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Northeastern vs Harvard Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 75-74
Projected total 149.0
Final 74-70 (OT)
29-19 31-41 14-10
Position#298
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game95.0
Northeastern 🏆
USA
Vs
55%
45%
■ NORT 55%■ HARV 45%
Pythia win probability
Harvard
USA
Position#154
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game46.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Northeastern v Harvard
10 Nov 2026
NORT74
HARV70
13 Nov 2024
NORT78
HARV56
16 Nov 2022
NORT69
HARV70
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Northeastern and Harvard face off in the NCAA on 10 November 2026, a contest where the margin is razor-thin as both squads have shown uneven fortunes this season. Northeastern, 0-2 overall, averages 78.5 points and concedes 95.0, sits 348th in the league, and has lost four of its last five games, including defeats to Virginia 72-97 and Boston University 85-93, while Harvard, 2-0 overall, posts 68.0 points and 46.0 allowed, ranks 72nd, and has won three of its last five, highlighted by a 63-47 win over Chicago Maroons. Their head-to-head record stands 2-3 in favor of Harvard, though Northeastern last claimed the series with a 77-60 victory in 2025. Pythia rates Northeastern the favourite with a 55% chance of triumph against Harvard's 45%, projecting a 75-74 score and 149 total points; the home line of 3.5 gives a 65% probability that Northeastern will cover, while the 146.5 total carries a 55% over probability, and a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Harvard can sustain its defensive edge against Northeastern's offensive surge.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northeastern winWon
55.3%fair 1.81
Best odds2.30
Implied41.5%
Edge+13.8pp
Harvard winLost
44.7%fair 2.24
Best odds1.62
Implied58.5%
Edge-13.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NortheasternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#100
L
67-94
67
94
-27
H13/02
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H20/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H21/02
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A27/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A28/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H04/03
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
88-72
88
72
+16
A06/03
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Boston University
#194
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A03/11
NCAA
Virginia
#39
L
72-97
72
97
-25
A06/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-45
33-49
24-29
37-41
30-39
38-43
32-35
45-49
38-33
27-43
42-52
41-37
40-24
48-48
22-39
55-45
36-46
49-47
31-38
41-59
158.4Avg total
74.3Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.595.0173.5-16.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)78.595.0173.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)74.384.1158.4-9.810%
Last 5 (5)81.087.0168.0-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)75.884.9160.7-9.112%
vs Similar (4)72.273.0145.2-0.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Harvard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HarvardUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth
#272
W
71-58
71
58
+13
A07/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H14/02
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
75-76 OT
75
76
-1
H14/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
73-54
73
54
+19
A21/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H07/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
60-62 OT
60
62
-2
H14/03
NCAA
MIT
#405
W
73-45
73
45
+28
H03/11
NCAA
Chicago Maroons
#361
W
63-47
63
47
+16
A08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-30
39-28
31-22
25-31
34-30
32-36
25-24
48-30
21-33
37-23
31-21
30-43
38-33
43-38
26-30
27-23
39-22
34-23
35-20
28-27
125.7Avg total
67.1Scored
58.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.046.0114.0+22.0100%
Season at home (1)73.045.0118.0+28.0100%
Season away (1)63.047.0110.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)67.158.6125.7+8.570%
Last 5 (5)67.657.8125.4+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.075.3142.3-8.333%
vs Similar (14)69.365.8135.1+3.557%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)71.167.0138.1+4.164%
This opponent (Northeastern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 141.5Actual: Over 141.5
Over 141.5
67.0%
@ 1.47+4.5pp
Under 141.5
33.0%
@ 2.45-4.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.45
Over/Under 146.5 · main lineActual: Under 146.5
Over 146.5
55.4%
@ 1.88+5.4pp
Under 146.5
44.6%
@ 1.90-5.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.88
Betano
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Under
Betano
1.90
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
BetVictor
