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North Macedonia vs Lithuania Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 67-82
9-23 18-21 16-20 24-18
Position#15
Record6-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game65.0
vs
Position#4
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game64.5
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· SRC Kale
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Macedonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lithuania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North MacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMacedonia
Date
Competition
Spain
#7
L
44-80
44
80
-36
no box
A01/07
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
68-73
68
73
-5
no box
H04/07
World Cup
Denmark
#27
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
A25/08
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
H28/08
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
58-36
58
36
+22
no box
H10/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
no box
H13/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
79-41
79
41
+38
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
69-74
69
74
-5
58avg 76
H23/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
96-71
96
71
+25
94avg 76
A26/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
6-26
8-17
13-18
21-35
16-12
16-10
15-16
14-18
20-11
21-26
18-15
19-26
21-20
19-17
20-12
16-11
18-7
11-11
13-7
14-20
18-17
16-17
16-10
15-22
23-22
8-17
27-21
24-12
21-14
15-10
19-5
20-19
23-17
10-21
16-17
25-16
22-22
22-12
27-21
138.6Avg total
71.3Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.165.0140.1+10.175%
Season at home (4)70.064.0134.0+6.075%
Season away (4)80.266.0146.2+14.275%
Last 10 (10)71.367.3138.6+4.060%
Last 5 (5)78.267.8146.0+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.180.3148.4-12.217%
vs Similar (6)72.772.5145.2+0.250%
vs Weaker (12)77.268.8146.1+8.475%
This opponent (Lithuania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLithuania
Date
Competition
France
#8
L
63-70
63
70
-7
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
93-67
93
67
+26
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
96-66
96
66
+30
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
68-87
68
87
-19
no box
H05/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H07/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
63-98
63
98
-35
no box
A09/09
World Cup
Poland
#24
W
83-64
83
64
+19
76avg 83
H22/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
59-65
59
65
-6
49avg 83
A26/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-11
13-24
16-18
20-17
26-12
20-22
24-19
23-14
32-17
21-17
23-17
20-15
26-27
22-13
18-10
25-21
20-20
19-23
25-15
28-9
25-24
13-25
17-24
13-14
33-21
20-22
22-20
25-21
20-28
18-21
9-28
16-21
16-19
19-11
27-19
21-15
18-17
19-24
13-9
9-15
154.7Avg total
80.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.064.5135.5+6.550%
Season at home (1)83.064.0147.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)59.065.0124.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)80.873.9154.7+6.960%
Last 5 (5)74.679.6154.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.091.2165.2-17.20%
vs Similar (9)84.378.0162.3+6.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.868.7152.4+15.188%
This opponent (North Macedonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +3.8+3.8
North MacedoniaLithuania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
North MacedoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#7
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A01/07
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/07
World Cup
Denmark
#27
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A25/08
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H28/08
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
34-18
34
18
+16
H10/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H13/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H23/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A26/02
EuroBasket
73.9Avg total
37.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.238.174.3-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.939.775.7-3.833%-
Last 30 away (15)36.536.472.9+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)37.336.673.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.277.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.941.275.2-7.325%-
vs Similar (6)36.335.271.5+1.250%-
vs Weaker (12)38.536.374.8+2.258%-
This opponent (Lithuania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LithuaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France
#8
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A26/02
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A25/08
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H27/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H01/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H05/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H07/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A09/09
World Cup
Poland
#24
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H22/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A26/02
EuroBasket
81.2Avg total
41.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.080.8+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.140.182.2+2.062%-
Last 30 away (14)41.437.779.1+3.764%-
Last 10 (10)41.439.881.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.482.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.043.882.8-4.820%-
vs Similar (9)43.840.984.7+2.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.636.478.0+5.175%-
This opponent (North Macedonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
North Macedoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

North Macedonia: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.1
52.3%
50.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.2
31.3%
32.5%24.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.1
73.9%
71.4%13.1
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lithuaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.015.5
48.4%
50.6%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.0
35.3%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.512.0
68.6%
71.4%12.0
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/2 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
North Macedonia
WLWLWWWWLL
Lithuania
LWLWLWWWWL
#15
League position
#4
+14.0
Net rating
+9.7
102.8
Offensive rating
104.6
88.8
Defensive rating
94.8
50.0%
Effective FG%
50.4%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
14.9%
Turnover %
11.9%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
16.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.3%
3-point %
35.3%
55.5%
Assist %
59.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 104.6Defence88.8 · 94.8Shooting50.0% · 50.4%3-point %31.3% · 35.3%Ball care14.9% · 11.9%Off. rebounds21.4% · 16.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ North Macedonia   ■ Lithuania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Macedonia wins
0
Lithuania wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/24APoland96-71
23/02/24HEstonia69-74
26/02/23ANorway79-41
23/02/23ASlovakia73-82
13/11/22HDenmark74-71 OT
10/11/22HNorway58-36
28/08/22HSlovakia79-75
25/08/22ADenmark73-70
04/07/22HUkraine68-73
01/07/22ASpain44-80
Lithuanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/24AEstonia59-65
22/02/24HPoland83-64
09/09/23ALatvia63-98
07/09/23HSlovenia100-84
05/09/23HSerbia68-87
01/09/23HGreece92-67
29/08/23AMontenegro91-71
27/08/23HMexico96-66
25/08/23AEgypt93-67
26/02/23AFrance63-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Macedonia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game75.170.080.2
Allowed / game65.064.066.0
Point differential+10.1+6.0+14.2
Avg total140.1134.0146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Lithuania
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.083.059.0
Allowed / game64.564.065.0
Point differential+6.5+19.0-6.0
Avg total135.5147.0124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia220100%76.562.0+14.5
2 Italy220100%85.071.0+14.0
3 Slovenia220100%87.576.0+11.5
4 France220100%73.562.5+11.0
5 Belgium220100%66.556.5+10.0
6 Latvia220100%71.563.5+8.0
7 Estonia220100%69.564.0+5.5
8 Greece220100%73.068.0+5.0
9 Croatia1210283%84.166.8+17.3
10 Portugal86275%82.971.6+11.2
11 North Macedonia86275%75.165.0+10.1
12 Bulgaria129375%79.472.2+7.2
13 Slovakia128467%73.268.8+4.4
14 Poland85362%78.573.9+4.6
15 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
16 Denmark169756%77.272.2+5.1
17 Bosnia & Herzegovina21150%81.570.0+11.5
18 Germany21150%73.564.0+9.5
19 Lithuania21150%71.064.5+6.5
20 Iceland21150%72.570.5+2.0
21 Montenegro21150%78.077.5+0.5
22 Czech Republic21150%77.077.0+0.0
23 Great Britain21150%90.092.0-2.0
24 Turkey21150%78.081.0-3.0
25 Israel21150%75.579.0-3.5
26 Sweden21150%77.082.5-5.5
27 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
28 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
29 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
30 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
31 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
32 Georgia31233%74.078.0-4.0
33 Finland31233%77.784.0-6.3
34 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
35 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
36 Cyprus141137%63.480.9-17.4
37 Netherlands2020%83.086.0-3.0
38 Spain2020%64.068.5-4.5
39 Ukraine2020%75.083.0-8.0
40 Hungary2020%63.576.5-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
North Macedonia918162467
Lithuania2321201882
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