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Ohio State vs Notre Dame Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 64-63
31-34 33-29
Position#104
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game74.3
Ohio State 🏆
USA
vs
Notre Dame
USA
Position#269
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game65.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#44
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H16/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
49-70
49
70
-21
H20/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A23/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A27/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
116-114 OT
116
114
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H12/03
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
118-102
118
102
+16
H03/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H07/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
75-53
75
53
+22
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-44
44-42
24-31
25-39
24-28
37-41
52-38
35-44
45-39
44-50
29-25
31-41
37-37
33-40
66-50
52-52
45-30
49-38
30-25
45-28
160.0Avg total
81.3Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)95.774.3170.0+21.3100%
Season at home (3)95.774.3170.0+21.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.378.7160.0+2.650%
Last 5 (5)83.473.2156.6+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.878.2140.0-16.525%
vs Similar (18)76.675.4152.1+1.239%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)96.877.2174.0+19.5100%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A27/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A01/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H06/03
NCAA
California
#268
W
112-110 OT
112
110
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H11/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A12/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
89-67
89
67
+22
H04/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
102-70
102
70
+32
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-30
46-42
31-41
37-42
30-25
41-49
21-24
35-30
37-33
31-35
25-22
30-32
29-43
27-33
40-25
49-42
44-31
58-39
31-28
47-30
148.1Avg total
76.3Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.765.0154.7+24.7100%
Season at home (3)89.765.0154.7+24.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.371.8148.1+4.570%
Last 5 (5)76.065.0141.0+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)66.274.7140.8-8.525%
vs Similar (13)76.270.8147.0+5.562%
vs Weaker (5)77.268.8146.0+8.460%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +2.7+2.7
Ohio StateNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#44
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H16/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H20/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A23/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A27/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H05/03
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H12/03
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H03/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H11/11
NCAA
73.8Avg total
39.1Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.635.371.9+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.835.874.6+3.168%-
Last 30 away (11)32.734.567.3-1.855%-
Last 10 (10)39.134.773.8+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.433.474.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.844.269.0-19.50%-
vs Similar (18)35.333.368.6+2.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.435.580.9+9.988%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A27/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A01/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
21-24
21
24
-3
H06/03
NCAA
California
#268
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H11/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A12/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H04/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H12/11
NCAA
62.0Avg total
31.8Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.832.965.7-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.431.664.9+1.859%-
Last 30 away (13)32.034.666.6-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)31.830.262.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)33.829.863.6+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.837.166.9-7.317%-
vs Similar (13)33.529.863.3+3.869%-
vs Weaker (5)37.831.068.8+6.880%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ohio State wins
0
Notre Dame wins
DateGameScore
09/12/20Notre Dame v Ohio State85-90
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/25HAppalachian State75-53
07/11/25HIPFW94-68
03/11/25HIU Indy118-102
12/03/25HIowa70-77
08/03/25AIndiana60-66
05/03/25HNebraska116-114 OT
27/02/25AUSC87-82
23/02/25AUCLA61-69
20/02/25HNorthwestern49-70
16/02/25HMichigan83-86
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25HEastern Illinois78-58
08/11/25HDetroit102-70
04/11/25HLIU Sharks89-67
12/03/25ANorth Carolina56-76
11/03/25HPittsburgh55-54
08/03/25HCalifornia112-110 OT
06/03/25HStanford56-54
01/03/25AWake Forest71-74
27/02/25AClemson68-83
22/02/25HPittsburgh76-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.795.7-
Allowed / game74.374.3-
Point differential+21.3+21.3-
Avg total170.0170.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Notre Dame
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.789.7-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential+24.7+24.7-
Avg total154.7154.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana330100%99.766.0+33.7
2 Illinois440100%97.866.8+31.0
3 Wisconsin330100%93.063.7+29.3
4 USC330100%98.371.3+27.0
5 Northwestern440100%84.260.2+24.0
6 Iowa330100%86.363.0+23.3
7 Nebraska440100%89.067.0+22.0
8 Ohio State330100%95.774.3+21.3
9 Penn State440100%81.562.8+18.8
10 Rutgers330100%79.061.7+17.3
11 Michigan330100%91.075.0+16.0
12 Purdue330100%85.369.3+16.0
13 Michigan State330100%76.065.0+11.0
14 Oregon330100%70.063.7+6.3
15 Washington43175%82.066.8+15.2
16 Minnesota43175%78.564.5+14.0
17 Maryland43175%79.069.2+9.8
18 UCLA43175%75.567.0+8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC State330100%106.066.7+39.3
2 Duke440100%96.058.8+37.2
3 Syracuse330100%82.746.7+36.0
4 Miami (FL)330100%96.363.7+32.7
5 Louisville440100%103.071.0+32.0
6 North Carolina440100%91.863.8+28.0
7 Notre Dame330100%89.765.0+24.7
8 Virginia Tech330100%99.775.7+24.0
9 Stanford330100%85.771.7+14.0
10 SMU Mustangs440100%88.577.5+11.0
11 Virginia54180%83.470.4+13.0
12 Clemson43175%85.558.0+27.5
13 California43175%88.272.8+15.5
14 Georgia Tech43175%71.862.2+9.5
15 Pittsburgh43175%69.864.0+5.8
16 Florida State32167%95.072.7+22.3
17 Wake Forest32167%84.374.7+9.7
18 Boston College42250%72.265.2+7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ohio State313364
Notre Dame342963
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