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Ole Miss W vs Alcorn State W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-38
10-6 26-13 21-10 23-9
Position#52
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Ole Miss W 🏆
USA
Vs
98%
■ OLE 98%■ ALCO 2%
Pythia win probability
Projected 80-54
Projected total 134.5
Alcorn State W
USA
Position#278
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA Women
Women2026-27
Meetings · Ole Miss W v Alcorn State W
02 Nov 2026
OLE 80
ALCO38
28 Dec 2025
OLE 64
ALCO44
30 Dec 2024
OLE 93
ALCO41
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Ole Miss W host Alcorn State W in the NCAA Women. Pythia makes Ole Miss W the favourite at 98% and projects 80-54, about 135 points in all. Overtime chance: 0%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ole Miss W winWon
98.2%fair 1.02
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alcorn State W winLost
1.8%fair 56.78
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ole Miss WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Volunteers W
#162
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H18/02
NCAA Women
LSU Tigers W
#20
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H20/02
NCAA Women
South Carolina W
#11
L
48-85
48
85
-37
A22/02
NCAA Women
Florida Gators W
#178
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A26/02
NCAA Women
Texas A&M W
#188
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H01/03
NCAA Women
Auburn W
#222
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H05/03
NCAA Women
Vanderbilt W
#17
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A06/03
NCAA Women
Texas Longhorns W
#12
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A08/03
NCAA Women
Gonzaga W
#74
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H20/03
NCAA Women
Minnesota W
#64
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A22/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
26-21
31-20
19-28
21-26
22-11
20-17
7-24
16-20
9-21
9-25
14-19
17-16
20-24
13-15
17-19
13-23
17-14
15-16
13-13
21-6
27-14
10-17
15-20
25-6
24-11
16-24
24-37
16-22
16-20
23-15
13-28
20-9
19-14
29-14
13-29
12-17
17-15
25-14
9-19
144.6Avg total
71.1Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.173.5144.6-2.440%
Last 5 (5)74.870.2145.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.175.4143.5-7.238%
vs Similar (9)73.169.3142.4+3.856%
vs Weaker (13)74.856.6131.4+18.269%
Alcorn State WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff W
#214
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A07/02
NCAA Women
Florida A&M W
#317
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H13/02
NCAA Women
Bethune-Cookman W
#324
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H14/02
NCAA Women
Jackson State W
#261
L
49-52 OT
49
52
-3
H21/02
NCAA Women
Texas W
#304
W
68-54
68
54
+14
A26/02
NCAA Women
Prairie View A&M W
#371
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A28/02
NCAA Women
Miss. Valley St. W
#332
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H04/03
NCAA Women
Arkansas-Pine Bluff W
#214
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H06/03
NCAA Women
Arkansas-Pine Bluff W
#214
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H11/03
NCAA Women
South Alabama W
#215
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H21/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-10
16-13
11-25
9-16
14-18
15-8
16-14
17-10
12-14
14-19
22-14
18-10
12-11
7-13
16-13
7-5
24-9
18-16
13-14
13-15
10-7
17-8
7-12
14-11
20-10
19-15
8-18
20-13
13-18
12-15
15-17
21-16
11-9
7-16
17-28
25-11
12-17
17-17
15-14
21-25
118.0Avg total
60.6Scored
57.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)60.657.4118.0+3.250%
Last 5 (5)60.259.4119.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.481.8125.2-38.40%
vs Similar (11)53.756.8110.5-3.155%
vs Weaker (14)64.954.4119.4+10.579%
Over/Under 126Actual: Under 126
Over 126
70.7%
Under 126
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131Actual: Under 131
Over 131
58.9%
Under 131
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 136Actual: Under 136
Over 136
46.2%
Under 136
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Ole Miss W total 66.5Actual: Ole Miss W over 66.5
Over 66.5
91.5%
Under 66.5
8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ole Miss W total 70.5Actual: Ole Miss W over 70.5
Over 70.5
83.4%
Under 70.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ole Miss W total 74.5Actual: Ole Miss W over 74.5
Over 74.5
71.4%
Under 74.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alcorn State W total 56.5Actual: Alcorn State W under 56.5
Over 56.5
41.7%
Under 56.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alcorn State W total 60.5Actual: Alcorn State W under 60.5
Over 60.5
27.0%
Under 60.5
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alcorn State W total 64.5Actual: Alcorn State W under 64.5
Over 64.5
15.6%
Under 64.5
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Ole Miss W -3Actual: Ole Miss W -3
OLE -3
97.4%
ALCO +3
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
OLE
No market prices yet.
ALCO
No market prices yet.
Spread Ole Miss W 0Actual: Ole Miss W 0
OLE 0
98.2%
ALCO 0
1.8%
Best 5 market prices
OLE
No market prices yet.
ALCO
No market prices yet.
