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Obras Sanitarias W vs Avellaneda W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Projected 77-60
Projected total 137.0
Final 88-78
21-16 22-19 27-26 18-17
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game67.2
Vs
94%
■ OBRA 94%■ AVEL 6%
Pythia win probability
Position#19
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game56.2
Allowed / game66.0
ArgentinaLiga Femenina Women· Estadio Obras Sanitarias
Women2027
Meetings · Obras Sanitarias W v Avellaneda W
09 Nov 2026
OBRA88
AVEL78
25 Apr 2026
OBRA74
AVEL51
22 Mar 2025
OBRA105
AVEL43
12 Feb 2025
OBRA85
AVEL30
15 Dec 2024
OBRA82
AVEL41
16 Nov 2024
OBRA57
AVEL63
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Obras Sanitarias W will host Avellaneda W in the Liga Femenina Women on 9 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Obras Sanitarias W as the clear favourite with a 94% chance of winning, a reflection of their 5-1 season record, 71.2 points scored and 67.2 points allowed per game, and third place in the league. Avellaneda W, struggling with a 1-5 record, 56.2 points scored and 66.0 points allowed per game, sits 16th in the standings and has lost all five of its recent games, including a 43-50 defeat to Union Florida W on 6 November. Obras Sanitarias W have been strong at home, going 3-1 with 71.0 points per game and 69.5 points allowed, and have won four of their last five games, highlighted by a 77-64 victory over Regatas San Nicolas W on 23 October. The head-to-head history shows Obras Sanitarias W winning eight of nine meetings, most recently 74-51 on 25 April. Pythia projects a 77-60 score for the match, with a 137 total and a 46% probability that Obras Sanitarias W will cover the -19.0 spread, while the 65% chance of the over on the 130.5 total line suggests a high-scoring affair, and a 1% chance of overtime. The game will be decided by Obras Sanitarias W's recent 65-61 win over Union Florida W on 2 November.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Obras Sanitarias W winWon
93.8%fair 1.07
Best odds1.08
Implied88.5%
Edge+5.3pp
Avellaneda W winLost
6.2%fair 16.13
Best odds11.00
Implied11.5%
Edge-5.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Obras Sanitarias WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
El Talar W
#3
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H08/05
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A17/05
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H21/05
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H23/05
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#12
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H10/10
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#11
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A13/10
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#7
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H20/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#18
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H23/10
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#12
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A02/11
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#11
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H05/11
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-10
13-11
22-20
21-33
27-22
17-27
15-24
25-17
20-17
22-8
7-18
13-13
17-14
16-26
19-14
17-21
22-20
15-20
15-17
22-13
27-19
20-21
6-12
24-12
10-29
15-16
22-15
21-23
10-17
32-16
20-16
15-15
19-21
15-21
20-2
12-17
16-15
19-17
15-23
15-6
142.0Avg total
72.2Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.267.2138.3+4.083%
Season at home (4)71.069.5140.5+1.575%
Season away (2)71.562.5134.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.269.8142.0+2.470%
Last 5 (5)70.666.6137.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.069.3139.3+0.767%
vs Similar (9)72.068.1140.1+3.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)76.160.2136.2+15.994%
This opponent (Avellaneda W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellaneda WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa W
#9
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H11/04
Liga Femenina Women
Quimsa W
#9
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H12/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H18/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
51-74
51
74
-23
A25/04
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#18
W
82-44
82
44
+38
H11/10
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#5
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H16/10
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#11
L
45-85
45
85
-40
A29/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#18
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A30/10
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#7
L
56-87
56
87
-31
H06/11
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H07/11
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-22
9-14
15-16
19-6
19-10
13-22
13-15
28-9
17-28
15-16
17-17
13-16
