Nurnberger vs Essen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 85-61

31-12 30-24 14-11 10-14

Position#12

Record8-15

FormLLLWL

Points / game73.1

Allowed / game79.3

Nurnberger 🏆

Essen

Position#15

Record6-18

FormLLLLW

Points / game74.4

Allowed / game81.4

Pro ARound 25

Other2016-17

Meetings · Nurnberger v Essen

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nurnberger winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Essen winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nurnberger Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ehingen

#14

90-83

H09/12

Pro A

Hamburg

84-83

A30/12

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

68-99

-31

A05/01

Pro A

Hanau

#11

71-84

-13

A07/01

Pro A

Dresden

#16

97-67

+30

A17/01

Pro A

Paderborn

71-75

-4

H22/01

Pro A

Ehingen

#14

83-91 OT

-8

A29/01

Pro A

Hamburg

68-70

-2

H11/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

75-72 OT

A17/02

Pro A

Heidelberg

71-101

101

-30

A19/02

Pro A

20-24

9-24

30-13

31-22

15-34

19-17

20-12

30-20

9-25

28-25

16-28

15-21

–

26-10

30-17

24-20

17-20

23-13

16-25

22-16

10-21

16-15

24-18

13-24

24-20

15-17

18-16

20-27

15-10

25-13

13-26

14-16

12-9

20-28

25-29

12-23

14-21

160.3Avg total

77.8Scored

82.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	73.1	79.3	152.3	-6.2	35%
Season at home (10)	70.7	74.1	144.8	-3.4	30%
Season away (13)	74.9	83.2	158.2	-8.3	38%
Last 10 (10)	77.8	82.5	160.3	-4.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	81.8	155.4	-8.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	67.1	80.6	147.7	-13.6	22%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	75.7	78.4	154.1	-2.8	22%
vs Weaker (3)	91.0	79.3	170.3	+11.7	67%

This opponent (Essen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Essen

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Koln

#10

66-83

-17

H17/12

Pro A

Koln

#10

60-56

A22/12

Pro A

Hamburg

78-79

-1

H07/01

Pro A

Dresden

#16

92-78

+14

H13/01

Pro A

Mitteldeutscher

77-84

-7

A21/01

Pro A

Paderborn

82-83 OT

-1

A28/01

Pro A

Baunach

#13

72-82

-10

H04/02

Pro A

Ehingen

#14

74-75

-1

A11/02

Pro A

Heidelberg

65-70

-5

H17/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

93-92

A19/02

Pro A

14-28

14-19

17-18

21-18

7-14

24-16

13-10

16-16

17-20

21-17

21-20

19-22

24-23

20-18

26-16

22-21

25-26

14-19

16-21

22-18

20-12

20-30

13-26

18-3

19-22

28-14

14-22

11-24

–

20-18

18-15

16-21

11-16

18-22

21-26

26-24

28-20

154.1Avg total

75.9Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	74.4	81.4	155.8	-7.0	25%
Season at home (12)	73.9	80.2	154.1	-6.2	25%
Season away (12)	74.8	82.7	157.5	-7.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	78.2	154.1	-2.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	80.4	157.6	-3.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	73.6	81.8	155.4	-8.2	21%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	71.1	77.6	148.7	-6.4	14%
vs Weaker (4)	83.8	76.2	160.0	+7.5	75%

This opponent (Nurnberger) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NurnbergerEssen

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.3	19.6	36.9	-2.3	36%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.8	18.2	36.0	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	20.6	37.6	-3.7	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	16.5	19.8	36.3	-3.2	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.5	19.4	36.9	-1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	20.2	37.9	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.3	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	17.3	20.4	37.7	-3.1	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.8	16.2	35.0	+2.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.2	21.5	44.8	+1.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.2	21.9	42.1	-1.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.8	42.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	17.5	20.9	38.4	-3.4	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.8	18.1	35.9	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	30.3	19.3	49.7	+11.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.7	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	21.4	37.9	-5.0	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	17.4	21.5	38.9	-4.2	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.3	18.3	36.7	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	50%	-

NurnbergerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ehingen

#14

29-48

-19

H09/12

Pro A

Hamburg

34-51

-17

A30/12

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

37-50

-13

A05/01

Pro A

Dresden

#16

56-27

+29

A17/01

Pro A

Paderborn

39-38

H22/01

Pro A

Ehingen

#14

40-33

A29/01

Pro A

Hamburg

33-33

H11/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

38-39

-1

A17/02

Pro A

Heidelberg

45-57

-12

A19/02

Pro A

80.8Avg total

39.0Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	36.2	39.5	75.8	-3.3	36%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	36.0	38.2	74.2	-2.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.4	40.5	76.9	-4.1	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.0	41.8	80.8	-2.8	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	40.0	79.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	34.1	40.6	74.7	-6.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	35.2	37.5	72.8	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	51.3	38.7	90.0	+12.7	67%	-

This opponent (Essen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Koln

#10

28-47

-19

H17/12

Pro A

Koln

#10

31-30

A22/12

Pro A

Hamburg

38-37

H07/01

Pro A

Dresden

#16

44-41

H13/01

Pro A

Mitteldeutscher

39-45

-6

A21/01

Pro A

Paderborn

40-42

-2

A28/01

Pro A

Baunach

#13

47-36

+11

H04/02

Pro A

Heidelberg

38-33

H17/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

39-48

-9

A19/02

Pro A

78.1Avg total

38.2Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.1	40.0	76.1	-3.9	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	39.5	76.0	-3.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.7	40.6	76.3	-4.9	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.2	39.9	78.1	-1.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	40.8	81.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	34.7	41.9	76.6	-7.3	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	37.2	34.5	71.7	+2.7	83%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.2	39.2	80.5	+2.0	75%	-