Spread Ole Miss W +3Actual: Ole Miss W +3
OLE +3
98.9%
ALCO -3
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
OLE
No market prices yet.
ALCO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -9.2-9.2Q4: +3.3+3.3
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -9.2-9.2Q4: +3.3+3.3
Ole Miss WAlcorn State W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ole Miss WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Volunteers W
#162
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H18/02
NCAA Women
LSU Tigers W
#20
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/02
NCAA Women
South Carolina W
#11
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A22/02
NCAA Women
Florida Gators W
#178
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A26/02
NCAA Women
Texas A&M W
#188
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H01/03
NCAA Women
Auburn W
#222
W
48-20
48
20
+28
H05/03
NCAA Women
Vanderbilt W
#17
W
49-17
49
17
+32
A06/03
NCAA Women
Texas Longhorns W
#12
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A08/03
NCAA Women
Gonzaga W
#74
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H20/03
NCAA Women
Minnesota W
#64
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A22/03
NCAA Women
69.8Avg total
37.6Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.130.164.2+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.728.164.8+8.672%-
Last 30 away (12)30.233.063.2-2.842%-
Last 10 (10)37.632.269.8+5.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.426.866.2+12.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.631.965.5+1.850%-
vs Similar (9)33.333.266.6+0.156%-
vs Weaker (13)34.926.861.7+8.269%-
Alcorn State WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff W
#214
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A07/02
NCAA Women
Florida A&M W
#317
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H13/02
NCAA Women
Bethune-Cookman W
#324
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H14/02
NCAA Women
Jackson State W
#261
L
19-24
19
24
-5
H21/02
NCAA Women
Texas W
#304
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A26/02
NCAA Women
Prairie View A&M W
#371
W
27-15
27
15
+12
A28/02
NCAA Women
Miss. Valley St. W
#332
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H04/03
NCAA Women
Arkansas-Pine Bluff W
#214
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H06/03
NCAA Women
Arkansas-Pine Bluff W
#214
L
18-25
18
25
-7
H11/03
NCAA Women
South Alabama W
#215
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H21/03
NCAA Women
55.7Avg total
29.4Scored
26.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.628.656.2-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.725.955.6+3.953%-
Last 30 away (15)25.531.356.8-5.740%-
Last 10 (10)29.426.355.7+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)27.626.454.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)20.038.858.8-18.820%-
vs Similar (11)25.427.653.0-2.327%-
vs Weaker (14)32.125.657.8+6.571%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ole Miss W wins
0
Alcorn State W wins
DateGameScore
28/12/25Ole Miss W v Alcorn State W64-44
31/12/24Ole Miss W v Alcorn State W93-41
Ole Miss Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26AMinnesota W63-65
20/03/26HGonzaga W81-66
08/03/26ATexas Longhorns W68-85
06/03/26AVanderbilt W89-78
05/03/26HAuburn W73-57
01/03/26HTexas A&M W58-66
26/02/26AFlorida Gators W67-74
22/02/26ASouth Carolina W48-85
20/02/26HLSU Tigers W70-78
18/02/26HTennessee Volunteers W94-81
Alcorn State Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HSouth Alabama W65-73
11/03/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff W60-64
06/03/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff W61-66
04/03/26HMiss. Valley St. W67-56
28/02/26APrairie View A&M W48-38
26/02/26ATexas W68-54
21/02/26HJackson State W49-52 OT
14/02/26HBethune-Cookman W66-57
13/02/26HFlorida A&M W62-50
07/02/26AArkansas-Pine Bluff W60-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ole Miss W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Alcorn State W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oakland W110100%104.032.0+72.0
2 Detroit Titans W110100%94.030.0+64.0
3 Morgan State W110100%103.047.0+56.0
4 East Texas A&M Lions W110100%81.040.0+41.0
5 Butler W110100%108.071.0+37.0
6 Kennesaw State W110100%72.042.0+30.0
7 Notre Dame W110100%99.075.0+24.0
8 Iona W110100%76.054.0+22.0
9 Georgia Tech W110100%80.065.0+15.0
10 Coastal Carolina W110100%68.054.0+14.0
11 Columbia W110100%71.065.0+6.0
12 Old Dominion W110100%62.058.0+4.0
13 Central Michigan W1010%58.062.0-4.0
14 Davidson W1010%65.071.0-6.0
15 Western Michigan W1010%54.068.0-14.0
16 Hofstra W1010%65.080.0-15.0
17 Dominican Chargers W1010%54.076.0-22.0
18 Villanova W1010%75.099.0-24.0
19 Shorter W1010%42.072.0-30.0
20 Tennessee Tech W1010%71.0108.0-37.0
21 Oklahoma Christian W1010%40.081.0-41.0
22 Washington Adventist W1010%47.0103.0-56.0
23 Michigan-Dearborn W1010%30.094.0-64.0
24 Cleary University W1010%32.0104.0-72.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ole Miss W1026212380
Alcorn State W61310938
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