Northwestern faces Boston University on 9 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the Wildcats the clear favourite, rating them 94% to win largely because of their 2-0 season record, 82.0 points per game and only 62.5 points allowed per game, placing them 85th in the league; Boston University also sits at 2-0, 82.5 points per game and 76.0 allowed, 127th, but their defence is weaker and their recent 4-1 run is less convincing. Northwestern's two wins include a 78-65 victory over Stony Brook and an 86-60 win over Binghamton, while Boston University's wins came against Brown 72-67 and Northeastern 93-85, with a recent loss to Lehigh 60-74. The only prior meeting ended 76-52 in favour of Northwestern on 7 November 2025. Pythia projects a 84-67 score, 151.1 total points, and a 51% chance the home team covers the -17.5 line; the over on 147.5 points has a 58% probability, and the game has a 1% chance of overtime. The Wildcats' dominant early season performance suggests they will extend their winning streak.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Northwestern winWon
93.8%fair 1.07
Best odds1.06
Implied90.2%
Edge+3.6pp
Boston University winLost
6.2%fair 16.09
Best odds13.50
Implied9.8%
Edge-3.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Northwestern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 142.5Actual: Under 142.5
Over 142.5
70.0%
@ 1.79+17.1pp
Under 142.5
30.0%
@ 2.30-17.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathon Be
1.68
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.53
Under
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.22
Marathon Be
2.04
Pinnacle
2.01
Over/Under 147.5 · main lineActual: Under 147.5
Over 147.5
58.5%
@ 2.10+10.6pp
Under 147.5
41.5%
@ 1.83-10.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.00
Marathon Be
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
Under
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Marathon Be
1.67
Over/Under 152.5Actual: Under 152.5
Over 152.5
46.2%
@ 3.05+13.3pp
Under 152.5
53.8%
@ 1.42-13.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.05
Betano
2.60
Under
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.34
📊 3. Team Totals
Northwestern total 77Actual: Northwestern under 77
Over 77
78.4%
Under 77
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Northwestern total 81 · main lineActual: Northwestern under 81
Over 81
64.3%
@ 1.87+14.6pp
Under 81
35.7%
@ 1.85-14.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Northwestern total 85Actual: Northwestern under 85
Over 85
47.8%
Under 85
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boston University total 61Actual: Boston University under 61
Over 61
71.6%
Under 61
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boston University total 65 · main lineActual: Boston University under 65
Over 65
56.1%
@ 1.85+6.1pp
Under 65
43.9%
@ 1.85-6.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Boston University total 69Actual: Boston University under 69
Over 69
39.6%
Under 69
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Northwestern -19Actual: Boston University +19
NORT -19
45.8%
@ 2.22+4.2pp
BOST +19
54.2%
@ 1.58-4.2pp
Best 5 market prices
NORT
Bet365
2.22
BOST
Bet365
1.58
Spread Northwestern -16 · main lineActual: Northwestern -16
NORT -16
56.9%
@ 1.88+6.2pp
BOST +16
43.1%
@ 1.97-6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
NORT
Pinnacle
1.88
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Be
1.75
BOST
Marathon Be
1.97
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Spread Northwestern -13Actual: Northwestern -13
NORT -13
67.4%
@ 1.50+4.9pp
BOST +13
32.6%
@ 2.50-4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
NORT
Bet365
1.50
BOST
Bet365
2.50
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
NorthwesternBoston University
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#305
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H28/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H10/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A12/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#186
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#194
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H07/11
NCAA
70.1Avg total
34.6Scored
35.5Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 70
Last 30 (30)
34.0
35.5
69.5
-1.4
50%
40%
Last 30 at home (17)
37.3
33.7
71.0
+3.6
71%
41%
Last 30 away (13)
29.8
37.8
67.5
-8.0
23%
38%
Last 10 (10)
34.6
35.5
70.1
-0.9
50%
40%
Last 5 (5)
37.2
35.8
73.0
+1.4
60%
60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)
32.3
37.5
69.7
-5.2
33%
53%
vs Similar (8)
33.4
33.5
66.9
-0.1
50%
25%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)
38.6
33.4
72.0
+5.1
86%
29%
This opponent (Boston University) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 142
71.5%
1.65
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.64
Bet365
1.55
-
-
+17.5pp
Lost
Over 142.5
70.0%
1.65
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathon Bet
1.68
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.53
-
+17.1pp
Lost
Over 141.5
72.1%
1.58
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathon Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.47
-
+17.1pp
Lost
Northwestern over 78.5
72.8%
1.47
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
-
+11.3pp
Lost
Over 141
73.7%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Lost
Northwestern over 76.5
79.1%
1.33
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Lost
Northwestern over 77.5
76.1%
1.39
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+10.3pp
Lost
Over 139
77.6%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+10.1pp
Lost
Over 140
75.7%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+10.0pp
Lost
Northwestern over 72.5
88.7%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Lost
Over 140.5
74.2%
1.44
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Lost
Over 139.5
76.2%
1.39
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
+9.5pp
Lost
Over 138
79.5%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+9.0pp
Lost
Over 138.5
78.0%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+8.6pp
Lost
Over 137.5
79.8%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+8.4pp
Lost
Northwestern over 73.5
86.7%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Lost
Northwestern over 75.5
81.9%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Lost
Northwestern (regulation)
92.8%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Marathon Bet
1.04
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Won
Northwestern -11.5
71.5%
1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Northwestern -12
70.6%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
Northwestern -9.5
77.2%
1.29
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
Northwestern -11
73.7%
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
Northwestern -6.5
84.4%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
Northwestern -10.5
74.4%
1.35
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
Northwestern -8.5
79.8%
1.25
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
+5.5pp
Won
Northwestern -10
76.5%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+5.1pp
Won
Northwestern +3.5
96.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.9pp
Won
Northwestern -1.5
92.9%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Northwestern -9
79.3%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+4.5pp
Won
Boston University over 57.5
81.6%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+3.8pp
Lost
Boston University over 51.5
93.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.7pp
Won
Northwestern win
93.8%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Marathon Bet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
WilliamHill
1.03
+3.6pp
Won
Boston University over 60.5
72.6%
1.33
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Lost
Boston University over 55.5
86.4%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Lost
Over 127.5
92.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Lost
Boston University over 53.5
90.3%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+2.8pp
Won
Boston University over 54.5
88.5%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Boston University over 52.5
91.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.3pp
Won
Northwestern under 99.5
93.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.0pp
Won
Northwestern under 101.5
95.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.0pp
Won
Over 132.5
87.4%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+1.9pp
Lost
Boston University over 56.5
84.2%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Lost
Boston University over 58.5
78.8%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+1.0pp
Lost
Northwestern under 97.5
90.6%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Won
Boston University under 80.5
91.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.0pp
Won
Boston University under 78.5
88.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Under 172.5
90.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Won
Northwestern under 95.5
86.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-2.0pp
Won
Boston University +24.5
72.2%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-3.1pp
Won
Boston University under 76.5
83.9%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-3.2pp
Won
Boston University +24
71.3%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
-3.4pp
Won
Boston University under 75.5
81.4%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-4.1pp
Won
Northwestern under 93.5
82.0%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-4.1pp
Won
Northwestern under 92.5
79.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-4.6pp
Won
Under 167.5
84.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-4.8pp
Won
Boston University under 72.5
72.6%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-5.2pp
Won
Boston University under 74.5
78.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-6.8pp
Won
Northwestern under 91.5
76.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-7.6pp
Won
Under 162.5
76.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-8.8pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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