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OGM Ormanspor vs Ankara Kolejliler Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Projected 85-78
Projected total 163.3
Final 79-59
23-19 20-17 14-10 22-13
Position#8
Record4-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game82.8
Vs
75%
25%
■ OOR 75%■ AKO 25%
Pythia win probability
Position#16
Record3-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game80.4
TurkeyTBLRound 11· Sait Zarifo
Other2026-27
Meetings · OGM Ormanspor v Ankara Kolejliler
14 Nov 2026
OOR79
AKO59
07 Dec 2025
OOR93
AKO96
15 Sep 2024
OOR72
AKO64
13 Jan 2024
OOR97
AKO79
09 Dec 2022
OOR79
AKO90
13 Nov 2021
OOR77
AKO75
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

OGM Ormanspor will host Ankara Kolejliler on 14 November 2026 in the TBL, and the Pythia model names the home side as the clear favourite, giving it a 75% chance to win largely because of their 4-5 record, 83.2 points scored and 82.8 allowed per game, and a 9th place league position that places them above the 15th-placed Ankara Kolejliler, who are 3-7 with 74.9 points scored and 80.4 allowed. OGM Ormanspor's home form is stronger, 3-1 with 86.8 points per game and 81.8 allowed, while Ankara Kolejliler's road record is 2-3, 73.6 points and 84.2 allowed. In the last five games OGM Ormanspor went 3-2, including a 92-90 home win over Darussafaka and a 77-70 away win over Fenerbahce, whereas Ankara Kolejliler went 1-4, losing 67-74 to Buyukcekmece, 65-100 to Mersin SK and 66-72 to Harem Spor. The teams have met ten times, with Ankara Kolejliler winning six, the most recent encounter ending 86-79 in favour of OGM Ormanspor. Pythia projects a score of 85-78, a total of 163.3 points, and a 47% chance that OGM Ormanspor will cover the home line of -8.5, with a 4% probability of overtime. The game will be decided by the home team's offensive edge in the final quarter.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

OGM Ormanspor winWon
74.7%fair 1.34
Best odds1.26
Implied75.3%
Edge-0.6pp
Ankara Kolejliler winLost
25.3%fair 3.95
Best odds4.00
Implied24.7%
Edge+0.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OGM OrmansporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrmanspor
Date
Competition
Goztepe
#5
L
119-121 OT
119
121
-2
109avg 82
A02/05
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
69avg 82
A13/09
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
73-85
73
85
-12
67avg 82
H19/09
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#14
L
84-91
84
91
-7
80avg 82
A03/10
TBL
Konya BBSK
#13
W
93-67
93
67
+26
94avg 82
H07/10
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#9
L
91-93
91
93
-2
84avg 82
A10/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
91avg 82
H17/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
W
77-70
77
70
+7
70avg 82
A23/10
TBL
Darussafaka
#11
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
88avg 82
H31/10
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A07/11
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-34
31-13
28-23
14-15
16-25
26-13
17-22
16-23
14-14
19-22
17-27
23-22
17-27
14-20
28-22
25-22
21-17
24-22
27-26
21-2
16-23
37-26
11-20
27-24
20-20
21-24
19-22
29-19
29-16
17-19
11-19
20-16
16-26
22-14
22-22
21-19
20-22
19-14
20-17
16-28
173.4Avg total
86.8Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.282.8166.0+0.444%
Season at home (4)86.881.8168.5+5.075%
Season away (5)80.483.6164.0-3.220%
Last 10 (10)86.886.6173.4+0.240%
Last 5 (5)84.883.8168.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.483.2157.6-8.820%
vs Similar (9)87.092.3179.3-5.322%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.472.0155.4+11.488%
This opponent (Ankara Kolejliler) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ankara KolejlilerTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKolejliler
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#11
W
88-69
88
69
+19
90avg 78
H12/09
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
72-83
72
83
-11
68avg 78
A19/09
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
64-85
64
85
-21
46avg 78
A26/09
TBL
Balikesir
#15
L
85-91
85
91
-6
87avg 78
H03/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
95-90
95
90
+5
84avg 78
A07/10
TBL
Final Spor
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
71avg 78
H10/10
TBL
CO Basket
#12
W
72-63
72
63
+9
71avg 78
A17/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#1
L
66-72
66
72
-6
57avg 78
H24/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#4
L
65-100
65
100
-35
56avg 78
A31/10
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#6
L
67-74
67
74
-7
no box
H07/11
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-11
31-17
12-17
16-24
17-27
17-20
16-23
22-13
16-19
12-25
14-15
22-26
29-15
13-25
19-25
24-26
29-27
23-26
17-22
26-15
22-24
17-17
21-19
15-17
12-18
24-15
21-19
15-11
23-20
16-24
15-15
12-13
22-17
18-27
15-34
10-22
16-18
13-22
19-18
19-16
155.3Avg total
74.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.980.4155.3-5.530%
Season at home (5)76.276.6152.8-0.420%
Season away (5)73.684.2157.8-10.640%
Last 10 (10)74.980.4155.3-5.530%
Last 5 (5)69.077.2146.2-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.186.2159.3-13.114%
vs Similar (15)85.583.9169.4+1.753%
vs Weaker (1)20.00.020.0+20.0100%
This opponent (OGM Ormanspor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 156Actual: Under 156
Over 156
66.9%
Under 156
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 161.25 · main lineActual: Under 161.25
Over 161.25
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under 161.25
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 166Actual: Under 166
Over 166
42.6%
Under 166
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

