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Norrkoping W vs Lund W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 80-53
26-12 23-15 17-11 14-15
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game66.0
Vs
92%
■ NORR 92%■ LUND 8%
Pythia win probability
Projected 83-67
Projected total 150.2
Position#10
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game59.8
Allowed / game75.2
SwedenBasketligan WRound 5· Stadium Arena B
Women2026-27
Meetings · Norrkoping W v Lund W
01 Nov 2026
NORR80
LUND53
04 Oct 2025
NORR88
LUND78
19 Mar 2025
NORR88
LUND62
24 Jan 2024
NORR112
LUND66
16 Oct 2022
NORR89
LUND83
29 Jan 2022
NORR81
LUND75
27 Jan 2021
NORR89
LUND67
30 Nov 2019
NORR61
LUND57
10 Feb 2019
NORR78
LUND65
03 Feb 2018
NORR59
LUND67
25 Feb 2017
NORR61
LUND66
21 Dec 2016
NORR65
LUND55
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Norrkoping W host Lund W in the Basketligan W. Pythia makes Norrkoping W the favourite at 92% and projects 83-67, about 150 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%. Norrkoping W are 4-0 this season (80.2 scored, 66.0 allowed a game), form LWWWW; Lund W are 0-4 this season (59.8 scored, 75.2 allowed a game), form WLLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norrkoping W winWon
92.4%fair 1.08
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lund W winLost
7.6%fair 13.23
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Norrkoping WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
82avg 74
A28/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
85-75
85
75
+10
87avg 74
H30/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
76avg 74
A08/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
59-66
59
66
-7
45avg 74
H11/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
69-84
69
84
-15
60avg 74
A13/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
76-78
76
78
-2
66avg 74
H16/04
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
83-62
83
62
+21
61avg 74
H04/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
W
71-64
71
64
+7
60avg 74
A11/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#11
W
76-64
76
64
+12
64avg 74
H18/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
W
91-74
91
74
+17
86avg 74
A24/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
22-25
23-19
20-18
24-19
15-18
27-17
19-21
18-27
23-16
19-19
26-20
11-22
8-23
19-13
21-8
9-19
20-18
18-24
22-23
17-19
24-25
17-24
18-10
16-22
21-12
23-11
23-17
14-20
14-14
19-19
24-11
19-16
28-13
13-18
16-17
19-9
22-22
24-18
26-25
151.1Avg total
78.1Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.266.0146.2+14.2100%
Season at home (2)79.563.0142.5+16.5100%
Season away (2)81.069.0150.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.173.0151.1+5.170%
Last 5 (5)79.468.4147.8+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)74.080.0154.0-6.00%
vs Similar (15)77.181.2158.3-4.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.864.6148.4+19.293%
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#3
L
77-83
77
83
-6
63avg 65
H11/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
89-95
89
95
-6
78avg 65
H14/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
85-92 OT
85
92
-7
56avg 65
H24/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
86-48
86
48
+38
76avg 65
A01/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
62-82
62
82
-20
43avg 65
A07/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
68avg 65
A21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
65-74
65
74
-9
no box
A03/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
60-68
60
68
-8
50avg 65
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
L
63-71
63
71
-8
59avg 65
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
51-88
51
88
-37
43avg 65
H25/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
17-17
19-21
20-19
21-17
17-23
21-32
30-23
25-16
16-14
6-22
22-17
26-14
22-11
12-12
26-11
17-25
13-16
17-17
15-24
22-18
19-20
24-18
20-17
15-19
14-25
19-17
17-13
12-22
20-8
15-22
13-16
17-19
23-11
12-26
11-15
20-17
7-25
11-19
13-27
149.7Avg total
72.3Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)59.875.2135.0-15.50%
Season at home (2)55.578.0133.5-22.50%
Season away (2)64.072.5136.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)72.377.4149.7-5.120%
Last 5 (5)64.874.8139.6-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)69.481.4150.8-12.011%
vs Similar (5)82.683.0165.6-0.440%
vs Weaker (7)84.068.7152.7+15.371%
This opponent (Norrkoping W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 144.5Actual: Under 144.5
Over 144.5
63.6%
Under 144.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 149.5Actual: Under 149.5
Over 149.5
51.5%
Under 149.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 154.5Actual: Under 154.5
Over 154.5
39.3%
Under 154.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Norrkoping W total 72.5Actual: Norrkoping W over 72.5
Over 72.5
86.5%
Under 72.5
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrkoping W total 76.5Actual: Norrkoping W over 76.5
Over 76.5
75.9%
Under 76.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrkoping W total 80.5Actual: Norrkoping W under 80.5
Over 80.5
61.7%
Under 80.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lund W total 69Actual: Lund W under 69
Over 69
40.5%
Under 69
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lund W total 73Actual: Lund W under 73
Over 73
25.8%
Under 73
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lund W total 77Actual: Lund W under 77
Over 77
14.7%
Under 77
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Norrkoping W -3Actual: Norrkoping W -3
NORR -3
89.5%
LUND +3
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
NORR
No market prices yet.
