PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Oklahoma faces Campbell on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model rates Oklahoma the clear favourite with a 92% chance of winning, reflecting their 2-1 record, 76.3 points per game and 65.7 allowed per game, compared to Campbell's 0-3 record, 62.7 points per game and 79.3 allowed per game. Oklahoma's season so far shows a 2-1 record, 76.3 points scored and 65.7 points allowed per game, and they remain 162nd in the league; they have a 2-1 record at home with the same averages, and their last five games include three wins and two losses, highlighted by a 81-72 win over North Alabama, a 84-57 win over Miss. Valley St. and a 64-68 loss to East Texas A&M. Campbell's season record is 0-3, 62.7 points scored and 79.3 allowed per game, and they are 366th in the league; they are 0-3 on the road with the same averages, and their last five games include one win and four losses, with recent defeats to East Tennessee St, Western Michigan and NC State. The Pythia model gives Oklahoma a 92% win probability and Campbell an 8% chance, projects a final score of 87-70 and a total of 157.4 points, and predicts a 2% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 75.8 | 63.8 | 139.5 | +12.0 | 75% |
| Season at home (4) | 75.8 | 63.8 | 139.5 | +12.0 | 75% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 80.2 | 69.0 | 149.2 | +11.2 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.4 | 67.4 | 143.8 | +9.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 85.5 | 93.5 | 179.0 | -8.0 | 50% |
| vs Similar (15) | 80.3 | 79.5 | 159.8 | +0.9 | 40% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (13) | 80.6 | 69.8 | 150.5 | +10.8 | 69% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 62.7 | 79.3 | 142.0 | -16.7 | 0% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (3) | 62.7 | 79.3 | 142.0 | -16.7 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 71.8 | 75.2 | 147.0 | -3.4 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 67.4 | 76.4 | 143.8 | -9.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 69.8 | 80.4 | 150.1 | -10.6 | 12% |
| vs Similar (17) | 76.2 | 76.3 | 152.5 | -0.1 | 47% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 98.2 | 74.8 | 173.0 | +23.4 | 80% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.5 | 36.4 | 75.9 | +3.1 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 40.6 | 35.4 | 75.9 | +5.2 | 71% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 38.1 | 37.8 | 75.8 | +0.3 | 46% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.2 | 32.5 | 70.7 | +5.7 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.8 | 31.4 | 67.2 | +4.4 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 36.0 | 40.0 | 76.0 | -4.0 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (15) | 40.5 | 38.0 | 78.5 | +2.5 | 60% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (13) | 38.8 | 34.0 | 72.8 | +4.8 | 62% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.1 | 36.5 | 73.7 | +0.6 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 41.6 | 35.2 | 76.8 | +6.3 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 away (18) | 34.2 | 37.4 | 71.6 | -3.2 | 39% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.5 | 33.8 | 66.3 | -1.3 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 26.8 | 34.0 | 60.8 | -7.2 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 31.1 | 39.1 | 70.2 | -8.0 | 12% | - |
| vs Similar (17) | 36.3 | 35.8 | 72.1 | +0.5 | 47% | - |
| vs Weaker (5) | 49.6 | 34.8 | 84.4 | +14.8 | 80% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson | 74-58 |
| 10/11/26 | H | North Alabama | 81-72 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Miss. Valley St. | 84-57 |
| 03/11/26 | H | East Texas A&M | 64-68 |
| 14/03/26 | A | Arkansas | 79-82 |
| 13/03/26 | A | Texas A&M | 83-63 |
| 12/03/26 | H | South Carolina | 86-74 |
| 08/03/26 | A | Texas | 88-85 OT |
| 04/03/26 | H | Missouri | 80-64 |
| 28/02/26 | A | LSU | 83-67 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | East Tennessee St | 53-68 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Western Michigan | 71-87 |
| 03/11/26 | A | NC State | 64-83 |
| 09/03/26 | A | Monmouth | 64-74 |
| 08/03/26 | A | NC Wilmington | 85-70 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Stony Brook | 96-89 |
| 04/03/26 | H | N. Carolina A&T | 90-72 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Towson | 67-71 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Drexel | 60-65 |
| 21/02/26 | H | NC Wilmington | 68-73 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWW | 75% |
| Home | LWWW | 75% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 | - |
| Win % | 75% | 75% | - |
| Points / game | 75.8 | 75.8 | - |
| Allowed / game | 63.8 | 63.8 | - |
| Point differential | +12.0 | +12.0 | - |
| Avg total | 139.5 | 139.5 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 50% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLL | 0% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | - | 3 |
| Win % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Points / game | 62.7 | - | 62.7 |
| Allowed / game | 79.3 | - | 79.3 |
| Point differential | -16.7 | - | -16.7 |
| Avg total | 142.0 | - | 142.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | - | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Texas | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 100.0 | 57.0 | +43.0 |
| 2 |  LSU | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 52.7 | +41.3 |
| 3 |  Ole Miss | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 56.3 | +37.7 |
| 4 |  Texas A&M | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 99.2 | 67.2 | +32.0 |
| 5 |  Vanderbilt | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 90.2 | 60.2 | +30.0 |
| 6 |  South Carolina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 78.7 | 54.7 | +24.0 |
| 7 |  Alabama | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 97.0 | 76.0 | +21.0 |
| 8 |  Florida | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 82.2 | 62.5 | +19.8 |
| 9 |  Tennessee | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 81.0 | 61.3 | +19.7 |
| 10 |  Georgia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 81.8 | 70.2 | +11.5 |
| 11 |  Mississippi St. | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 87.2 | 67.5 | +19.8 |
| 12 |  Arkansas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 83.2 | 67.8 | +15.5 |
| 13 | Oklahoma | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 75.8 | 63.8 | +12.0 |
| 14 |  Kentucky | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 80.2 | 75.8 | +4.5 |
| 15 |  Missouri | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 97.0 | 66.0 | +31.0 |
| 16 |  Auburn | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 78.7 | 64.0 | +14.7 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charleston | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 104.7 | 67.3 | +37.3 |
| 2 |  NC Wilmington | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 71.0 | +19.0 |
| 3 |  William & Mary | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 91.3 | 78.0 | +13.3 |
| 4 |  Hofstra | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 70.0 | 63.8 | +6.2 |
| 5 |  Towson | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 70.8 | 65.5 | +5.2 |
| 6 |  Elon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 69.5 | 70.5 | -1.0 |
| 7 |  Northeastern | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 78.8 | 83.2 | -4.5 |
| 8 |  Stony Brook | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 73.7 | 64.7 | +9.0 |
| 9 |  N. Carolina A&T | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.3 | 68.3 | +8.0 |
| 10 |  Hampton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 61.0 | 68.7 | -7.7 |
| 11 |  Drexel | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.0 | 76.3 | -9.3 |
| 12 |  Monmouth | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 61.0 | 79.2 | -18.2 |
| 13 | Campbell | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 62.7 | 79.3 | -16.7 |
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