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OGM Ormanspor vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 92-90 (OT)
16-26 22-14 22-22 21-19 11-9
Position#8
Record3-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game82.0
OGM Ormanspor 🏆
Turkey
Vs
80%
20%
■ OOR 80%■ DAR 20%
Pythia win probability
Projected 86-77
Projected total 163.0
Darussafaka
Turkey
Position#14
Record3-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game82.4
TurkeyTBLRound 9· Sait Zarifo
Other2026-27
Meetings · OGM Ormanspor v Darussafaka
31 Oct 2026
OOR92
DAR90
03 Apr 2026
OOR73
DAR68
21 Nov 2020
OOR64
DAR80
19 Apr 2020
OOR v DAR
upcoming
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
OGM Ormanspor host Darussafaka in the TBL. Pythia makes OGM Ormanspor the favourite at 80% and projects 86-77, about 163 points in all (over 163.5: 48%). On the market's main spread (OGM Ormanspor -9.5) Pythia gives OGM Ormanspor 51% to cover. Overtime chance: 4%. OGM Ormanspor are 3-4 this season (83.1 scored, 82.0 allowed a game), form LWLWW; Darussafaka are 3-5 this season (74.2 scored, 82.4 allowed a game), form LLLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

OGM Ormanspor winWon
80.5%fair 1.24
Best odds1.21
Implied78.0%
Edge+2.4pp
Darussafaka winLost
19.5%fair 5.12
Best odds4.50
Implied22.0%
Edge-2.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 29 Oct 18:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OGM OrmansporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrmanspor
Date
Competition
Balikesir
#15
W
100-83
100
83
+17
104avg 81
A18/04
TBL
Goztepe
#5
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
78avg 81
H29/04
TBL
Goztepe
#5
L
119-121 OT
119
121
-2
109avg 81
A02/05
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
69avg 81
A13/09
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
73-85
73
85
-12
67avg 81
H19/09
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#12
L
84-91
84
91
-7
80avg 81
A03/10
TBL
Konya BBSK
#15
W
93-67
93
67
+26
94avg 81
H07/10
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#9
L
91-93
91
93
-2
84avg 81
A10/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
91avg 81
H17/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#11
W
77-70
77
70
+7
70avg 81
A23/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-16
27-27
18-23
24-17
20-22
12-15
15-15
22-17
12-34
31-13
28-23
14-15
16-25
26-13
17-22
16-23
14-14
19-22
17-27
23-22
17-27
14-20
28-22
25-22
21-17
24-22
27-26
21-2
16-23
37-26
11-20
27-24
20-20
21-24
19-22
29-19
29-16
17-19
11-19
20-16
176.1Avg total
89.1Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.182.0165.1+1.143%
Season at home (3)85.079.0164.0+6.067%
Season away (4)81.884.2166.0-2.525%
Last 10 (10)89.187.0176.1+2.140%
Last 5 (5)86.881.2168.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.283.8158.0-9.525%
vs Similar (9)87.092.3179.3-5.322%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)82.971.3154.2+11.688%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Ankara Kolejliler
#9
W
110-105
110
105
+5
112avg 66
H18/04
TBL
CO Basket
#10
L
80-84
80
84
-4
65avg 66
A22/04
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#13
L
69-88
69
88
-19
39avg 66
A12/09
TBL
Balikesir
#16
W
67-65
67
65
+2
60avg 66
H20/09
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
91-83
91
83
+8
81avg 66
A26/09
TBL
Final Spor
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
66avg 66
H04/10
TBL
CO Basket
#10
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 66
A07/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#3
L
47-79
47
79
-32
27avg 66
H11/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#1
L
82-95
82
95
-13
76avg 66
A18/10
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#7
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 66
H25/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
25-29
28-21
31-35
16-19
19-21
18-20
27-24
11-29
17-31
17-12
24-16
22-11
17-20
10-15
18-19
30-20
18-27
17-14
26-22
14-13
21-26
23-19
17-25
14-16
22-25
17-24
20-16
11-27
9-13
9-21
18-18
21-24
19-26
22-24
20-21
23-16
21-17
19-31
27-21
163.2Avg total
78.4Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.282.4156.6-8.138%
Season at home (4)69.878.0147.8-8.250%
Season away (4)78.886.8165.5-8.025%
Last 10 (10)78.484.8163.2-6.440%
Last 5 (5)73.484.6158.0-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)69.184.7153.8-15.68%
vs Similar (17)79.682.7162.3-3.147%
vs Weaker (1)20.00.020.0+20.0100%
This opponent (OGM Ormanspor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 158.5Actual: Over 158.5
Over 158.5
60.4%
Under 158.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 163.5 · main lineActual: Over 163.5
Over 163.5
48.3%
@ 1.85-2.1pp
Under 163.5
51.7%
@ 1.85+2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
SBO
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
SBO
1.85
Betano
1.83
Over/Under 168.5Actual: Over 168.5
Over 168.5
36.4%
Under 168.5
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

