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Ockelbo vs Malbas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 79-78
Projected total 156.9
Final 80-69
17-21 25-12 26-15 12-21
Position#12
Record2-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game86.5
Ockelbo 🏆
Sweden
Vs
54%
46%
■ OCKE 54%■ MALB 46%
Pythia win probability
Malbas
Sweden
Position#13
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game87.9
SwedenSuperettan· Kuxahallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ockelbo v Malbas
31 Oct 2026
OCKE80
MALB69
28 Mar 2026
OCKE63
MALB75
21 Apr 2025
OCKE69
MALB54
22 Sep 2024
OCKE79
MALB71
09 Dec 2023
OCKE78
MALB70
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Ockelbo host Malbas in the Superettan. Pythia makes Ockelbo the favourite at 54% and projects 79-78, about 157 points in all (over 157.5: 48%). On the market's main spread (Ockelbo -3.5) Pythia gives Ockelbo 44% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Ockelbo are 2-4 this season (73.5 scored, 86.5 allowed a game), form WWLLL; Malbas are 0-7 this season (69.6 scored, 87.9 allowed a game), form LLLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ockelbo winWon
54.4%fair 1.84
Best odds1.62
Implied59.1%
Edge-4.6pp
Malbas winLost
45.6%fair 2.20
Best odds2.28
Implied40.9%
Edge+4.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OckelboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOckelbo
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
75-97
75
97
-22
64avg 65
A14/03
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
63-75
63
75
-12
56avg 65
H28/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
72-57
72
57
+15
64avg 65
H10/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
64avg 65
A12/04
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
59-127
59
127
-68
41avg 65
A19/09
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
94-75
94
75
+19
86avg 65
A26/09
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
73-71
73
71
+2
64avg 65
A03/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
71-90
71
90
-19
60avg 65
A04/10
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
64avg 65
H10/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
L
75-76
75
76
-1
72avg 65
H24/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
17-22
23-26
16-23
17-18
14-18
19-21
13-18
19-7
18-16
17-15
18-19
18-25
23-24
18-17
17-16
20-33
16-35
12-36
11-23
16-20
22-19
28-12
28-24
22-18
15-16
23-18
13-19
14-21
29-27
14-18
14-24
15-18
17-17
16-24
21-21
15-20
23-13
20-28
17-15
155.7Avg total
72.7Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.586.5160.0-13.033%
Season at home (2)72.078.0150.0-6.00%
Season away (4)74.290.8165.0-16.550%
Last 10 (10)72.783.0155.7-10.330%
Last 5 (5)76.478.4154.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.284.7158.9-10.622%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.879.8156.6-3.044%
vs Weaker (3)73.763.0136.7+10.767%
This opponent (Malbas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalbasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalbas
Date
Competition
Alvik
#7
L
78-86
78
86
-8
65avg 70
H11/04
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
67-82
67
82
-15
50avg 70
A23/04
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
90-95
90
95
-5
74avg 70
H26/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
84-99
84
99
-15
39avg 70
H19/09
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
71-73
71
73
-2
57avg 70
H03/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
73-100
73
100
-27
38avg 70
A10/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
55-91
55
91
-36
36avg 70
A14/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
73-84
73
84
-11
67avg 70
A18/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
66-82
66
82
-16
61avg 70
A24/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
60avg 70
A25/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
21-21
18-20
21-24
21-26
16-16
13-22
17-18
17-27
24-25
23-28
26-15
23-26
20-26
19-26
22-21
18-22
16-15
18-23
19-13
22-34
17-29
19-20
15-17
4-21
14-16
22-24
15-30
15-18
15-24
20-20
23-22
9-31
16-19
13-20
28-12
13-16
18-26
18-22
16-22
160.0Avg total
72.2Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.687.9157.4-18.30%
Season at home (2)77.586.0163.5-8.50%
Season away (5)66.488.6155.0-22.20%
Last 10 (10)72.287.8160.0-15.60%
Last 5 (5)66.488.6155.0-22.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.390.3159.7-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (4)79.075.5154.5+3.550%
vs Weaker (20)87.377.5164.8+9.970%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152.5Actual: Under 152.5
Over 152.5
59.6%
Under 152.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157.5 · main lineActual: Under 157.5
Over 157.5
47.6%
@ 1.87-2.4pp
Under 157.5
52.4%
@ 1.87+2.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.78
Over/Under 162.5Actual: Under 162.5
Over 162.5
35.9%
Under 162.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Ockelbo total 76Actual: Ockelbo over 76
Over 76
