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NPC Rieti vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 71-65
14-15 16-29 16-18 25-3
Position#6
Record15-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#2
Record17-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game78.5
ItalyA2 - WestRound 25
Other2018-19
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NPC Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NPC RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#3
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H06/01
A2 - West
Biella
#5
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
A13/01
A2 - West
Siena
#13
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H20/01
A2 - West
Trapani
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A26/01
A2 - West
Virtus Cassino
#16
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A30/01
A2 - West
Casale Monferrato
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H03/02
A2 - West
Tortona
#14
W
78-77 OT
78
77
+1
H10/02
A2 - West
Latina
#8
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A16/02
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H03/03
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A10/03
A2 - West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
8-13
19-13
18-9
20-22
16-19
26-13
10-18
19-14
11-16
14-6
9-6
22-16
23-19
20-17
18-22
18-15
27-18
19-23
21-19
25-20
19-19
16-16
19-18
26-15
16-23
11-16
13-12
16-21
19-19
14-22
13-21
20-26
24-22
16-8
17-26
22-20
16-23
27-25
19-20
147.9Avg total
74.5Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)73.272.2145.4+0.962%
Season at home (12)71.768.0139.7+3.783%
Season away (12)74.776.5151.2-1.842%
Last 10 (10)74.573.4147.9+1.170%
Last 5 (5)76.080.6156.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.776.0152.7+0.767%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.669.6140.2+1.171%
vs Weaker (7)76.776.0152.7+0.743%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legnano
#15
W
100-81
100
81
+19
H06/01
A2 - West
Virtus Cassino
#16
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A12/01
A2 - West
Latina
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H16/01
A2 - West
Bergamo
#4
W
82-78 OT
82
78
+4
H20/01
A2 - West
Biella
#5
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H27/01
A2 - West
Leonis Roma
#12
W
94-73
94
73
+21
A31/01
A2 - West
Casale Monferrato
#7
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A10/02
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H19/02
A2 - West
Trapani
#10
L
86-87
86
87
-1
A25/02
A2 - West
Tortona
#14
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H10/03
A2 - West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
25-27
22-18
31-19
24-18
14-15
20-26
28-33
14-18
25-19
18-16
24-23
14-19
22-13
19-16
15-22
17-17
22-22
30-18
21-21
22-8
30-28
25-16
17-21
18-23
20-21
15-12
24-20
16-10
18-27
25-15
14-22
22-24
23-30
27-10
14-23
15-10
25-22
15-14
24-20
162.9Avg total
84.8Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.878.5161.3+4.471%
Season at home (12)82.874.7157.4+8.183%
Season away (12)82.982.2165.2+0.758%
Last 10 (10)84.878.1162.9+6.770%
Last 5 (5)81.875.2157.0+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.279.5161.7+2.665%
vs Weaker (10)86.179.3165.4+6.870%
This opponent (NPC Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
NPC RietiVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NPC RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#3
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H06/01
A2 - West
Biella
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A13/01
A2 - West
Siena
#13
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H20/01
A2 - West
Trapani
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A26/01
A2 - West
Virtus Cassino
#16
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A30/01
A2 - West
Casale Monferrato
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H03/02
A2 - West
Tortona
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/02
A2 - West
Latina
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A16/02
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H03/03
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A10/03
A2 - West
76.3Avg total
38.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)36.635.572.1+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.835.871.6+0.150%-
Last 30 away (12)37.435.272.7+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.276.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.682.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.737.072.7-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.435.170.5+0.450%-
vs Weaker (7)39.435.775.1+3.757%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legnano
#15
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H06/01
A2 - West
Virtus Cassino
#16
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A12/01
A2 - West
Latina
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H16/01
A2 - West
Bergamo
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H20/01
A2 - West
Biella
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H27/01
A2 - West
Leonis Roma
#12
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A31/01
A2 - West
Casale Monferrato
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A10/02
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H19/02
A2 - West
Trapani
#10
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A25/02
A2 - West
Tortona
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H10/03
A2 - West
79.6Avg total
40.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.882.0+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.136.578.6+5.681%-
Last 30 away (14)42.443.686.0-1.336%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.879.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.682.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)42.140.882.8+1.455%-
vs Weaker (10)42.438.080.4+4.470%-
This opponent (NPC Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
NPC Rieti wins
0
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
02/12/18Virtus Roma v NPC Rieti75-85
NPC Rietilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/19ACapo d'Orlando84-88
03/03/19HLegnano77-82
16/02/19ALatina62-83
10/02/19HTortona78-77 OT
03/02/19HCasale Monferrato79-73
30/01/19AVirtus Cassino85-75
26/01/19ATrapani83-74
20/01/19HSiena53-42
13/01/19ABiella85-83 OT
06/01/19HTreviglio59-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/19HTortona79-66
25/02/19ATrapani86-87
19/02/19HCapo d'Orlando73-74
10/02/19ACasale Monferrato77-76
31/01/19ALeonis Roma94-73
27/01/19HBiella90-78
20/01/19HBergamo82-78 OT
16/01/19HLatina81-76
12/01/19AVirtus Cassino86-92
06/01/19HLegnano100-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NPC Rieti
A2 - West 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL62%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%83%42%
Points / game73.271.774.7
Allowed / game72.268.076.5
Point differential+0.9+3.7-1.8
Avg total145.4139.7151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)86% (7)33% (6)
Overtime %17%8%25%
Virtus Roma
A2 - West 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW71%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %71%83%58%
Points / game82.882.882.9
Allowed / game78.574.782.2
Point differential+4.4+8.1+0.7
Avg total161.3157.4165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%42%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)75% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Roma2417771%82.878.5+4.4
2 Capo d'Orlando2416867%85.880.4+5.4
3 NPC Rieti2415962%73.272.2+0.9
4 Bergamo25151060%81.678.3+3.3
5 Latina25151060%88.587.2+1.3
6 Treviglio24141058%82.579.7+2.8
7 Agrigento25141156%78.278.8-0.6
8 Scafati24131154%82.282.2-0.1
9 Casale Monferrato24121250%82.179.0+3.1
10 Biella24121250%76.374.0+2.4
11 Trapani24121250%84.383.7+0.6
12 Leonis Roma25121348%78.580.3-1.8
13 Siena24101442%73.177.5-4.4
14 Tortona25101540%75.475.6-0.2
15 Legnano2461825%72.979.4-6.5
16 Virtus Cassino252238%74.284.4-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NPC Rieti1416162571
Virtus Roma152918365
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