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Old Dominion vs Southern Miss Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 74-71
38-38 36-33
Position#261
Record5-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#324
Record6-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game76.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Old Dominion v Southern Miss
04 Jan 2025
OLD 74
SOUT71
22 Feb 2023
OLD 69
SOUT64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Old Dominion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Old DominionUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randolph-Macon
#394
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H20/11
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
52-82
52
82
-30
A25/11
NCAA
High Point
#13
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H25/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
L
54-67
54
67
-13
H26/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H03/12
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H07/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H15/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
80-75 OT
80
75
+5
A21/12
NCAA
VA Wesleyan
#532
W
82-44
82
44
+38
H28/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
59-78
59
78
-19
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
37-28
24-43
28-39
34-34
33-39
19-26
35-41
38-36
50-47
35-34
35-44
26-31
45-44
32-29
36-39
32-20
50-24
29-32
30-46
140.4Avg total
69.4Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)69.175.2144.4-6.136%
Season at home (10)71.770.7142.4+1.040%
Season away (4)62.886.5149.2-23.825%
Last 10 (10)69.471.0140.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)72.470.0142.4+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)66.679.8146.3-13.26%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.174.3147.4-1.240%
vs Weaker (2)77.577.0154.5+0.550%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#238
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A25/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A26/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H30/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H05/12
NCAA
Tulane
#139
L
58-86
58
86
-28
A11/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
46-77
46
77
-31
H14/12
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H18/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H21/12
NCAA
William Carey
#426
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-41
33-38
40-49
34-33
31-32
35-33
30-33
51-31
23-38
35-48
28-38
18-39
31-36
34-33
39-34
29-32
35-31
45-39
31-33
41-50
141.0Avg total
66.9Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.176.6148.8-4.543%
Season at home (8)73.468.0141.4+5.475%
Season away (6)70.588.2158.7-17.70%
Last 10 (10)66.974.1141.0-7.240%
Last 5 (5)66.273.0139.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)68.176.9145.0-8.938%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.870.6139.5-1.836%
vs Weaker (3)87.369.3156.7+18.0100%
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -2.1-2.1
Old DominionSouthern Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Old DominionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randolph-Macon
#394
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A25/11
NCAA
High Point
#13
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H25/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H26/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H03/12
NCAA
George Washington
#96
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H07/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H15/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A21/12
NCAA
VA Wesleyan
#532
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H28/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H03/01
NCAA
61.5Avg total
30.3Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.635.466.0-4.740%-
Last 30 at home (19)30.333.463.7-3.232%-
Last 30 away (11)31.338.770.0-7.555%-
Last 10 (10)30.331.261.5-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)30.829.260.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)29.536.666.1-7.131%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)30.234.865.0-4.640%-
vs Weaker (2)39.540.580.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#238
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A25/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H30/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H05/12
NCAA
Tulane
#139
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A11/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H14/12
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H18/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H21/12
NCAA
William Carey
#426
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A03/01
NCAA
67.9Avg total
31.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.436.368.7-3.927%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.133.766.8-0.635%-
Last 30 away (13)31.539.771.2-8.215%-
Last 10 (10)31.436.567.9-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)32.834.467.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.438.469.8-7.119%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.834.366.1-2.527%-
vs Weaker (3)40.032.372.3+7.767%-
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Old Dominion wins
1
Southern Miss wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HArkansas State59-78
28/12/24HVA Wesleyan82-44
21/12/24ALouisiana Monroe80-75 OT
15/12/24HNortheastern71-75
07/12/24HGeorge Washington70-78
03/12/24HWilliam & Mary88-83
26/11/24HDuquesne54-67
25/11/24HHigh Point67-73
25/11/24ABoston College52-82
20/11/24HRandolph-Macon71-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25AJames Madison72-83
31/12/24HWilliam Carey80-70
21/12/24HMarshall68-66
18/12/24HLamar65-69
14/12/24HOle Miss46-77
11/12/24ATulane58-86
05/12/24HAlabama State81-64
30/11/24HWisc. Milwaukee66-65
26/11/24AAbilene Christian74-82
25/11/24AMontana State59-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Old Dominion
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %36%40%25%
Points / game69.171.762.8
Allowed / game75.270.786.5
Point differential-6.1+1.0-23.8
Avg total144.4142.4149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%25%
Southern Miss
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game72.173.470.5
Allowed / game76.668.088.2
Point differential-4.5+5.4-17.7
Avg total148.8141.4158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State1411379%80.570.6+9.9
2 South Alabama1511473%75.160.9+14.3
3 Troy139469%74.966.0+8.9
4 James Madison148657%75.269.6+5.6
5 Texas State158753%75.568.9+6.6
6 Marshall158753%76.172.2+3.9
7 Coastal Carolina158753%69.267.1+2.1
8 Georgia Southern158753%73.678.9-5.3
9 Appalachian State147750%69.565.0+4.5
10 Southern Miss146843%72.176.6-4.5
11 Old Dominion145936%69.175.2-6.1
12 Georgia State1441029%69.978.9-9.1
13 Louisiana Lafayette1441029%66.075.2-9.2
14 Louisiana Monroe1641225%72.073.3-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Old Dominion383674
Southern Miss383371
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