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Notre Dame vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 45-65
29-32 16-33
Position#291
Record4-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game64.6
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Citadel 🏆
USA
Position#311
Record6-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game66.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niagara
#206
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
59-83
59
83
-24
H17/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
W
66-64 OT
66
64
+2
A17/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H23/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A29/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H06/12
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A10/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
L
68-72 OT
68
72
-4
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-30
41-33
29-42
32-29
33-39
26-44
33-25
22-30
38-22
37-33
28-31
25-34
26-33
23-29
40-34
46-31
24-52
35-26
35-33
27-29
132.4Avg total
64.6Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)64.667.8132.4-3.240%
Season at home (6)69.868.2138.0+1.750%
Season away (4)56.867.2124.0-10.525%
Last 10 (10)64.667.8132.4-3.240%
Last 5 (5)63.068.4131.4-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)64.474.4138.8-9.96%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.366.9137.2+3.455%
vs Weaker (2)73.573.0146.5+0.550%
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H11/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A14/11
NCAA
North Greenville
#408
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H17/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H20/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#142
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Campbell
#262
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A22/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
81-52
81
52
+29
H29/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A02/12
NCAA
Pfeiffer Falcons
#476
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H06/12
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-35
33-40
31-35
33-36
35-28
42-31
13-23
49-38
35-37
32-24
30-29
28-36
40-28
41-24
40-36
45-32
43-21
45-39
32-44
39-42
138.2Avg total
72.4Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.266.4137.5+4.855%
Season at home (6)74.361.3135.7+13.083%
Season away (5)67.472.4139.8-5.020%
Last 10 (10)72.465.8138.2+6.660%
Last 5 (5)76.666.2142.8+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)64.475.2139.6-10.821%
vs Similar ◀ (7)65.667.9133.4-2.329%
vs Weaker (4)82.859.8142.5+23.0100%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +4.5+4.5
Notre DameCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niagara
#206
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H07/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H11/11
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H17/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A17/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H23/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A29/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A02/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H06/12
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A10/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H16/12
NCAA
65.6Avg total
31.5Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.533.566.0-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.431.164.4+2.356%-
Last 30 away (14)31.536.467.9-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)31.534.165.6-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)30.636.667.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)30.835.766.5-4.924%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.230.564.7+3.673%-
vs Weaker (2)37.531.569.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H11/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A14/11
NCAA
North Greenville
#408
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H17/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
L
13-23
13
23
-10
H20/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#142
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H21/11
NCAA
Campbell
#262
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A22/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H29/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A02/12
NCAA
Pfeiffer Falcons
#476
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H06/12
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/12
NCAA
65.3Avg total
33.7Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.433.262.6-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.332.765.0-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)26.533.760.1-7.220%-
Last 10 (10)33.731.665.3+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.031.668.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)27.434.662.0-7.211%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)29.032.161.1-3.143%-
vs Weaker (4)39.528.267.8+11.2100%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Notre Dame wins
0
Citadel wins
No previous meetings.
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HGeorgetown68-72 OT
10/12/23AMarquette59-78
06/12/23HWestern Michigan86-65
02/12/23AMiami (FL)49-62
29/11/23ASouth Carolina53-65
23/11/23HMd.-East. Shore75-55
17/11/23AOklahoma State66-64 OT
17/11/23HAuburn59-83
11/11/23HWestern Carolina61-71
07/11/23HNiagara70-63
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/23ACharleston71-86
06/12/23HPfeiffer Falcons88-60
02/12/23AN. Carolina A&T85-68
29/11/23HCharleston Southern81-52
22/11/23ACampbell58-65
21/11/23HN. Carolina Central67-61
20/11/23HIdaho State62-61
17/11/23HNorth Greenville77-59
14/11/23APresbyterian64-71
11/11/23HBoston College71-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game64.669.856.8
Allowed / game67.868.267.2
Point differential-3.2+1.7-10.5
Avg total132.4138.0124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %20%17%25%
Citadel
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL55%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%83%20%
Points / game71.274.367.4
Allowed / game66.461.372.4
Point differential+4.8+13.0-5.0
Avg total137.5135.7139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia109190%66.853.3+13.5
2 Clemson109190%78.569.3+9.2
3 Pittsburgh118373%82.864.8+18.0
4 Virginia Tech118373%74.065.3+8.7
5 Miami (FL)118373%80.772.3+8.5
6 Boston College118373%78.971.0+7.9
7 Syracuse118373%77.770.1+7.6
8 Duke107370%81.666.1+15.5
9 Wake Forest107370%79.968.4+11.5
10 North Carolina107370%84.975.0+9.9
11 NC State107370%79.370.6+8.7
12 Georgia Tech96367%72.271.4+0.8
13 SMU Mustangs117464%73.862.8+11.0
14 Stanford95456%80.474.7+5.8
15 Louisville115645%74.573.6+0.8
16 Florida State94544%75.774.6+1.1
17 Notre Dame104640%64.667.8-3.2
18 California103730%76.576.8-0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford1210283%90.575.8+14.7
2 NC Greensboro108280%78.670.8+7.8
3 Western Carolina108280%76.568.7+7.8
4 Chattanooga Mocs107370%80.767.5+13.2
5 East Tennessee St106460%71.867.3+4.5
6 Citadel116555%71.266.4+4.8
7 Wofford116555%81.577.8+3.6
8 Furman115645%86.582.0+4.5
9 Mercer104640%65.472.3-6.9
10 VMI1221017%68.572.5-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame291645
Citadel323365
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