PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Southern Miss vs Alabama State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 81-64
30-33 51-31
Position#324
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#156
Record3-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game81.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#212
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A29/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A02/03
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
59-75
59
75
-16
H07/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H05/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A08/11
NCAA
Loyola NO
#524
W
104-65
104
65
+39
H13/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
76-101
76
101
-25
A21/11
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A25/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A26/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-36
34-37
23-39
38-38
23-34
36-41
43-33
34-35
40-56
44-42
52-32
52-33
32-55
44-46
26-41
33-38
40-49
34-33
31-32
35-33
151.3Avg total
73.0Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.179.7156.9-2.643%
Season at home (3)82.366.0148.3+16.3100%
Season away (4)73.290.0163.2-16.80%
Last 10 (10)73.078.3151.3-5.330%
Last 5 (5)75.878.4154.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)70.077.2147.2-7.246%
vs Similar (14)69.971.2141.1-1.343%
vs Weaker (3)83.075.3158.3+7.767%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#141
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
H09/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A05/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A10/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#673
W
115-64
115
64
+51
H19/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H23/11
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
78-97
78
97
-19
A24/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A28/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
72-101
72
101
-29
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-29
35-43
27-32
23-24
41-46
38-47
32-26
29-48
50-32
65-32
40-36
45-31
29-34
48-41
41-50
37-47
33-46
26-31
39-49
33-52
155.1Avg total
76.3Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.281.0159.2-2.838%
Season at home (2)100.065.5165.5+34.5100%
Season away (6)71.086.2157.2-15.217%
Last 10 (10)76.378.8155.1-2.540%
Last 5 (5)74.283.4157.6-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.286.0154.2-17.80%
vs Similar (14)70.774.1144.9-3.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)68.958.7127.6+10.273%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -1.7-1.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -1.7-1.7
Southern MissAlabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#212
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A29/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A02/03
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H07/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H05/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A08/11
NCAA
Loyola NO
#524
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H13/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A21/11
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A25/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H30/11
NCAA
75.3Avg total
34.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.437.070.5-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.833.668.4+1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)32.240.072.2-7.819%-
Last 10 (10)34.640.775.3-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.878.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.939.372.2-6.431%-
vs Similar (14)32.334.967.1-2.629%-
vs Weaker (3)41.037.378.3+3.733%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#141
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H09/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A14/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A05/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A10/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#673
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H19/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H23/11
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A23/11
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A24/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A28/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A04/12
NCAA
74.9Avg total
36.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.234.166.3-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.230.662.8+1.758%-
Last 30 away (18)32.236.468.7-4.228%-
Last 10 (10)36.938.074.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.443.079.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.246.480.6-12.20%-
vs Similar (14)33.034.667.6-1.636%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)30.427.958.3+2.564%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Southern Miss wins
0
Alabama State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24HWisc. Milwaukee66-65
26/11/24AAbilene Christian74-82
25/11/24AMontana State59-79
21/11/24ASouth Dakota St.76-101
13/11/24HLoyola NO104-65
08/11/24AUAB84-98
05/11/24HBowling Green77-68
07/03/24HTexas State59-75
02/03/24ALouisiana Lafayette61-77
29/02/24ASouth Alabama70-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24ASMU Mustangs72-101
28/11/24ACincinnati59-77
24/11/24AAkron78-97
23/11/24ALamar77-75
23/11/24HNebraska O.85-67
19/11/24HVirginia-Lynchburg115-64
10/11/24ALSU61-74
05/11/24AUNLV79-93
14/03/24AGrambling St.50-56
09/03/24HGrambling St.87-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%100%0%
Points / game77.182.373.2
Allowed / game79.766.090.0
Point differential-2.6+16.3-16.8
Avg total156.9148.3163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %38%100%17%
Points / game78.2100.071.0
Allowed / game81.065.586.2
Point differential-2.8+34.5-15.2
Avg total159.2165.5157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State96367%76.865.4+11.3
2 Appalachian State96367%72.864.3+8.4
3 South Alabama85362%73.165.1+8.0
4 Arkansas State85362%77.569.9+7.6
5 Marshall85362%77.471.5+5.9
6 Troy85362%74.270.6+3.6
7 James Madison95456%76.669.6+7.0
8 Georgia Southern95456%73.877.1-3.3
9 Coastal Carolina84450%64.264.2+0.0
10 Georgia State84450%75.477.8-2.4
11 Southern Miss73443%77.179.7-2.6
12 Old Dominion93633%67.378.1-10.8
13 Louisiana Monroe103730%71.970.9+1.0
14 Louisiana Lafayette81712%69.881.9-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs94544%79.777.8+1.9
2 Southern Univ.73443%85.770.4+15.3
3 Alabama State83538%78.281.0-2.8
4 Grambling St.72529%72.370.3+2.0
5 Florida A&M72529%68.484.6-16.1
6 Texas Southern82625%73.082.1-9.1
7 Bethune-Cookman82625%65.675.9-10.2
8 Miss. Valley St.92722%53.182.1-29.0
9 Prairie View A&M71614%82.199.0-16.9
10 Arkansas-Pine Bluff91811%70.895.4-24.7
11 Alcorn State100100%54.981.2-26.3
12 Jackson State8080%61.187.9-26.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Miss305181
Alabama State333164
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.