OGM Ormanspor total 80.5Actual: OGM Ormanspor under 80.5
Over 80.5
68.7%
@ 1.37+4.6pp
Under 80.5
31.3%
@ 2.44-4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.37
Under
1xBet
2.44
OGM Ormanspor total 84.5 · main lineActual: OGM Ormanspor under 84.5
Over 84.5
53.6%
@ 1.83+3.1pp
Under 84.5
46.4%
@ 1.88-3.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.70
Under
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.74
OGM Ormanspor total 88.5Actual: OGM Ormanspor under 88.5
Over 88.5
37.9%
@ 2.34+0.6pp
Under 88.5
62.1%
@ 1.39-0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.34
Under
1xBet
1.39
Ankara Kolejliler total 71.5Actual: Ankara Kolejliler under 71.5
Over 71.5
72.9%
@ 1.33+6.8pp
Under 71.5
27.1%
@ 2.60-6.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.33
Under
1xBet
2.60
Ankara Kolejliler total 75.5 · main lineActual: Ankara Kolejliler under 75.5
Over 75.5
58.6%
@ 1.83+7.2pp
Under 75.5
41.4%
@ 1.83-7.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.63
Under
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Ankara Kolejliler total 79.5Actual: Ankara Kolejliler under 79.5
Over 79.5
43.1%
@ 2.22+4.0pp
Under 79.5
56.9%
@ 1.43-4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.22
Under
1xBet
1.43

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread OGM Ormanspor -11.5Actual: OGM Ormanspor -11.5
OOR -11.5
36.0%
@ 2.26-3.0pp
AKO +11.5
64.0%
@ 1.45+3.0pp
Best 5 market prices
OOR
1xBet
2.26
AKO
1xBet
1.45
Spread OGM Ormanspor -8.5 · main lineActual: OGM Ormanspor -8.5
OOR -8.5
46.7%
@ 1.85-3.2pp
AKO +8.5
53.3%
@ 1.85+3.2pp
Best 5 market prices
OOR
BetVictor
1.85
SBO
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
AKO
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
SBO
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Spread OGM Ormanspor -5.5Actual: OGM Ormanspor -5.5
OOR -5.5
57.9%
@ 1.47-2.3pp
AKO +5.5
42.1%
@ 2.23+2.3pp
Best 5 market prices
OOR
1xBet
1.47
AKO
1xBet
2.23

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
OGM OrmansporAnkara Kolejliler
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OGM OrmansporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goztepe
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A02/05
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A13/09
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H19/09
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#14
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A03/10
TBL
Konya BBSK
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H07/10
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#9
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A10/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H17/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A23/10
TBL
Darussafaka
#11
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H31/10
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A07/11
TBL
82.2Avg total
41.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 79.5
Last 30 (29)42.940.082.9+2.948%62%
Last 30 at home (13)42.238.881.0+3.338%62%
Last 30 away (16)43.640.984.5+2.656%62%
Last 10 (10)41.141.182.2+0.050%60%
Last 5 (5)43.440.884.2+2.660%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.639.477.0-1.840%20%
vs Similar (9)42.845.087.8-2.222%89%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.837.282.0+7.667%60%
This opponent (Ankara Kolejliler) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ankara KolejlilerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#11
W
60-28
60
28
+32
H12/09
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A19/09
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A26/09
TBL
Balikesir
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H03/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A07/10
TBL
Final Spor
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H10/10
TBL
CO Basket
#12
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A17/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H24/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A31/10
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#6
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H07/11
TBL
81.3Avg total
39.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 79.5
Last 30 (29)41.442.784.1-1.334%69%
Last 30 at home (14)41.941.583.4+0.436%71%
Last 30 away (15)40.943.984.8-2.933%67%
Last 10 (10)39.941.481.3-1.530%70%
Last 5 (5)36.640.477.0-3.820%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.045.283.2-7.27%64%
vs Similar (15)44.640.485.0+4.260%73%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (OGM Ormanspor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: OGM Ormanspor win
OOR win
no forecast
@ 1.43
AKO win
no forecast
@ 3.15
1st half Spread OGM Ormanspor -4.5 · main lineActual: OGM Ormanspor -4.5
OOR -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
AKO +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 79.5 · main lineActual: Under 79.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 2.00
OGM Ormanspor 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: OGM Ormanspor over 42.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
Ankara Kolejliler 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Ankara Kolejliler under 37.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half: OOR + total 79.5
OOR & over
no forecast
@ 2.80
OOR & under
no forecast
@ 2.90
1st half: Draw + total 79.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: OGM Ormanspor (regulation)
OOR
no forecast
@ 1.47
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
AKO
no forecast
@ 3.25