1.80
Over/Under 151.5Actual: Under 151.5
Over 151.5
43.4%
@ 2.45+5.9pp
Under 151.5
56.6%
@ 1.47-5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Northeastern total 67.5Actual: Northeastern over 67.5
Over 67.5
no forecast
@ 1.36
Under 67.5
no forecast
@ 2.70
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Under
Betano
2.70
Northeastern total 71.5 · main lineActual: Northeastern over 71.5
Over 71.5
64.2%
@ 1.85+13.0pp
Under 71.5
35.8%
@ 1.93-13.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
Northeastern total 75.5Actual: Northeastern under 75.5
Over 75.5
48.9%
@ 2.47+12.4pp
Under 75.5
51.1%
@ 1.42-12.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Under
Betano
1.42
Harvard total 70.5Actual: Harvard under 70.5
Over 70.5
62.2%
@ 1.40-2.6pp
Under 70.5
37.8%
@ 2.57+2.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.57
Harvard total 74.5 · main lineActual: Harvard under 74.5
Over 74.5
46.9%
@ 1.87-3.1pp
Under 74.5
53.1%
@ 1.87+3.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.83
Under
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Harvard total 78.5Actual: Harvard under 78.5
Over 78.5
32.1%
@ 2.50-4.1pp
Under 78.5
67.9%
@ 1.42+4.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Northeastern +0.5Actual: Northeastern +0.5
NORT +0.5
55.3%
HARV -0.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
NORT
No market prices yet.
HARV
No market prices yet.
Spread Northeastern +3.5 · main lineActual: Northeastern +3.5
NORT +3.5
65.4%
@ 1.83+14.4pp
HARV -3.5
34.6%
@ 1.95-14.4pp
Best 5 market prices
NORT
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.82
BetVictor
1.78
Marathon Be
1.76
HARV
Betano
1.95
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Spread Northeastern +6.5Actual: Northeastern +6.5
NORT +6.5
75.1%
@ 1.47+12.6pp
HARV -6.5
24.9%
@ 2.45-12.6pp
Best 5 market prices
NORT
Betano
1.47
HARV
Betano
2.45

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +4.1+4.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +4.1+4.1
NortheasternHarvard
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NortheasternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#100
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H13/02
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H20/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H21/02
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A27/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A28/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H04/03
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A06/03
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/03
NCAA
Boston University
#194
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/11
NCAA
Virginia
#39
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A06/11
NCAA
70.9Avg total
32.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 69.5
Last 30 (30)34.238.472.6-4.230%53%
Last 30 at home (11)35.538.774.3-3.236%64%
Last 30 away (19)33.438.271.6-4.826%47%
Last 10 (10)32.938.070.9-5.120%40%
Last 5 (5)34.239.874.0-5.620%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)34.539.173.6-4.627%58%
vs Similar (4)32.233.866.0-1.550%25%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Harvard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HarvardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth
#272
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A07/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H14/02
NCAA
Yale
#22
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H14/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A28/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
31-21
31
21
+10
A28/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H14/03
NCAA
MIT
#405
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H03/11
NCAA
Chicago Maroons
#361
W
35-20
35
20
+15
A08/11
NCAA
57.7Avg total
31.2Scored
26.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 69.5
Last 30 (30)32.231.063.2+1.163%23%
Last 30 at home (13)33.731.865.5+1.962%38%
Last 30 away (17)31.030.561.5+0.565%12%
Last 10 (10)31.226.557.7+4.780%10%
Last 5 (5)33.825.259.0+8.680%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.032.364.3-0.367%33%
vs Similar (14)31.629.461.0+2.371%14%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)32.034.666.6-2.645%36%
This opponent (Northeastern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Northeastern win
NORT win
no forecast
@ 2.20
HARV win
no forecast
@ 1.67
1st half Spread Northeastern +1.5 · main lineActual: Northeastern +1.5
NORT +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
HARV -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Over/Under 69.5 · main lineActual: Under 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
Northeastern 1st half total 34 · main lineActual: Northeastern under 34
Over
no forecast
@ 1.84