61.9%
Under 76
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ockelbo total 80 · main linePush
Over 80
46.0%
@ 1.72-4.0pp
Under 80
54.0%
@ 1.72+4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.72
Under
1xBet
1.72
Ockelbo total 84Actual: Ockelbo under 84
Over 84
30.7%
Under 84
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malbas total 72.5Actual: Malbas under 72.5
Over 72.5
69.3%
@ 1.32+2.5pp
Under 72.5
30.7%
@ 2.66-2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.32
Under
1xBet
2.66
Malbas total 76.5 · main lineActual: Malbas under 76.5
Over 76.5
54.6%
@ 1.83+3.4pp
Under 76.5
45.4%
@ 1.91-3.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.61
Under
BetVictor
1.91
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Malbas total 80.5Actual: Malbas under 80.5
Over 80.5
39.4%
@ 2.16-0.8pp
Under 80.5
60.6%
@ 1.45+0.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.16
Under
1xBet
1.45

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Ockelbo -6.5Actual: Ockelbo -6.5
OCKE -6.5
32.9%
@ 2.40-4.0pp
MALB +6.5
67.1%
@ 1.40+4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
OCKE
1xBet
2.40
MALB
1xBet
1.40
Spread Ockelbo -3.5 · main lineActual: Ockelbo -3.5
OCKE -3.5
43.8%
@ 1.88-5.8pp
MALB +3.5
56.2%
@ 1.85+5.8pp
Best 5 market prices
OCKE
Pinnacle
1.88
BetVictor
1.88
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.85
MALB
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
SBO
1.79
Spread Ockelbo -0.5Actual: Ockelbo -0.5
OCKE -0.5
54.4%
MALB +0.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
OCKE
No market prices yet.
MALB
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -8.2-8.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -8.2-8.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
OckelboMalbas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OckelboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A14/03
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H28/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H10/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A12/04
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
36-68
36
68
-32
A19/09
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/09
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A03/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A04/10
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H10/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H24/10
Superettan
78.2Avg total
36.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (30)37.939.977.8-2.037%57%
Last 30 at home (14)38.037.475.4+0.643%50%
Last 30 away (16)37.842.179.9-4.231%62%
Last 10 (10)36.941.378.2-4.430%40%
Last 5 (5)37.637.875.4-0.240%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.141.779.7-3.633%56%
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.139.678.7-0.444%78%
vs Weaker (3)33.330.363.7+3.033%0%
This opponent (Malbas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik
#7
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H11/04
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A23/04
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H26/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H19/09
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H03/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A10/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
18-37
18
37
-19
A14/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A18/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A24/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A25/10
Superettan
79.6Avg total
33.7Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (30)41.940.882.7+1.250%67%
Last 30 at home (12)45.340.886.2+4.550%75%
Last 30 away (18)39.740.780.4-1.150%61%
Last 10 (10)33.745.979.6-12.20%50%
Last 5 (5)28.646.875.4-18.20%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.047.778.7-16.70%33%
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.837.275.0+0.550%50%
vs Weaker (20)46.039.485.4+6.665%80%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Ockelbo win
OCKE win
no forecast
@ 1.67
MALB win
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Spread Ockelbo -1.5 · main lineActual: Ockelbo -1.5
OCKE -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
MALB +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 77.5 · main lineActual: Under 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Ockelbo 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Ockelbo over 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Malbas 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Malbas under 37.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half: OCKE + total 77.5
OCKE & over
no forecast
@ 3.20
OCKE & under
no forecast
@ 3.35
1st half: Draw + total 77.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half: MALB + total 77.5
MALB & over
no forecast
@ 4.10
MALB & under
no forecast
@ 4.25
1st half Over/Under 76.25Actual: Under 76.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Spread Ockelbo -2.5Actual: Ockelbo -2.5
