points / game	92.4	94.5	89.2
Allowed / game	98.6	97.5	100.2
Point differential	-6.2	-3.0	-11.0
Avg total	191.0	192.0	189.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	10%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	NLEX Road Warriors	10	8	2	80%	108.4	103.5	+4.9
2	Meralco Bolts	11	8	3	73%	102.7	91.0	+11.7
3	TNT Tropang Giga	10	7	3	70%	110.3	106.4	+3.9
4	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	11	7	4	64%	102.6	97.3	+5.4
5	San Miguel Beermen	10	6	4	60%	106.6	106.0	+0.6
6	Magnolia Hotshots	11	6	5	55%	92.1	89.9	+2.2
7	NorthPort	11	5	6	45%	98.2	100.2	-2.0
8	Alaska Aces	10	4	6	40%	92.4	98.6	-6.2
9	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	11	4	7	36%	87.0	89.3	-2.3
10	Terrafirma Dyip	11	4	7	36%	103.1	107.8	-4.7
11	Phoenix Fuelmasters	11	3	8	27%	101.2	107.0	-5.8
12	Blackwater Bossing	11	2	9	18%	98.5	105.9	-7.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
NLEX Road Warriors	23	23	19	25	90
Alaska Aces	33	30	18	25	106

← all games of the day

NLEX Road Warriors vs Alaska Aces Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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