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TCU vs Notre Dame Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 85-87 (OT)
45-36 31-40 9-11
Position#77
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game65.9
vs
Position#269
Record6-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game67.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TCU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#149
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado
#278
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A08/03
NCAA
Colorado
#278
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H11/03
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H04/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
104-63
104
63
+41
H07/11
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H15/11
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
81-45
81
45
+36
H20/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-35
23-26
31-37
25-39
27-26
40-43
28-44
46-34
53-29
51-34
39-38
39-27
35-33
28-34
51-28
30-17
39-44
45-36
41-37
33-26
140.6Avg total
73.9Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.765.9145.6+13.971%
Season at home (6)79.063.5142.5+15.567%
Season away (1)84.080.0164.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.966.7140.6+7.250%
Last 5 (5)76.064.0140.0+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)63.970.2134.1-6.438%
vs Similar (10)70.468.0138.4+2.470%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)84.262.8147.0+21.575%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A12/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
89-67
89
67
+22
H04/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
102-70
102
70
+32
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A16/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A24/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H25/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A26/11
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-43
27-33
40-25
49-42
44-31
58-39
31-28
47-30
34-31
29-33
37-30
49-49
32-39
29-32
36-24
32-39
25-39
31-27
33-40
43-31
142.0Avg total
73.5Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.467.7143.1+7.867%
Season at home (6)83.268.0151.2+15.2100%
Season away (3)60.067.0127.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)73.568.5142.0+5.060%
Last 5 (5)69.470.0139.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)66.274.1140.3-7.825%
vs Similar (14)76.971.3148.1+5.664%
vs Weaker (4)73.870.5144.2+3.250%
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +3.9+3.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +3.9+3.9
TCUNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#149
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado
#278
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A08/03
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H11/03
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H04/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H07/11
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H11/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H15/11
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H20/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A27/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H28/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
37.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.833.267.0+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.231.267.4+5.174%-
Last 30 away (11)29.636.866.5-7.29%-
Last 10 (10)37.935.173.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.077.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)30.834.665.4-3.825%-
vs Similar (10)35.030.565.5+4.580%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.834.877.5+8.075%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A12/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H04/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A16/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A24/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A26/11
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H03/12
NCAA
67.1Avg total
34.1Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.633.165.7-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.831.764.5+1.156%-
Last 30 away (14)32.434.767.1-2.343%-
Last 10 (10)34.133.067.1+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)32.634.467.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.037.867.8-7.817%-
vs Similar (14)34.229.663.9+4.671%-
vs Weaker (4)35.031.266.2+3.875%-
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
TCU wins
0
Notre Dame wins
No previous meetings.
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25HWisconsin74-63
27/11/25AFlorida84-80
20/11/25HUMKC81-45
15/11/25HMichigan63-67
11/11/25HLamar78-65
07/11/25HSt. Francis (PA)104-63
04/11/25HNew Orleans74-78
11/03/25HColorado67-69
08/03/25AColorado56-76
05/03/25HBaylor58-61
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25HMissouri76-71
26/11/25AHouston56-66
25/11/25HRutgers68-63
24/11/25AKansas61-71
20/11/25HBellarmine86-79
16/11/25AOhio State63-64
12/11/25HEastern Illinois78-58
08/11/25HDetroit102-70
04/11/25HLIU Sharks89-67
12/03/25ANorth Carolina56-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TCU
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %71%67%100%
Points / game79.779.084.0
Allowed / game65.963.580.0
Point differential+13.9+15.5+4.0
Avg total145.6142.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Notre Dame
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game75.483.260.0
Allowed / game67.768.067.0
Point differential+7.8+15.2-7.0
Avg total143.1151.2127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona770100%87.367.0+20.3
2 Oklahoma State880100%92.276.2+16.0
3 Colorado880100%88.876.9+11.9
4 Iowa State87188%94.267.4+26.9
5 Brigham Young87188%85.268.0+17.2
6 Houston87188%74.959.1+15.8
7 UCF Knights87188%88.276.9+11.4
8 Baylor76186%90.181.4+8.7
9 West Virginia97278%73.356.6+16.8
10 Texas Tech86275%81.471.5+9.9
11 Arizona State86275%80.976.6+4.2
12 TCU75271%79.765.9+13.9
13 Cincinnati96367%75.365.1+10.2
14 Kansas96367%74.064.1+9.9
15 Utah Utes96367%80.378.0+2.3
16 Kansas State85362%86.580.6+5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke990100%89.159.6+29.6
2 SMU Mustangs98189%89.475.6+13.9
3 Louisville87188%94.666.2+28.4
4 North Carolina87188%81.265.5+15.8
5 California87188%83.869.9+13.9
6 Stanford87188%82.971.9+11.0
7 Miami (FL)97278%85.365.4+19.9
8 Clemson97278%85.166.7+18.4
9 Virginia97278%83.972.0+11.9
10 Virginia Tech97278%83.074.9+8.1
11 Wake Forest96367%85.273.4+11.8
12 Notre Dame96367%75.467.7+7.8
13 NC State85362%91.077.4+13.6
14 Syracuse85362%73.264.6+8.6
15 Florida State85362%86.478.0+8.4
16 Pittsburgh95456%71.768.1+3.6
17 Georgia Tech95456%71.769.4+2.2
18 Boston College94544%70.367.0+3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
TCU4531985
Notre Dame36401187
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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