This opponent (Nurnberger) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	39%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.7	16.7	36.3	+3.0	58%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	21.1	37.9	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-0.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.2	37.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	17.3	20.4	37.6	-3.1	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.5	16.9	35.4	+1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.7	38.4	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.8	39.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.5	20.3	37.8	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	19.2	41.5	+3.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.1	20.2	38.3	-2.1	36%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	16.9	20.8	37.8	-3.9	17%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.7	18.2	36.9	+0.4	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	16.2	31.2	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	16.9	19.7	36.6	-2.8	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	21.7	40.7	-2.7	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.3	18.7	37.1	-0.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	16.9	35.5	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.7	17.6	36.2	+1.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.2	34.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.7	17.5	36.2	+1.2	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	16.0	23.2	39.2	-7.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	36.1	39.4	75.5	-3.3	36%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	36.6	37.5	74.1	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	40.8	76.6	-5.1	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.7	38.1	75.8	-0.4	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	37.4	68.6	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	34.2	40.1	74.2	-5.9	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	38.9	37.5	76.4	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.7	40.7	80.3	-1.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.9	38.6	75.4	-1.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	39.4	76.9	-1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.2	37.6	73.9	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	36.7	37.3	74.0	-0.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	39.0	74.0	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	36.8	37.3	74.1	-0.5	53%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	33.5	43.5	77.0	-10.0	17%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.5	37.0	79.5	+5.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nurnberger wins

Essen wins

Date	Game	Score
29/10/16	Essen v Nurnberger	84-82
06/02/16	Essen v Nurnberger	82-86
04/10/15	Nurnberger v Essen	75-59
14/04/15	Nurnberger v Essen	83-63
12/04/15	Essen v Nurnberger	72-80
10/04/15	Nurnberger v Essen	57-60
06/04/15	Essen v Nurnberger	76-73
04/04/15	Nurnberger v Essen	87-59
07/02/15	Nurnberger v Essen	81-76
06/12/14	Essen v Nurnberger	85-91

Nurnbergerlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/02/17	A	Heidelberg	71-101
17/02/17	A	Kirchheim	75-72 OT
11/02/17	H	Hamburg	68-70
29/01/17	A	Ehingen	83-91 OT
22/01/17	H	Paderborn	71-75
17/01/17	A	Dresden	97-67
07/01/17	A	Hanau	71-84
05/01/17	A	Crailsheim Merlins	68-99
30/12/16	A	Hamburg	84-83
09/12/16	H	Ehingen	90-83

Essenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/02/17	A	Kirchheim	93-92
17/02/17	H	Heidelberg	65-70
11/02/17	A	Ehingen	74-75
04/02/17	H	Baunach	72-82
28/01/17	A	Paderborn	82-83 OT
21/01/17	A	Mitteldeutscher	77-84
13/01/17	H	Dresden	92-78
07/01/17	H	Hamburg	78-79
22/12/16	A	Koln	60-56
17/12/16	H	Koln	66-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nurnberger

Pro A 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	35%
Home	LLWLL	30%
Away	LWLWL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	10	13
Win %	35%	30%	38%
Points / game	73.1	70.7	74.9
Allowed / game	79.3	74.1	83.2
Point differential	-6.2	-3.4	-8.3
Avg total	152.3	144.8	158.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	10%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	17% (6)	75% (4)
Overtime %	9%	0%	15%

Essen

Pro A 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	25%
Home	LLWLL	25%
Away	WLLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	25%	25%	25%
Points / game	74.4	73.9	74.8
Allowed / game	81.4	80.2	82.7
Point differential	-7.0	-6.2	-7.8
Avg total	155.8	154.1	157.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	8%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	30% (10)	17% (6)	50% (4)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mitteldeutscher	25	22	3	88%	86.6	73.5	+13.1
2	Crailsheim Merlins	24	19	5	79%	86.5	74.8	+11.8
3	Chemnitz	24	17	7	71%	76.2	70.0	+6.3
4	Kirchheim	25	17	8	68%	79.8	78.4	+1.4
5	Heidelberg	24	16	8	67%	74.5	68.5	+5.9
6	Trier	25	14	11	56%	73.3	73.2	+0.1
7	Gotha	24	13	11	54%	78.3	73.8	+4.6
8	Hanau	25	13	12	52%	72.6	71.8	+0.8
9	Koln	25	12	13	48%	74.7	73.4	+1.2
10	Paderborn	25	12	13	48%	78.5	78.9	-0.4
11	Hamburg	25	10	15	40%	73.9	75.4	-1.5
12	Nurnberger	23	8	15	35%	73.1	79.3	-6.2
13	Ehingen	24	8	16	33%	74.5	80.7	-6.2
14	Baunach	25	7	18	28%	70.8	79.9	-9.1
15	Essen	24	6	18	25%	74.4	81.4	-7.0
16	Dresden	25	2	23	8%	75.6	90.2	-14.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nurnberger	31	30	14	10	85
Essen	12	24	11	14	61

← all games of the day

Nurnberger vs Essen Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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