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OKK Beograd vs Hercegovac Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 87-93
Projected total 179.6
Scheduled
Position#15
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game99.3
Vs
30%
70%
■ OKK 30%■ HERC 70%
Pythia win probability
Position#10
Record3-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game80.2
SerbiaFirst LeagueRound 8· Dejan Milojevic Training Center
Other2026-27
Meetings · OKK Beograd v Hercegovac
21 Nov 2026
OKK v HERC
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
OKK 92
HERC84
Sections
Game preview & prediction
OKK Beograd host Hercegovac in the First League. Pythia makes Hercegovac the favourite at 70% and projects 87-93, about 180 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. OKK Beograd are 0-7 this season (87.4 scored, 99.3 allowed a game), form LLLLL; Hercegovac are 3-3 this season (80.7 scored, 80.2 allowed a game), form WLWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

OKK Beograd win
29.9%fair 3.35
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hercegovac win
70.1%fair 1.43
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OKK BeogradSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Vrsac
#15
W
103-94
103
94
+9
99avg 91
A11/04
First League
Tamis
#11
W
98-89
98
89
+9
100avg 91
H18/04
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
100-75
100
75
+25
92avg 91
A25/04
First League
Dynamic
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
no box
A03/10
First League
Radnicki
#7
L
85-87
85
87
-2
79avg 91
H11/10
First League
KK Nis
#5
L
79-105
79
105
-26
no box
A16/10
First League
Sloboda Uzice
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
no box
H26/10
First League
Tamis
#11
L
109-113 OT
109
113
-4
no box
A31/10
First League
Borac Zemun
#12
L
89-103
89
103
-14
no box
H08/11
First League
Sloga
#14
L
87-102
87
102
-15
no box
A14/11
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
32-20
25-28
21-25
33-26
27-26
16-21
22-16
27-26
31-17
19-14
23-18
21-33
24-20
24-16
19-21
28-18
23-18
16-27
18-24
20-34
20-23
19-23
20-25
20-18
16-23
17-33
22-21
28-30
31-22
18-19
21-27
24-23
13-32
21-26
31-22
16-26
23-31
23-21
25-24
186.6Avg total
91.3Scored
95.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.499.3186.7-11.90%
Season at home (3)83.095.0178.0-12.00%
Season away (4)90.8102.5193.2-11.80%
Last 10 (10)91.395.3186.6-4.030%
Last 5 (5)87.8103.6191.4-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)84.996.7181.6-11.89%
vs Similar (15)97.896.9194.7+0.947%
vs Weaker (4)109.595.5205.0+14.075%
This opponent (Hercegovac) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HercegovacSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHercegovac
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
85-80
85
80
+5
76avg 85
H18/04
First League
Zlatibor
#1
L
92-97
92
97
-5
91avg 85
A24/04
First League
KK Nis
#5
W
75-65
75
65
+10
no box
A03/10
First League
Sloboda Uzice
#1
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 85
H10/10
First League
Tamis
#11
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
A18/10
First League
Podgorica
#15
W
76-64
76
64
+12
70avg 85
H22/10
ABA League 2
Borac Zemun
#12
L
71-85
71
85
-14
63avg 85
H25/10
First League
Sloga
#14
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
A31/10
First League
TFT Skopje
#16
W
107-82
107
82
+25
no box
H04/11
ABA League 2
Cacak 94
#6
W
95-89
95
89
+6
no box
A08/11
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
24-14
19-19
21-26
17-23
24-19
23-27
28-28
18-8
16-26
25-9
16-22
20-12
15-23
18-20
17-22
25-29
20-19
21-20
14-12
18-21
19-16
14-15
25-12
23-19
18-27
15-18
15-21
27-26
15-14
17-12
23-21
32-17
26-20
23-25
26-20
28-27
22-17
23-24
22-21
164.8Avg total
84.4Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.780.2160.8+0.550%
Season at home (2)70.581.0151.5-10.50%
Season away (4)85.879.8165.5+6.075%
Last 10 (10)84.480.4164.8+4.060%
Last 5 (5)86.278.6164.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.791.7171.3-12.00%
vs Similar (7)81.179.7160.9+1.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)94.285.0179.2+9.380%
This opponent (OKK Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164.5
Over 164.5
81.5%
Under 164.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169.5
Over 169.5
72.2%
Under 169.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174.5
Over 174.5
61.2%
Under 174.5
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