OCKE -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
MALB +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.64
1st half Spread Ockelbo -3.5Actual: Ockelbo -3.5
OCKE -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.08
MALB +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.54
1st half Spread Ockelbo -4.5Actual: Ockelbo -4.5
OCKE -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.26
MALB +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
1st half Spread Ockelbo -5.5Actual: Ockelbo -5.5
OCKE -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.49
MALB +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.38
1st half Spread Ockelbo +2.5Actual: Ockelbo +2.5
OCKE +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.39
MALB -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.44
1st half Spread Ockelbo -6.5Actual: Ockelbo -6.5
OCKE -6.5
no forecast
@ 2.76
MALB +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.31
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Ockelbo (regulation)
OCKE
no forecast
@ 1.74
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
MALB
no forecast
@ 2.33

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
OCKE win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
MALB win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: OCKE leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: MALB leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Ockelbo under 85.573.6%1.30
1xBet
1.30		----+5.7ppWon
Ockelbo under 84.570.3%1.36
1xBet
1.36		----+5.6ppWon
Malbas +7.570.4%1.33
1xBet
1.33		----+3.7ppLost
Malbas +8.573.5%1.27
1xBet
1.27		----+3.5ppLost
Overtime: no94.6%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+3.1ppWon
Malbas over 71.572.7%1.27
1xBet
1.27		----+2.7ppLost
Malbas under 83.571.1%1.28
1xBet
1.28		----+2.0ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ockelbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ockelbo: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.0
51.3%
50.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.05.8
22.3%
29.5%17.4
🏀 Free throws23.214.9
64.2%
65.7%14.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas: 66.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.0
46.2%
50.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.96.3
23.4%
29.5%18.9
🏀 Free throws19.913.6
68.3%
65.7%13.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ockelbo
LLLWWLLWLL
Malbas
LLLLLLLLLL
#12
League position
#13
-11.3
Net rating
-22.9
78.7
Offensive rating
73.5
90.1
Defensive rating
96.4
44.2%
Effective FG%
41.5%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
22.3%
3-point %
23.4%
64.7%
Assist %
56.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence78.7 · 73.5Defence90.1 · 96.4Shooting44.2% · 41.5%3-point %22.3% · 23.4%Ball care17.9% · 18.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 0%
■ Ockelbo   ■ Malbas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ockelbo wins
4
Malbas wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26Malbas v Ockelbo71-73
28/03/26Ockelbo v Malbas63-75
11/01/26Malbas v Ockelbo72-74
27/04/25Malbas v Ockelbo84-62
21/04/25Ockelbo v Malbas69-54
26/01/25Malbas v Ockelbo97-70
22/09/24Ockelbo v Malbas79-71
03/03/24Malbas v Ockelbo66-51
09/12/23Ockelbo v Malbas78-70
Ockelbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HHuddinge75-76
10/10/26HNorrort69-80
04/10/26AIK Eos71-90
03/10/26AMalbas73-71
26/09/26ACross Over94-75
19/09/26AAlvik59-127
12/04/26ADjurgarden76-82
10/04/26HBlackeberg72-57
28/03/26HMalbas63-75
14/03/26AEskilstuna75-97
Malbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26AAlvik65-86
24/10/26AAIK Basket66-82
18/10/26AFryshuset Basket73-84
14/10/26AIK Eos55-91
10/10/26AWetterbygden Stars73-100
03/10/26HOckelbo71-73
19/09/26HEskilstuna84-99
26/04/26HHuddinge90-95
23/04/26AHuddinge67-82
11/04/26HAlvik78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ockelbo
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game73.572.074.2
Allowed / game86.578.090.8
Point differential-13.0-6.0-16.5
Avg total160.0150.0165.0
Over 157.550%0%75%
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Malbas
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.677.566.4
Allowed / game87.986.088.6
Point differential-18.3-8.5-22.2
Avg total157.4163.5155.0
Over 157.529%50%20%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket54180%85.474.0+11.4
2 Alvik75271%94.076.1+17.9
3 Fryshuset Basket75271%88.082.0+6.0
4 Wetterbygden Stars75271%88.082.1+5.9
5 Eskilstuna75271%92.388.0+4.3
6 Norrort64267%89.380.8+8.5
7 IK Eos53260%93.473.6+19.8
8 Sollentuna84450%84.978.5+6.4
9 Trelleborg63350%81.882.8-1.0
10 Huddinge73443%75.483.7-8.3
11 Djurgarden62433%76.287.5-11.3
12 Ockelbo62433%73.586.5-13.0
13 Malbas7070%69.687.9-18.3
14 Cross Over6060%69.095.3-26.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ockelbo1725261280
Malbas2112152169
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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