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Nurnberger vs Gotha Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 79-66
13-19 13-17 20-8 33-22
Position#12
Record10-16
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#7
Record15-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game73.9
GermanyPro ARound 28
Other2016-17
Meetings · Nurnberger v Gotha
18 Mar 2017
NURN79
GOH66
06 Dec 2015
NURN110
GOH96
28 Mar 2015
NURN89
GOH74
08 Feb 2014
NURN94
GOH83
23 Mar 2013
NURN91
GOH82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nurnberger winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gotha winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NurnbergerGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hanau
#11
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A07/01
Pro A
Dresden
#16
W
97-67
97
67
+30
A17/01
Pro A
Paderborn
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H22/01
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
L
83-91 OT
83
91
-8
A29/01
Pro A
Hamburg
#8
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H11/02
Pro A
Kirchheim
#4
W
75-72 OT
75
72
+3
A17/02
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
L
71-101
71
101
-30
A19/02
Pro A
Essen
#15
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H26/02
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H04/03
Pro A
Baunach
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A12/03
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
26-10
30-17
24-20
17-20
23-13
16-25
22-16
10-21
16-15
24-18
13-24
24-20
15-17
18-16
20-27
15-10
25-13
13-26
14-16
12-9
20-28
25-29
12-23
14-21
31-12
30-24
14-11
10-14
25-13
8-23
17-19
18-22
14-15
21-16
23-24
19-20
153.9Avg total
76.6Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)73.578.3151.8-4.838%
Season at home (12)71.773.2144.9-1.633%
Season away (14)75.182.6157.7-7.643%
Last 10 (10)76.677.3153.9-0.740%
Last 5 (5)75.277.2152.4-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)67.280.8147.9-13.622%
vs Similar (10)77.977.2155.1+0.740%
vs Weaker (2)95.073.0168.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Gotha) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GothaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H13/01
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H24/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#4
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
A28/01
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
L
86-98
86
98
-12
H02/02
Pro A
Hanau
#11
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H14/02
Pro A
Paderborn
#9
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A17/02
Pro A
Dresden
#16
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A19/02
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H26/02
Pro A
Koln
#10
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A05/03
Pro A
Hamburg
#8
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H15/03
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
16-24
21-23
16-16
22-19
20-15
20-22
21-29
23-18
16-23
17-22
25-18
26-22
20-17
21-27
19-32
18-21
27-19
20-19
22-15
20-18
27-17
18-18
17-15
30-17
19-20
26-14
12-17
20-29
21-17
15-15
29-14
25-10
23-21
13-20
17-18
12-25
17-19
25-20
17-16
161.2Avg total
82.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.373.9152.1+4.456%
Season at home (14)82.276.7158.9+5.557%
Season away (13)74.170.8144.8+3.354%
Last 10 (10)82.079.2161.2+2.850%
Last 5 (5)80.672.0152.6+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.382.7151.0-14.40%
vs Similar (16)78.474.1152.6+4.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.467.0146.4+12.486%
This opponent (Nurnberger) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
NurnbergerGotha
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NurnbergerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dresden
#16
W
56-27
56
27
+29
A17/01
Pro A
Paderborn
#9
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H22/01
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A29/01
Pro A
Hamburg
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H11/02
Pro A
Kirchheim
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A17/02
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A19/02
Pro A
Essen
#15
W
61-36
61
36
+25
H26/02
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H04/03
Pro A
Baunach
#13
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A12/03
Pro A
78.9Avg total
42.2Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)37.039.176.1-2.139%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.937.073.9-0.146%-
Last 30 away (15)37.140.977.9-3.833%-
Last 10 (9)42.236.778.9+5.656%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.882.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.141.175.1-7.024%-
vs Similar (9)38.836.775.4+2.156%-
vs Weaker (2)54.033.087.0+21.0100%-
This opponent (Gotha) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GothaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H13/01
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H24/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A28/01
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H02/02
Pro A
Hanau
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/02
Pro A
Paderborn
#9
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A17/02
Pro A
Dresden
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A19/02
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H26/02
Pro A
Koln
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A05/03
Pro A
Hamburg
#8
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H15/03
Pro A
81.0Avg total
41.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.336.974.2+0.352%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.538.175.6-0.547%-
Last 30 away (14)37.035.772.7+1.357%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.181.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.681.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.038.370.3-6.317%-
vs Similar (16)39.136.675.7+2.669%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.636.674.1+1.043%-
This opponent (Nurnberger) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Nurnberger wins
3
Gotha wins
DateGameScore
22/11/16Gotha v Nurnberger66-80
19/02/16Gotha v Nurnberger81-48
06/12/15Nurnberger v Gotha110-96
28/03/15Nurnberger v Gotha89-74
15/11/14Gotha v Nurnberger82-73
08/02/14Nurnberger v Gotha94-83
03/10/13Gotha v Nurnberger75-84
23/03/13Nurnberger v Gotha91-82
08/12/12Gotha v Nurnberger103-91
Nurnbergerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/17ABaunach77-75
04/03/17HMitteldeutscher68-77
26/02/17HEssen85-61
19/02/17AHeidelberg71-101
17/02/17AKirchheim75-72 OT
11/02/17HHamburg68-70
29/01/17AEhingen83-91 OT
22/01/17HPaderborn71-75
17/01/17ADresden97-67
07/01/17AHanau71-84
Gothalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/17HHamburg71-80
05/03/17AKoln78-69
26/02/17HEhingen85-75
19/02/17ADresden87-68
17/02/17APaderborn82-68
14/02/17HHanau87-74
02/02/17HHeidelberg86-98
28/01/17AKirchheim91-92 OT
24/01/17HCrailsheim Merlins83-85
13/01/17HMitteldeutscher70-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nurnberger
Pro A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW38%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %38%33%43%
Points / game73.571.775.1
Allowed / game78.373.282.6
Point differential-4.8-1.6-7.6
Avg total151.8144.9157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)17% (6)80% (5)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Gotha
Pro A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayWLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%57%54%
Points / game78.382.274.1
Allowed / game73.976.770.8
Point differential+4.4+5.5+3.3
Avg total152.1158.9144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mitteldeutscher2724389%86.373.3+13.0
2 Crailsheim Merlins2722581%87.574.1+13.4
3 Kirchheim2719870%79.977.9+2.0
4 Chemnitz2718967%76.070.8+5.2
5 Heidelberg27161159%73.670.6+3.0
6 Gotha27151256%78.373.9+4.4
7 Trier27151256%73.673.3+0.3
8 Koln27131448%74.373.3+1.0
9 Hanau27131448%71.972.6-0.7
10 Paderborn27131448%78.279.0-0.8
11 Hamburg27121544%74.475.1-0.7
12 Nurnberger26101638%73.578.3-4.8
13 Baunach2891932%71.879.0-7.2
14 Ehingen2882029%73.880.5-6.6
15 Essen2772026%73.981.0-7.1
16 Dresden262248%75.590.0-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nurnberger1313203379
Gotha191782266
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