18-23
9-20
12-10
12-21
16-11
20-13
23-6
23-14
13-18
11-14
13-22
16-13
11-18
16-27
6-22
12-18
15-24
15-15
13-10
15-14
23-24
12-16
10-24
11-23
10-16
11-15
11-7
11-12
123.7Avg total
57.6Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)56.266.0122.2-9.817%
Season at home (4)58.562.0120.5-3.525%
Season away (2)51.574.0125.5-22.50%
Last 10 (10)57.666.1123.7-8.520%
Last 5 (5)51.070.4121.4-19.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)56.775.9132.6-19.20%
vs Similar (11)63.559.4122.8+4.164%
vs Weaker (6)74.752.5127.2+22.283%
This opponent (Obras Sanitarias W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 125.5Actual: Over 125.5
Over 125.5
76.0%
Under 125.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 130.5 · main lineActual: Over 130.5
Over 130.5
65.4%
@ 1.85+15.3pp
Under 130.5
34.6%
@ 1.88-15.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.76
Under
BetVictor
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Over/Under 135.5Actual: Over 135.5
Over 135.5
53.4%
Under 135.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Obras Sanitarias W total 71.5Actual: Obras Sanitarias W over 71.5
Over 71.5
72.7%
@ 1.38+9.2pp
Under 71.5
27.3%
@ 2.40-9.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.40
Obras Sanitarias W total 75.5 · main lineActual: Obras Sanitarias W over 75.5
Over 75.5
57.8%
@ 1.85+8.2pp
Under 75.5
42.2%
@ 1.85-8.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.75
Under
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.70
Obras Sanitarias W total 79.5Actual: Obras Sanitarias W over 79.5
Over 79.5
no forecast
@ 2.48
Under 79.5
no forecast
@ 1.36
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.48
Under
1xBet
1.36
Avellaneda W total 51.5Actual: Avellaneda W over 51.5
Over 51.5
78.7%
Under 51.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellaneda W total 55.5 · main lineActual: Avellaneda W over 55.5
Over 55.5
65.3%
@ 1.85+15.3pp
Under 55.5
34.7%
@ 1.85-15.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.72
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.72
Avellaneda W total 59.5Actual: Avellaneda W over 59.5
Over 59.5
49.7%
@ 2.48+14.3pp
Under 59.5
50.3%
@ 1.36-14.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.48
Under
1xBet
1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Obras Sanitarias W -22Actual: Avellaneda W +22
OBRA -22
35.2%
@ 2.32-3.9pp
AVEL +22
64.8%
@ 1.49+3.9pp
Best 5 market prices
OBRA
Pinnacle
2.32
AVEL
Pinnacle
1.49
Spread Obras Sanitarias W -19 · main lineActual: Avellaneda W +19
OBRA -19
45.9%
@ 1.87-3.2pp
AVEL +19
54.1%
@ 1.80+3.2pp
Best 5 market prices
OBRA
Pinnacle
1.87
AVEL
Pinnacle
1.80
Spread Obras Sanitarias W -16Actual: Avellaneda W +16
OBRA -16
56.9%
AVEL +16
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
OBRA
No market prices yet.
AVEL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
Obras Sanitarias WAvellaneda W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Obras Sanitarias WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
El Talar W
#3
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H08/05
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A17/05
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H21/05
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H23/05
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H10/10
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A13/10
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#7
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H20/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H23/10
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#12
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A02/11
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H05/11
Liga Femenina Women
74.3Avg total
37.6Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 64.5
Last 30 (30)37.731.969.5+5.867%70%
Last 30 at home (17)38.630.168.7+8.582%76%
Last 30 away (13)36.534.270.6+2.346%62%
Last 10 (10)37.636.774.3+0.950%90%
Last 5 (5)36.638.475.0-1.860%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.739.074.7-3.367%100%
vs Similar (9)37.033.170.1+3.956%67%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.330.168.4+8.372%67%
This opponent (Avellaneda W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellaneda WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa W
#9
L
19-36
19
36
-17
H11/04
Liga Femenina Women
Quimsa W
#9
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H12/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H18/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A25/04
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#18
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H11/10
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#5
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H16/10
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#11
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A29/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#18
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A30/10