OGM Ormanspor total 82.5Actual: OGM Ormanspor over 82.5
Over 82.5
65.2%
@ 1.42+3.7pp
Under 82.5
34.8%
@ 2.26-3.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Under
1xBet
2.26
OGM Ormanspor total 86.5 · main lineActual: OGM Ormanspor over 86.5
Over 86.5
49.6%
@ 1.83-0.8pp
Under 86.5
50.4%
@ 1.88+0.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Under
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.65
OGM Ormanspor total 90.5Actual: OGM Ormanspor over 90.5
Over 90.5
34.0%
@ 2.53-0.8pp
Under 90.5
66.0%
@ 1.35+0.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.53
Under
1xBet
1.35
Darussafaka total 73.5Actual: Darussafaka over 73.5
Over 73.5
61.5%
@ 1.43+0.6pp
Under 73.5
38.5%
@ 2.23-0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.43
Under
1xBet
2.23
Darussafaka total 77.5 · main lineActual: Darussafaka over 77.5
Over 77.5
46.0%
@ 1.88-2.2pp
Under 77.5
54.0%
@ 1.85+2.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.64
Darussafaka total 81.5Actual: Darussafaka over 81.5
Over 81.5
31.3%
@ 2.58-2.9pp
Under 81.5
68.7%
@ 1.34+2.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.58
Under
1xBet
1.34

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread OGM Ormanspor -12.5Actual: Darussafaka +12.5
OOR -12.5
40.1%
@ 2.31+1.9pp
DAR +12.5
59.9%
@ 1.43-1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
OOR
1xBet
2.31
DAR
1xBet
1.43
Spread OGM Ormanspor -9.5 · main lineActual: Darussafaka +9.5
OOR -9.5
50.9%
@ 1.85+0.9pp
DAR +9.5
49.1%
@ 1.91-0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
OOR
SBO
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
DAR
Betfair
1.91
BetVictor
1.88
SBO
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.82
Spread OGM Ormanspor -6.5Actual: Darussafaka +6.5
OOR -6.5
61.9%
@ 1.49+0.6pp
DAR +6.5
38.1%
@ 2.34-0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
OOR
1xBet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.48
DAR
Pinnacle
2.34
1xBet
2.18

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
OGM OrmansporDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OGM OrmansporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balikesir
#15
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A18/04
TBL
Goztepe
#5
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H29/04
TBL
Goztepe
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A02/05
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#7
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A13/09
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H19/09
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#12
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A03/10
TBL
Konya BBSK
#15
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H07/10
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#9
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A10/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H17/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#11
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A23/10
TBL
83.9Avg total
42.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.5
Last 30 (29)43.039.782.7+3.452%52%
Last 30 at home (13)41.838.179.9+3.846%46%
Last 30 away (16)44.040.984.9+3.156%56%
Last 10 (10)42.441.583.9+0.950%50%
Last 5 (5)43.242.886.0+0.460%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.240.277.5-3.025%25%
vs Similar (9)42.845.087.8-2.222%78%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.636.581.1+8.175%44%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ankara Kolejliler
#9
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H18/04
TBL
CO Basket
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A22/04
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#13
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A12/09
TBL
Balikesir
#16
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H20/09
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A26/09
TBL
Final Spor
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/10
TBL
CO Basket
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#3
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H11/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A18/10
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H25/10
TBL
80.6Avg total
37.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.5
Last 30 (29)37.141.878.9-4.734%38%
Last 30 at home (14)37.538.175.6-0.643%29%
Last 30 away (15)36.845.382.1-8.527%47%
Last 10 (10)37.643.080.6-5.440%40%
Last 5 (5)35.040.675.6-5.620%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.241.275.3-7.017%25%
vs Similar (17)39.242.281.5-3.047%47%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (OGM Ormanspor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Darussafaka win
OOR win
no forecast
@ 1.36
DAR win
no forecast
@ 3.20
1st half Spread OGM Ormanspor -5.5 · main lineActual: Darussafaka +5.5
OOR -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
DAR +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 81.5 · main lineActual: Under 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
OGM Ormanspor 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: OGM Ormanspor under 43.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Darussafaka 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Darussafaka over 38.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half: OOR + total 81.5
OOR & over
no forecast
@ 2.75
OOR & under
no forecast
@ 2.70
1st half: Draw + total 81.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Draw after regulation
OOR
no forecast
@ 1.40
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
DAR
no forecast
@ 3.47

