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Ohio State vs Nebraska Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 116-114 (OT)
45-39 44-50 27-25
Position#172
Record16-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#158
Record17-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ohio State v Nebraska
05 Jan 2026
OHIO69
NEBR72
04 Mar 2025
OHIO116
NEBR114
29 Feb 2024
OHIO78
NEBR69
01 Mar 2022
OHIO70
NEBR78
30 Dec 2020
OHIO90
NEBR54
14 Jan 2020
OHIO80
NEBR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nebraska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H28/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A30/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A02/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H07/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A09/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
93-69
93
69
+24
H13/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H16/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
49-70
49
70
-21
H20/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A23/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-26
52-39
43-33
40-31
42-36
37-51
32-41
41-29
39-34
32-45
51-36
42-33
39-44
44-42
24-31
25-39
24-28
37-41
52-38
35-44
150.2Avg total
76.1Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.572.3150.8+6.255%
Season at home (18)80.970.1151.0+10.961%
Season away (11)74.575.9150.4-1.545%
Last 10 (10)76.174.1150.2+2.050%
Last 5 (5)74.675.2149.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.878.2140.0-16.525%
vs Similar ◀ (18)77.172.5149.6+4.644%
vs Weaker (8)89.969.6159.5+20.288%
This opponent (Nebraska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NebraskaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#43
L
55-83
55
83
-28
A26/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
80-74 OT
80
74
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A03/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
86-72
86
72
+14
A06/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H09/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H14/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A16/02
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A19/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H25/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-40
27-43
40-31
30-39
34-28
43-43
37-47
49-25
34-39
45-32
35-42
40-41
21-36
47-28
27-50
45-39
21-25
25-24
26-35
39-32
142.6Avg total
70.3Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.371.0145.3+3.359%
Season at home (17)77.467.9145.3+9.465%
Season away (12)70.075.4145.4-5.450%
Last 10 (10)70.372.3142.6-2.050%
Last 5 (5)65.270.4135.6-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.278.1146.3-9.933%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.969.8146.6+7.165%
vs Weaker (4)79.267.2146.5+12.075%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -7.0-7.02nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +4.4+4.4
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -7.0-7.02nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +4.4+4.4
Ohio StateNebraska
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H28/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A30/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A02/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H07/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A09/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H13/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H16/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H20/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A23/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A27/02
NCAA
72.3Avg total
37.6Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.333.869.1+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.233.170.3+4.168%-
Last 30 away (11)32.135.167.2-3.045%-
Last 10 (10)37.634.772.3+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.473.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.844.269.0-19.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)35.832.468.3+3.467%-
vs Weaker (8)39.431.871.1+7.675%-
This opponent (Nebraska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NebraskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#43
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H31/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A03/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A06/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H09/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H14/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A16/02
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A19/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
21-25
21
25
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H01/03
NCAA
67.6Avg total
30.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.034.469.4+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.633.971.6+3.756%-
Last 30 away (12)31.135.066.1-3.942%-
Last 10 (10)30.337.367.6-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)26.037.663.6-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.137.670.7-4.422%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)35.732.668.4+3.165%-
vs Weaker (4)36.234.570.8+1.850%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ohio State wins
4
Nebraska wins
DateGameScore
09/02/25Nebraska v Ohio State79-71
29/02/24Ohio State v Nebraska78-69
24/01/24Nebraska v Ohio State83-69
19/01/23Nebraska v Ohio State63-60
02/03/22Ohio State v Nebraska70-78
03/01/22Nebraska v Ohio State79-87 OT
30/12/20Ohio State v Nebraska90-54
28/02/20Nebraska v Ohio State54-75
14/01/20Ohio State v Nebraska80-68
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25AUSC87-82
23/02/25AUCLA61-69
20/02/25HNorthwestern49-70
16/02/25HMichigan83-86
13/02/25HWashington93-69
09/02/25ANebraska71-79
07/02/25HMaryland73-70
02/02/25AIllinois79-87
30/01/25APenn State83-64
28/01/25HIowa82-65
Nebraskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HMinnesota65-67
25/02/25HMichigan46-49
19/02/25APenn State72-89
16/02/25ANorthwestern68-64
14/02/25HMaryland75-83
09/02/25HOhio State79-71
06/02/25AWashington86-72
03/02/25AOregon77-71
31/01/25HIllinois80-74 OT
26/01/25AWisconsin55-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW55%
HomeWWWLL61%
AwayWLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %55%61%45%
Points / game78.580.974.5
Allowed / game72.370.175.9
Point differential+6.2+10.9-1.5
Avg total150.8151.0150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)20% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %10%11%9%
Nebraska
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL59%
HomeWWLLL65%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %59%65%50%
Points / game74.377.470.0
Allowed / game71.067.975.4
Point differential+3.3+9.4-5.4
Avg total145.3145.3145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%41%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)17% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State2924583%78.066.6+11.3
2 Maryland2922776%82.166.9+15.3
3 Wisconsin2922776%81.270.6+10.7
4 Michigan2922776%79.671.4+8.2
5 Oregon2921872%76.871.4+5.3
6 UCLA3021970%74.465.1+9.3
7 Purdue3021970%78.270.0+8.2
8 Illinois30191163%83.673.3+10.2
9 Indiana29181162%75.972.4+3.4
10 Nebraska29171259%74.371.0+3.3
11 Ohio State29161355%78.572.3+6.2
12 Northwestern30161453%73.169.1+4.0
13 Iowa29151452%82.279.1+3.1
14 Minnesota29151452%68.369.3-1.0
15 Penn State30151550%78.973.2+5.7
16 USC29141548%76.375.0+1.3
17 Rutgers30141647%76.777.3-0.6
18 Washington28121643%71.775.2-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Ohio State454427116
Nebraska395025114
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