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Malbas vs Ockelbo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 84-62
19-17 23-20 18-16 24-9
Position#5
Record16-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game74.1
Malbas 🏆
Sweden
vs
Ockelbo
Sweden
Position#4
Record17-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game72.9
SwedenSuperettanSuperettan - Quarter-finals· Heleneholms Sporthall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Malbas v Ockelbo
03 Oct 2026
MALB71
OCKE73
11 Jan 2026
MALB72
OCKE74
27 Apr 2025
MALB84
OCKE62
26 Jan 2025
MALB97
OCKE70
03 Mar 2024
MALB66
OCKE51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malbas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ockelbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalbasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalbas
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#12
W
116-78
116
78
+38
127avg 75
H02/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
81-53
81
53
+28
78avg 75
A19/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
89-72
89
72
+17
82avg 75
H02/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
66-64
66
64
+2
62avg 75
A08/03
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
72-59
72
59
+13
69avg 75
A09/03
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
95-67
95
67
+28
94avg 75
A22/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
L
78-90
78
90
-12
71avg 75
A23/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
L
60-92
60
92
-32
50avg 75
H06/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
W
80-68
80
68
+12
71avg 75
H13/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
54-69
54
69
-15
46avg 75
A21/04
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
33-16
34-26
21-20
27-10
13-16
21-13
20-14
21-22
21-17
18-14
29-19
13-15
22-19
16-11
15-19
14-16
22-17
18-11
18-15
23-19
26-14
25-22
21-12
17-21
18-26
23-14
20-29
12-28
17-14
13-26
18-24
19-18
17-15
20-19
24-16
24-13
10-19
11-13
9-24
150.3Avg total
79.1Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.874.1155.9+7.659%
Season at home (13)90.075.5165.5+14.577%
Season away (14)74.172.9147.1+1.243%
Last 10 (10)79.171.2150.3+7.970%
Last 5 (5)73.477.2150.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.281.0152.2-9.80%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.170.9151.0+9.262%
vs Weaker (18)84.475.3159.7+9.267%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OckelboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOckelbo
Date
Competition
Akersberga
#13
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
71avg 67
H09/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
68-62
68
62
+6
57avg 67
A15/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
76-70
76
70
+6
65avg 67
H22/02
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
W
95-82
95
82
+13
86avg 67
H01/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
L
60-81
60
81
-21
44avg 67
A16/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
72-71
72
71
+1
66avg 67
A22/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
W
85-59
85
59
+26
82avg 67
H29/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
W
96-70
96
70
+26
90avg 67
H06/04
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
W
80-71
80
71
+9
78avg 67
A12/04
Superettan
Malbas
#5
W
69-54
69
54
+15
59avg 67
H21/04
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
16-18
8-17
19-17
13-16
19-10
22-11
14-25
17-13
27-15
17-23
15-19
20-17
18-19
27-25
30-21
21-28
17-18
13-15
9-20
23-14
15-17
15-25
19-15
25-14
24-16
17-16
19-13
25-25
25-14
17-7
29-24
18-15
22-14
15-23
25-19
13-24
19-10
13-11
24-9
146.9Avg total
77.7Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.472.9150.3+4.563%
Season at home (14)78.967.0145.9+11.986%
Season away (13)75.879.2155.0-3.538%
Last 10 (10)77.769.2146.9+8.590%
Last 5 (5)80.465.0145.4+15.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)91.087.0178.0+4.033%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.772.7147.4+2.050%
vs Weaker (13)78.573.0151.5+5.577%
This opponent (Malbas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
MalbasOckelbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#12
W
61-32
61
32
+29
H02/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A19/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H02/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A08/03
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A09/03
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A22/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A23/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H06/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H13/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A21/04
Superettan
74.8Avg total
39.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.936.878.8+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.936.882.7+9.171%-