LUND
No market prices yet.
Spread Norrkoping W 0Actual: Norrkoping W 0
NORR 0
92.4%
LUND 0
7.6%
Best 5 market prices
NORR
No market prices yet.
LUND
No market prices yet.
Spread Norrkoping W +3Actual: Norrkoping W +3
NORR +3
95.1%
LUND -3
4.9%
Best 5 market prices
NORR
No market prices yet.
LUND
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
Norrkoping WLund W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Norrkoping WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A28/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H30/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A08/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
19-45
19
45
-26
H11/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A13/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H16/04
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A11/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#11
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H18/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A24/10
Basketligan W
74.2Avg total
36.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.137.475.5+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.737.376.0+1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)37.537.575.0+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.874.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.473.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.050.086.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (15)36.142.778.7-6.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.530.871.3+9.779%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H11/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H14/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H24/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A01/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A07/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A03/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H25/10
Basketligan W
72.7Avg total
36.4Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.139.075.0-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.437.673.9-1.236%-
Last 30 away (16)35.840.276.0-4.438%-
Last 10 (10)36.436.372.7+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.836.870.6-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.241.675.8-7.422%-
vs Similar (5)38.635.874.4+2.860%-
vs Weaker (7)39.034.473.4+4.657%-
This opponent (Norrkoping W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Norrkoping Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrkoping W: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.7
50.4%
47.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
30.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.711.6
73.9%
71.4%11.6
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.121.1
43.0%
47.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.4
26.1%
30.3%19.2
🏀 Free throws18.612.8
68.8%
71.4%12.8
They take 73.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Norrkoping W
WWWWLLLWWW
Lund W
LLLLWLWLLL
#2
League position
#10
+3.6
Net rating
-2.7
85.2
Offensive rating
75.0
81.6
Defensive rating
77.7
49.6%
Effective FG%
41.7%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.3%
3-point %
26.1%
55.5%
Assist %
53.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence85.2 · 75.0Defence81.6 · 77.7Shooting49.6% · 41.7%3-point %32.3% · 26.1%Ball care18.6% · 18.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Norrkoping W   ■ Lund W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Norrkoping W wins
1
Lund W wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Lund W v Norrkoping W58-70
04/10/25Norrkoping W v Lund W88-78
19/03/25Norrkoping W v Lund W88-62
28/09/24Lund W v Norrkoping W66-91
24/01/24Norrkoping W v Lund W112-66
14/10/23Lund W v Norrkoping W62-79
11/03/23Lund W v Norrkoping W90-74
16/10/22Norrkoping W v Lund W89-83
29/01/22Norrkoping W v Lund W81-75
06/11/21Lund W v Norrkoping W70-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AOstersund W91-74
18/10/26HHogsbo W76-64
11/10/26AVisby W71-64
04/10/26HBrahe W83-62
16/04/26HSodertalje W76-78
13/04/26ASodertalje W69-84
11/04/26HSodertalje W59-66
08/04/26ASodertalje W86-82
30/03/26HUppsala W85-75
28/03/26AUppsala W85-81
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HLulea W51-88
19/10/26AAIK Basket W63-71
11/10/26HUppsala W60-68
03/10/26AOstersund W65-74
21/03/26AAlvik W85-73
07/03/26AOstersund W62-82
01/03/26AVisby W86-48
24/02/26HMalbas Malmo W85-92 OT
14/02/26HOstersund W89-95
11/02/26HHogsbo W77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norrkoping W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.279.581.0
Allowed / game66.063.069.0
Point differential+14.2+16.5+12.0
Avg total146.2142.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lund W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game59.855.564.0
Allowed / game75.278.072.5
Point differential-15.5-22.5-8.5
Avg total135.0133.5136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvik W440100%83.065.8+17.2
2 Norrkoping W440100%80.266.0+14.2
3 Lulea W54180%99.256.2+43.0
4 Onsala W54180%88.063.8+24.2
5 Sodertalje W54180%73.269.0+4.2
6 Ostersund W53260%80.079.2+0.8
7 Uppsala W42250%80.072.0+8.0
8 Visby W52340%74.876.4-1.6
9 AIK Basket W51420%65.683.2-17.6
10 Lund W4040%59.875.2-15.5
11 Hogsbo W5050%58.090.0-32.0
12 Brahe W5050%55.695.8-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Norrkoping W2623171480
Lund W1215111553
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