PythiaBasketballBETA
Super League· Arena Sever
Novosibirsk hosts Izhevsk in the Super League on 2 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 60% versus 40% for the visitors; the projected score is 81-78 and the total is 159.2, giving a 58% chance of the over on the 155.5 line and a 47% chance that Novosibirsk covers the -4.0 spread, while a 5% overtime probability is noted. Novosibirsk's season record of 1-5 shows 77.2 points scored and 89.8 allowed per game from 6 contests, placing them 14th; their last five games included one win and four losses, highlighted by a 79-64 home victory over CSKA Moscow on 15 October. Izhevsk, also 1-4 from 5 games, averages 78.4 points scored and 83.4 allowed, sits 10th, and has matched the same 1-4 record over their last five, with a 78-87 home loss to Chelyabinsk on 12 October.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 77.2 | 89.8 | 167.0 | -12.7 | 17% |
| Season at home (2) | 77.0 | 73.5 | 150.5 | +3.5 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 77.2 | 98.0 | 175.2 | -20.8 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 71.0 | 81.1 | 152.1 | -10.1 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.2 | 86.8 | 164.0 | -9.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (25) | 73.7 | 81.3 | 155.0 | -7.6 | 36% |
| vs Similar ◀ (3) | 74.7 | 75.3 | 150.0 | -0.7 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 82.5 | 75.0 | 157.5 | +7.5 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 78.4 | 83.4 | 161.8 | -5.0 | 20% |
| Season at home (2) | 82.0 | 88.0 | 170.0 | -6.0 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 76.0 | 80.3 | 156.3 | -4.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.4 | 80.8 | 163.2 | +1.6 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.4 | 83.4 | 161.8 | -5.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 76.3 | 83.4 | 159.7 | -7.1 | 14% |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 77.2 | 78.9 | 156.1 | -1.7 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 84.7 | 71.3 | 156.0 | +13.3 | 83% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.0 | 39.7 | 77.6 | -1.7 | 43% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 35.8 | 36.8 | 72.6 | -1.1 | 38% | 25% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 40.5 | 42.9 | 83.4 | -2.4 | 50% | 64% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.4 | 40.0 | 77.4 | -2.6 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.2 | 41.2 | 83.4 | +1.0 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (25) | 38.1 | 41.2 | 79.4 | -3.1 | 40% | 48% |
| vs Similar ◀ (3) | 42.7 | 34.7 | 77.3 | +8.0 | 67% | 33% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 29.0 | 27.5 | 56.5 | +1.5 | 50% | 0% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.1 | 39.8 | 77.9 | -1.6 | 40% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 40.5 | 40.2 | 80.7 | +0.4 | 46% | 69% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 36.3 | 39.5 | 75.8 | -3.2 | 35% | 59% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.3 | 40.0 | 79.3 | -0.7 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.2 | 42.2 | 81.4 | -3.0 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 37.1 | 41.0 | 78.1 | -3.9 | 29% | 71% |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 36.5 | 40.0 | 76.5 | -3.5 | 40% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 43.2 | 36.5 | 79.7 | +6.7 | 67% | 67% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izhevsk +9 | 71.1% | 1.66 | 1.66 | 1.66 | - | - | - | +16.6pp | Lost |
| Izhevsk +10.5 | 74.9% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | - | Lost |
| Izhevsk +10 | 74.2% | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | - | - | - | Lost |
| Izhevsk +9.5 | 72.0% | 1.62 | 1.62 | - | - | - | - | - | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 | Novosibirsk v Izhevsk | 84-83 |
| 10/12/25 | Novosibirsk v Izhevsk | 82-73 |
| 12/11/25 | Izhevsk v Novosibirsk | 81-74 |
| 25/10/25 | Izhevsk v Novosibirsk | 80-76 |
| 02/03/25 | Izhevsk v Novosibirsk | 83-76 |
| 01/12/24 | Novosibirsk v Izhevsk | 66-59 |
| 27/04/24 | Izhevsk v Novosibirsk | 55-78 |
| 31/01/24 | Novosibirsk v Izhevsk | 85-80 OT |
| 13/11/23 | Izhevsk v Novosibirsk | 76-82 |
| 01/11/23 | Novosibirsk v Izhevsk | 91-86 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/26 | A | Metallurg | 79-83 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Chelyabinsk | 94-103 OT |
| 15/10/26 | H | CSKA Moscow 2 | 79-64 |
| 12/10/26 | H | Dynamo Grozny | 75-83 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Ufa | 59-101 |
| 01/10/26 | A | Temp Sumz Revda | 77-105 |
| 25/05/26 | A | Dynamo Grozny | 57-60 |
| 23/05/26 | H | Dynamo Grozny | 62-66 |
| 21/05/26 | A | Dynamo Grozny | 57-83 |
| 17/05/26 | H | Dynamo Grozny | 71-63 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/26 | A | Tambov | 76-83 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Metallurg | 86-89 |
| 12/10/26 | H | Chelyabinsk | 78-87 |
| 04/10/26 | A | CSKA Moscow 2 | 77-71 |
| 01/10/26 | A | Dynamo Grozny | 75-87 |
| 16/04/26 | A | Metallurg | 83-81 |
| 15/04/26 | A | Barnaul | 78-63 |
| 14/04/26 | H | Tambov | 107-73 |
| 28/03/26 | A | Temp Sumz Revda | 83-89 |
| 22/03/26 | A | CSKA Moscow 2 | 81-85 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 17% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 17% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 77.2 | 77.0 | 77.2 |
| Allowed / game | 89.8 | 73.5 | 98.0 |
| Point differential | -12.7 | +3.5 | -20.8 |
| Avg total | 167.0 | 150.5 | 175.2 |
| Over 155.5 | 83% | 50% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLL | 20% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Points / game | 78.4 | 82.0 | 76.0 |
| Allowed / game | 83.4 | 88.0 | 80.3 |
| Point differential | -5.0 | -6.0 | -4.3 |
| Avg total | 161.8 | 170.0 | 156.3 |
| Over 155.5 | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chelyabinsk | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 93.6 | 86.0 | +7.6 |
| 2 |  Ufa | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 89.1 | 71.4 | +17.7 |
| 3 |  Temp Sumz Revda | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 91.1 | 77.9 | +13.3 |
| 4 |  Dynamo Grozny | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 82.5 | 72.2 | +10.3 |
| 5 |  CSKA Moscow 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 71.8 | 68.8 | +3.0 |
| 6 |  Khimki M. | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 78.2 | 76.5 | +1.7 |
| 7 |  Metallurg | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 76.2 | 81.8 | -5.6 |
| 8 |  Tambov | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 71.3 | 73.8 | -2.5 |
| 9 |  University-Ugra | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 71.7 | 80.8 | -9.2 |
| 10 |  Barnaul | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 78.6 | 83.9 | -5.3 |
| 11 | Izhevsk | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 78.4 | 83.4 | -5.0 |
| 12 |  Desna Bryansk | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 71.8 | 78.8 | -7.0 |
| 13 |  Rusichi Kursk | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 70.4 | 85.2 | -14.8 |
| 14 | Novosibirsk | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 77.2 | 89.8 | -12.7 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novosibirsk | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 103 |
| Izhevsk | 21 | 21 | 16 | 27 | 85 |
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