Last 30 away (16)38.436.975.3+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)39.735.174.8+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.474.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.538.877.2-0.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.835.275.0+4.562%-
vs Weaker (18)43.737.180.8+6.672%-
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OckelboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akersberga
#13
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H09/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A15/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H22/02
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H01/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A16/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A22/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H29/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H06/04
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A12/04
Superettan
Malbas
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H21/04
Superettan
72.7Avg total
39.8Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.276.0+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.635.376.9+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)37.737.375.0+0.457%-
Last 10 (10)39.832.972.7+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)41.832.674.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.347.096.3+2.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.436.172.5+0.243%-
vs Weaker (13)41.233.875.1+7.485%-
This opponent (Malbas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.8
56.8%
49.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.5
29.6%
30.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.210.8
66.7%
67.1%10.8
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ockelbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ockelbo: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.716.0
43.6%
49.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.6
29.7%
30.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.919.1
76.7%
67.1%19.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malbas
LWLLWWWWWW
Ockelbo
WWWWWLWWWW
#5
League position
#4
+9.5
Net rating
+11.2
101.2
Offensive rating
98.0
91.7
Defensive rating
86.8
51.4%
Effective FG%
44.0%
42.4%
Opp. effective FG%
40.5%
20.0%
Turnover %
19.5%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.38
29.6%
3-point %
29.7%
64.5%
Assist %
58.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 98.0Defence91.7 · 86.8Shooting51.4% · 44.0%3-point %29.6% · 29.7%Ball care20.0% · 19.5%Off. rebounds29.5% · 31.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Malbas   ■ Ockelbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Malbas wins
3
Ockelbo wins
DateGameScore
21/04/25Ockelbo v Malbas69-54
26/01/25Malbas v Ockelbo97-70
22/09/24Ockelbo v Malbas79-71
03/03/24Malbas v Ockelbo66-51
09/12/23Ockelbo v Malbas78-70
Malbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/25AOckelbo54-69
13/04/25HDjurgarden80-68
06/04/25HAros Basket60-92
23/03/25AAIK Basket78-90
22/03/25ATureberg95-67
09/03/25AAlvik72-59
08/03/25AHuddinge66-64
02/03/25HHuddinge89-72
19/02/25AIK Eos81-53
02/02/25HAIK Basket116-78
Ockelbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/25HMalbas69-54
12/04/25AAros Basket80-71
06/04/25HSloga Uppsala96-70
29/03/25HAros Basket85-59
22/03/25ABlackeberg72-71
16/03/25AHuddinge60-81
01/03/25HAIK Basket95-82
22/02/25HIK Eos76-70
15/02/25AKFUM Fryshuset68-62
09/02/25HAkersberga76-72 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malbas
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL59%
HomeWWWLW77%
AwayWWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%77%43%
Points / game81.890.074.1
Allowed / game74.175.572.9
Point differential+7.6+14.5+1.2
Avg total155.9165.5147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%62%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Ockelbo
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %63%86%38%
Points / game77.478.975.8
Allowed / game72.967.079.2
Point differential+4.5+11.9-3.5
Avg total150.3145.9155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%64%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (1)33% (6)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sloga Uppsala2723485%86.475.9+10.5
2 Wetterbygden Stars2822679%85.482.1+3.3
3 KFUM Fryshuset2820871%82.776.5+6.1
4 Ockelbo27171063%77.472.9+4.5
5 Malbas27161159%81.874.1+7.6
6 Aros Basket28141450%79.279.4-0.1
7 Djurgarden27131448%81.378.8+2.5
8 Alvik28131546%84.981.7+3.2
9 Huddinge26121446%78.381.4-3.0
10 Blackeberg2681831%75.079.4-4.4
11 IK Eos2681831%80.785.5-4.8
12 AIK Basket2681831%79.986.6-6.7
13 Akersberga2671927%78.585.3-6.9
14 Tureberg2671927%71.485.2-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malbas1923182484
Ockelbo172016962
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