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Harvard 1st half total 35.5 · main lineActual: Harvard under 35.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Spread Northeastern +2.5Actual: Northeastern +2.5
NORT +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
HARV -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half Over/Under 67.5Actual: Under 67.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.57
Under
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Under 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.07
Under
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Spread Northeastern +3.5Actual: Northeastern +3.5
NORT +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
HARV -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half Over/Under 65.5Actual: Under 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under
no forecast
@ 2.65
1st half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.45
Under
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Northeastern -1.5Actual: Northeastern -1.5
NORT -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.52
HARV +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread Northeastern +4.5Actual: Northeastern +4.5
NORT +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
HARV -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
1st half Spread Northeastern -2.5Actual: Northeastern -2.5
NORT -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.70
HARV +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
1st half Spread Northeastern +5.5Actual: Northeastern +5.5
NORT +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
HARV -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.72
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Draw after regulation
NORT
no forecast
@ 2.25
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
HARV
no forecast
@ 1.75

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
NORT win + total 146.5
🔒 Pro
HARV win + total 146.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NORT leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Northeastern +5.572.1%1.57
Betano
1.57		----+13.5ppWon
Northeastern +7.577.9%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+12.8ppWon
Northeastern +6.575.1%1.47
Betano
1.47		----+12.6ppWon
Northeastern +8.580.5%1.35
Betano
1.35		----+12.3ppWon
Northeastern over 69.571.2%1.53
Betano
1.53		----+12.0ppWon
Northeastern +9.582.8%1.30
Betano
1.30		----+11.7ppWon
Northeastern +10.584.9%1.25
Betano
1.25		----+11.2ppWon
Overtime: no94.6%1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.03		---+4.9pp-
Over 139.571.3%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+4.6ppWon
Harvard under 79.571.2%1.35
Betano
1.35		----+4.0ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Northeastern wins
3
Harvard wins
DateGameScore
12/11/25Harvard v Northeastern60-77
14/11/24Northeastern v Harvard78-56
15/11/23Harvard v Northeastern80-56
17/11/22Northeastern v Harvard69-70
27/11/21Harvard v Northeastern77-57
Northeasternlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AVirginia72-97
03/11/26ABoston University85-93
07/03/26ADrexel77-84
06/03/26AN. Carolina A&T88-72
04/03/26HMonmouth83-89
28/02/26AHampton65-76
27/02/26AWilliam & Mary77-84
21/02/26HHofstra68-82
20/02/26HDrexel61-70
13/02/26HWilliam & Mary67-94
Harvardlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AChicago Maroons63-47
03/11/26HMIT73-45
14/03/26HPenn60-62 OT
07/03/26HColumbia81-71
28/02/26APenn61-64
28/02/26APrinceton58-56
21/02/26ACornell73-54
14/02/26HYale75-76 OT
14/02/26HBrown56-53
07/02/26ADartmouth71-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northeastern
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game78.5-78.5
Allowed / game95.0-95.0
Point differential-16.5--16.5
Avg total173.5-173.5
Over 146.5100%-100%
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Harvard
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game68.073.063.0
Allowed / game46.045.047.0
Point differential+22.0+28.0+16.0
Avg total114.0118.0110.0
Over 146.50%0%0%
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston220100%111.560.5+51.0
2 William & Mary220100%92.069.5+22.5
3 NC Wilmington220100%89.570.0+19.5
4 Elon220100%79.068.0+11.0
5 Hofstra21150%77.555.5+22.0
6 Stony Brook21150%81.062.5+18.5
7 N. Carolina A&T21150%81.066.5+14.5
8 Drexel21150%68.581.5-13.0
9 Towson31233%64.367.3-3.0
10 Northeastern2020%78.595.0-16.5
11 Hampton2020%58.075.0-17.0
12 Campbell2020%67.585.0-17.5
13 Monmouth3030%56.782.3-25.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Harvard220100%68.046.0+22.0
2 Columbia32167%88.765.7+23.0
3 Dartmouth32167%82.363.3+19.0
4 Cornell32167%83.071.7+11.3
5 Princeton32167%68.762.0+6.7
6 Yale21150%73.574.5-1.0
7 Penn21150%74.088.5-14.5
8 Brown31233%62.362.0+0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Northeastern29311474
Harvard19411070
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