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Georgia State vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 65-53
33-21 32-32
Position#38
Record10-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#261
Record10-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game64.7
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Georgia State v Troy
04 Feb 2026
GEOR63
TROY74
03 Feb 2024
GEOR74
TROY78
12 Jan 2023
GEOR53
TROY65
03 Feb 2022
GEOR63
TROY67
20 Feb 2021
GEOR65
TROY53
19 Feb 2021
GEOR80
TROY66
01 Feb 2020
GEOR78
TROY84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Carver Bible
#477
W
122-57
122
57
+65
H18/12
NCAA
Charleston
#205
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#59
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A01/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#59
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A02/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#59
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#130
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A22/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#130
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A23/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#115
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H09/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Troy
#261
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
61-26
61-31
43-28
29-27
33-39
36-42
34-34
36-28
36-35
35-33
35-37
36-43
26-37
35-37
37-33
30-37
38-42
41-33
37-34
43-32
145.0Avg total
76.2Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.573.3154.9+8.267%
Season at home (8)85.566.5152.0+19.088%
Season away (7)77.081.1158.1-4.143%
Last 10 (10)76.268.8145.0+7.460%
Last 5 (5)71.673.0144.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.070.3140.3-0.367%
vs Similar (14)77.179.6156.8-2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.568.3150.8+14.269%
This opponent (Troy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#59
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A22/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#59
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A23/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#130
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H30/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#130
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H30/01
NCAA
Spring Hill
#380
W
90-73
90
73
+17
H03/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
L
64-79
64
79
-15
H06/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#115
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A12/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#115
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#38
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-36
38-54
36-25
29-45
37-30
34-32
32-30
33-29
44-29
46-44
27-20
41-36
27-39
37-40
36-36
34-37
19-31
32-27
34-37
32-43
139.1Avg total
69.1Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)64.767.6132.2-2.943%
Season at home (9)70.859.7130.4+11.178%
Season away (14)60.772.6133.4-11.921%
Last 10 (10)69.170.0139.1-0.940%
Last 5 (5)63.869.2133.0-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)61.571.8133.3-10.322%
vs Similar (4)73.272.5145.8+0.850%
vs Weaker (2)74.539.5114.0+35.0100%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -3.1-3.1
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -3.1-3.1
Georgia StateTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Carver Bible
#477
W
61-26
61
26
+35
H18/12
NCAA
Charleston
#205
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H22/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#59
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A01/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#59
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A02/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#59
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H16/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#130
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A22/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#130
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A23/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#115
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H09/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Troy
#261
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H19/02
NCAA
72.5Avg total
38.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.935.474.3+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.534.176.6+8.475%-
Last 30 away (14)34.836.871.6-2.029%-
Last 10 (10)38.034.572.5+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.671.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.336.070.3-1.733%-
vs Similar (14)37.137.474.5-0.243%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.833.174.9+8.869%-
This opponent (Troy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#59
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A22/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#59
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A23/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#130
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H30/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#130
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H30/01
NCAA
Spring Hill
#380
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H03/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H06/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H06/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#115
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A12/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#115
L
19-31
19
31
-12
H13/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#38
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A19/02
NCAA
64.8Avg total
33.5Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.534.064.5-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.931.263.2+0.754%-
Last 30 away (17)29.436.165.5-6.629%-
Last 10 (10)33.531.364.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)28.632.661.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)29.335.464.7-6.135%-
vs Similar (4)29.834.063.8-4.225%-
vs Weaker (2)39.019.558.5+19.5100%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Georgia State wins
2
Troy wins
DateGameScore
19/02/21Georgia State v Troy80-66
01/02/20Georgia State v Troy78-84
18/01/20Troy v Georgia State75-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/21HTroy80-66
11/02/21HGeorgia Southern79-75
09/02/21HSouth Alabama67-70
23/01/21AAppalachian State61-74
22/01/21AAppalachian State71-80
16/01/21HCoastal Carolina71-68
02/01/21ACoastal Carolina70-62
01/01/21ACoastal Carolina69-81
22/12/20HCharleston72-55
18/12/20HCarver Bible122-57
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/21AGeorgia State66-80
13/02/21HSouth Alabama51-58
12/02/21ASouth Alabama70-73
06/02/21HGeorgia Southern64-79
06/02/21HGeorgia Southern68-56
03/02/21HSpring Hill90-73
30/01/21HAppalachian State65-59
30/01/21HAppalachian State71-62
23/01/21ACoastal Carolina65-70
22/01/21ACoastal Carolina81-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW67%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%88%43%
Points / game81.585.577.0
Allowed / game73.366.581.1
Point differential+8.2+19.0-4.1
Avg total154.9152.0158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Troy
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWWWLL78%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23914
Win %43%78%21%
Points / game64.770.860.7
Allowed / game67.659.772.6
Point differential-2.9+11.1-11.9
Avg total132.2130.4133.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%44%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison1813572%78.569.6+8.9
2 Texas State2115671%67.262.3+4.9
3 Marshall1712571%82.573.1+9.4
4 Coastal Carolina1812667%81.867.7+14.2
5 Georgia State1510567%81.573.3+8.2
6 Louisiana Lafayette2114767%75.373.1+2.1
7 South Alabama2315865%74.770.2+4.5
8 Old Dominion1711665%69.669.8-0.2
9 Appalachian State2012860%71.762.8+8.9
10 Georgia Southern22121055%72.967.9+5.0
11 Arkansas State1910953%75.470.7+4.6
12 Troy23101343%64.767.6-2.9
13 Southern Miss2281436%64.966.6-1.7
14 Louisiana Monroe2061430%65.569.9-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia State333265
Troy213253
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