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
OOR win + total 163.5
🔒 Pro
DAR win + total 163.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: OOR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: DAR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
OGM Ormanspor (regulation)78.3%1.22
1xBet
1.22		----+7.9ppLost
Overtime: no96.4%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+4.3pp-
OGM Ormanspor over 80.572.2%1.30
1xBet
1.30		----+4.3ppWon
Darussafaka under 82.572.0%1.29
1xBet
1.29		----+3.2ppLost
OGM Ormanspor -3.572.3%1.28
1xBet
1.28		----+2.6ppLost
OGM Ormanspor win80.5%1.17
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
WilliamHill
1.17
BetVictor
1.17		+2.4ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
OGM Ormansportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

OGM Ormanspor: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.523.7
60.0%
52.9%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.9
29.2%
33.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.917.9
78.2%
71.1%17.9
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.1
50.3%
52.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.9
33.1%
33.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.616.4
66.7%
71.1%16.4
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
OGM Ormanspor
WWLWLLLLLW
Darussafaka
WLLLLWWLLW
#8
League position
#14
-5.8
Net rating
-9.5
88.8
Offensive rating
90.6
94.6
Defensive rating
100.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.0%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.41
29.2%
3-point %
33.1%
65.2%
Assist %
66.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence88.8 · 90.6Defence94.6 · 100.1Shooting53.4% · 50.0%3-point %29.2% · 33.1%Ball care14.2% · 14.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ OGM Ormanspor   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
OGM Ormanspor wins
3
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
03/04/26OGM Ormanspor v Darussafaka73-68
13/12/25Darussafaka v OGM Ormanspor80-88
13/03/21Darussafaka v OGM Ormanspor90-68
21/11/20OGM Ormanspor v Darussafaka64-80
22/12/19Darussafaka v OGM Ormanspor88-77
OGM Ormansporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26AFenerbahce 277-70
17/10/26HGaziantep89-85
10/10/26AiLab Basketbol91-93
07/10/26HKonya BBSK93-67
03/10/26AMKE Ankaragucu84-91
19/09/26HGoztepe73-85
13/09/26ABuyukcekmece75-83
02/05/26AGoztepe119-121 OT
29/04/26HGoztepe90-92 OT
18/04/26ABalikesir100-83
Darussafakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HBuyukcekmece90-85
18/10/26AMersin SK82-95
11/10/26HHarem Spor47-79
07/10/26ACO Basket73-81
04/10/26HFinal Spor75-83
26/09/26AKecioren Baglum91-83
20/09/26HBalikesir67-65
12/09/26AAnkara Kolejliler69-88
22/04/26ACO Basket80-84
18/04/26HAnkara Kolejliler110-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

OGM Ormanspor
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW43%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game83.185.081.8
Allowed / game82.079.084.2
Point differential+1.1+6.0-2.5
Avg total165.1164.0166.0
Over 163.543%33%50%
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darussafaka
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game74.269.878.8
Allowed / game82.478.086.8
Point differential-8.1-8.2-8.0
Avg total156.6147.8165.5
Over 163.538%25%50%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mersin SK770100%89.376.0+13.3
2 Goztepe76186%85.776.6+9.1
3 Harem Spor86275%80.966.5+14.4
4 Kahramanmaras86275%83.975.0+8.9
5 Final Spor85362%79.978.4+1.5
6 Buyukcekmece74357%81.979.0+2.9
7 iLab Basketbol74357%85.783.7+2.0
8 Gaziantep74357%79.778.7+1.0
9 CO Basket94544%74.481.8-7.3
10 OGM Ormanspor73443%83.182.0+1.1
11 MKE Ankaragucu73443%81.993.6-11.7
12 Ankara Kolejliler83538%77.178.8-1.6
13 Fenerbahce 283538%72.978.8-5.9
14 Darussafaka83538%74.282.4-8.1
15 Balikesir82625%73.278.5-5.2
16 Konya BBSK71614%77.784.4-6.7
17 Kecioren Baglum91811%82.887.4-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
OGM Ormanspor162222211192
Darussafaka26142219990
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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