OKK Beograd total 82.5
Over 82.5
65.5%
Under 82.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OKK Beograd total 86.5
Over 86.5
50.4%
Under 86.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OKK Beograd total 90.5
Over 90.5
35.5%
Under 90.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hercegovac total 79.5
Over 79.5
90.2%
Under 79.5
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hercegovac total 83.5
Over 83.5
81.8%
Under 83.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hercegovac total 87.5
Over 87.5
69.6%
Under 87.5
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread OKK Beograd -3
OKK -3
22.3%
HERC +3
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
OKK
No market prices yet.
HERC
No market prices yet.
Spread OKK Beograd 0
OKK 0
29.9%
HERC 0
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
OKK
No market prices yet.
HERC
No market prices yet.
Spread OKK Beograd +3
OKK +3
37.8%
HERC -3
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
OKK
No market prices yet.
HERC
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
OKK BeogradHercegovac
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OKK BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vrsac
#15
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A11/04
First League
Tamis
#11
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H18/04
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A25/04
First League
Dynamic
#3
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A03/10
First League
Radnicki
#7
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H11/10
First League
KK Nis
#5
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A16/10
First League
Sloboda Uzice
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H26/10
First League
Tamis
#11
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A31/10
First League
Borac Zemun
#12
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H08/11
First League
Sloga
#14
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A14/11
First League
96.9Avg total
48.2Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.449.097.5-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.247.898.0+2.467%-
Last 30 away (15)46.750.396.9-3.640%-
Last 10 (10)48.248.796.9-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.252.494.6-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)43.648.291.8-4.536%-
vs Similar (15)50.550.9101.4-0.553%-
vs Weaker (4)54.044.298.2+9.8100%-
This opponent (Hercegovac) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HercegovacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H18/04
First League
Zlatibor
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A24/04
First League
KK Nis
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A03/10
First League
Sloboda Uzice
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H10/10
First League
Tamis
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A18/10
First League
Podgorica
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/10
ABA League 2
Borac Zemun
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H25/10
First League
Sloga
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A31/10
First League
TFT Skopje
#16
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H04/11
ABA League 2
Cacak 94
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A08/11
First League
82.6Avg total
42.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.087.4+1.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.840.484.2+3.344%-
Last 30 away (14)45.245.991.1-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)42.839.882.6+3.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.886.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.741.379.0-3.70%-
vs Similar (7)42.742.485.1+0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.043.589.5+2.650%-
This opponent (OKK Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
OKK Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

OKK Beograd: 101.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.626.2
60.1%
55.7%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.6
37.4%
31.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws27.320.5
75.1%
70.0%20.5
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hercegovactheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hercegovac: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.9
60.0%
55.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.7
31.8%
31.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.016.9
73.5%
70.0%16.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
OKK Beograd
LLLLLLLWWW
Hercegovac
WWWLWLLWLW
#15
League position
#10
+8.6
Net rating
+2.2
108.9
Offensive rating
99.8
100.3
Defensive rating
97.6
58.6%
Effective FG%
54.7%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.4%
3-point %
31.8%
61.5%
Assist %
57.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 99.8Defence100.3 · 97.6Shooting58.6% · 54.7%3-point %37.4% · 31.8%Ball care14.1% · 14.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ OKK Beograd   ■ Hercegovac
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
OKK Beograd wins
1
Hercegovac wins
DateGameScore
11/02/26OKK Beograd v Hercegovac92-84
31/10/25Hercegovac v OKK Beograd82-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASloga87-102
08/11/26HBorac Zemun89-103
31/10/26ATamis109-113 OT
26/10/26HSloboda Uzice75-95
16/10/26AKK Nis79-105
11/10/26HRadnicki85-87
03/10/26ADynamic88-90
25/04/26AVojvodina Novi Sad100-75
18/04/26HTamis98-89
11/04/26AVrsac103-94
Hercegovaclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ACacak 9495-89
04/11/26HTFT Skopje107-82
31/10/26ASloga82-73
25/10/26HBorac Zemun71-85
22/10/26HPodgorica76-64
18/10/26ATamis91-92 OT
10/10/26HSloboda Uzice70-77
03/10/26AKK Nis75-65
24/04/26AZlatibor92-97
18/04/26HVojvodina Novi Sad85-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

OKK Beograd
First League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game87.483.090.8
Allowed / game99.395.0102.5
Point differential-11.9-12.0-11.8
Avg total186.7178.0193.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Hercegovac
First League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%0%75%
Points / game80.770.585.8
Allowed / game80.281.079.8
Point differential+0.5-10.5+6.0
Avg total160.8151.5165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sloboda Uzice770100%88.177.9+10.3
2 Vojvodina Novi Sad76186%80.771.1+9.6
3 Dynamic74357%80.175.1+5.0
4 Kolubara74357%81.480.4+1.0
5 KK Nis74357%76.977.1-0.3
6 Cacak 9474357%87.688.3-0.7
7 Radnicki74357%86.189.4-3.3
8 Zlatibor63350%93.586.3+7.2
9 Mladost Zemun63350%80.878.5+2.3
10 Hercegovac63350%80.780.2+0.5
11 Tamis63350%93.795.5-1.8
12 Borac Zemun73443%85.983.7+2.1
13 KK Metalac73443%78.379.6-1.3
14 Sloga73443%90.192.6-2.4
15 OKK Beograd7070%87.499.3-11.9
16 BKK Radnicki7070%69.184.3-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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