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Ohrid vs Gostivar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 64-87
13-24 21-19 21-27 9-17
Position#12
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#9
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game86.3
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 4· Biljanini Izvori Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ohrid v Gostivar
22 Oct 2023
OHRI64
GOST87
27 Mar 2019
OHRI55
GOST92
02 May 2018
OHRI78
GOST85
02 Dec 2017
OHRI77
GOST81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gostivar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OhridMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOhrid
Date
Competition
Blokotehna
#2
L
68-115
68
115
-47
no box
A12/04
Macedonian Cup
Pelister
#8
L
62-79
62
79
-17
no box
H19/04
Superleague
Vardar
#9
L
70-73
70
73
-3
no box
H01/05
Superleague
Feni Industries
#5
L
55-79
55
79
-24
no box
H04/05
Superleague
Shkupi Skopje
#11
W
102-77
102
77
+25
no box
H08/05
Superleague
Pelister
#8
L
73-87
73
87
-14
no box
A11/05
Superleague
Vardar
#9
L
70-78 OT
70
78
-8
no box
A18/05
Superleague
Vardar
#10
L
83-90
83
90
-7
70avg 70
A30/09
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 70
H07/10
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
69-96
69
96
-27
57avg 70
A15/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
17-34
14-25
19-29
17-19
11-24
18-14
16-22
22-24
8-17
19-9
21-23
15-24
14-17
12-23
14-15
23-20
32-17
18-23
29-17
21-23
15-17
19-21
18-26
18-17
21-22
10-17
17-10
21-13
21-21
20-22
21-34
30-10
20-21
15-13
17-22
15-25
9-29
21-25
24-17
157.4Avg total
73.4Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.084.0162.0-6.033%
Season at home (1)82.066.0148.0+16.0100%
Season away (2)76.093.0169.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)73.484.0157.4-10.620%
Last 5 (5)75.483.4158.8-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)70.187.1157.1-17.07%
vs Similar (10)74.078.3152.3-4.330%
vs Weaker (4)101.282.2183.5+19.0100%
This opponent (Gostivar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GostivarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGostivar
Date
Competition
Cair 2030
#9
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
A25/03
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#6
W
85-65
85
65
+20
no box
H01/04
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
A08/04
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
98-74
98
74
+24
no box
H22/04
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#5
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H29/04
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#5
L
53-80
53
80
-27
no box
A04/05
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
no box
H07/05
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
W
75-68
75
68
+7
34avg 45
H01/10
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
59-85
59
85
-26
47avg 45
A04/10
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
67-106
67
106
-39
55avg 45
H15/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
24-27
23-18
24-24
19-17
18-16
20-16
28-16
18-21
28-22
22-18
19-33
27-15
22-29
26-19
23-11
24-25
17-12
20-14
15-18
11-21
10-22
16-20
16-17
13-25
21-17
17-11
12-24
16-18
25-17
20-19
14-14
16-17
12-19
9-23
22-26
22-24
15-29
17-21
13-32
157.1Avg total
76.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.086.3153.3-19.333%
Season at home (2)71.087.0158.0-16.050%
Season away (1)59.085.0144.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)76.081.1157.1-5.150%
Last 5 (5)63.483.2146.6-19.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.183.6157.7-9.550%
vs Similar (9)85.483.7169.1+1.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.577.6165.1+9.988%
This opponent (Ohrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
OhridGostivar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OhridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Blokotehna
#2
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A12/04
Macedonian Cup
Pelister
#8
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H19/04
Superleague
Vardar
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H01/05
Superleague
Feni Industries
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H04/05
Superleague
Shkupi Skopje
#11
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H08/05
Superleague
Pelister
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/05
Superleague
Vardar
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/05
Superleague
Vardar
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A30/09
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H07/10
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
24-54
24
54
-30
A15/10
Prva Liga
78.9Avg total
