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Poland vs North Macedonia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-96
16-25 22-22 12-22 21-27
Position#24
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#15
Record5-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game64.1
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· ArcelorMittal Park
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Macedonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Serbia
#3
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
A08/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
94-86
94
86
+8
no box
A11/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
W
90-87
90
87
+3
no box
A14/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
54-95
54
95
-41
no box
H16/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
A18/09
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
79-64
79
64
+15
no box
H10/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
87-79
87
79
+8
no box
A13/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
64-83
64
83
-19
61avg 61
A22/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
19-24
17-20
19-24
24-21
18-24
27-22
25-19
29-26
29-13
6-24
26-24
9-15
9-19
18-30
18-31
14-19
9-17
26-18
20-28
17-15
15-22
27-8
20-19
21-18
13-19
24-19
29-23
26-21
31-17
14-19
16-15
21-27
14-15
23-16
22-12
19-16
11-19
19-27
15-21
158.7Avg total
77.3Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.670.7150.3+8.971%
Season at home (3)78.369.3147.7+9.067%
Season away (4)80.571.8152.2+8.875%
Last 10 (10)77.381.4158.7-4.160%
Last 5 (5)79.473.6153.0+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.284.8161.0-8.631%
vs Similar (10)82.573.0155.5+9.580%
vs Weaker (4)74.869.0143.8+5.875%
This opponent (North Macedonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North MacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMacedonia
Date
Competition
Georgia
#32
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
44-80
44
80
-36
no box
A01/07
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
68-73
68
73
-5
no box
H04/07
World Cup
Denmark
#27
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
A25/08
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
H28/08
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
58-36
58
36
+22
no box
H10/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
no box
H13/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
79-41
79
41
+38
77avg 67
A26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
69-74
69
74
-5
58avg 67
H23/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
14-25
17-15
13-21
17-19
6-26
8-17
13-18
21-35
16-12
16-10
15-16
14-18
20-11
21-26
18-15
19-26
21-20
19-17
20-12
16-11
18-7
11-11
13-7
14-20
18-17
16-17
16-10
15-22
23-22
8-17
27-21
24-12
21-14
15-10
19-5
20-19
23-17
10-21
16-17
136.3Avg total
68.2Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.164.1136.3+8.071%
Season at home (4)70.064.0134.0+6.075%
Season away (3)75.064.3139.3+10.767%
Last 10 (10)68.268.1136.3+0.150%
Last 5 (5)70.660.8131.4+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.180.3148.4-12.217%
vs Similar (7)74.171.9146.0+2.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)75.568.6144.2+6.973%
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
PolandNorth Macedonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#3
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A08/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A11/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A14/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
18-34
18
34
-16
H16/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A18/09
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H10/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A13/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H23/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A26/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A22/02
EuroBasket
75.7Avg total
36.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.076.5-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.137.376.4+1.850%-
Last 30 away (18)36.540.176.6-3.622%-
Last 10 (10)36.239.575.7-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.875.4-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.140.076.1-3.925%-
vs Similar (10)40.037.077.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker (4)37.040.077.0-3.025%-
This opponent (North Macedonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North MacedoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#32
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H27/02
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A01/07
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/07
World Cup
Denmark
#27
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A25/08
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H28/08
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
34-18
34
18
+16
H10/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H13/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H23/02
EuroBasket
73.2Avg total
36.1Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.938.073.9-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.139.575.6-3.438%-
Last 30 away (14)35.836.372.1-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.173.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.270.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.941.275.2-7.325%-
vs Similar (7)36.635.371.9+1.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)37.736.273.9+1.555%-
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.7 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.9
50.8%
50.6%35.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.6
36.6%
32.5%28.7
🏀 Free throws20.114.0
69.5%
71.4%14.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
North Macedoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

North Macedonia: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.3
51.1%
50.6%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.9
30.1%
32.5%23.6
🏀 Free throws18.013.1
73.0%
71.4%13.1
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poland
LWWWWLLWWL
North Macedonia
LWLWWWWLLL
#24
League position
#15
+11.3
Net rating
+11.6
106.7
Offensive rating
99.7
95.4
Defensive rating
88.1
52.6%
Effective FG%
48.5%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
18.2%
Turnover %
15.0%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
20.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.6%
3-point %
30.1%
75.0%
Assist %
54.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 99.7Defence95.4 · 88.1Shooting52.6% · 48.5%3-point %36.6% · 30.1%Ball care18.2% · 15.0%Off. rebounds27.6% · 20.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Poland   ■ North Macedonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Poland wins
0
North Macedonia wins
No previous meetings.
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24ALithuania64-83
26/02/23ASwitzerland80-70
23/02/23HAustria87-72
13/11/22ACroatia87-79
10/11/22HSwitzerland79-64
18/09/22AGermany69-82
16/09/22HFrance54-95
14/09/22ASlovenia90-87
11/09/22AUkraine94-86
08/09/22ASerbia69-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24HEstonia69-74
26/02/23ANorway79-41
23/02/23ASlovakia73-82
13/11/22HDenmark74-71 OT
10/11/22HNorway58-36
28/08/22HSlovakia79-75
25/08/22ADenmark73-70
04/07/22HUkraine68-73
01/07/22ASpain44-80
27/02/22HGeorgia65-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game79.678.380.5
Allowed / game70.769.371.8
Point differential+8.9+9.0+8.8
Avg total150.3147.7152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Macedonia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game72.170.075.0
Allowed / game64.164.064.3
Point differential+8.0+6.0+10.7
Avg total136.3134.0139.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%99.066.0+33.0
2 Lithuania110100%83.064.0+19.0
3 Serbia110100%77.061.0+16.0
4 Italy220100%85.071.0+14.0
5 France110100%73.061.0+12.0
6 Slovenia220100%87.576.0+11.5
7 Belgium220100%66.556.5+10.0
8 Greece110100%72.064.0+8.0
9 Latvia220100%71.563.5+8.0
10 Estonia110100%74.069.0+5.0
11 Great Britain110100%98.094.0+4.0
12 Croatia119282%83.467.1+16.3
13 Portugal86275%82.971.6+11.2
14 Bulgaria129375%79.472.2+7.2
15 Poland75271%79.670.7+8.9
16 North Macedonia75271%72.164.1+8.0
17 Slovakia128467%73.268.8+4.4
18 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
19 Denmark169756%77.272.2+5.1
20 Germany21150%73.564.0+9.5
21 Iceland21150%72.570.5+2.0
22 Montenegro21150%78.077.5+0.5
23 Turkey21150%78.081.0-3.0
24 Israel21150%75.579.0-3.5
25 Sweden21150%77.082.5-5.5
26 Finland21150%75.081.0-6.0
27 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
28 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
29 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
30 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
31 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
32 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
33 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
34 Cyprus131128%63.580.0-16.5
35 Netherlands1010%94.098.0-4.0
36 Spain2020%64.068.5-4.5
37 Georgia1010%69.075.0-6.0
38 Czech Republic1010%64.072.0-8.0
39 Ukraine2020%75.083.0-8.0
40 Hungary2020%63.576.5-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poland1622122171
North Macedonia2522222796
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