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NPC Rieti vs Casale Monferrato Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-73
25-20 19-19 16-16 19-18
Position#6
Record13-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#7
Record11-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game78.5
ItalyA2 - WestRound 20
Other2018-19
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NPC Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casale Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NPC RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#2
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A02/12
A2 - West
Bergamo
#4
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H09/12
A2 - West
Leonis Roma
#12
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
A15/12
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H23/12
A2 - West
Agrigento
#11
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A30/12
A2 - West
Treviglio
#3
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H06/01
A2 - West
Biella
#5
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
A13/01
A2 - West
Siena
#13
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H20/01
A2 - West
Trapani
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A26/01
A2 - West
Virtus Cassino
#16
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A30/01
A2 - West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
21-20
21-13
25-21
19-16
13-17
24-17
16-18
23-25
20-8
12-24
18-16
18-17
24-21
10-14
22-16
16-9
17-21
16-19
17-21
14-22
8-13
19-13
18-9
20-22
16-19
26-13
10-18
19-14
11-16
14-6
9-6
22-16
23-19
20-17
18-22
18-15
27-18
19-23
21-19
144.1Avg total
74.2Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.470.1142.5+2.468%
Season at home (9)69.664.9134.4+4.789%
Season away (10)75.074.7149.7+0.350%
Last 10 (10)74.269.9144.1+4.380%
Last 5 (5)73.066.2139.2+6.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.070.0143.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.067.4137.4+2.673%
vs Weaker (6)76.775.0151.7+1.750%
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casale MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legnano
#15
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A02/12
A2 - West
Agrigento
#11
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H09/12
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
L
89-101
89
101
-12
A16/12
A2 - West
Leonis Roma
#12
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H22/12
A2 - West
Bergamo
#4
L
85-99
85
99
-14
A28/12
A2 - West
Biella
#5
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H06/01
A2 - West
Latina
#8
W
101-86
101
86
+15
A12/01
A2 - West
Virtus Cassino
#16
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H20/01
A2 - West
Siena
#13
L
98-107
98
107
-9
A27/01
A2 - West
Trapani
#10
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H30/01
A2 - West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
24-17
18-26
16-19
18-22
12-12
12-11
24-11
30-27
18-21
19-35
22-18
18-19
24-12
17-24
21-16
24-17
19-27
19-30
23-25
17-12
16-23
11-17
13-13
26-23
24-17
20-23
31-23
27-10
19-16
22-20
21-16
22-26
20-33
27-29
29-19
24-29
29-13
20-20
23-13
165.5Avg total
84.9Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.978.5162.5+5.458%
Season at home (10)81.568.9150.4+12.680%
Season away (9)86.789.2175.9-2.633%
Last 10 (10)84.980.6165.5+4.360%
Last 5 (5)88.279.0167.2+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.177.6149.7-5.443%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.676.3156.9+4.457%
vs Weaker (9)85.778.6164.2+7.167%
This opponent (NPC Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +5.0+5.0
NPC RietiCasale Monferrato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NPC RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A02/12
A2 - West
Bergamo
#4
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H09/12
A2 - West
Leonis Roma
#12
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A15/12
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H23/12
A2 - West
Agrigento
#11
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A30/12
A2 - West
Treviglio
#3
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H06/01
A2 - West
Biella
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A13/01
A2 - West
Siena
#13
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H20/01
A2 - West
Trapani
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A26/01
A2 - West
Virtus Cassino
#16
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A30/01
A2 - West
71.6Avg total
36.7Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)35.633.969.5+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (9)33.333.867.1-0.444%-
Last 30 away (10)37.634.071.6+3.660%-
Last 10 (10)36.734.971.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)35.634.870.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.534.068.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.134.068.1+0.145%-
vs Weaker (6)38.733.772.3+5.067%-
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casale MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legnano
#15
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A02/12
A2 - West
Agrigento
#11
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H09/12
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A16/12
A2 - West
Leonis Roma
#12
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H22/12
A2 - West
Bergamo
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A28/12
A2 - West
Biella
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H06/01
A2 - West
Latina
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A12/01
A2 - West
Virtus Cassino
#16
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H20/01
A2 - West
Siena
#13
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A27/01
A2 - West
Trapani
#10
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H30/01
A2 - West
83.9Avg total
44.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.078.7+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.935.775.6+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)41.540.381.8+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)44.139.883.9+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.485.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.735.073.7+3.757%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.038.979.9+2.164%-
vs Weaker (9)41.838.980.7+2.944%-
This opponent (NPC Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NPC Rieti wins
1
Casale Monferrato wins
DateGameScore
28/10/18Casale Monferrato v NPC Rieti70-55
NPC Rietilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/19AVirtus Cassino85-75
26/01/19ATrapani83-74
20/01/19HSiena53-42
13/01/19ABiella85-83 OT
06/01/19HTreviglio59-57
30/12/18AAgrigento66-70
23/12/18HScafati74-68
15/12/18ALeonis Roma80-87 OT
09/12/18HBergamo72-68
02/12/18AVirtus Roma85-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/19HTrapani96-75
27/01/19ASiena98-107
20/01/19HVirtus Cassino89-62
12/01/19ALatina101-86
06/01/19HBiella57-65
28/12/18ABergamo85-99
22/12/18HLeonis Roma80-71
16/12/18AScafati89-101
09/12/18HAgrigento66-56
02/12/18ALegnano88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NPC Rieti
A2 - West 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %68%89%50%
Points / game72.469.675.0
Allowed / game70.164.974.7
Point differential+2.4+4.7+0.3
Avg total142.5134.4149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%22%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)100% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %16%0%30%
Casale Monferrato
A2 - West 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%80%33%
Points / game83.981.586.7
Allowed / game78.568.989.2
Point differential+5.4+12.6-2.6
Avg total162.5150.4175.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%70%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Roma2015575%83.779.0+4.7
2 NPC Rieti1913668%72.470.1+2.4
3 Bergamo1912763%82.478.3+4.1
4 Capo d'Orlando2012860%86.381.3+5.0
5 Latina2012860%88.889.2-0.4
6 Casale Monferrato1911858%83.978.5+5.4
7 Treviglio1911858%80.880.1+0.7
8 Agrigento1911858%77.878.1-0.2
9 Biella1910953%77.772.8+4.9
10 Trapani1991047%84.484.2+0.2
11 Scafati1991047%81.082.5-1.5
12 Siena1991047%77.379.2-1.9
13 Leonis Roma1981142%76.180.2-4.1
14 Tortona1961332%73.875.6-1.7
15 Legnano2041620%75.783.2-7.5
16 Virtus Cassino1921711%74.284.3-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NPC Rieti2519161979
Casale Monferrato2019161873
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