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
OOR win + total 161.5
🔒 Pro
AKO win + total 161.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: OOR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: AKO leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Ankara Kolejliler over 71.572.9%1.33
1xBet
1.33
----+6.8ppLost
Ankara Kolejliler over 70.576.1%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+6.7ppLost
OGM Ormanspor over 79.572.1%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+4.7ppLost
Overtime: no95.7%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+4.0ppWon
OGM Ormanspor (regulation)72.2%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+3.4ppWon
Ankara Kolejliler +13.570.4%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+2.6ppLost
OGM Ormanspor win74.7%1.22
Bet365
1.26
1xBet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
WilliamHill
1.22
Betano
1.22
-0.6ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
OGM Ormansportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

OGM Ormanspor: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.823.0
57.8%
53.0%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.9
29.2%
33.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.518.5
78.7%
71.2%18.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ankara Kolejlilertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ankara Kolejliler: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.2
54.6%
53.0%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.0
26.9%
33.0%18.0
🏀 Free throws14.89.2
62.2%
71.2%9.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
OGM Ormanspor
LWWWLWLLLL
Ankara Kolejliler
LLLWLWLLLW
#8
League position
#16
-7.5
Net rating
-7.0
86.6
Offensive rating
88.6
94.2
Defensive rating
95.5
52.1%
Effective FG%
49.7%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.23
29.2%
3-point %
26.9%
64.4%
Assist %
63.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence86.6 · 88.6Defence94.2 · 95.5Shooting52.1% · 49.7%3-point %29.2% · 26.9%Ball care15.5% · 16.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ OGM Ormanspor   ■ Ankara Kolejliler
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AKahramanmaras75-81
31/10/26HDarussafaka92-90 OT
23/10/26AFenerbahce 277-70
17/10/26HGaziantep89-85
10/10/26AiLab Basketbol91-93
07/10/26HKonya BBSK93-67
03/10/26AMKE Ankaragucu84-91
19/09/26HGoztepe73-85
13/09/26ABuyukcekmece75-83
02/05/26AGoztepe119-121 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBuyukcekmece67-74
31/10/26AMersin SK65-100
24/10/26HHarem Spor66-72
17/10/26ACO Basket72-63
10/10/26HFinal Spor75-77
07/10/26AKecioren Baglum95-90
03/10/26HBalikesir85-91
26/09/26AGoztepe64-85
19/09/26AKahramanmaras72-83
12/09/26HDarussafaka88-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

OGM Ormanspor
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL44%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game83.286.880.4
Allowed / game82.881.883.6
Point differential+0.4+5.0-3.2
Avg total166.0168.5164.0
Over 161.2544%50%40%
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Ankara Kolejliler
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game74.976.273.6
Allowed / game80.476.684.2
Point differential-5.5-0.4-10.6
Avg total155.3152.8157.8
Over 161.2530%20%40%
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mersin SK98189%89.077.2+11.8
2 Harem Spor108280%82.370.1+12.2
3 Kahramanmaras108280%83.074.5+8.5
4 Goztepe97278%84.778.1+6.6
5 Gaziantep107370%80.776.3+4.4
6 Final Spor106460%80.978.7+2.2
7 Buyukcekmece95456%79.777.6+2.1
8 iLab Basketbol105550%84.185.0-0.9
9 OGM Ormanspor94544%83.282.8+0.4
10 Fenerbahce 294544%73.978.7-4.8
11 CO Basket104640%74.382.4-8.1
12 Darussafaka93633%76.083.4-7.4
13 MKE Ankaragucu93633%79.289.8-10.6
14 Balikesir103730%75.778.1-2.4
15 Ankara Kolejliler103730%74.980.4-5.5
16 Konya BBSK92722%80.284.9-4.7
17 Kecioren Baglum101910%84.188.6-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
OGM Ormanspor2320142279
Ankara Kolejliler1917101359
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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