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Notre Dame vs Bellarmine Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 86-79
37-30 49-49
Position#269
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game64.8
vs
Position#279
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game87.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Notre Dame v Bellarmine
19 Nov 2025
NOTR86
BELL79
23 Dec 2020
NOTR81
BELL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bellarmine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#22
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A27/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A01/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H06/03
NCAA
California
#268
W
112-110 OT
112
110
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H11/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A12/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
89-67
89
67
+22
H04/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
102-70
102
70
+32
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-41
37-42
30-25
41-49
21-24
35-30
37-33
31-35
25-22
30-32
29-43
27-33
40-25
49-42
44-31
58-39
31-28
47-30
34-31
29-33
146.0Avg total
75.0Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.064.8147.8+18.275%
Season at home (3)89.765.0154.7+24.7100%
Season away (1)63.064.0127.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)75.071.0146.0+4.060%
Last 5 (5)77.667.0144.6+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)66.974.6141.5-7.725%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.270.8147.0+5.562%
vs Weaker (5)77.268.8146.0+8.460%
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#143
L
87-92 OT
87
92
-5
H13/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H15/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H18/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H20/02
NCAA
Stetson
#341
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
59-104
59
104
-45
A04/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
71-98
71
98
-27
A09/11
NCAA
Hanover
#540
W
94-55
94
55
+39
H13/11
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-40
42-36
42-34
34-47
50-19
44-49
37-28
43-46
32-31
35-38
34-40
27-40
29-49
30-55
30-46
41-52
41-25
53-30
38-51
48-43
159.0Avg total
77.5Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.587.8165.2-10.225%
Season at home (2)90.074.5164.5+15.550%
Season away (2)65.0101.0166.0-36.00%
Last 10 (10)77.581.5159.0-4.030%
Last 5 (5)74.286.2160.4-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)72.082.5154.5-10.516%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.284.0155.2-12.80%
vs Weaker (2)97.563.0160.5+34.5100%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -3.9-3.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -3.9-3.9
Notre DameBellarmine
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#22
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A27/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A01/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
21-24
21
24
-3
H06/03
NCAA
California
#268
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H11/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A12/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H04/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A16/11
NCAA
62.5Avg total
32.2Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.932.665.5+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.431.664.9+1.859%-
Last 30 away (13)32.234.066.2-1.846%-
Last 10 (10)32.230.362.5+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)35.631.667.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.136.466.5-6.325%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.529.863.3+3.869%-
vs Weaker (5)37.831.068.8+6.880%-
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#143
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H13/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H15/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H18/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H20/02
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A25/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A04/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A09/11
NCAA
Hanover
#540
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H13/11
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H15/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
36.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.937.972.8-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.735.573.2+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)32.040.372.3-8.313%-
Last 10 (10)36.736.373.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.442.276.6-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)33.738.371.9-4.616%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.441.175.5-6.838%-
vs Weaker (2)45.028.073.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Notre Dame wins
0
Bellarmine wins
DateGameScore
23/12/20Notre Dame v Bellarmine81-70
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25AOhio State63-64
12/11/25HEastern Illinois78-58
08/11/25HDetroit102-70
04/11/25HLIU Sharks89-67
12/03/25ANorth Carolina56-76
11/03/25HPittsburgh55-54
08/03/25HCalifornia112-110 OT
06/03/25HStanford56-54
01/03/25AWake Forest71-74
27/02/25AClemson68-83
Bellarminelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HWofford86-94
13/11/25HHanover94-55
09/11/25AKansas State71-98
04/11/25AGeorgia59-104
27/02/25AFlorida Gulf Coast61-80
25/02/25AStetson67-69
20/02/25HEastern Kentucky80-74
18/02/25HAustin Peay94-68
15/02/25HWest Georgia76-81
13/02/25HQueens Royals87-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game83.089.763.0
Allowed / game64.865.064.0
Point differential+18.2+24.7-1.0
Avg total147.8154.7127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bellarmine
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.590.065.0
Allowed / game87.874.5101.0
Point differential-10.2+15.5-36.0
Avg total165.2164.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke550100%92.460.2+32.2
2 Louisville440100%103.071.0+32.0
3 NC State440100%100.869.8+31.0
4 Syracuse440100%81.553.2+28.2
5 North Carolina550100%88.063.2+24.8
6 Virginia Tech440100%95.875.8+20.0
7 SMU Mustangs550100%92.074.0+18.0
8 Stanford440100%87.570.2+17.2
9 Clemson54180%84.658.6+26.0
10 California54180%84.069.6+14.4
11 Virginia54180%83.470.4+13.0
12 Pittsburgh54180%72.661.2+11.4
13 Georgia Tech54180%71.063.0+8.0
14 Miami (FL)43175%89.268.2+21.0
15 Florida State43175%93.072.8+20.2
16 Notre Dame43175%83.064.8+18.2
17 Wake Forest43175%90.574.8+15.8
18 Boston College53260%70.462.6+7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay53260%80.263.0+17.2
2 West Georgia53260%79.280.6-1.4
3 Florida Gulf Coast42250%87.885.2+2.5
4 Queens Royals52340%79.480.4-1.0
5 North Alabama52340%74.882.4-7.6
6 North Florida31233%84.090.0-6.0
7 Eastern Kentucky41325%85.283.0+2.2
8 Lipscomb41325%75.079.8-4.8
9 Central Arkansas41325%74.283.5-9.2
10 Bellarmine41325%77.587.8-10.2
11 Stetson41325%73.587.0-13.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame374986
Bellarmine304979
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