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H06/11
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#12
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H07/11
Liga Femenina Women
64.9Avg total
28.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 64.5
Last 30 (30)30.933.964.8-3.033%47%
Last 30 at home (16)33.532.966.4+0.638%50%
Last 30 away (14)27.935.162.9-7.229%43%
Last 10 (10)28.336.664.9-8.310%50%
Last 5 (5)27.437.464.8-10.00%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)28.039.967.9-11.98%62%
vs Similar (11)30.731.462.1-0.636%27%
vs Weaker (6)37.325.562.8+11.883%50%
This opponent (Obras Sanitarias W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Obras Sanitarias W win
OBRA win
no forecast
@ 1.16
AVEL win
no forecast
@ 4.55
1st half Spread Obras Sanitarias W -9.5 · main lineActual: Avellaneda W +9.5
OBRA -9.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
AVEL +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Over/Under 64.5 · main lineActual: Over 64.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Obras Sanitarias W (regulation)
OBRA
no forecast
@ 1.19
Draw
no forecast
@ 22.00
AVEL
no forecast
@ 4.65

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
OBRA win + total 130.5
🔒 Pro
AVEL win + total 130.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: OBRA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 12871.4%1.61
Pinnacle
1.61
----+14.7ppWon
Avellaneda W over 53.572.4%1.50
1xBet
1.50
----+14.7ppWon
Avellaneda W over 52.575.7%1.42
1xBet
1.42
----+14.3ppWon
Obras Sanitarias W over 71.572.7%1.38
1xBet
1.38
----+9.2ppWon
Obras Sanitarias W (regulation)92.8%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+8.4ppWon
Obras Sanitarias W win93.8%1.04
Betano
1.08
WilliamHill
1.03
BetVictor
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Pinnacle
1.02
+5.3ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Obras Sanitarias Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obras Sanitarias W: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.7
49.8%
42.7%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.58.9
28.3%
27.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.914.4
72.4%
64.0%14.4
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellaneda Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellaneda W: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.6
56.2%
42.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.45.1
23.8%
27.4%15.3
🏀 Free throws20.512.2
59.5%
64.0%12.2
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Obras Sanitarias W
WWWLWWLWLW
Avellaneda W
LLLLLWLLWL
#3
League position
#19
+17.5
Net rating
+10.4
104.2
Offensive rating
100.9
86.7
Defensive rating
90.4
46.1%
Effective FG%
48.4%
42.6%
Opp. effective FG%
40.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
28.3%
3-point %
23.8%
48.8%
Assist %
44.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 100.9Defence86.7 · 90.4Shooting46.1% · 48.4%3-point %28.3% · 23.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Obras Sanitarias W   ■ Avellaneda W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26HFerro W65-61
02/11/26AUnion Florida W66-61
23/10/26HRegatas San Nicolas W77-64
20/10/26HBerazategui W68-83
13/10/26AFerro W77-64
10/10/26HUnion Florida W74-70
23/05/26HFerro W69-75
21/05/26HFerro W62-56
17/05/26AFerro W84-90
08/05/26HEl Talar W80-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HUnion Florida W43-50
06/11/26HBerazategui W56-87
30/10/26ARegatas San Nicolas W58-63
29/10/26AFerro W45-85
16/10/26HEl Talar W53-67
11/10/26HRegatas San Nicolas W82-44
25/04/26AObras Sanitarias W51-74
18/04/26HObras Sanitarias W62-77
12/04/26HQuimsa W73-56
11/04/26HQuimsa W53-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Obras Sanitarias W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game71.271.071.5
Allowed / game67.269.562.5
Point differential+4.0+1.5+9.0
Avg total138.3140.5134.0
Over 130.567%75%50%
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellaneda W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game56.258.551.5
Allowed / game66.062.074.0
Point differential-9.8-3.5-22.5
Avg total122.2120.5125.5
Over 130.517%25%0%
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rocamora W550100%74.254.8+19.4
2 Boca W76186%75.356.4+18.9
3 Obras Sanitarias W65183%71.267.2+4.0
4 Independiente Neuquen W65183%62.759.0+3.7
5 El Talar W43175%72.560.2+12.2
6 Hindu W75271%69.354.4+14.9
7 Quilmes W64267%67.260.0+7.2
8 Velez Sarsfield W64267%60.254.8+5.3
9 Berazategui W53260%75.065.0+10.0
10 Instituto W53260%64.862.2+2.6
11 Ferro W74357%73.961.4+12.4
12 Union Florida W63350%62.263.2-1.0
13 San Jose W62433%55.854.8+1.0
14 Deportivo Chanares W51420%63.062.4+0.6
15 El Bigua W61517%58.567.5-9.0
16 Avellaneda W61517%56.266.0-9.8
17 Penarol W61517%53.264.3-11.2
18 Regatas San Nicolas W61517%54.778.8-24.2
19 Union Bahia W71614%51.166.6-15.4
20 Sociedad Espanola W4040%26.582.2-55.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Obras Sanitarias W2122271888
Avellaneda W1619261778
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