Oaklands Wolves W host Leicester Riders W in the SLB Women on 7 November 2026, and the Pythia model names the Wolves as the clear favourite with a 99% chance of victory, a reflection of their 4-1 record, 85.0 points per game and 75.0 allowed per game, placing them third in the league, while the Riders sit ninth with a 0-5 record, 66.0 points per game and 91.0 allowed per game. The Wolves have a 1-1 home record, scoring 82.5 points and conceding 91.5 at home, and have won four of their last five games, including a 91-76 win over BA London Lions W away on 31 October and a 75-66 win over Sheffield Hatters W away on 17 October, though they suffered a 72-98 loss to Caledonia Gladiators W at home on 24 October. The Riders have gone 0-2 on the road, averaging 62.0 points and allowing 92.0, and have lost all five of their recent games, most recently a 62-90 defeat to Manchester Basketball W away on 18 October. Historically, the Wolves have dominated the series 8-2, most recently beating the Riders 81-72 on 28 February 2026. Pythia projects a 91-62 score, 152.9 total points, with a 47% chance of the over on the 154.0 line, and a 0% overtime probability. The Wolves' recent form and defensive edge suggest they will control the game from start to finish.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 85.0 | 75.0 | 160.0 | +10.0 | 80% |
| Season at home (2) | 82.5 | 91.5 | 174.0 | -9.0 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 86.7 | 64.0 | 150.7 | +22.7 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.5 | 74.6 | 153.1 | +3.9 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.0 | 75.0 | 160.0 | +10.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 68.3 | 79.0 | 147.3 | -10.7 | 33% |
| vs Similar (10) | 74.2 | 73.9 | 148.1 | +0.3 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (14) | 86.4 | 63.5 | 149.9 | +22.9 | 93% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 66.0 | 91.0 | 157.0 | -25.0 | 0% |
| Season at home (3) | 68.7 | 90.3 | 159.0 | -21.7 | 0% |
| Season away (2) | 62.0 | 92.0 | 154.0 | -30.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 65.9 | 89.7 | 155.6 | -23.8 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 66.0 | 91.0 | 157.0 | -25.0 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (27) | 63.3 | 84.7 | 148.0 | -21.4 | 7% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker (3) | 86.3 | 59.3 | 145.7 | +27.0 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.2 | 36.2 | 74.4 | +1.9 | 53% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 40.4 | 36.9 | 77.3 | +3.6 | 64% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 36.2 | 35.7 | 71.9 | +0.5 | 44% | 19% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.5 | 38.3 | 75.8 | -0.8 | 50% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.8 | 35.2 | 75.0 | +4.6 | 80% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 29.5 | 42.0 | 71.5 | -12.5 | 0% | 17% |
| vs Similar (10) | 36.3 | 39.0 | 75.3 | -2.7 | 50% | 30% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (14) | 43.2 | 31.8 | 75.0 | +11.4 | 79% | 36% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 32.1 | 42.0 | 74.1 | -9.9 | 20% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 28.9 | 41.9 | 70.9 | -13.0 | 21% | 21% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 34.9 | 42.0 | 76.9 | -7.1 | 19% | 38% |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.7 | 45.2 | 76.9 | -13.5 | 10% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 30.6 | 48.4 | 79.0 | -17.8 | 0% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (27) | 31.2 | 44.1 | 75.3 | -12.9 | 11% | 33% |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker (3) | 40.0 | 22.7 | 62.7 | +17.3 | 100% | 0% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oaklands Wolves W -19.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Lost |
| Oaklands Wolves W -20.5 | 75.3% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Lost |
| Leicester Riders W under 68.5 | 73.4% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Lost |
| Oaklands Wolves W -21.5 | 72.5% | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Lost |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.5 | 17.9 | 48.0% | 35.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.0 | 8.1 | 30.7% | 24.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.6 | 14.6 | 75.9% | 14.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.3 | 17.0 | 48.0% | 34.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.4 | 6.8 | 30.7% | 20.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 14.2 | 8.2 | 75.9% | 8.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 | Oaklands Wolves W v Leicester Riders W | 81-72 |
| 17/01/26 | Leicester Riders W v Oaklands Wolves W | 42-81 |
| 19/10/25 | Leicester Riders W v Oaklands Wolves W | 44-78 |
| 03/05/25 | Oaklands Wolves W v Leicester Riders W | 74-62 |
| 26/04/25 | Oaklands Wolves W v Leicester Riders W | 88-64 |
| 15/02/25 | Oaklands Wolves W v Leicester Riders W | 90-53 |
| 23/11/24 | Leicester Riders W v Oaklands Wolves W | 54-69 |
| 29/09/24 | Oaklands Wolves W v Leicester Riders W | 76-69 |
| 02/03/24 | Leicester Riders W v Oaklands Wolves W | 79-73 |
| 28/10/23 | Oaklands Wolves W v Leicester Riders W | 78-92 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | BA London Lions W | 91-76 OT |
| 24/10/26 | H | Caledonia Gladiators W | 72-98 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Sheffield Hatters W | 75-66 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Cardiff Met Archers W | 93-85 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Nottingham Wildcats W | 94-50 |
| 09/05/26 | A | Sheffield Hatters W | 64-85 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Newcastle Eagles W | 72-68 |
| 25/04/26 | H | Sheffield Hatters W | 71-65 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Newcastle Eagles W | 81-76 |
| 11/04/26 | A | BA London Lions W | 72-77 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Sheffield Hatters W | 61-88 |
| 24/10/26 | H | BA London Lions W | 75-92 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Manchester Basketball W | 62-90 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Essex Rebels W | 62-94 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Newcastle Eagles W | 70-91 |
| 25/04/26 | H | Cardiff Met Archers W | 70-66 OT |
| 18/04/26 | A | Sheffield Hatters W | 67-106 |
| 12/04/26 | A | Essex Rebels W | 56-96 |
| 04/04/26 | H | Caledonia Gladiators W | 64-98 |
| 20/03/26 | A | Newcastle Eagles W | 72-76 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLW | 80% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Points / game | 85.0 | 82.5 | 86.7 |
| Allowed / game | 75.0 | 91.5 | 64.0 |
| Point differential | +10.0 | -9.0 | +22.7 |
| Avg total | 160.0 | 174.0 | 150.7 |
| Over 154.25 | 60% | 100% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 0% |
| Home | LLL | 0% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 66.0 | 68.7 | 62.0 |
| Allowed / game | 91.0 | 90.3 | 92.0 |
| Point differential | -25.0 | -21.7 | -30.0 |
| Avg total | 157.0 | 159.0 | 154.0 |
| Over 154.25 | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caledonia Gladiators W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 96.2 | 66.7 | +29.5 |
| 2 | Manchester Basketball W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 67.8 | +27.2 |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 85.0 | 75.0 | +10.0 | |
| 4 | Sheffield Hatters W | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 83.0 | 74.0 | +9.0 |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 83.6 | 82.0 | +1.6 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 78.6 | 81.4 | -2.8 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 80.8 | 92.0 | -11.2 | |
| 8 | Essex Rebels W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 77.2 | 84.6 | -7.4 |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 66.0 | 91.0 | -25.0 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 58.4 | 93.0 | -34.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 79 | |
| 16 | 23 | 17 | 15 | 71 |
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