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Notre Dame vs IPFW Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 69-72
24-27 45-45
Position#269
Record9-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game68.1
vs
IPFW 🏆
USA
Position#181
Record7-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game78.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
IPFW winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A16/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A24/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H25/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A26/11
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H03/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
A06/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H11/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-28
47-30
34-31
29-33
37-30
49-49
32-39
29-32
36-24
32-39
25-39
31-27
33-40
43-31
36-45
40-31
33-33
47-32
41-29
41-29
141.7Avg total
73.7Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.368.1145.4+9.275%
Season at home (8)82.666.4149.0+16.2100%
Season away (4)66.871.5138.2-4.825%
Last 10 (10)73.768.0141.7+5.770%
Last 5 (5)76.269.0145.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)68.474.2142.6-5.838%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.070.5148.5+7.575%
vs Weaker (5)75.468.0143.4+7.460%
This opponent (IPFW) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IPFWUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#325
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A13/11
NCAA
Boyce
#623
W
118-68
118
68
+50
H15/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A19/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
60-91
60
91
-31
A22/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
W
92-59
92
59
+33
H28/11
NCAA
Oakland
#212
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A04/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H11/12
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-32
34-51
62-37
56-31
32-42
45-43
29-44
31-47
37-35
53-42
52-27
40-32
38-47
54-54
29-44
50-33
47-29
33-36
40-33
41-44
162.3Avg total
84.0Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.878.7164.5+7.254%
Season at home (7)96.768.4165.1+28.3100%
Season away (6)73.290.7163.8-17.50%
Last 10 (10)84.078.3162.3+5.760%
Last 5 (5)84.875.8160.6+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.588.0157.5-18.525%
vs Similar ◀ (15)98.6100.7199.3-2.140%
vs Weaker (10)99.386.4185.7+12.960%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +2.4+2.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +2.4+2.4
Notre DameIPFW
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A16/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A24/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A26/11
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H03/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A06/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H11/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H13/12
NCAA
67.6Avg total
33.8Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.333.166.4+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.431.264.5+2.259%-
Last 30 away (13)33.335.568.8-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)33.833.867.6+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.270.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)30.537.868.4-7.315%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.228.864.0+6.375%-
vs Weaker (5)36.230.867.0+5.480%-
This opponent (IPFW) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IPFWLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#325
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Boyce
#623
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H15/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A19/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A22/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H26/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H28/11
NCAA
Oakland
#212
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A04/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H06/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H11/12
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/12
NCAA
77.3Avg total
40.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.446.293.6+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (12)51.940.392.2+11.675%-
Last 30 away (18)44.450.194.6-5.733%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.077.3+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.077.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.845.574.2-16.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)48.649.998.5-1.340%-
vs Weaker (10)51.741.993.6+9.880%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Notre Dame wins
0
IPFW wins
No previous meetings.
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HEvansville82-58
11/12/25HIdaho80-65
06/12/25ATCU87-85 OT
03/12/25HMissouri76-71
26/11/25AHouston56-66
25/11/25HRutgers68-63
24/11/25AKansas61-71
20/11/25HBellarmine86-79
16/11/25AOhio State63-64
12/11/25HEastern Illinois78-58
IPFWlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HDetroit81-77
11/12/25HEastern Michigan80-65
06/12/25HNorthern Kentucky79-77
04/12/25AOakland92-101
28/11/25HHoly Cross92-59
26/11/25HChicago State90-77
22/11/25ASt. Louis Billikens60-91
19/11/25AUtah Utes77-85
15/11/25HBoyce118-68
13/11/25AWestern Michigan71-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %75%100%25%
Points / game77.382.666.8
Allowed / game68.166.471.5
Point differential+9.2+16.2-4.8
Avg total145.4149.0138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%25%
IPFW
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW54%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%100%0%
Points / game85.896.773.2
Allowed / game78.768.490.7
Point differential+7.2+28.3-17.5
Avg total164.5165.1163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1211192%87.262.6+24.6
2 California1211192%83.867.6+16.2
3 North Carolina1211192%79.964.6+15.3
4 Virginia Tech1311285%83.172.6+10.5
5 Louisville1210283%91.668.2+23.4
6 Miami (FL)1210283%88.267.8+20.4
7 Virginia1210283%83.871.1+12.7
8 Stanford1210283%81.371.7+9.7
9 SMU Mustangs119282%88.677.2+11.5
10 Clemson129375%80.765.9+14.8
11 Notre Dame129375%77.368.1+9.2
12 NC State139469%88.372.2+16.2
13 Wake Forest139469%83.974.3+9.6
14 Syracuse128467%74.466.2+8.2
15 Georgia Tech128467%75.570.8+4.8
16 Pittsburgh137654%74.067.8+6.2
17 Florida State126650%84.879.6+5.2
18 Boston College115645%70.467.5+2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Robert Morris1410471%76.470.6+5.8
2 Northern Kentucky149564%84.375.1+9.1
3 Youngstown State138562%79.769.0+10.7
4 IPFW137654%85.878.7+7.2
5 Oakland136746%83.084.0-1.0
6 Wisc. Green Bay136746%72.775.0-2.3
7 Wisc. Milwaukee115645%80.582.2-1.7
8 Detroit125742%75.877.7-1.8
9 Cleveland State135838%79.883.8-4.1
10 Wright State124833%75.671.0+4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame244569
IPFW274572
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