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Ole Miss vs Austin Peay Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 72-65
31-23 41-42
Position#259
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game65.0
vs
Position#49
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game60.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ole Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Austin Peay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ole MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#6
L
71-90
71
90
-19
A08/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H13/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A14/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H21/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A24/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A28/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
88-58
88
58
+30
H04/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H08/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H12/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-38
40-52
42-34
41-46
22-29
35-33
44-26
27-38
40-29
51-49
33-31
37-42
45-29
43-29
47-28
39-37
42-33
41-44
38-28
44-32
148.9Avg total
78.2Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.865.0149.8+19.8100%
Season at home (4)84.865.0149.8+19.8100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.270.7148.9+7.570%
Last 5 (5)81.866.6148.4+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.082.5157.5-7.525%
vs Similar (16)75.972.1148.0+3.869%
vs Weaker (6)79.564.3143.8+15.2100%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#362
L
68-94
68
94
-26
A18/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A21/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
L
78-95
78
95
-17
H25/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A27/02
NCAA
North Florida
#228
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H03/03
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
L
64-90
64
90
-26
A04/03
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
128-47
128
47
+81
H04/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A08/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A12/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
19-50
49-44
34-30
58-48
29-43
49-52
38-35
32-38
38-45
52-24
30-48
34-42
69-25
59-22
33-22
41-32
35-37
30-42
33-27
36-36
154.0Avg total
79.8Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.060.8144.8+23.275%
Season at home (1)128.047.0175.0+81.0100%
Season away (3)69.365.3134.7+4.067%
Last 10 (10)79.874.2154.0+5.650%
Last 5 (5)80.066.6146.6+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)67.780.0147.7-12.320%
vs Similar (3)82.374.3156.7+8.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.067.2147.2+12.867%
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +6.0+6.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +6.0+6.0
Ole MissAustin Peay
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ole MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#6
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H13/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A14/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H21/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A24/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A28/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H04/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H12/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H15/11
NCAA
68.9Avg total
38.4Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.334.170.5+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.532.571.1+6.071%-
Last 30 away (13)33.536.269.7-2.823%-
Last 10 (10)38.430.568.9+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)41.029.870.8+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.437.170.5-3.825%-
vs Similar (16)36.934.170.9+2.850%-
vs Weaker (6)38.830.369.2+8.583%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#362
L
19-50
19
50
-31
A18/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H25/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A27/02
NCAA
North Florida
#228
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H03/03
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A04/03
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
69-25
69
25
+44
H04/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A08/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A12/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A15/11
NCAA
72.0Avg total
35.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.335.268.5-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.532.870.2+4.754%-
Last 30 away (17)30.137.167.2-7.029%-
Last 10 (10)35.836.272.0-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.031.871.8+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)29.336.966.1-7.620%-
vs Similar (3)32.341.774.0-9.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.631.670.2+7.075%-
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ole Miss wins
0
Austin Peay wins
No previous meetings.
Ole Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HCSU Bakersfield82-60
12/11/25HMemphis83-77
08/11/25HLouisiana Monroe86-65
04/11/25HSE Louisiana88-58
28/03/25AMichigan State70-73
24/03/25AIowa State91-78
21/03/25HNorth Carolina71-64
14/03/25AAuburn57-62
13/03/25HArkansas83-80
08/03/25AFlorida71-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25ANC Greensboro69-63
12/11/25AWyoming65-79
08/11/25AAir Force74-54
04/11/25HBryan128-47
04/03/25ANorth Alabama64-90
03/03/25HNorth Florida90-69
27/02/25AWest Georgia70-73
25/02/25HLipscomb78-95
21/02/25AQueens Royals92-78
18/02/25ABellarmine68-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ole Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.884.8-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential+19.8+19.8-
Avg total149.8149.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Austin Peay
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game84.0128.069.3
Allowed / game60.847.065.3
Point differential+23.2+81.0+4.0
Avg total144.8175.0134.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia550100%99.462.6+36.8
2 LSU330100%95.766.3+29.3
3 Vanderbilt440100%101.572.8+28.8
4 Tennessee440100%90.262.2+28.0
5 Missouri550100%91.470.4+21.0
6 Ole Miss440100%84.865.0+19.8
7 South Carolina440100%85.567.5+18.0
8 Mississippi St.330100%85.770.0+15.7
9 Auburn43175%88.870.5+18.2
10 Texas43175%80.262.0+18.2
11 Arkansas43175%86.869.2+17.5
12 Florida43175%87.875.2+12.5
13 Alabama32167%91.381.7+9.7
14 Kentucky53260%87.468.4+19.0
15 Oklahoma42250%91.080.8+10.2
16 Texas A&M42250%84.877.8+7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay43175%84.060.8+23.2
2 West Georgia53260%79.280.6-1.4
3 Florida Gulf Coast42250%87.885.2+2.5
4 Queens Royals52340%79.480.4-1.0
5 North Alabama52340%74.882.4-7.6
6 North Florida31233%84.090.0-6.0
7 Eastern Kentucky41325%85.283.0+2.2
8 Lipscomb41325%75.079.8-4.8
9 Central Arkansas41325%74.283.5-9.2
10 Bellarmine41325%77.587.8-10.2
11 Stetson41325%73.587.0-13.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ole Miss314172
Austin Peay234265
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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