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Oklahoma State vs TCU Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-95 (OT)
0-0 34-39 0-0 50-45 8-11
Position#140
Record16-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game80.8
Oklahoma State
USA
vs
TCU 🏆
USA
Position#77
Record15-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Oklahoma State v TCU
23 Jan 2027
OKLA v TCU
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
OKLA92
TCU95
23 Jan 2024
OKLA69
TCU74
04 Feb 2023
OKLA79
TCU73
19 Jan 2022
OKLA57
TCU56
16 Dec 2020
OKLA76
TCU77
05 Feb 2020
OKLA72
TCU57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TCU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#92
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A10/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H14/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H18/01
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H24/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A31/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
99-92
99
92
+7
H05/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
47-84
47
84
-37
A07/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A11/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-32
0-0
46-44
0-0
40-42
0-0
31-41
0-0
39-57
0-0
40-37
0-0
48-43
0-0
36-40
0-0
41-37
0-0
24-31
0-0
21-51
0-0
50-33
0-0
40-39
0-0
41-30
0-0
41-41
0-0
58-51
0-0
22-40
0-0
25-44
0-0
34-39
0-0
42-46
157.8Avg total
76.0Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.480.8165.2+3.767%
Season at home (16)89.880.5170.2+9.281%
Season away (8)73.881.2155.0-7.538%
Last 10 (10)76.081.8157.8-5.840%
Last 5 (5)74.882.8157.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.784.4164.1-4.746%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.377.2160.5+6.269%
vs Weaker (3)89.073.0162.0+16.0100%
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#58
L
100-104 OT
100
104
-4
A07/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
H10/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A24/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
61-87
61
87
-26
A01/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-41
0-0
51-46
0-0
27-43
0-0
46-43
0-0
36-30
0-0
34-46
0-0
30-38
0-0
49-44
0-0
37-41
0-0
31-24
0-0
38-38
0-0
59-52
0-0
30-43
0-0
40-36
0-0
25-38
0-0
36-49
0-0
42-46
0-0
42-36
0-0
29-30
0-0
33-25
157.0Avg total
76.4Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.271.2149.5+7.062%
Season at home (17)77.766.8144.5+10.971%
Season away (7)79.482.0161.4-2.643%
Last 10 (10)76.480.6157.0-4.240%
Last 5 (5)74.878.6153.4-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.072.0138.0-6.025%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.573.9149.4+1.660%
vs Weaker (12)81.868.9150.8+12.967%
This opponent (Oklahoma State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
Oklahoma StateTCU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#92
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H07/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H14/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H18/01
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A21/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
21-51
21
51
-30
H24/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H05/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A07/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A11/02
NCAA
78.8Avg total
36.7Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.378.8+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (20)40.539.079.5+1.560%-
Last 30 away (10)37.639.877.4-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)36.742.178.8-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)31.642.073.6-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.342.278.5-5.923%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.235.876.9+5.469%-
vs Weaker (3)46.043.089.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#58
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H10/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A15/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A17/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A01/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H11/02
NCAA
71.8Avg total
33.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.435.370.7+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.234.271.5+3.055%-
Last 30 away (10)31.737.669.3-5.910%-
Last 10 (10)33.038.871.8-5.810%-
Last 5 (5)32.839.071.8-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.837.668.4-6.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.534.069.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (12)38.434.973.3+3.550%-
This opponent (Oklahoma State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Oklahoma State wins
7
TCU wins
DateGameScore
21/01/26TCU v Oklahoma State68-65
13/02/25TCU v Oklahoma State73-72
24/01/24Oklahoma State v TCU69-74
18/02/23TCU v Oklahoma State100-75
04/02/23Oklahoma State v TCU79-73
09/02/22TCU v Oklahoma State77-73
20/01/22Oklahoma State v TCU57-56
04/02/21TCU v Oklahoma State81-78
17/12/20Oklahoma State v TCU76-77
06/02/20Oklahoma State v TCU72-57
Oklahoma Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26AArizona State76-85
07/02/26AArizona47-84
05/02/26HBrigham Young99-92
31/01/26AUtah Utes81-69
24/01/26HIowa State71-84
21/01/26ATCU65-68
18/01/26HKansas State84-83
14/01/26HBaylor79-94
10/01/26AIowa State71-83
07/01/26HUCF Knights87-76
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HIowa State62-55
07/02/26HKansas State84-82
01/02/26AColorado61-87
29/01/26HHouston70-79
24/01/26ABaylor97-90
21/01/26HOklahoma State68-65
17/01/26AUtah Utes79-82
15/01/26ABrigham Young70-76
10/01/26HArizona73-86
07/01/26AKansas100-104 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL67%
HomeWLWLW81%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %67%81%38%
Points / game84.489.873.8
Allowed / game80.880.581.2
Point differential+3.7+9.2-7.5
Avg total165.2170.2155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
TCU
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayLLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24177
Win %62%71%43%
Points / game78.277.779.4
Allowed / game71.266.882.0
Point differential+7.0+10.9-2.6
Avg total149.5144.5161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%41%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %8%6%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona2423196%88.868.2+20.6
2 Houston2422292%78.361.2+17.1
3 Iowa State2420483%84.065.5+18.4
4 Kansas2419579%78.067.8+10.2
5 Brigham Young2418675%86.374.0+12.3
6 Texas Tech2418675%82.272.2+9.9
7 UCF Knights2317674%82.477.8+4.6
8 Oklahoma State2416867%84.480.8+3.7
9 TCU2415962%78.271.2+7.0
10 West Virginia2415962%70.063.6+6.3
11 Colorado25141156%79.878.1+1.7
12 Baylor24131154%83.975.9+8.0
13 Cincinnati25131252%72.467.0+5.4
14 Arizona State25131252%78.779.2-0.4
15 Kansas State24101442%80.980.8+0.1
16 Utah Utes2491538%76.880.0-3.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Oklahoma State034050892
TCU0390451195
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