36.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.742.378.1-6.623%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.340.477.7-3.129%-
Last 30 away (16)34.444.078.4-9.619%-
Last 10 (10)36.842.178.9-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.677.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)31.544.776.2-13.37%-
vs Similar (10)36.537.774.2-1.230%-
vs Weaker (4)50.040.290.2+9.875%-
This opponent (Gostivar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GostivarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cair 2030
#9
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A25/03
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#6
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H01/04
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A08/04
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H22/04
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H29/04
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#5
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A04/05
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H07/05
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H01/10
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A04/10
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H15/10
Prva Liga
80.1Avg total
38.4Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.982.4-1.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.139.181.1+3.069%-
Last 30 away (14)38.845.183.9-6.436%-
Last 10 (10)38.441.780.1-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.241.874.0-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.443.881.2-6.333%-
vs Similar (9)41.142.883.9-1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.839.084.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Ohrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ohridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ohrid: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.324.0
52.9%
53.9%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.05.0
20.0%
32.2%15.0
🏀 Free throws18.313.7
74.5%
70.3%13.7
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gostivartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gostivar: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.7 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.3
47.4%
53.9%36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.7
29.0%
32.2%20.0
🏀 Free throws16.010.3
64.6%
70.3%10.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ohrid
LWLLLWLLLL
Gostivar
LLWLLWWLWW
#12
League position
#9
-9.2
Net rating
-25.6
96.2
Offensive rating
88.8
105.4
Defensive rating
114.4
44.8%
Effective FG%
45.9%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
18.8%
Turnover %
19.7%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
20.0%
3-point %
29.0%
55.2%
Assist %
52.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 88.8Defence105.4 · 114.4Shooting44.8% · 45.9%3-point %20.0% · 29.0%Ball care18.8% · 19.7%Off. rebounds32.5% · 23.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Ohrid   ■ Gostivar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ohrid wins
5
Gostivar wins
DateGameScore
27/03/19Ohrid v Gostivar55-92
15/12/18Gostivar v Ohrid89-94
02/05/18Ohrid v Gostivar78-85
14/04/18Gostivar v Ohrid83-66
17/03/18Gostivar v Ohrid83-71
02/12/17Ohrid v Gostivar77-81
Ohridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23AKozuv69-96
07/10/23HFMP Akademija82-66
30/09/23AVardar83-90
18/05/19AVardar70-78 OT
11/05/19APelister73-87
08/05/19HShkupi Skopje102-77
04/05/19HFeni Industries55-79
01/05/19HVardar70-73
19/04/19HPelister62-79
12/04/19ABlokotehna68-115
Gostivarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HTikvesh67-106
04/10/23AMZT Skopje59-85
01/10/23HPelister75-68
07/05/23HRabotnicki63-77
04/05/23ARabotnicki53-80
29/04/23HRabotnicki76-69
22/04/23HFeniks 201098-74
08/04/23AKozuv87-94
01/04/23HTikvesh85-65
25/03/23ACair 203097-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohrid
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game78.082.076.0
Allowed / game84.066.093.0
Point differential-6.0+16.0-17.0
Avg total162.0148.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gostivar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game67.071.059.0
Allowed / game86.387.085.0
Point differential-19.3-16.0-26.0
Avg total153.3158.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tikvesh43175%90.066.0+24.0
2 MZT Skopje43175%78.865.8+13.0
3 Cair 203043175%85.576.8+8.8
4 TFT Skopje43175%73.566.8+6.8
5 Feniks 201042250%86.884.8+2.0
6 Pelister42250%76.074.5+1.5
7 Rabotnicki42250%76.575.2+1.2
8 Vardar42250%77.585.5-8.0
9 Ohrid31233%78.084.0-6.0
10 Gostivar31233%67.086.3-19.3
11 Kozuv41325%78.282.8-4.5
12 FMP Akademija4040%68.594.2-25.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ohrid132121964
Gostivar2419271787
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